Akashic

county

Erie County, PA

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German22.4%21.6%12.5%

Irish13.2%14.8%9.4%

Italian10.6%10.6%4.8%

Polish10.1%5.4%2.2%

English8.5%8.3%9.5%

American3.9%4.4%5.3%

Swedish1.9%——

Scottish1.6%1.1%1.3%

African American†5.8%8.7%9.9%

African0.9%0.4%0.5%

Puerto Rican2.8%3.7%1.8%

Mexican0.8%1.4%11.3%

Cuban0.2%0.2%0.7%

Asian Indian0.6%1.2%1.4%

Filipino0.3%0.2%0.9%

Vietnamese0.3%0.3%0.6%

Nepalese0.3%——

Chinese0.2%0.9%1.3%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Erie County	Pennsylvania	United States
Median age	40.2	41.2	39.1
Age 18–24	10.0%	8.9%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	19.8%	19.5%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Erie County	Pennsylvania	United States
Median household income	$63,354	$77,971	$84,427
Poverty rate	15.0%	11.7%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	30.3%	35.2%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Erie County	Pennsylvania	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	6.9%	12.4%	22.3%
Spanish	2.0%	5.6%	13.6%
Russian, Polish, or other Slavic	1.2%	0.8%	0.7%
Other Indo-European	1.2%	1.7%	2.0%

Religious landscape

Measure	Erie County	Pennsylvania	United States
Catholic	18.5%	21.9%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	7.9%	9.3%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	61.2%	53.1%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	9.1%	10.3%	5.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 66.2% of 208,692 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic49.0%67,456TrumpRepublican50.0%68,866OliverLibertarian0.5%686

R+1.0

Lead: 1,410
Total: 137,595
vs nation: D+0.4
Turnout: 66.2%

BidenDemocratic49.8%68,286TrumpRepublican48.8%66,869JorgensenLibertarian1.4%1,928

D+1.0

Lead: 1,417
Total: 137,083
vs nation: R+3.4
Turnout: 66.3%

ClintonDemocratic46.4%58,112TrumpRepublican48.0%60,069JohnsonLibertarian3.1%3,871

R+1.6

Lead: 1,957
Total: 125,129
vs nation: R+3.7
Turnout: 59.4%

ObamaDemocratic57.1%68,036RomneyRepublican41.2%49,025JohnsonLibertarian0.9%1,087

D+16.0

Lead: 19,011
Total: 119,114
vs nation: D+12.1
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic59.3%75,775McCainRepublican39.4%50,351OtherAll other candidates1.2%1,565

D+19.9

Lead: 25,424
Total: 127,691
vs nation: D+12.6
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic53.9%67,921BushRepublican45.6%57,372OtherAll other candidates0.5%605

D+8.4

Lead: 10,549
Total: 125,898
vs nation: D+10.8
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic52.9%59,399BushRepublican43.6%49,027NaderGreen2.7%2,980

D+9.2

Lead: 10,372
Total: 112,335
vs nation: D+8.7
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic52.9%57,508DoleRepublican36.7%39,884PerotReform9.5%10,386

D+16.2

Lead: 17,624
Total: 108,791
vs nation: D+7.7
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+1.0MIT Election Lab
Population: 269,0522024 5-year
Median household income: $63,3542024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 81.7%2024 5-year
Black: 7.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 4.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+39.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+50.3 in 1924MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Lorain County, OH · twin score 92.6

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 66.2%138,238 participants ÷ 208,692 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +15.5 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: -1.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 50.7%–53.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	126,181	212,468	59.4%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	102,489	210,234	48.7%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	138,605	209,151	66.3%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	106,455	209,782	50.7%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	138,238	208,692	66.2%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

