- Lead
- 4,453
- Total
- 18,365
- vs nation
- R+22.8
- Turnout
- 62.8%
Chippewa County, MI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 62.8% of 29,433 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 4,033
- Total
- 17,642
- vs nation
- R+27.3
- Turnout
- 59.2%
- Lead
- 3,743
- Total
- 15,552
- vs nation
- R+26.2
- Turnout
- 51.5%
- Lead
- 1,178
- Total
- 15,660
- vs nation
- R+11.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 83
- Total
- 16,708
- vs nation
- R+7.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,919
- Total
- 16,488
- vs nation
- R+9.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,156
- Total
- 14,354
- vs nation
- R+8.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,395
- Total
- 13,259
- vs nation
- D+2.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+24.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 36,2952024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,2172024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 67.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+22.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+70.1 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Jackson County, MI · twin score 79.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 62.8%18,489 participants ÷ 29,433 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +9.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 53.1%–55.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 15,690 | 30,461 | 51.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 14,231 | 30,276 | 47.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 17,758 | 29,993 | 59.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 14,658 | 29,589 | 49.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 18,489 | 29,433 | 62.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
38 precincts · 18,365 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -City of Sault Ste. Marie, Precinct 1City of Sault Ste. Marie, Precinct 1 | 1,057 | 1,054 | 62 | 2,173 | 48.6% | 48.5% | D+0.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -City of Sault Ste. Marie, Precinct 2City of Sault Ste. Marie, Precinct 2 | 826 | 1,110 | 40 | 1,976 | 41.8% | 56.2% | R+14.4 |
| Precinct -Soo Township, Precinct 1Soo Township, Precinct 1 | 668 | 1,229 | 23 | 1,920 | 34.8% | 64.0% | R+29.2 |
| Precinct -City of Sault Ste. Marie, Precinct 3City of Sault Ste. Marie, Precinct 3 | 812 | 1,018 | 36 | 1,866 | 43.5% | 54.6% | R+11.0 |
| Precinct -Kinross Township, Precinct 1Kinross Township, Precinct 1 | 478 | 1,005 | 27 | 1,510 | 31.7% | 66.6% | R+34.9 |
| Precinct -Bruce Township, Precinct 1Bruce Township, Precinct 1 | 392 | 942 | 19 | 1,353 | 29.0% | 69.6% | R+40.7 |
| Precinct -Pickford Township, Precinct 1Pickford Township, Precinct 1 | 235 | 769 | 14 | 1,018 | 23.1% | 75.5% | R+52.5 |
| Precinct -Bay Mills Township, Precinct 1Bay Mills Township, Precinct 1 | 534 | 360 | 9 | 903 | 59.1% | 39.9% | D+19.3 |
| Precinct -Drummond Township, Precinct 1Drummond Township, Precinct 1 | 268 | 562 | 9 | 839 | 31.9% | 67.0% | R+35.0 |
| Precinct -Superior Township, Precinct 1Superior Township, Precinct 1 | 329 | 481 | 23 | 833 | 39.5% | 57.7% | R+18.2 |
| Precinct -Rudyard Township, Precinct 1Rudyard Township, Precinct 1 | 187 | 611 | 9 | 807 | 23.2% | 75.7% | R+52.5 |
| Precinct -Dafter Township, Precinct 1Dafter Township, Precinct 1 | 179 | 549 | 13 | 741 | 24.2% | 74.1% | R+49.9 |
| Precinct -Detour Township, Precinct 1Detour Township, Precinct 1 | 213 | 341 | 8 | 562 | 37.9% | 60.7% | R+22.8 |
| Precinct -Sugar Island Township, Precinct 1Sugar Island Township, Precinct 1 | 188 | 318 | 5 | 511 | 36.8% | 62.2% | R+25.4 |
| Precinct -Whitefish Township, Precinct 1Whitefish Township, Precinct 1 | 146 | 288 | 9 | 443 | 33.0% | 65.0% | R+32.1 |
| Precinct -Raber Township, Precinct 1Raber Township, Precinct 1 | 145 | 270 | 7 | 422 | 34.4% | 64.0% | R+29.6 |
| Precinct -Trout Lake Township, Precinct 1Trout Lake Township, Precinct 1 | 83 | 171 | 3 | 257 | 32.3% | 66.5% | R+34.2 |
| Precinct -Chippewa Township, Precinct 1Chippewa Township, Precinct 1 | 30 | 91 | 1 | 122 | 24.6% | 74.6% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct -Hulbert Township, Precinct 1Hulbert Township, Precinct 1 | 26 | 80 | 3 | 109 | 23.9% | 73.4% | R+49.5 |
| 0330607000001033-06070-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0331128000001033-11280-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0331556000001033-15560-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0331954000001033-19540-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0332177000001033-21770-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0332308000001033-23080-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0333986000001033-39860-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0334348000001033-43480-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0336398000001033-63980-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0336676000001033-66760-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0337022000001033-70220-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0337174000001033-71740-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0337174000002033-71740-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0337174000003033-71740-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0337462000001033-74620-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0337702000001033-77020-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0337754000001033-77540-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0338060000001033-80600-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0338670000001033-86700-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −6.9% |
| 1896 | −34.4% |
| 1900 | −45.8% |
| 1904 | −60.1% |
| 1908 | −33.0% |
| 1912 | −0.3% |
| 1916 | −13.8% |
| 1920 | −54.5% |
| 1924 | −70.1% |
| 1928 | −38.3% |
| 1932 | −10.7% |
| 1936 | +3.4% |
| 1940 | −3.3% |
| 1944 | −10.2% |
| 1948 | −12.0% |
| 1952 | −24.7% |
| 1956 | −25.7% |
| 1960 | −10.6% |
| 1964 | +22.9% |
| 1968 | −11.9% |
| 1972 | −19.2% |
| 1976 | −7.6% |
| 1980 | −13.3% |
| 1984 | −27.9% |
| 1988 | −13.0% |
| 1992 | −0.2% |
| 1996 | +10.5% |
| 2000 | −8.1% |
| 2004 | −11.6% |
| 2008 | −0.5% |
| 2012 | −7.5% |
| 2016 | −24.1% |
| 2020 | −22.9% |
| 2024 | −24.2% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 24,279 |
| 2018 | 24,091 |
| 2020 | 26,281 |
| 2022 | 27,297 |
| 2024 | 28,376 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+110 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,493 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $56,787 in average income, against $59,754 for residents who stayed — 5% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+7.6 on average — 17 points more Democratic-leaning than Chippewa County, MI itself (R+24.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Mackinac County, MI42R+24.9
- Oakland County, MI25D+10.6
- Kent County, MI21D+5.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Mackinac County, MI43
- Kent County, MI30
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +205 |
| 2012 | +59 |
| 2013 | −493 |
| 2014 | −343 |
| 2015 | −304 |
| 2016 | −310 |
| 2017 | −14 |
| 2018 | −181 |
| 2019 | −57 |
| 2021 | −752 |
| 2022 | +471 |
| 2023 | +166 |
| 2024 | −50 |
| 2025 | +110 |
Spanning Michigan's eastern Upper Peninsula along the Canadian border, Chippewa County delivers lopsided margins in federal races while hosting the Sault Ste. Marie Tribe of Chippewa Indians, one of the region's largest employers and civic forces.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 22.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 70.1 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 24.2 points.
A population of 36,295, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,217 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jackson County and Oxford County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Chippewa County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26033/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.