- Lead
- 461
- Total
- 133,295
- vs nation
- D+1.8
Pennsylvania 49th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 3,187
- Total
- 132,813
- vs nation
- R+2.1
- Lead
- 470
- Total
- 121,344
- vs nation
- R+2.5
- Lead
- 19,887
- Total
- 115,832
- vs nation
- D+13.3
- Lead
- 26,205
- Total
- 124,798
- vs nation
- D+13.7
- Lead
- 11,772
- Total
- 122,315
- vs nation
- D+12.1
- Lead
- 11,395
- Total
- 109,159
- vs nation
- D+9.9
- Lead
- 18,260
- Total
- 105,685
- vs nation
- D+8.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+0.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 261,6452024 5-year
- Population density
- 363 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 720 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $63,7772024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+40.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49.4 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 4, IN · twin score 85.9
presidential history
Party record book
Pennsylvania 49th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
70.1%
71,670 votes · D+40.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 59.6%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
63.2%
18,641 votes · R+42.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 62.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
74,442votes
59.6% of the vote · D+21.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 71,670 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
65,801votes
49.4% of the vote · D+0.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 63,886 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+18.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+40.7 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Walter Mondale, 1984 · +16.3 pts
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
+24.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+49.4 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · +15.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Pennsylvania 49th State Senate District sits in the Mid-Atlantic. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 40.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 49.4 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.3 points.
A population of 261,645, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,777 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 4 and State Senate District 11.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Pennsylvania 49th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/42049/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.