HarrisDemocratic33.7%6,682TrumpRepublican65.0%12,894KennedyIndependent0.6%110
R+31.3- Lead
- 6,212
- Total
- 19,848
- vs nation
- R+29.8
- Turnout
- 60.5%
Akashiccounty
Gratiot County, MI
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.5% of 32,961 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic35.0%6,693TrumpRepublican63.3%12,102JorgensenLibertarian1.3%240
R+28.3- Lead
- 5,409
- Total
- 19,127
- vs nation
- R+32.7
- Turnout
- 59.3%
ClintonDemocratic34.4%5,666TrumpRepublican60.0%9,880JohnsonLibertarian4.2%687
R+25.6- Lead
- 4,214
- Total
- 16,465
- vs nation
- R+27.7
- Turnout
- 50.7%
ObamaDemocratic47.5%7,610RomneyRepublican51.4%8,241SteinGreen0.5%86
R+3.9- Lead
- 631
- Total
- 16,035
- vs nation
- R+7.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic51.3%9,105McCainRepublican46.9%8,322OtherAll other candidates1.8%311
D+4.4- Lead
- 783
- Total
- 17,738
- vs nation
- R+2.9
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic42.4%7,377BushRepublican56.6%9,834OtherAll other candidates1.0%168
R+14.1- Lead
- 2,457
- Total
- 17,379
- vs nation
- R+11.7
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic43.1%6,538BushRepublican54.8%8,312NaderGreen1.7%265
R+11.7- Lead
- 1,774
- Total
- 15,179
- vs nation
- R+12.2
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic45.7%6,793DoleRepublican41.8%6,214PerotReform11.8%1,762
D+3.9- Lead
- 579
- Total
- 14,875
- vs nation
- R+4.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+31.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 41,3852024 5-year
- Median household income
- $63,5562024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+15.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64.9 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Shiawassee County, MI · twin score 88.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 60.5%19,945 participants ÷ 32,961 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 47.8%–51.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 16,713 | 32,943 | 50.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 14,505 | 32,580 | 44.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 19,254 | 32,463 | 59.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 15,471 | 33,211 | 46.6% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 19,945 | 32,961 | 60.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
42 precincts · 19,848 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -City of St. Louis, Precinct 1City of St. Louis, Precinct 1 | 674 | 1,140 | 33 | 1,847 | 36.5% | 61.7% | R+25.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -City of Ithaca, Precinct 1City of Ithaca, Precinct 1 | 615 | 901 | 12 | 1,528 | 40.2% | 59.0% | R+18.7 |
| Precinct -Wheeler Township, Precinct 1Wheeler Township, Precinct 1 | 438 | 1,037 | 21 | 1,496 | 29.3% | 69.3% | R+40.0 |
| Precinct -Fulton Township, Precinct 1Fulton Township, Precinct 1 | 453 | 1,003 | 25 | 1,481 | 30.6% | 67.7% | R+37.1 |
| Precinct -City of Alma, Precinct 2City of Alma, Precinct 2 | 698 | 710 | 28 | 1,436 | 48.6% | 49.4% | R+0.8 |
| Precinct -Pine River Township, Precinct 1Pine River Township, Precinct 1 | 435 | 948 | 20 | 1,403 | 31.0% | 67.6% | R+36.6 |
| Precinct -City of Alma, Precinct 3City of Alma, Precinct 3 | 566 | 804 | 28 | 1,398 | 40.5% | 57.5% | R+17.0 |
| Precinct -Seville Township, Precinct 1Seville Township, Precinct 1 | 325 | 922 | 20 | 1,267 | 25.7% | 72.8% | R+47.1 |
| Precinct -City of Alma, Precinct 1City of Alma, Precinct 1 | 565 | 504 | 9 | 1,078 | 52.4% | 46.8% | D+5.7 |
| Precinct -Arcada Township, Precinct 1Arcada Township, Precinct 1 | 345 | 678 | 9 | 1,032 | 33.4% | 65.7% | R+32.3 |
| Precinct -Sumner Township, Precinct 1Sumner Township, Precinct 1 | 277 | 707 | 17 | 1,001 | 27.7% | 70.6% | R+43.0 |
| Precinct -Bethany Township, Precinct 1Bethany Township, Precinct 1 | 183 | 575 | 7 | 765 | 23.9% | 75.2% | R+51.2 |
| Precinct -Elba Township, Precinct 1Elba Township, Precinct 1 | 198 | 508 | 3 | 709 | 27.9% | 71.7% | R+43.7 |
| Precinct -Emerson Township, Precinct 1Emerson Township, Precinct 1 | 170 | 377 | 4 | 551 | 30.9% | 68.4% | R+37.6 |
| Precinct -New Haven Township, Precinct 1New Haven Township, Precinct 1 | 128 | 374 | 9 | 511 | 25.0% | 73.2% | R+48.1 |
| Precinct -North Star Township, Precinct 1North Star Township, Precinct 1 | 133 | 366 | 3 | 502 | 26.5% | 72.9% | R+46.4 |
| Precinct -Newark Township, Precinct 1Newark Township, Precinct 1 | 128 | 360 | 8 | 496 | 25.8% | 72.6% | R+46.8 |
| Precinct -Washington Township, Precinct 1Washington Township, Precinct 1 | 127 | 344 | 7 | 478 | 26.6% | 72.0% | R+45.4 |
| Precinct -Lafayette Township, Precinct 1Lafayette Township, Precinct 1 | 81 | 242 | 4 | 327 | 24.8% | 74.0% | R+49.2 |
| Precinct -North Shade Township, Precinct 1North Shade Township, Precinct 1 | 70 | 221 | 3 | 294 | 23.8% | 75.2% | R+51.4 |
| Precinct -Hamilton Township, Precinct 1Hamilton Township, Precinct 1 | 73 | 173 | 2 | 248 | 29.4% | 69.8% | R+40.3 |
