- Lead
- 3,847
- Total
- 16,144
- vs nation
- R+22.4
- Turnout
- 62.0%
Fulton County, IL
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 62.0% of 26,339 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,364
- Total
- 16,724
- vs nation
- R+24.6
- Turnout
- 60.8%
- Lead
- 2,359
- Total
- 15,797
- vs nation
- R+17.0
- Turnout
- 56.0%
- Lead
- 1,696
- Total
- 15,411
- vs nation
- D+7.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,481
- Total
- 16,323
- vs nation
- D+14.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,262
- Total
- 17,035
- vs nation
- D+9.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,004
- Total
- 16,277
- vs nation
- D+11.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,702
- Total
- 15,706
- vs nation
- D+15.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+23.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 33,0202024 5-year
- Median household income
- $60,5992024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26.3 in 1992MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+26.3 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Shiawassee County, MI · twin score 88.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 62.0%16,325 participants ÷ 26,339 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +11.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -11.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 50.9%–51.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 15,797 | 28,211 | 56.0% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 12,811 | 27,900 | 45.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 16,802 | 27,641 | 60.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 13,336 | 26,808 | 49.7% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 16,325 | 26,339 | 62.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
102 precincts · 16,293 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -PUTMAN-29PUTMAN-29 | 394 | 665 | 28 | 1,087 | 36.2% | 61.2% | R+24.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -FARMINGTON 1-5FARMINGTON 1-5 | 304 | 491 | 31 | 826 | 36.8% | 59.4% | R+22.6 |
| Precinct -ORION-26ORION-26 | 268 | 448 | 20 | 736 | 36.4% | 60.9% | R+24.5 |
| Precinct -FARMINGTON 2-6FARMINGTON 2-6 | 239 | 466 | 16 | 721 | 33.1% | 64.6% | R+31.5 |
| Precinct -BUCKHEART-30BUCKHEART-30 | 265 | 402 | 28 | 695 | 38.1% | 57.8% | R+19.7 |
| Precinct -CANTON 16-25CANTON 16-25 | 346 | 311 | 19 | 676 | 51.2% | 46.0% | D+5.2 |
| Precinct -CANTON 14-23CANTON 14-23 | 271 | 256 | 19 | 546 | 49.6% | 46.9% | D+2.7 |
| Precinct -CANTON 13-22CANTON 13-22 | 256 | 260 | 22 | 538 | 47.6% | 48.3% | R+0.7 |
| Precinct -LEWISTOWN 1-34LEWISTOWN 1-34 | 167 | 324 | 10 | 501 | 33.3% | 64.7% | R+31.3 |
| Precinct -CANTON 5-14CANTON 5-14 | 211 | 274 | 13 | 498 | 42.4% | 55.0% | R+12.7 |
| Precinct -LEWISTOWN 3-36LEWISTOWN 3-36 | 138 | 324 | 9 | 471 | 29.3% | 68.8% | R+39.5 |
| Precinct -CANTON 15-24CANTON 15-24 | 200 | 226 | 13 | 439 | 45.6% | 51.5% | R+5.9 |
| Precinct -ASTORIA-43ASTORIA-43 | 113 | 296 | 16 | 425 | 26.6% | 69.6% | R+43.1 |
| Precinct -VERMONT-38VERMONT-38 | 94 | 306 | 12 | 412 | 22.8% | 74.3% | R+51.5 |
| Precinct -LEWISTOWN 2-35LEWISTOWN 2-35 | 126 | 267 | 13 | 406 | 31.0% | 65.8% | R+34.7 |
| Precinct -CANTON 4-13CANTON 4-13 | 145 | 240 | 7 | 392 | 37.0% | 61.2% | R+24.2 |
| Precinct -UNION-1UNION-1 | 136 | 243 | 11 | 390 | 34.9% | 62.3% | R+27.4 |
| Precinct -CANTON 10-19CANTON 10-19 | 188 | 180 | 18 | 386 | 48.7% | 46.6% | D+2.1 |
| Precinct -FAIRVIEW-4FAIRVIEW-4 | 116 | 246 | 18 | 380 | 30.5% | 64.7% | R+34.2 |
| Precinct -PLEASANT-39PLEASANT-39 | 94 | 270 | 8 | 372 | 25.3% | 72.6% | R+47.3 |
| Precinct -CANTON 8-17CANTON 8-17 | 147 | 206 | 14 | 367 | 40.1% | 56.1% | R+16.1 |
| Precinct -CANTON 1-10CANTON 1-10 | 162 | 174 | 12 | 348 | 46.6% | 50.0% | R+3.4 |
| Precinct -CANTON 2-11CANTON 2-11 | 162 | 164 | 9 | 335 | 48.4% | 49.0% | R+0.6 |
| Precinct -CANTON 6-15CANTON 6-15 | 178 | 144 | 8 | 330 | 53.9% | 43.6% | D+10.3 |
| Precinct -CANTON 7-16CANTON 7-16 | 138 | 176 | 10 | 324 | 42.6% | 54.3% | R+11.7 |
| Precinct -LIVERPOOL-37LIVERPOOL-37 | 74 | 231 | 12 | 317 | 23.3% | 72.9% | R+49.5 |
| Precinct -YOUNG HICKORY-3YOUNG HICKORY-3 | 86 | 199 | 7 | 292 | 29.5% | 68.2% | R+38.7 |
| Precinct -CASS-28CASS-28 | 84 | 194 | 11 | 289 | 29.1% | 67.1% | R+38.1 |
| Precinct -JOSHUA-9JOSHUA-9 | 96 | 170 | 13 | 279 | 34.4% | 60.9% | R+26.5 |
