Michigan, Michigan
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −4.5% |
| 1896 | −10.3% |
| 1900 | −19.2% |
| 1904 | −43.8% |
| 1908 | −29.5% |
| 1912 | −0.2% |
| 1916 | −8.3% |
| 1920 | −50.6% |
| 1924 | −62.2% |
| 1928 | −41.4% |
| 1932 | +7.9% |
| 1936 | +17.6% |
| 1940 | −0.3% |
| 1944 | +1.0% |
| 1948 | −1.7% |
| 1952 | −11.5% |
| 1956 | −11.5% |
| 1960 | +2.0% |
| 1964 | +33.6% |
| 1968 | +6.7% |
| 1972 | −14.4% |
| 1976 | −5.4% |
| 1980 | −6.5% |
| 1984 | −19.0% |
| 1988 | −7.9% |
| 1992 | +7.4% |
| 1996 | +13.2% |
| 2000 | +5.1% |
| 2004 | +3.4% |
| 2008 | +16.5% |
| 2012 | +9.5% |
| 2016 | −0.2% |
| 2020 | +2.8% |
| 2024 | −1.4% |
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 48.3%Harris2,736,533 | 49.7%Trump2,816,636 | 0.8%Stein44,607 | 5,664,186 | ||
| D | 50.6%Biden2,804,040 | 47.8%Trump2,649,852 | 1.1%Jorgensen60,381 | 5,539,302 | ||
| R | 47.0%Clinton2,268,839 | 47.2%Trump2,279,543 | 3.6%Johnson172,136 | 4,824,542 | ||
| D | 54.0%Obama2,564,569 | 44.6%Romney2,115,256 | 0.5%Stein21,897 | 4,745,316 | ||
| D | 57.4%Obama2,872,579 | 41.0%McCain2,048,639 | 0.7%Nader33,085 | 5,001,766 | ||
| D | 51.2%Kerry2,479,183 | 47.8%Bush2,313,746 | 0.5%Nader24,035 | 4,839,252 | ||
| D | 51.3%Gore2,170,418 | 46.1%Bush1,953,139 | 2.0%Nader84,165 | 4,232,711 | ||
| D | 51.7%Clinton1,989,653 | 38.5%Dole1,481,212 | 8.7%Perot336,670 | 3,848,844 | ||
| D | 43.8%Clinton1,871,182 | 36.4%Bush1,554,940 | 19.3%Perot824,813 | 4,274,673 | ||
| R | 45.7%Dukakis1,675,783 | 53.6%Bush1,965,486 | 0.5%Paul18,336 | 3,669,163 | ||
| R | 40.2%Mondale1,529,638 | 59.2%Reagan2,251,571 | 0.3%Bergland10,055 | 3,801,658 | ||
| R | 42.5%Carter1,661,532 | 49.0%Reagan1,915,225 | 7.0%Anderson275,223 | 3,909,725 | ||
| R | 46.4%Carter1,696,714 | 51.8%Ford1,893,742 | 1.3%McCarthy47,905 | 3,653,749 | ||
| R | 41.8%McGovern1,459,435 | 56.2%Nixon1,961,721 | 2.0%Schmitz69,169 | 3,490,325 | ||
| D | 48.2%Humphrey1,593,082 | 41.5%Nixon1,370,665 | 10.4%Wallace342,503 | 3,306,250 | ||
| D | 66.7%Johnson2,136,615 | 33.1%Goldwater1,060,152 | 0.2%Hass6,335 | 3,203,102 | ||
| D | 50.9%Kennedy1,687,269 | 48.8%Nixon1,620,428 | 0.3%Byrd10,400 | 3,318,097 | ||
| R | 44.1%Stevenson1,359,898 | 55.6%Eisenhower1,713,647 | 0.2%Andrews6,923 | 3,080,468 | ||
| R | 44.0%Stevenson1,230,657 | 55.4%Eisenhower1,551,529 | 0.6%Hallinan16,406 | 2,798,592 | ||
