HarrisDemocratic48.3%2,736,533TrumpRepublican49.7%2,816,636SteinGreen0.8%44,607
R+1.4- Lead
- 80,103
- Total
- 5,664,186
- vs nation
- D+0.1
- Turnout
- 74.6%
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+1.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 10,077,7612024 5-year
- Population density
- 178 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 56,611 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $72,8752024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 72.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 13.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+33.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.2 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Wisconsin, WI · twin score 68.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 74.6%5,706,503 participants ÷ 7,653,712 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- 0.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 59.4%–63.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 4,874,619 | 7,408,626 | 65.8% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 4,341,340 | 7,472,668 | 58.1% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 5,579,317 | 7,528,995 | 74.1% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 4,500,400 | 7,633,287 | 59.0% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 5,706,503 | 7,653,712 | 74.6% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 276/110.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 279/137.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 282/1.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 285/182.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 288/227.
presidential history
Party record book
Michigan · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
66.7%
2,136,615 votes · D+33.6
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 57.4%
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
75.4%
874,631 votes · R+62.2
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 72.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
2,872,579votes
57.4% of the vote · D+16.5
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 2,804,040 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
2,816,636votes
49.7% of the vote · R+1.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 2,649,852 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+11.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+33.6 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +9.2 pts
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
+37.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+62.2 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · +24.4 pts
2026 election
On the ballot
Governoropen seat
Jocelyn BensonnomineeJohn JamesnomineeChris SwansonMike Cox
Open seat; Gov. Whitmer term-limited. SoS Jocelyn Benson won the Democratic primary with over 83% over Chris Swanson; Rep. John James (MI-10) won the GOP primary with roughly half the vote over Perry Johnson. Mike Duggan's independent bid ended May 21, 2026.
U.S. Senateopen seat
Mike RogersnomineeAbdul El-SayednomineeHaley StevensMallory McMorrow
Open seat; Gary Peters (D) retired. Abdul El-Sayed won the Democratic primary ~49%-47% over Rep. Haley Stevens (AP call Aug 5; Stevens conceded). Mike Rogers, the 2024 nominee, was unopposed for the GOP nomination.
U.S. House elections · 398 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
| Year | Seats won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D 6 · R 7 | 47.7% | 49.0% | 5,516,896 | |
| D 7 · R 6 | 49.9% | 47.6% | 4,375,537 | |
| D 7 · R 7 | 49.6% | 48.3% | 5,423,140 | |
| D 7 · R 7 | 52.4% | 44.6% | 4,154,703 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 7,514,055 |
| 2018 | 7,471,088 |
| 2020 | 8,105,524 |
| 2022 | 8,226,745 |
| 2024 | 8,440,236 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+1,796 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −308,258 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −40,878 |
| 2012 | −32,963 |
| 2013 | −28,210 |
| 2014 | −28,444 |
| 2015 | −36,387 |
| 2016 | −27,092 |
| 2017 | −13,172 |
| 2018 | −16,639 |
| 2019 | −23,670 |
| 2021 | −28,290 |
| 2022 | −9,107 |
| 2023 | −17,137 |
| 2024 | −8,065 |
| 2025 | +1,796 |
As Michigan flipped to Trump by a point and a half, Wayne County — Detroit and Dearborn — gave back nine of its Democratic points.
- Blue-wall arc
- R+0.2 (2016) → D+2.8 (2020) → R+1.4 (2024) — a 4.2-pt swing in one cycle · MIT Election Lab
- Wayne County’s retreat
- D+38.1 (2020) → D+29.0 (2024) — the Detroit-and-Dearborn base shed 9 points · MIT Election Lab
- Dearborn’s community
- Arabic spoken at home in 6.6% of Wayne County households (1.8% statewide); 8.1% Muslim adherents · ACS 2024 5-year; 2020 U.S. Religion Census
- The college island
- Washtenaw (Ann Arbor) D+44.4 — the bluest county; Ingham (Lansing) D+29.7; Kent (Grand Rapids) flipped to D+5.4 · MIT Election Lab 2024
- The rural red
- Missaukee R+56.0 — the reddest county; Hillsdale R+51.4; suburban Macomb R+13.7 · MIT Election Lab 2024
- Open top and bottom in 2026
- Gov. Whitmer term-limited (Benson D / James R lead the fields); Sen. Peters retiring (Stevens, McMorrow, El-Sayed D / Rogers R) — Aug 4 primary · Akashic 2026 forecast
Political twins — states
The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Wisconsin
Wisconsin
68.4twin score
Polish ancestry2008–2012 trajectoryScottish ancestry≠ German ancestry
Illinois
Illinois
54.2twin score
elasticitypopulation scalePolish ancestry≠ % unaffiliated
Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania
53.2twin score
population scale2000–2004 trajectoryPolish ancestry≠ Puerto Rican ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/MI/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, Michigan voted Republican by 1.4 points (R+1.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,664,186 votes cast, 2,736,533 went Democratic and 2,816,636 went Republican.
When did Michigan last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Michigan voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Michigan?
Michigan has a population of 10,077,761 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Michigan?
Median household income in Michigan is $72,875 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Michigan?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Michigan from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 20 went Republican.