- Lead
- 4,929
- Total
- 17,213
- vs nation
- R+27.2
- Turnout
- 74.1%
Alpena County, MI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 74.1% of 23,376 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 4,686
- Total
- 16,969
- vs nation
- R+32.1
- Turnout
- 74.5%
- Lead
- 4,213
- Total
- 14,768
- vs nation
- R+30.6
- Turnout
- 64.3%
- Lead
- 749
- Total
- 14,091
- vs nation
- R+9.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 580
- Total
- 15,085
- vs nation
- R+3.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 258
- Total
- 15,211
- vs nation
- D+0.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 284
- Total
- 14,132
- vs nation
- D+1.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,589
- Total
- 13,492
- vs nation
- D+10.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+28.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 28,8802024 5-year
- Median household income
- $53,9502024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+31.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.3 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Arenac County, MI · twin score 90.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 74.1%17,319 participants ÷ 23,376 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 60.0%–63.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 14,875 | 23,150 | 64.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 13,309 | 22,939 | 58.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 17,061 | 22,907 | 74.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 14,088 | 23,344 | 60.3% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 17,319 | 23,376 | 74.1% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
34 precincts · 17,213 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -City of Alpena, Precinct 1City of Alpena, Precinct 1 | 632 | 856 | 20 | 1,508 | 41.9% | 56.8% | R+14.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Alpena Township, Precinct 2Alpena Township, Precinct 2 | 512 | 863 | 13 | 1,388 | 36.9% | 62.2% | R+25.3 |
| Precinct -Alpena Township, Precinct 3Alpena Township, Precinct 3 | 561 | 776 | 21 | 1,358 | 41.3% | 57.1% | R+15.8 |
| Precinct -Sanborn Township, Precinct 1Sanborn Township, Precinct 1 | 359 | 845 | 10 | 1,214 | 29.6% | 69.6% | R+40.0 |
| Precinct -Wilson Township, Precinct 1Wilson Township, Precinct 1 | 261 | 939 | 9 | 1,209 | 21.6% | 77.7% | R+56.1 |
| Precinct -Alpena Township, Precinct 5Alpena Township, Precinct 5 | 423 | 691 | 15 | 1,129 | 37.5% | 61.2% | R+23.7 |
| Precinct -City of Alpena, Precinct 6City of Alpena, Precinct 6 | 480 | 621 | 17 | 1,118 | 42.9% | 55.5% | R+12.6 |
| Precinct -Ossineke Township, Precinct 1Ossineke Township, Precinct 1 | 221 | 843 | 6 | 1,070 | 20.7% | 78.8% | R+58.1 |
| Precinct -Alpena Township, Precinct 1Alpena Township, Precinct 1 | 327 | 681 | 11 | 1,019 | 32.1% | 66.8% | R+34.7 |
| Precinct -Maple Ridge Township, Precinct 1Maple Ridge Township, Precinct 1 | 282 | 718 | 12 | 1,012 | 27.9% | 70.9% | R+43.1 |
| Precinct -City of Alpena, Precinct 5City of Alpena, Precinct 5 | 478 | 479 | 11 | 968 | 49.4% | 49.5% | R+0.1 |
| Precinct -City of Alpena, Precinct 4City of Alpena, Precinct 4 | 410 | 522 | 20 | 952 | 43.1% | 54.8% | R+11.8 |
| Precinct -City of Alpena, Precinct 3City of Alpena, Precinct 3 | 398 | 500 | 20 | 918 | 43.4% | 54.5% | R+11.1 |
| Precinct -Green Township, Precinct 1Green Township, Precinct 1 | 199 | 585 | 6 | 790 | 25.2% | 74.1% | R+48.9 |
| Precinct -Alpena Township, Precinct 4Alpena Township, Precinct 4 | 285 | 481 | 7 | 773 | 36.9% | 62.2% | R+25.4 |
| Precinct -Long Rapids Township, Precinct 1Long Rapids Township, Precinct 1 | 182 | 439 | 7 | 628 | 29.0% | 69.9% | R+40.9 |
| Precinct -Wellington Township, Precinct 1Wellington Township, Precinct 1 | 28 | 128 | 3 | 159 | 17.6% | 80.5% | R+62.9 |
| 0070174000001007-01740-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0070174000003007-01740-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0070174000004007-01740-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0070174000005007-01740-00005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0070174000006007-01740-00006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0070176000001007-01760-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0070176000002007-01760-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0070176000003007-01760-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0070176000004007-01760-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0070176000005007-01760-00005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0073474000001007-34740-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0074936000001007-49360-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0075122000001007-51220-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0076152000001007-61520-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0077124000001007-71240-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0078518000001007-85180-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0078768000001007-87680-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +0.3% |
| 1896 | −3.2% |
| 1900 | −22.0% |
| 1904 | −44.2% |
| 1908 | −40.7% |
| 1912 | +11.2% |
| 1916 | −18.0% |
| 1920 | −28.8% |
| 1924 | −60.3% |
| 1928 | −27.1% |
| 1932 | +4.9% |
| 1936 | −4.3% |
| 1940 | −14.5% |
| 1944 | −21.8% |
| 1948 | −22.0% |
| 1952 | −33.1% |
| 1956 | −40.4% |
| 1960 | −12.9% |
| 1964 | +31.0% |
| 1968 | −8.2% |
| 1972 | −11.9% |
| 1976 | −0.5% |
| 1980 | −7.7% |
| 1984 | −23.0% |
| 1988 | −2.5% |
| 1992 | +13.4% |
| 1996 | +19.2% |
| 2000 | +2.0% |
| 2004 | −1.7% |
| 2008 | +3.8% |
| 2012 | −5.3% |
| 2016 | −28.5% |
| 2020 | −27.6% |
| 2024 | −28.6% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 33.8%5,507 | 66.2%10,769 | 16,276 |
| 2020 | R | 32.7%5,336 | 67.3%10,961 | 16,297 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 23,549 |
| 2018 | 23,302 |
| 2020 | 24,918 |
| 2022 | 24,995 |
| 2024 | 25,320 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+165 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +639 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $47,989 in average income, against $62,952 for residents who stayed — 24% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+28.4 on average — about the same lean as Alpena County, MI (R+28.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Presque Isle County, MI64R+29.0
- Alcona County, MI49R+41.7
- Montmorency County, MI37R+45.3
- Macomb County, MI25R+13.7
- Oakland County, MI24D+10.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Presque Isle County, MI66
- Alcona County, MI41
- Montmorency County, MI33
- Wayne County, MI24
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −96 |
| 2012 | −48 |
| 2013 | −85 |
| 2014 | −17 |
| 2015 | −73 |
| 2016 | +53 |
| 2017 | −114 |
| 2018 | +27 |
| 2019 | +76 |
| 2021 | +200 |
| 2022 | +111 |
| 2023 | +240 |
| 2024 | +200 |
| 2025 | +165 |
Alpena's economy has long centered on cement manufacturing and the Thunder Bay watershed, drawing a working-class rural electorate that shifted decisively rightward over the past decade and delivered a 28-point Republican margin in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 60.3 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 28.6 points.
A population of 28,880, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,950 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Arenac County and Iosco County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Alpena County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26007/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.