304 precincts · 137,595 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Erie County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct 1440420491440	1,208	1,667	22	2,897	41.7%	57.5%	R+15.8
Precinct 1380420491380	1,027	1,334	17	2,378	43.2%	56.1%	R+12.9
Precinct 1390420491390	1,008	1,176	20	2,204	45.7%	53.4%	R+7.6
Precinct 1330420491330	742	1,260	23	2,025	36.6%	62.2%	R+25.6
Precinct 1305420491305	1,019	973	19	2,011	50.7%	48.4%	D+2.3
Precinct 0990420490990	957	980	10	1,947	49.2%	50.3%	R+1.2
Precinct 1125420491125	960	911	23	1,894	50.7%	48.1%	D+2.6
Precinct 1317420491317	829	1,039	16	1,884	44.0%	55.1%	R+11.1
Precinct 1300420491300	976	846	21	1,843	53.0%	45.9%	D+7.1
Precinct 1150420491150	830	933	13	1,776	46.7%	52.5%	R+5.8
Precinct 0910420490910	773	947	13	1,733	44.6%	54.6%	R+10.0
Precinct 1320420491320	607	1,063	15	1,685	36.0%	63.1%	R+27.1
Precinct 0840420490840	799	850	16	1,665	48.0%	51.1%	R+3.1
Precinct 1370420491370	567	1,064	15	1,646	34.4%	64.6%	R+30.2
Precinct 1316420491316	877	711	16	1,604	54.7%	44.3%	D+10.3
Precinct 0850420490850	689	893	14	1,596	43.2%	56.0%	R+12.8
Precinct 0950420490950	777	702	20	1,499	51.8%	46.8%	D+5.0
Precinct 0930420490930	521	963	11	1,495	34.8%	64.4%	R+29.6
Precinct 1110420491110	801	679	14	1,494	53.6%	45.4%	D+8.2
Precinct 1072420491072	583	895	12	1,490	39.1%	60.1%	R+20.9
Precinct 1010420491010	653	825	10	1,488	43.9%	55.4%	R+11.6
Precinct 1100420491100	725	744	12	1,481	49.0%	50.2%	R+1.3
Precinct 0830420490830	716	752	10	1,478	48.4%	50.9%	R+2.4
Precinct 1020420491020	616	844	17	1,477	41.7%	57.1%	R+15.4
Precinct 0920420490920	582	875	7	1,464	39.8%	59.8%	R+20.0
Precinct 0630420490630	768	666	15	1,449	53.0%	46.0%	D+7.0
Precinct 1170420491170	756	679	7	1,442	52.4%	47.1%	D+5.3
Precinct 1210420491210	732	682	15	1,429	51.2%	47.7%	D+3.5
Precinct 1290420491290	760	637	15	1,412	53.8%	45.1%	D+8.7
Precinct 1260420491260	688	697	14	1,399	49.2%	49.8%	R+0.6
Precinct 0800420490800	770	609	9	1,388	55.5%	43.9%	D+11.6
Precinct 1280420491280	708	641	14	1,363	51.9%	47.0%	D+4.9
Precinct 0960420490960	712	628	9	1,349	52.8%	46.6%	D+6.2
Precinct 0610420490610	768	543	17	1,328	57.8%	40.9%	D+16.9
Precinct 0590420490590	734	577	15	1,326	55.4%	43.5%	D+11.8
Precinct 1430420491430	366	943	15	1,324	27.6%	71.2%	R+43.6
Precinct 1068420491068	501	814	7	1,322	37.9%	61.6%	R+23.7
Precinct 0110420490110	763	515	14	1,292	59.1%	39.9%	D+19.2
Precinct 0865420490865	655	607	13	1,275	51.4%	47.6%	D+3.8
Precinct 1250420491250	647	618	9	1,274	50.8%	48.5%	D+2.3
Precinct 0141420490141	339	847	15	1,201	28.2%	70.5%	R+42.3
Precinct 0620420490620	699	460	19	1,178	59.3%	39.0%	D+20.3
Precinct 0980420490980	590	578	10	1,178	50.1%	49.1%	D+1.0
Precinct 1450420491450	310	823	12	1,145	27.1%	71.9%	R+44.8
Precinct 0770420490770	680	442	10	1,132	60.1%	39.0%	D+21.0
Precinct 0440420490440	713	396	9	1,118	63.8%	35.4%	D+28.4
Precinct 1130420491130	587	511	16	1,114	52.7%	45.9%	D+6.8
Precinct 1340420491340	446	646	10	1,102	40.5%	58.6%	R+18.1
Precinct 0970420490970	470	622	9	1,101	42.7%	56.5%	R+13.8
