- Lead
- 3,884
- Total
- 15,999
- vs nation
- R+22.8
- Turnout
- 63.1%
Bureau County, IL
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 63.1% of 25,656 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,742
- Total
- 17,494
- vs nation
- R+25.8
- Turnout
- 69.8%
- Lead
- 3,252
- Total
- 16,571
- vs nation
- R+21.7
- Turnout
- 64.9%
- Lead
- 30
- Total
- 16,686
- vs nation
- R+4.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 978
- Total
- 17,113
- vs nation
- R+1.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,861
- Total
- 17,902
- vs nation
- R+7.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 772
- Total
- 16,823
- vs nation
- R+5.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,123
- Total
- 16,073
- vs nation
- R+1.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+24.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 32,8662024 5-year
- Median household income
- $69,2572024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+10.8 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.2 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Putnam County, IL · twin score 90.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 63.1%16,197 participants ÷ 25,656 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +19.6 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 43.5%–47.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 16,571 | 25,548 | 64.9% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 13,728 | 25,404 | 54.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 17,609 | 25,244 | 69.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 12,899 | 25,740 | 50.1% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 16,197 | 25,656 | 63.1% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
100 precincts · 15,624 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -PRINCETON 9PRINCETON 9 | 205 | 373 | 23 | 601 | 34.1% | 62.1% | R+28.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -PRINCETON 1PRINCETON 1 | 247 | 333 | 9 | 589 | 41.9% | 56.5% | R+14.6 |
| Precinct -HALL 06HALL 06 | 300 | 255 | 19 | 574 | 52.3% | 44.4% | D+7.8 |
| Precinct -HALL 03HALL 03 | 294 | 247 | 13 | 554 | 53.1% | 44.6% | D+8.5 |
| Precinct -PRINCETON 3PRINCETON 3 | 177 | 335 | 22 | 534 | 33.1% | 62.7% | R+29.6 |
| Precinct -PRINCETON 6PRINCETON 6 | 194 | 287 | 18 | 499 | 38.9% | 57.5% | R+18.6 |
| Precinct -PRINCETON 8PRINCETON 8 | 228 | 247 | 24 | 499 | 45.7% | 49.5% | R+3.8 |
| Precinct -PRINCETON 2PRINCETON 2 | 192 | 285 | 15 | 492 | 39.0% | 57.9% | R+18.9 |
| Precinct -CONCORD 1CONCORD 1 | 143 | 316 | 9 | 468 | 30.6% | 67.5% | R+37.0 |
| Precinct -HALL 08HALL 08 | 222 | 230 | 15 | 467 | 47.5% | 49.3% | R+1.7 |
| Precinct -WALNUT 1WALNUT 1 | 141 | 290 | 17 | 448 | 31.5% | 64.7% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -PRINCETON 4PRINCETON 4 | 164 | 267 | 13 | 444 | 36.9% | 60.1% | R+23.2 |
| Precinct -HALL 07HALL 07 | 183 | 229 | 13 | 425 | 43.1% | 53.9% | R+10.8 |
| Precinct -HALL 09HALL 09 | 177 | 213 | 23 | 413 | 42.9% | 51.6% | R+8.7 |
| Precinct -PRINCETON 7PRINCETON 7 | 159 | 235 | 17 | 411 | 38.7% | 57.2% | R+18.5 |
| Precinct -WALNUT 2WALNUT 2 | 116 | 279 | 15 | 410 | 28.3% | 68.0% | R+39.8 |
| Precinct -ARISPIEARISPIE | 125 | 268 | 8 | 401 | 31.2% | 66.8% | R+35.7 |
| Precinct -BERLINBERLIN | 108 | 257 | 8 | 373 | 29.0% | 68.9% | R+39.9 |
| Precinct -PRINCETON 5PRINCETON 5 | 121 | 217 | 16 | 354 | 34.2% | 61.3% | R+27.1 |
| Precinct -NEPONSETNEPONSET | 106 | 218 | 14 | 338 | 31.4% | 64.5% | R+33.1 |
| Precinct -INDIANTOWNINDIANTOWN | 85 | 241 | 10 | 336 | 25.3% | 71.7% | R+46.4 |
| Precinct -WYANET 1WYANET 1 | 78 | 247 | 10 | 335 | 23.3% | 73.7% | R+50.4 |
| Precinct -WESTFIELD 2WESTFIELD 2 | 126 | 200 | 7 | 333 | 37.8% | 60.1% | R+22.2 |
| Precinct -HALL 02HALL 02 | 153 | 145 | 7 | 305 | 50.2% | 47.5% | D+2.6 |
| Precinct -HALL 04HALL 04 | 130 | 168 | 7 | 305 | 42.6% | 55.1% | R+12.5 |
| Precinct -HALL 10HALL 10 | 143 | 146 | 10 | 299 | 47.8% | 48.8% | R+1.0 |
| Precinct -DOVERDOVER | 89 | 203 | 6 | 298 | 29.9% | 68.1% | R+38.3 |
| Precinct -MANLIUSMANLIUS | 89 | 203 | 4 | 296 | 30.1% | 68.6% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct -HALL 05HALL 05 | 110 | 173 | 11 | 294 | 37.4% | 58.8% | R+21.4 |
| Precinct -HALL 01HALL 01 | 139 | 145 | 8 | 292 | 47.6% | 49.7% | R+2.1 |