| Precinct -CANTON 3-12CANTON 3-12 | 134 | 134 | 7 | 275 | 48.7% | 48.7% | Exact tie |
| Precinct -CANTON 12-21CANTON 12-21 | 122 | 118 | 9 | 249 | 49.0% | 47.4% | D+1.6 |
| Precinct -FARMERS-32FARMERS-32 | 45 | 149 | 7 | 201 | 22.4% | 74.1% | R+51.7 |
| Precinct -BANNER-31BANNER-31 | 64 | 125 | 4 | 193 | 33.2% | 64.8% | R+31.6 |
| Precinct -WOODLAND-44WOODLAND-44 | 29 | 160 | 3 | 192 | 15.1% | 83.3% | R+68.2 |
| Precinct -HARRIS-27HARRIS-27 | 46 | 138 | 0 | 184 | 25.0% | 75.0% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct -CANTON 9-18CANTON 9-18 | 77 | 88 | 7 | 172 | 44.8% | 51.2% | R+6.4 |
| Precinct -ASTORIA-42ASTORIA-42 | 28 | 136 | 6 | 170 | 16.5% | 80.0% | R+63.5 |
| Precinct -CANTON 11-20CANTON 11-20 | 66 | 82 | 4 | 152 | 43.4% | 53.9% | R+10.5 |
| Precinct -LEE TWP-7LEE TWP-7 | 24 | 120 | 2 | 146 | 16.4% | 82.2% | R+65.8 |
| Precinct -DEERFIELD-8DEERFIELD-8 | 26 | 108 | 3 | 137 | 19.0% | 78.8% | R+59.9 |
| Precinct -BERNADOTTE-33BERNADOTTE-33 | 46 | 75 | 2 | 123 | 37.4% | 61.0% | R+23.6 |
| Precinct -ISABEL-40ISABEL-40 | 26 | 86 | 2 | 114 | 22.8% | 75.4% | R+52.6 |
| Precinct -WATERFORD-41WATERFORD-41 | 27 | 67 | 1 | 95 | 28.4% | 70.5% | R+42.1 |
| Precinct -ELLISVILLE-2ELLISVILLE-2 | 14 | 50 | 2 | 66 | 21.2% | 75.8% | R+54.5 |
| Precinct -KERTON-45KERTON-45 | 7 | 37 | 2 | 46 | 15.2% | 80.4% | R+65.2 |
| ASTORIA 1 Voting District17_17057AS01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ASTORIA 2 Voting District17_17057AS02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BANNER Voting District17_17057BA01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BERNADOTTE Voting District17_17057BE01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUCKHEART 1 Voting District17_17057BK01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUCKHEART 2 Voting District17_17057BK02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUCKHEART 3 Voting District17_17057BK03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CANTON 1 Voting District17_17057CA01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CANTON 10 Voting District17_17057CA10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CANTON 11 Voting District17_17057CA11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CANTON 12 Voting District17_17057CA12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CANTON 13 Voting District17_17057CA13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CANTON 14 Voting District17_17057CA14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CANTON 15 Voting District17_17057CA15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CANTON 16 Voting District17_17057CA16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CANTON 2 Voting District17_17057CA02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CANTON 3 Voting District17_17057CA03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CANTON 4 Voting District17_17057CA04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CANTON 5 Voting District17_17057CA05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CANTON 6 Voting District17_17057CA06 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CANTON 7 Voting District17_17057CA07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CANTON 8 Voting District17_17057CA08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CANTON 9 Voting District17_17057CA09 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CASS Voting District17_17057CS01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DEERFIELD Voting District17_17057DE01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ELLISVILLE Voting District17_17057EL01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FAIRVIEW Voting District17_17057FV01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FARMERS Voting District17_17057FE01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FARMINGTON 1 Voting District17_17057FA01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FARMINGTON 2 Voting District17_17057FA02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FARMINGTON 3 Voting District17_17057FA03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FARMINGTON 4 Voting District17_17057FA04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FARMINGTON 5 Voting District17_17057FA05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FARMINGTON 6 Voting District17_17057FA06 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARRIS Voting District17_17057HA01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ISABEL