Precinct 0940420490940	299	763	11	1,073	27.9%	71.1%	R+43.2
Precinct 1000420491000	478	575	14	1,067	44.8%	53.9%	R+9.1
Precinct 1160420491160	562	491	9	1,062	52.9%	46.2%	D+6.7
Precinct 1460420491460	344	698	6	1,048	32.8%	66.6%	R+33.8
Precinct 0902420490902	396	639	4	1,039	38.1%	61.5%	R+23.4
Precinct 0130420490130	336	680	13	1,029	32.7%	66.1%	R+33.4
Precinct 1325420491325	522	492	6	1,020	51.2%	48.2%	D+2.9
Precinct 0430420490430	598	395	11	1,004	59.6%	39.3%	D+20.2
Precinct 1060420491060	269	725	7	1,001	26.9%	72.4%	R+45.6
Precinct 1190420491190	511	469	16	996	51.3%	47.1%	D+4.2
Precinct 1240420491240	480	498	10	988	48.6%	50.4%	R+1.8
Precinct 0040420490040	297	678	7	982	30.2%	69.0%	R+38.8
Precinct 0880420490880	335	628	11	974	34.4%	64.5%	R+30.1
Precinct 1350420491350	382	568	11	961	39.8%	59.1%	R+19.4
Precinct 0860420490860	431	511	5	947	45.5%	54.0%	R+8.4
Precinct 1400420491400	320	617	6	943	33.9%	65.4%	R+31.5
Precinct 0100420490100	527	400	9	936	56.3%	42.7%	D+13.6
Precinct 1492420491492	229	695	9	933	24.5%	74.5%	R+49.9
Precinct 1220420491220	494	417	6	917	53.9%	45.5%	D+8.4
Precinct 0075420490075	351	538	11	900	39.0%	59.8%	R+20.8
Precinct 1200420491200	471	391	7	869	54.2%	45.0%	D+9.2
Precinct 0820420490820	478	349	12	839	57.0%	41.6%	D+15.4
Precinct 0530420490530	548	255	4	807	67.9%	31.6%	D+36.3
Precinct 0790420490790	413	386	8	807	51.2%	47.8%	D+3.3
Precinct 0780420490780	432	360	11	803	53.8%	44.8%	D+9.0
Precinct 1180420491180	422	378	3	803	52.6%	47.1%	D+5.5
Precinct 1270420491270	433	352	11	796	54.4%	44.2%	D+10.2
Precinct 1040420491040	418	360	7	785	53.2%	45.9%	D+7.4
Precinct 0060420490060	274	485	5	764	35.9%	63.5%	R+27.6
Precinct 1520420491520	352	393	8	753	46.7%	52.2%	R+5.4
Precinct 1050420491050	369	375	8	752	49.1%	49.9%	R+0.8
Precinct 0010420490010	287	449	8	744	38.6%	60.3%	R+21.8
Precinct 0650420490650	480	247	5	732	65.6%	33.7%	D+31.8
Precinct 1470420491470	277	444	7	728	38.0%	61.0%	R+22.9
Precinct 0210420490210	406	313	6	725	56.0%	43.2%	D+12.8
Precinct 0420420490420	446	276	3	725	61.5%	38.1%	D+23.4
Precinct 0640420490640	423	301	1	725	58.3%	41.5%	D+16.8
Precinct 1510420491510	336	372	6	714	47.1%	52.1%	R+5.0
Precinct 1140420491140	405	294	4	703	57.6%	41.8%	D+15.8
Precinct 0030420490030	144	544	6	694	20.7%	78.4%	R+57.6
Precinct 0810420490810	377	310	5	692	54.5%	44.8%	D+9.7
Precinct 0890420490890	286	399	5	690	41.4%	57.8%	R+16.4
Precinct 0560420490560	449	234	4	687	65.4%	34.1%	D+31.3
Precinct 0710420490710	395	280	6	681	58.0%	41.1%	D+16.9
Precinct 0520420490520	483	189	8	680	71.0%	27.8%	D+43.2
Precinct 1230420491230	324	339	9	672	48.2%	50.4%	R+2.2
Precinct 0580420490580	384	282	5	671	57.2%	42.0%	D+15.2
Precinct 0550420490550	402	257	4	663	60.6%	38.8%	D+21.9
Precinct 1410420491410	198	458	5	661	30.0%	69.3%	R+39.3
Precinct 0540420490540	394	249	9	652	60.4%	38.2%	D+22.2
Precinct 0181420490181	415	208	8	631	65.8%	33.0%	D+32.8
Precinct 0700420490700	375	243	4	622	60.3%	39.1%	D+21.2
Precinct 0750420490750	372	239	5	616	60.4%	38.8%	D+21.6