| Precinct -CONCORD 2CONCORD 2 | 75 | 206 | 8 | 289 | 26.0% | 71.3% | R+45.3 |
| Precinct -WYANET 2WYANET 2 | 67 | 209 | 13 | 289 | 23.2% | 72.3% | R+49.1 |
| Precinct -OHIO 1OHIO 1 | 73 | 197 | 8 | 278 | 26.3% | 70.9% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct -SELBY 2SELBY 2 | 117 | 141 | 6 | 264 | 44.3% | 53.4% | R+9.1 |
| Precinct -MINERALMINERAL | 77 | 173 | 6 | 256 | 30.1% | 67.6% | R+37.5 |
| Precinct -SELBY 3SELBY 3 | 153 | 86 | 12 | 251 | 61.0% | 34.3% | D+26.7 |
| Precinct -SELBY 1SELBY 1 | 65 | 129 | 9 | 203 | 32.0% | 63.5% | R+31.5 |
| Precinct -CLARIONCLARION | 44 | 139 | 8 | 191 | 23.0% | 72.8% | R+49.7 |
| Precinct -GREENVILLEGREENVILLE | 36 | 131 | 1 | 168 | 21.4% | 78.0% | R+56.5 |
| Precinct -WESTFIELD 1WESTFIELD 1 | 50 | 99 | 3 | 152 | 32.9% | 65.1% | R+32.2 |
| Precinct -BUREAUBUREAU | 35 | 108 | 6 | 149 | 23.5% | 72.5% | R+49.0 |
| Precinct -LEEPERTOWNLEEPERTOWN | 45 | 90 | 9 | 144 | 31.3% | 62.5% | R+31.3 |
| Precinct -MILOMILO | 35 | 79 | 3 | 117 | 29.9% | 67.5% | R+37.6 |
| Precinct -OHIO 2OHIO 2 | 25 | 87 | 5 | 117 | 21.4% | 74.4% | R+53.0 |
| Precinct -FAIRFIELDFAIRFIELD | 24 | 74 | 3 | 101 | 23.8% | 73.3% | R+49.5 |
| Precinct -GOLDGOLD | 24 | 69 | 3 | 96 | 25.0% | 71.9% | R+46.9 |
| Precinct -MACONMACON | 13 | 82 | 0 | 95 | 13.7% | 86.3% | R+72.6 |
| Precinct -WHEATLANDWHEATLAND | 17 | 57 | 3 | 77 | 22.1% | 74.0% | R+51.9 |
| ARISPIE Voting District17_1701120001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BERLIN Voting District17_1701108001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUREAU Voting District17_1701110001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLARION Voting District17_1701101001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONCORD NO 1 Voting District17_1701117001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONCORD NO 2 Voting District17_1701117002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DOVER Voting District17_1701109001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FAIRFIELD Voting District17_1701106001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GOLD Voting District17_1701112001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREENVILLE Voting District17_1701105001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HALL NO 1 Voting District17_1701113001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HALL NO 10 Voting District17_1701113010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HALL NO 2 Voting District17_1701113002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HALL NO 3 Voting District17_1701113003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HALL NO 4 Voting District17_1701113004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HALL NO 5 Voting District17_1701113005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HALL NO 6 Voting District17_1701113006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HALL NO 7 Voting District17_1701113007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HALL NO 8 Voting District17_1701113008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HALL NO 9 Voting District17_1701113009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| INDIANTOWN Voting District17_1701121001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAMOILLE NO 1 Voting District17_1701102001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAMOILLE NO 2 Voting District17_1701102002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LEEPERTOWN Voting District17_1701119001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MACON Voting District17_1701122001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MANLIUS Voting District17_1701111001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILO Voting District17_1701125001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MINERAL Voting District17_1701118001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEPONSET Voting District17_1701123001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO NO 1 Voting District17_1701103001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO NO 2 Voting District17_1701103002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -LAMOILLE 1LAMOILLE 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -LAMOILLE 2LAMOILLE 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRINCETON