- Lead
- 1,362
- Total
- 2,530
- vs nation
- R+52.4
- Turnout
- 67.2%
Gallatin County, IL
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 67.2% of 3,826 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,397
- Total
- 2,675
- vs nation
- R+56.7
- Turnout
- 69.9%
- Lead
- 1,285
- Total
- 2,707
- vs nation
- R+49.6
- Turnout
- 64.9%
- Lead
- 463
- Total
- 2,573
- vs nation
- R+21.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 375
- Total
- 2,859
- vs nation
- D+5.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 46
- Total
- 3,225
- vs nation
- D+1.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 287
- Total
- 3,558
- vs nation
- D+7.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,257
- Total
- 3,513
- vs nation
- D+27.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+53.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,8192024 5-year
- Median household income
- $59,2192024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 95.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+45.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Montgomery County, IL · twin score 84.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 67.2%2,570 participants ÷ 3,826 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- -4.4 ptsHigh-turnout, durable
- Drop-off versus state
- -26.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 64.1%–71.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 2,707 | 4,173 | 64.9% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 2,220 | 4,088 | 54.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 2,748 | 3,931 | 69.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,976 | 4,004 | 74.3% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 2,570 | 3,826 | 67.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
24 precincts · 2,570 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -RIDGWAYRIDGWAY | 115 | 346 | 13 | 474 | 24.3% | 73.0% | R+48.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -EQUALITYEQUALITY | 82 | 335 | 11 | 428 | 19.2% | 78.3% | R+59.1 |
| Precinct -GOLD HILL 1GOLD HILL 1 | 62 | 317 | 17 | 396 | 15.7% | 80.1% | R+64.4 |
| Precinct -GOLD HILL 2GOLD HILL 2 | 89 | 220 | 7 | 316 | 28.2% | 69.6% | R+41.5 |
| Precinct -OMAHAOMAHA | 43 | 181 | 8 | 232 | 18.5% | 78.0% | R+59.5 |
| Precinct -NORTH FORKNORTH FORK | 51 | 139 | 11 | 201 | 25.4% | 69.2% | R+43.8 |
| Precinct -NEW HAVENNEW HAVEN | 64 | 115 | 10 | 189 | 33.9% | 60.8% | R+27.0 |
| Precinct -EAGLE CREEKEAGLE CREEK | 16 | 81 | 2 | 99 | 16.2% | 81.8% | R+65.7 |
| Precinct -SHAWNEESHAWNEE | 19 | 71 | 2 | 92 | 20.7% | 77.2% | R+56.5 |
| Precinct -BOWLESVILLEBOWLESVILLE | 10 | 68 | 3 | 81 | 12.3% | 84.0% | R+71.6 |
| Precinct -ASBURYASBURY | 10 | 50 | 2 | 62 | 16.1% | 80.6% | R+64.5 |
| ASBURY Voting District17_1705900501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BOWLESVILLE Voting District17_1705900801 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EAGLE CREEK Voting District17_1705900401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EQUALITY Voting District17_1705900301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GOLD HILL 1 Voting District17_1705900701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GOLD HILL 2 Voting District17_1705900702 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GOLD HILL 3 Voting District17_1705900703 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEW HAVEN Voting District17_1705900901 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NORTH FORK Voting District17_1705900201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OMAHA Voting District17_1705900101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RIDGWAY 1 Voting District17_1705900601 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RIDGWAY 2 Voting District17_1705900602 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHAWNEE Voting District17_1705901001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +14.7% |
| 1896 | +16.7% |
| 1900 | +16.4% |
| 1904 | +4.4% |
| 1908 | +12.8% |
| 1912 | +20.8% |
| 1916 | +18.4% |
| 1920 | −4.2% |
| 1924 | +13.0% |
| 1928 | +7.8% |
| 1932 | +45.5% |
| 1936 | +29.4% |
| 1940 | +11.9% |
| 1944 | +2.4% |
| 1948 | +14.2% |
| 1952 | −3.3% |
| 1956 | +1.2% |
| 1960 | +4.5% |
| 1964 | +34.2% |
| 1968 | +4.2% |
| 1972 | −7.6% |
| 1976 | +27.0% |
| 1980 | −0.6% |
| 1984 | +5.5% |
| 1988 | +21.5% |
| 1992 | +35.0% |
| 1996 | +35.8% |
| 2000 | +8.1% |
| 2004 | −1.4% |
| 2008 | +13.1% |
| 2012 | −18.0% |
| 2016 | −47.5% |
| 2020 | −52.2% |
| 2024 | −53.8% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 3,953 |
| 2018 | 3,822 |
| 2020 | 3,889 |
| 2022 | 3,573 |
| 2024 | 3,536 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−12 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −580 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $42,774 in average income, against $74,026 for residents who stayed — 42% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+49.0 on average — 4.8 points more Democratic-leaning than Gallatin County, IL itself (R+53.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Saline County, IL23R+49.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Saline County, IL22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −54 |
| 2012 | −80 |
| 2013 | +20 |
| 2014 | −80 |
| 2015 | −37 |
| 2016 | −55 |
| 2017 | −62 |
| 2018 | +22 |
| 2019 | −178 |
| 2021 | +4 |
| 2022 | −14 |
| 2023 | −87 |
| 2024 | +33 |
| 2025 | −12 |
Gallatin County, tucked into southeastern Illinois along the Wabash River, delivered an R+53.8 margin in 2024—among the widest in a state where statewide results run sharply the other direction. Its population of roughly 6,400 has declined steadily as coal and agriculture shed jobs.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 45.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 53.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 53.8 points.
A population of 4,819, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,219 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Montgomery County and Greene County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Gallatin County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17059/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.