- Lead
- 9,383
- Total
- 40,685
- vs nation
- R+21.6
- Turnout
- 76.3%
Shiawassee County, MI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 76.3% of 53,672 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 7,802
- Total
- 39,224
- vs nation
- R+24.3
- Turnout
- 73.8%
- Lead
- 6,684
- Total
- 34,111
- vs nation
- R+21.7
- Turnout
- 65.0%
- Lead
- 1,235
- Total
- 33,679
- vs nation
- R+0.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,129
- Total
- 36,415
- vs nation
- D+1.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,526
- Total
- 36,651
- vs nation
- R+4.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 296
- Total
- 32,218
- vs nation
- R+1.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,948
- Total
- 30,375
- vs nation
- D+1.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+23.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 67,9912024 5-year
- Median household income
- $67,4042024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59.3 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lenawee County, MI · twin score 94.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 76.3%40,928 participants ÷ 53,672 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 63.4%–65.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 34,643 | 53,263 | 65.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 30,210 | 53,383 | 56.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 39,471 | 53,487 | 73.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 32,682 | 53,646 | 60.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 40,928 | 53,672 | 76.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
62 precincts · 40,685 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Woodhull Township, Precinct 1Woodhull Township, Precinct 1 | 1,050 | 1,382 | 47 | 2,479 | 42.4% | 55.7% | R+13.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Burns Township, Precinct 1Burns Township, Precinct 1 | 648 | 1,476 | 25 | 2,149 | 30.2% | 68.7% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct -Bennington Township, Precinct 1Bennington Township, Precinct 1 | 679 | 1,407 | 23 | 2,109 | 32.2% | 66.7% | R+34.5 |
| Precinct -Owosso Township, Precinct 1Owosso Township, Precinct 1 | 671 | 1,151 | 23 | 1,845 | 36.4% | 62.4% | R+26.0 |
| Precinct -Shiawassee Township, Precinct 1Shiawassee Township, Precinct 1 | 608 | 1,169 | 27 | 1,804 | 33.7% | 64.8% | R+31.1 |
| Precinct -Caledonia Charter Township, Precinct 1Caledonia Charter Township, Precinct 1 | 698 | 961 | 29 | 1,688 | 41.4% | 56.9% | R+15.6 |
| Precinct -City of Corunna, Precinct 1City of Corunna, Precinct 1 | 721 | 859 | 26 | 1,606 | 44.9% | 53.5% | R+8.6 |
| Precinct -City of Owosso, Precinct 2City of Owosso, Precinct 2 | 743 | 788 | 21 | 1,552 | 47.9% | 50.8% | R+2.9 |
| Precinct -Vernon Township, Precinct 1Vernon Township, Precinct 1 | 500 | 993 | 17 | 1,510 | 33.1% | 65.8% | R+32.6 |
| Precinct -City of Owosso, Precinct 1City of Owosso, Precinct 1 | 712 | 742 | 22 | 1,476 | 48.2% | 50.3% | R+2.0 |
| Precinct -Venice Township, Precinct 1Venice Township, Precinct 1 | 437 | 956 | 18 | 1,411 | 31.0% | 67.8% | R+36.8 |
| Precinct -Antrim Township, Precinct 1Antrim Township, Precinct 1 | 373 | 988 | 17 | 1,378 | 27.1% | 71.7% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct -Hazelton Township, Precinct 1Hazelton Township, Precinct 1 | 471 | 873 | 14 | 1,358 | 34.7% | 64.3% | R+29.6 |
| Precinct -Perry Township, Precinct 2Perry Township, Precinct 2 | 417 | 802 | 17 | 1,236 | 33.7% | 64.9% | R+31.1 |
| Precinct -Perry Township, Precinct 1Perry Township, Precinct 1 | 458 | 743 | 24 | 1,225 | 37.4% | 60.7% | R+23.3 |
| Precinct -Vernon Township, Precinct 2Vernon Township, Precinct 2 | 438 | 763 | 21 | 1,222 | 35.8% | 62.4% | R+26.6 |
| Precinct -City of Perry, Precinct 1City of Perry, Precinct 1 | 435 | 751 | 24 | 1,210 | 36.0% | 62.1% | R+26.1 |
| Precinct -City of Owosso, Precinct 6City of Owosso, Precinct 6 | 473 | 711 | 19 | 1,203 | 39.3% | 59.1% | R+19.8 |
| Precinct -Sciota Township, Precinct 1Sciota Township, Precinct 1 | 479 | 688 | 15 | 1,182 | 40.5% | 58.2% | R+17.7 |
| Precinct -City of Owosso, Precinct 3City of Owosso, Precinct 3 | 550 | 596 | 21 | 1,167 | 47.1% | 51.1% | R+3.9 |
| Precinct -Owosso Township, Precinct 2Owosso Township, Precinct 2 | 505 | 611 | 20 | 1,136 | 44.5% | 53.8% | R+9.3 |
| Precinct -City of Owosso, Precinct 4City of Owosso, Precinct 4 | 474 | 641 | 19 | 1,134 | 41.8% | 56.5% | R+14.7 |
| Precinct -City of Owosso, Precinct 5City of Owosso, Precinct 5 | 459 | 556 | 26 | 1,041 | 44.1% | 53.4% | R+9.3 |
| Precinct -City of Durand, Precinct 2City of Durand, Precinct 2 | 379 | 590 | 16 | 985 | 38.5% | 59.9% | R+21.4 |
| Precinct -Middlebury Township, Precinct 1Middlebury Township, Precinct 1 | 273 | 674 | 19 | 966 | 28.3% | 69.8% | R+41.5 |
| Precinct -Caledonia Charter Township, Precinct 2Caledonia Charter Township, Precinct 2 | 358 | 560 | 16 | 934 | 38.3% | 60.0% | R+21.6 |
| Precinct -City of Durand, Precinct 1City of Durand, Precinct 1 | 366 | 505 | 19 | 890 | 41.1% | 56.7% | R+15.6 |
| Precinct -New Haven Township, Precinct 1New Haven Township, Precinct 1 | 275 | 531 | 11 | 817 | 33.7% | 65.0% | R+31.3 |
| Precinct -Rush Township, Precinct 1Rush Township, Precinct 1 | 271 | 526 | 14 | 811 | 33.4% | 64.9% | R+31.4 |