| R | 47.6%Truman1,003,448 | 49.2%Dewey1,038,595 | 3.2%Thurmond67,566 | 2,109,609 | ||
| D | 50.2%Roosevelt1,106,899 | 49.2%Dewey1,084,423 | 0.6%Thomas13,901 | 2,205,223 | ||
| R | 49.5%Roosevelt1,032,991 | 49.9%Willkie1,039,917 | 0.6%Thomas13,021 | 2,085,929 | ||
| D | 56.3%Roosevelt1,016,794 | 38.8%Landon699,733 | 4.9%Lemke88,571 | 1,805,098 | ||
| D | 52.4%Roosevelt871,701 | 44.4%Hoover739,894 | 3.2%Thomas53,171 | 1,664,766 | ||
| R | 28.9%Smith396,762 | 70.4%Hoover965,396 | 0.7%Thomas9,924 | 1,372,082 | ||
| R | 13.1%Davis152,359 | 75.4%Coolidge874,631 | 11.5%La Follette133,429 | 1,160,419 | ||
| R | 22.3%Cox231,046 | 72.8%Harding755,941 | 4.9%Debs50,994 | 1,037,981 | ||
| R | 43.9%Wilson283,993 | 52.2%Hughes337,952 | 3.9%Benson24,928 | 646,873 | ||
| O | 27.4%Wilson150,201 | 27.6%Taft151,434 | 45.0%Roosevelt246,336 | 547,971 | ||
| R | 32.4%Bryan174,619 | 61.9%Taft333,313 | 5.6%Debs30,203 | 538,135 | ||
| R | 25.8%Parker134,163 | 69.5%Roosevelt361,863 | 4.7%Debs24,417 | 520,443 | ||
| R | 38.9%Bryan211,432 | 58.1%McKinley316,014 | 3.0%Woolley16,343 | 543,789 | ||
| R | 43.5%Bryan237,164 | 53.8%McKinley293,338 | 2.8%Palmer15,083 | 545,585 | ||
| R | 43.3%Cleveland201,729 | 47.8%Harrison222,708 | 9.0%Weaver41,809 | 466,246 |
2026 election
On the ballot
Governoropen seatno nominee yet
Jocelyn BensonChris SwansonJohn JamesMike Cox
Open seat: incumbent Gretchen Whitmer (D) is term-limited. Primary is August 4, 2026 (not yet held). Democratic frontrunner is SoS Jocelyn Benson; Lt. Gov. Garlin Gilchrist withdrew to run for SoS. GOP frontrunner is U.S. Rep. John James (Trump-endorsed); Aric Nesbitt suspended his campaign June 22 and endorsed James. Former Detroit mayor Mike Duggan had run as an independent but withdrew in May 2026, so no independent remains.
U.S. Senateopen seatno nominee yet
Mike Rogerspresumptive nomineeHaley StevensMallory McMorrowAbdul El-Sayed
Open seat: incumbent Gary Peters (D) is not seeking a third term. Aug 4 primary not yet held as of 2026-06-25. The Democratic field is a contested 3-way race (Stevens, McMorrow, El-Sayed); Joe Tate withdrew and endorsed Stevens. Mike Rogers (Trump-endorsed, 2024 nominee) faces only token primary opposition, so he is marked presumptive.
Source · Akashic 2026 forecast.
