Illinois 38th State Senate District, Illinois: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+5%. Republican peak: R+59 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+5MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 192,3252024 5-year
- Median household income
- $97,9112024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 72.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 18.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+10 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59 in 1920MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 42,964 | 48,051 | 92,852 | ||
| R | 44,009 | 45,474 | 91,657 | ||
| R | 34,670 | 38,950 | 79,755 | ||
| R | 34,594 | 36,164 | 72,280 | ||
| D | 39,429 | 33,033 | 73,487 | ||
| R | 25,948 | 34,013 | 60,436 | ||
| R | 21,191 | 25,550 | 48,156 | ||
| D | 18,326 | 17,621 | 41,197 | ||
| D | 18,046 | 17,660 | 46,115 | ||
| R | 16,271 | 23,333 | 39,820 | ||
| R | 14,724 | 26,465 | 41,391 | ||
| R | 12,128 | 24,826 | 40,472 | ||
| R | 16,458 | 23,085 | 40,102 | ||
| R | 13,882 | 26,354 | 40,313 | ||
| R | 13,422 | 21,137 | 36,851 | ||
| D | 18,783 | 17,144 | 35,927 | ||
| R | 15,565 | 21,020 | 36,616 | ||
| R | 10,308 | 22,792 | 33,145 | ||
| R | 11,769 | 22,394 | 34,215 | ||
| R | 11,183 | 17,060 | 28,423 | ||
| R | 12,290 | 18,886 | 32,089 | ||
| R | 16,231 | 18,092 | 34,530 | ||
| D | 15,749 | 15,070 | 32,006 | ||
| D | 15,974 | 13,111 | 29,583 | ||
| R | 11,145 | 16,436 | 27,765 | ||
| R | 3,410 | 14,846 | 22,719 | ||
| R | 3,641 | 15,831 | 20,519 | ||
| R | 8,169 | 14,308 | 23,177 | ||
| O | 3,985 | 3,131 | 13,058 | ||
| R | 4,304 | 8,130 | 13,334 | ||
| R | 3,126 | 8,718 | 12,896 | ||
| R | 5,018 | 8,701 | 14,169 | ||
| R | 4,965 | 8,444 | 13,714 | ||
| R | 5,474 | 5,991 | 12,194 | ||
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Demographics
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+40.3, this Cook County-area district ranks among the state's most lopsided, where down-ballot races often mirror federal results and competitive primaries carry more weight than general elections.
The Democratic margin in Illinois 38th State Senate District has rarely exceeded ten points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-nine points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by five points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 72% non-Hispanic-white share, a 8% poverty rate, and a median household income of $97,911 — all within the broad national range.
Compare two places, side by side
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State Senate District 38, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/17038/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.