| 0570154000001057-01540-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0570154000002057-01540-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0570154000003057-01540-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0570326000001057-03260-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0570802000001057-08020-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0572512000001057-25120-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0572588000001057-25880-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0573108000001057-31080-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0573616000001057-36160-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0574134000001057-41340-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0574408000001057-44080-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0575704000001057-57040-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0575736000001057-57360-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0575880000001057-58800-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0575888000001057-58880-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0576436000001057-64360-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0577100000001057-71000-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0577258000001057-72580-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0577730000001057-77300-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0578408000001057-84080-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0578662000001057-86620-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −22.1% |
| 1896 | +7.9% |
| 1900 | −13.8% |
| 1904 | −39.8% |
| 1908 | −26.5% |
| 1912 | +0.4% |
| 1916 | −7.2% |
| 1920 | −55.7% |
| 1924 | −55.3% |
| 1928 | −64.9% |
| 1932 | +8.7% |
| 1936 | +1.2% |
| 1940 | −38.5% |
| 1944 | −42.9% |
| 1948 | −43.6% |
| 1952 | −54.9% |
| 1956 | −51.7% |
| 1960 | −43.7% |
| 1964 | +15.8% |
| 1968 | −32.5% |
| 1972 | −38.2% |
| 1976 | −27.1% |
| 1980 | −27.9% |
| 1984 | −44.5% |
| 1988 | −19.2% |
| 1992 | −3.8% |
| 1996 | +3.9% |
| 2000 | −11.7% |
| 2004 | −14.1% |
| 2008 | +4.4% |
| 2012 | −3.9% |
| 2016 | −25.6% |
| 2020 | −28.3% |
| 2024 | −31.3% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 1 House · 37 Senate · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 30.9%5,787 | 69.1%12,968 | 18,755 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 26,463 |
| 2018 | 26,299 |
| 2020 | 28,372 |
| 2022 | 28,780 |
| 2024 | 29,764 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−113 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,433 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $45,261 in average income, against $67,062 for residents who stayed — 33% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+12.7 on average — 19 points more Democratic-leaning than Gratiot County, MI itself (R+31.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Isabella County, MI162R+7.5
- Montcalm County, MI100R+39.0
- Midland County, MI70R+15.2
- Clinton County, MI59R+8.6
- Saginaw County, MI54R+3.3
- Ingham County, MI29D+29.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Isabella County, MI180
- Montcalm County, MI97
- Clinton County, MI68
- Midland County, MI54
- Saginaw County, MI53
- Ingham County, MI43
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −351 |
| 2012 | −197 |
| 2013 | +9 |
| 2014 | −450 |
| 2015 | −99 |
| 2016 | −331 |
| 2017 | +121 |
| 2018 | −354 |
| 2019 | +160 |
| 2021 | −210 |
| 2022 | +27 |
| 2023 | +375 |
| 2024 | −20 |
| 2025 | −113 |
Gratiot County's agricultural economy and sparse rural settlement underpin one of lower Michigan's more lopsided presidential margins, with the 2024 result extending a consistent pattern of double-digit Republican advantages since 2000.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 15.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 64.9 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 31.3 points.
A population of 41,385, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,556 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Shiawassee County and Montcalm County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Shiawassee County
Michigan
88.8twin score
elasticity12-yr trend% unaffiliated≠ Irish ancestry
Montcalm County
Michigan
85.1twin score
12-yr trend% unaffiliated2008–2012 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry
Madison County
Indiana
84.9twin score
2008–2012 trajectory% unaffiliated12-yr trend≠ elasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Gratiot County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26057/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Gratiot County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Gratiot County, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, Gratiot County, Michigan voted Republican by 31.3 points (R+31.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 19,848 votes cast, 6,682 went Democratic and 12,894 went Republican.
When did Gratiot County, Michigan last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Gratiot County, Michigan voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Gratiot County, Michigan?
Gratiot County, Michigan has a population of 41,385 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Gratiot County, Michigan?
Median household income in Gratiot County, Michigan is $63,556 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Gratiot County, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Gratiot County, Michigan from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.