HarrisDemocratic39.8%904TrumpRepublican59.0%1,341KennedyIndependent1.1%26
R+19.2- Lead
- 437
- Total
- 2,271
- vs nation
- R+17.8
- Turnout
- 60.0%
Akashiccounty
Alexander County, IL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.0% of 3,818 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic42.5%1,114TrumpRepublican56.7%1,486JorgensenLibertarian0.3%7
R+14.2- Lead
- 372
- Total
- 2,621
- vs nation
- R+18.6
- Turnout
- 56.7%
ClintonDemocratic44.8%1,262TrumpRepublican53.0%1,496JohnsonLibertarian1.7%48
R+8.3- Lead
- 234
- Total
- 2,820
- vs nation
- R+10.4
- Turnout
- 53.1%
ObamaDemocratic56.1%1,965RomneyRepublican42.5%1,487JOHNSONLibertarian0.8%29
D+13.7- Lead
- 478
- Total
- 3,501
- vs nation
- D+9.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic55.6%2,189McCainRepublican43.0%1,692OtherAll other candidates1.4%56
D+12.6- Lead
- 497
- Total
- 3,937
- vs nation
- D+5.4
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic52.1%2,016BushRepublican47.3%1,831OtherAll other candidates0.7%26
D+4.8- Lead
- 185
- Total
- 3,873
- vs nation
- D+7.2
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic58.6%2,357BushRepublican39.5%1,588NaderGreen0.7%28
D+19.1- Lead
- 769
- Total
- 4,022
- vs nation
- D+18.6
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic64.0%2,753DoleRepublican28.2%1,212PerotReform7.5%321
D+35.8- Lead
- 1,541
- Total
- 4,304
- vs nation
- D+27.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+19.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,8752024 5-year
- Median household income
- $47,0432024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 62.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 32.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+35.8 in 1996MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+29.9 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Twiggs County, GA · twin score 91.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 60.0%2,291 participants ÷ 3,818 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.6 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -7.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 45.4%–49.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 2,837 | 5,340 | 53.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 2,257 | 4,927 | 45.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 2,636 | 4,650 | 56.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 1,727 | 4,104 | 42.1% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 2,291 | 3,818 | 60.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
22 precincts · 2,291 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -TAMMSTAMMS | 124 | 333 | 9 | 466 | 26.6% | 71.5% | R+44.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -OLIVE BRANCHOLIVE BRANCH | 61 | 297 | 4 | 362 | 16.9% | 82.0% | R+65.2 |
| Precinct -THEBESTHEBES | 45 | 261 | 0 | 306 | 14.7% | 85.3% | R+70.6 |
| Precinct -MCCLUREMCCLURE | 71 | 207 | 5 | 283 | 25.1% | 73.1% | R+48.1 |
| Precinct -CAIRO 4CAIRO 4 | 149 | 88 | 10 | 247 | 60.3% | 35.6% | D+24.7 |
| Precinct -SANDUSKYSANDUSKY | 85 | 50 | 7 | 142 | 59.9% | 35.2% | D+24.6 |
| Precinct -CAIRO 1CAIRO 1 | 104 | 22 | 2 | 128 | 81.3% | 17.2% | D+64.1 |
| Precinct -CAIRO 2CAIRO 2 | 86 | 11 | 2 | 99 | 86.9% | 11.1% | D+75.8 |
| Precinct -CAIRO 5CAIRO 5 | 69 | 26 | 4 | 99 | 69.7% | 26.3% | D+43.4 |
| Precinct -CACHECACHE | 50 | 38 | 3 | 91 | 54.9% | 41.8% | D+13.2 |
| Precinct -CAIRO 3CAIRO 3 | 60 | 8 | 0 | 68 | 88.2% | 11.8% | D+76.5 |
| CACHE Voting District17_1700300201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CAIRO 1 Voting District17_1700300101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CAIRO 2 Voting District17_1700300102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CAIRO 3 Voting District17_1700300103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CAIRO 4 Voting District17_1700300104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CAIRO 5 Voting District17_1700300105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MC CLURE Voting District17_1700300601 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OLIVE BRANCH Voting District17_1700300901 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SANDUSKY Voting District17_1700300301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TAMMS Voting District17_1700300401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| THEBES Voting District17_1700300801 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −10.0% |
| 1896 | −21.3% |
| 1900 | −22.4% |
| 1904 | −29.9% |
| 1908 | −29.7% |
| 1912 | −1.4% |
| 1916 | −15.3% |
| 1920 | −24.8% |
| 1924 | −23.8% |
| 1928 | −22.8% |
| 1932 | +8.8% |
| 1936 | +11.2% |
| 1940 | +2.5% |
| 1944 | −0.3% |
| 1948 | +0.9% |
| 1952 | −9.6% |
| 1956 | −3.0% |
| 1960 | +3.9% |
| 1964 | +24.4% |
| 1968 | +5.6% |
| 1972 | −19.1% |
| 1976 | +15.9% |
| 1980 | +4.8% |
| 1984 | +5.5% |
| 1988 | +15.8% |
| 1992 | +29.0% |
| 1996 | +35.8% |
| 2000 | +19.1% |
| 2004 | +4.8% |
| 2008 | +12.6% |
| 2012 | +13.7% |
| 2016 | −8.3% |
| 2020 | −14.2% |
| 2024 | −19.2% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 3 Senate special · 13 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 7,578 |
| 2018 | 5,354 |
| 2020 | 6,701 |
| 2022 | 4,799 |
| 2024 | 4,898 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+2 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −2,779 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $31,205 in average income, against $53,556 for residents who stayed — 42% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Cape Girardeau County, MO38
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −209 |
| 2012 | −305 |
| 2013 | −500 |
| 2014 | −154 |
| 2015 | −321 |
| 2016 | −284 |
| 2017 | −166 |
| 2018 | −225 |
| 2019 | −263 |
| 2021 | −77 |
| 2022 | −120 |
| 2023 | −81 |
| 2024 | −76 |
| 2025 | +2 |
Alexander County, anchored by Cairo at the confluence of the Ohio and Mississippi rivers, has undergone one of Illinois's most dramatic partisan realignments, moving from reliably Democratic to Republican-leaning as its population fell by nearly half since 2000.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 35.8 points in 1996 and a Republican high of 29.9 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.2 points.
A population of 4,875, a 63% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $47,043 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Twiggs County and Talbot County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twiggs County
Georgia
91.2twin score
2000–2012 trajectory% Black≠ German ancestry
Talbot County
Georgia
89.7twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ 2020 margin
Issaquena County
Mississippi
89.3twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ % Black
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Alexander County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17003/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Alexander County, Illinois vote in 2024?
In 2024, Alexander County, Illinois voted Republican by 19.2 points (R+19.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,271 votes cast, 904 went Democratic and 1,341 went Republican.
When did Alexander County, Illinois last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Alexander County, Illinois voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Alexander County, Illinois?
Alexander County, Illinois has a population of 4,875 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Alexander County, Illinois?
Median household income in Alexander County, Illinois is $47,043 — below the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of Alexander County, Illinois?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Alexander County, Illinois from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.