| Precinct -City of Laingsburg, Precinct 1City of Laingsburg, Precinct 1 | 293 | 478 | 15 | 786 | 37.3% | 60.8% | R+23.5 |
| Precinct -Fairfield Township, Precinct 1Fairfield Township, Precinct 1 | 121 | 247 | 7 | 375 | 32.3% | 65.9% | R+33.6 |
| 1550312000001155-03120-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1550728000001155-07280-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1551188000001155-11880-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1551252000001155-12520-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1551252000002155-12520-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1551830000001155-18300-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1552350000001155-23500-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1552350000002155-23500-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1552704000001155-27040-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1553744000001155-37440-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1554420000001155-44200-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1555368000001155-53680-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1555740000001155-57400-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1556194001001155-61940-01001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1556194002001155-61940-02001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1556194002002155-61940-02002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1556194002003155-61940-02003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1556194002004155-61940-02004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1556194006001155-61940-06001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1556196000001155-61960-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1556196000002155-61960-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1556370000001155-63700-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1556372000001155-63720-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1556372000002155-63720-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1557026000001155-70260-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1557196000001155-71960-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1557352000001155-73520-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1558188000001155-81880-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1558204000001155-82040-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1558204000002155-82040-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1558840000001155-88400-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −8.1% |
| 1896 | −3.8% |
| 1900 | −18.1% |
| 1904 | −39.5% |
| 1908 | −25.7% |
| 1912 | −4.6% |
| 1916 | −8.1% |
| 1920 | −44.7% |
| 1924 | −58.9% |
| 1928 | −59.3% |
| 1932 | +9.4% |
| 1936 | +4.7% |
| 1940 | −27.0% |
| 1944 | −37.2% |
| 1948 | −35.7% |
| 1952 | −37.9% |
| 1956 | −35.9% |
| 1960 | −22.0% |
| 1964 | +27.4% |
| 1968 | −12.6% |
| 1972 | −26.1% |
| 1976 | −10.5% |
| 1980 | −12.4% |
| 1984 | −32.5% |
| 1988 | −8.5% |
| 1992 | +5.3% |
| 1996 | +9.7% |
| 2000 | −0.9% |
| 2004 | −6.9% |
| 2008 | +8.6% |
| 2012 | +3.7% |
| 2016 | −19.6% |
| 2020 | −19.9% |
| 2024 | −23.1% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 37.0%14,176 | 63.0%24,125 | 38,301 |
| 2020 | R | 35.7%13,142 | 64.3%23,721 | 36,863 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 52,779 |
| 2018 | 52,414 |
| 2020 | 56,000 |
| 2022 | 57,260 |
| 2024 | 58,221 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+36 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,784 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $52,466 in average income, against $64,963 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+3.4 on average — 27 points more Democratic-leaning than Shiawassee County, MI itself (R+23.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Genesee County, MI328D+4.2
- Ingham County, MI199D+29.7
- Clinton County, MI175R+8.6
- Livingston County, MI124R+23.9
- Saginaw County, MI91R+3.3
- Oakland County, MI75D+10.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Genesee County, MI330
- Ingham County, MI241
- Clinton County, MI175
- Saginaw County, MI119
- Livingston County, MI64
- Oakland County, MI56
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −673 |
| 2012 | −716 |
| 2013 | −417 |
| 2014 | −74 |
| 2015 | −276 |
| 2016 | +27 |
| 2017 | −106 |
| 2018 | −252 |
| 2019 | +43 |
| 2021 | +123 |
| 2022 | +218 |
| 2023 | +185 |
| 2024 | +98 |
| 2025 | +36 |
Shiawassee County, anchored by the small city of Corunna, has shifted from a competitive bellwether to a reliably Republican county, posting a 23-point presidential margin in 2024 after voting within single digits as recently as 2008.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 59.3 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 23.1 points.
A population of 67,991, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,404 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lenawee County and Gratiot County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Shiawassee County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26155/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.