NO 1 Voting District17_1701115001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRINCETON NO 2 Voting District17_1701115002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRINCETON NO 3 Voting District17_1701115003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRINCETON NO 4 Voting District17_1701115004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRINCETON NO 5 Voting District17_1701115005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRINCETON NO 6 Voting District17_1701115006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRINCETON NO 7 Voting District17_1701115007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRINCETON NO 8 Voting District17_1701115008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRINCETON NO 9 Voting District17_1701115009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SELBY NO 1 Voting District17_1701114001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SELBY NO 2 Voting District17_1701114002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SELBY NO 3 Voting District17_1701114003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WALNUT NO 1 Voting District17_1701104001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WALNUT NO 2 Voting District17_1701104002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WESTFIELD NO 1 Voting District17_1701107001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WESTFIELD NO 2 Voting District17_1701107002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WHEATLAND Voting District17_1701124001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WYANET NO 1 Voting District17_1701116001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WYANET NO 2 Voting District17_1701116002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −4.5% |
| 1896 | −15.6% |
| 1900 | −20.3% |
| 1904 | −42.4% |
| 1908 | −26.2% |
| 1912 | +10.8% |
| 1916 | −16.6% |
| 1920 | −57.2% |
| 1924 | −47.6% |
| 1928 | −28.0% |
| 1932 | +8.2% |
| 1936 | −4.7% |
| 1940 | −23.1% |
| 1944 | −25.6% |
| 1948 | −26.7% |
| 1952 | −39.6% |
| 1956 | −41.2% |
| 1960 | −23.6% |
| 1964 | −2.5% |
| 1968 | −26.3% |
| 1972 | −35.1% |
| 1976 | −17.6% |
| 1980 | −30.8% |
| 1984 | −25.7% |
| 1988 | −9.4% |
| 1992 | +4.0% |
| 1996 | +7.0% |
| 2000 | −4.6% |
| 2004 | −10.4% |
| 2008 | +5.7% |
| 2012 | −0.2% |
| 2016 | −19.6% |
| 2020 | −21.4% |
| 2024 | −24.3% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 25,642 |
| 2018 | 24,407 |
| 2020 | 24,163 |
| 2022 | 23,600 |
| 2024 | 24,318 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+101 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −2,210 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $48,656 in average income, against $73,169 for residents who stayed — 34% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+15.1 on average — 9.2 points more Democratic-leaning than Bureau County, IL itself (R+24.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- LaSalle County, IL205R+18.5
- Henry County, IL36R+24.4
- Putnam County, IL33R+22.8
- Whiteside County, IL32R+14.7
- Lee County, IL28R+22.2
- Cook County, IL26D+41.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- LaSalle County, IL179
- Henry County, IL41
- Putnam County, IL28
- Whiteside County, IL24
- Peoria County, IL23
- Cook County, IL20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −280 |
| 2012 | −256 |
| 2013 | −229 |
| 2014 | −216 |
| 2015 | −371 |
| 2016 | −60 |
| 2017 | −191 |
| 2018 | −145 |
| 2019 | −281 |
| 2021 | −91 |
| 2022 | 0 |
| 2023 | −9 |
| 2024 | −182 |
| 2025 | +101 |
Bureau County's economy blends grain farming with legacy manufacturing along the Illinois River corridor, and its electorate has shifted steadily rightward over the past four presidential cycles, reaching a 24-point Republican margin in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 10.8 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 57.2 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 24.3 points.
A population of 32,866, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,257 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Putnam County and Gogebic County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Bureau County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17011/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.