Congressional elections · 398 House races · 17 Senate races
U.S. House
| Year | Seats won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D 6 · R 7 | 47.7% | 49.0% | 5,516,896 | |
| D 7 · R 6 | 49.9% | 47.6% | 4,375,537 | |
| D 7 · R 7 | 49.6% | 48.3% | 5,423,140 | |
| D 7 · R 7 | 52.4% | 44.6% | 4,154,703 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 48.6%2,712,686 | 48.3%2,693,680 | 5,577,187 |
| 2020 | D | 49.9%2,734,568 | 48.2%2,642,233 | 5,479,720 |
| 2018 | D | 52.3%2,214,478 | 45.8%1,938,818 | 4,237,253 |
| 2014 | D | 54.6%1,704,936 | 41.3%1,290,199 | 3,121,698 |
| 2012 | D | 58.8%2,735,826 | 38.0%1,767,386 | 4,652,849 |
| 2008 | D | 62.7%3,038,386 | 33.8%1,641,070 | 4,848,620 |
| 2006 | D | 56.9%2,151,278 | 41.3%1,559,597 | 3,780,118 |
| 2002 | D | 60.6%1,896,614 | 37.9%1,185,545 | 3,129,287 |
| 2000 | D | 49.5%2,061,952 | 47.9%1,994,693 | 4,167,685 |
| 1996 | D | 58.4%2,195,738 | 39.9%1,500,106 | 3,762,271 |
| 1994 | R | 42.7%1,300,960 | 51.9%1,578,770 | 3,043,385 |
| 1990 | D | 57.5%1,471,753 | 41.2%1,055,695 | 2,560,244 |
| 1988 | D | 60.4%2,116,865 | 38.5%1,348,219 | 3,505,985 |
| 1984 | D | 51.8%1,915,831 | 47.2%1,745,302 | 3,700,938 |
| 1982 | D | 57.7%1,728,793 | 40.9%1,223,288 | 2,994,292 |
| 1978 | D | 52.1%1,484,193 | 47.9%1,362,165 | 2,846,630 |
| 1976 | D | 52.5%1,831,031 | 46.8%1,635,087 | 3,490,412 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 7,514,055 |
| 2018 | 7,471,088 |
| 2020 | 8,105,524 |
| 2022 | 8,226,745 |
| 2024 | 8,440,236 |
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)
As Michigan flipped to Trump by a point and a half, Wayne County — Detroit and Dearborn — gave back nine of its Democratic points.
- Blue-wall arc
- R+0.2 (2016) → D+2.8 (2020) → R+1.4 (2024) — a 4.2-pt swing in one cycle · MIT Election Lab
- Wayne County’s retreat
- D+38.1 (2020) → D+29.0 (2024) — the Detroit-and-Dearborn base shed 9 points · MIT Election Lab
- Dearborn’s community
- Arabic spoken at home in 6.6% of Wayne County households (1.8% statewide); 8.1% Muslim adherents · ACS 2024 5-year; 2020 U.S. Religion Census
- The college island
- Washtenaw (Ann Arbor) D+44.4 — the bluest county; Ingham (Lansing) D+29.7; Kent (Grand Rapids) flipped to D+5.4 · MIT Election Lab 2024
- The rural red
- Missaukee R+56.0 — the reddest county; Hillsdale R+51.4; suburban Macomb R+13.7 · MIT Election Lab 2024
- Open top and bottom in 2026
- Gov. Whitmer term-limited (Benson D / James R lead the fields); Sen. Peters retiring (Stevens, McMorrow, El-Sayed D / Rogers R) — Aug 4 primary · Akashic 2026 forecast
Political twins — states
The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Wisconsin
Wisconsin
68.4twin score
Polish ancestry2008–2012 trajectoryScottish ancestry≠ German ancestry
Illinois
Illinois
54.2twin score
elasticitypopulation scalePolish ancestry≠ % unaffiliated
Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania
53.2twin score
population scale2000–2004 trajectoryPolish ancestry≠ Puerto Rican ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/MI/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Michigan at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Michigan
Frequently asked questions
How did Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, Michigan voted Republican by 1.4 points (R+1.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,664,186 votes cast, 2,736,533 went Democratic and 2,816,636 went Republican.
When did Michigan last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Michigan voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Michigan?
Michigan has a population of 10,077,761 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Michigan?
Median household income in Michigan is $72,875 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Michigan?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Michigan from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 20 went Republican.