Voting District17_17057IS01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JOSHUA Voting District17_17057JH01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KERTON Voting District17_17057KR01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LEE Voting District17_17057LE01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LEWISTOWN 1 Voting District17_17057LS01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LEWISTOWN 2 Voting District17_17057LS02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LEWISTOWN 3 Voting District17_17057LS03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LEWISTOWN 4 Voting District17_17057LS04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LEWISTOWN 5 Voting District17_17057LS05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LEWISTOWN 6 Voting District17_17057LS06 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LIVERPOOL Voting District17_17057LV01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ORION Voting District17_17057OR01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PLEASANT Voting District17_17057PL01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PUTMAN 1 Voting District17_17057PT01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PUTMAN 2 Voting District17_17057PT02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION Voting District17_17057UN01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VERMONT 1 Voting District17_17057VT01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VERMONT 2 Voting District17_17057VT02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VERMONT 3 Voting District17_17057VT03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WATERFORD Voting District17_17057WT01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WOODLAND Voting District17_17057WD01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| YOUNG HICKORY Voting District17_17057YH01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +2.8% |
| 1896 | −1.8% |
| 1900 | −3.0% |
| 1904 | −23.0% |
| 1908 | −9.7% |
| 1912 | +14.7% |
| 1916 | −5.2% |
| 1920 | −26.3% |
| 1924 | −20.4% |
| 1928 | −22.7% |
| 1932 | +22.1% |
| 1936 | +11.7% |
| 1940 | −2.4% |
| 1944 | −10.7% |
| 1948 | −7.1% |
| 1952 | −22.5% |
| 1956 | −17.4% |
| 1960 | −8.1% |
| 1964 | +25.2% |
| 1968 | +0.2% |
| 1972 | −24.1% |
| 1976 | −1.4% |
| 1980 | −15.0% |
| 1984 | −0.1% |
| 1988 | +12.7% |
| 1992 | +26.3% |
| 1996 | +23.6% |
| 2000 | +12.3% |
| 2004 | +7.4% |
| 2008 | +21.3% |
| 2012 | +11.0% |
| 2016 | −14.9% |
| 2020 | −20.1% |
| 2024 | −23.8% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 25,830 |
| 2018 | 25,576 |
| 2020 | 42,320 |
| 2022 | 24,126 |
| 2024 | 24,741 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+309 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,312 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $46,531 in average income, against $67,119 for residents who stayed — 31% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+13.2 on average — 11 points more Democratic-leaning than Fulton County, IL itself (R+23.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Peoria County, IL95D+4.6
- Tazewell County, IL54R+26.6
- McDonough County, IL41R+18.8
- Knox County, IL36R+9.4
- Mason County, IL30R+42.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Peoria County, IL112
- McDonough County, IL85
- Tazewell County, IL69
- Knox County, IL31
- Schuyler County, IL23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −73 |
| 2012 | −213 |
| 2013 | −191 |
| 2014 | −195 |
| 2015 | −188 |
| 2016 | −101 |
| 2017 | −294 |
| 2018 | −142 |
| 2019 | −353 |
| 2021 | +29 |
| 2022 | +59 |
| 2023 | −104 |
| 2024 | +145 |
| 2025 | +309 |
Fulton County sits along the Illinois River in the west-central part of the state and has moved steadily toward Republican presidential margins over the past decade, reflecting a broader rural realignment across the region.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.3 points in 1992 and a Republican high of 26.3 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 23.8 points.
A population of 33,020, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,599 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Shiawassee County and Macoupin County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Fulton County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17057/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.