Precinct 0460420490460	409	191	6	606	67.5%	31.5%	D+36.0
Precinct 0050420490050	183	413	6	602	30.4%	68.6%	R+38.2
Precinct 0020420490020	158	437	4	599	26.4%	73.0%	R+46.6
Precinct 1420420491420	166	411	11	588	28.2%	69.9%	R+41.7
Precinct 1030420491030	323	256	8	587	55.0%	43.6%	D+11.4
Precinct 0760420490760	310	272	3	585	53.0%	46.5%	D+6.5
Precinct 0510420490510	385	196	3	584	65.9%	33.6%	D+32.4
Precinct 0690420490690	384	191	6	581	66.1%	32.9%	D+33.2
Precinct 0671420490671	377	193	8	578	65.2%	33.4%	D+31.8
Precinct 0340420490340	336	221	3	560	60.0%	39.5%	D+20.5
Precinct 0400420490400	410	131	2	543	75.5%	24.1%	D+51.4
Precinct 0600420490600	305	226	5	536	56.9%	42.2%	D+14.7
Precinct 0200420490200	326	201	7	534	61.0%	37.6%	D+23.4
Precinct 0225420490225	335	166	5	506	66.2%	32.8%	D+33.4
Precinct 0320420490320	322	164	13	499	64.5%	32.9%	D+31.7
Precinct 0740420490740	306	182	8	496	61.7%	36.7%	D+25.0
Precinct 0245420490245	336	138	9	483	69.6%	28.6%	D+41.0
Precinct 0898420490898	334	145	4	483	69.2%	30.0%	D+39.1
Precinct 0330420490330	343	130	8	481	71.3%	27.0%	D+44.3
Precinct 0570420490570	266	198	8	472	56.4%	41.9%	D+14.4
Precinct 0270420490270	346	114	7	467	74.1%	24.4%	D+49.7
Precinct 0720420490720	287	158	7	452	63.5%	35.0%	D+28.5
Precinct 0490420490490	331	107	2	440	75.2%	24.3%	D+50.9
Precinct 0730420490730	241	169	1	411	58.6%	41.1%	D+17.5
Precinct 0161420490161	306	101	3	410	74.6%	24.6%	D+50.0
Precinct 0370420490370	311	91	2	404	77.0%	22.5%	D+54.5
Precinct 0310420490310	276	116	10	402	68.7%	28.9%	D+39.8
Precinct 0300420490300	213	115	6	334	63.8%	34.4%	D+29.3
Precinct 0500420490500	262	66	0	328	79.9%	20.1%	D+59.8
Precinct 0480420490480	239	78	4	321	74.5%	24.3%	D+50.2
Precinct 0360420490360	192	122	3	317	60.6%	38.5%	D+22.1
Precinct 0260420490260	208	98	3	309	67.3%	31.7%	D+35.6
Precinct 0390420490390	229	78	0	307	74.6%	25.4%	D+49.2
Precinct 0470420490470	211	90	2	303	69.6%	29.7%	D+39.9
Precinct 0450420490450	249	44	1	294	84.7%	15.0%	D+69.7
Precinct 0410420490410	175	115	3	293	59.7%	39.2%	D+20.5
Precinct 0380420490380	212	79	0	291	72.9%	27.1%	D+45.7
Precinct 0090420490090	102	183	0	285	35.8%	64.2%	R+28.4
Precinct 1080420491080	107	173	1	281	38.1%	61.6%	R+23.5
Precinct 0280420490280	197	60	0	257	76.7%	23.3%	D+53.3
Precinct 0660420490660	152	75	6	233	65.2%	32.2%	D+33.0
Precinct 1360420491360	72	150	3	225	32.0%	66.7%	R+34.7
Precinct 1090420491090	80	134	0	214	37.4%	62.6%	R+25.2
Precinct 0350420490350	142	60	6	208	68.3%	28.8%	D+39.4
Precinct 1480420491480	50	116	2	168	29.8%	69.0%	R+39.3
Precinct 0250420490250	94	37	1	132	71.2%	28.0%	D+43.2
Precinct 0120420490120	25	80	0	105	23.8%	76.2%	R+52.4
ALBION Voting District42_4204910	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
AMITY TWP Voting District42_4204920	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
CONCORD TWP Voting District42_4204930	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
CONNEAUT TWP Voting District42_4204940	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
CORRY WD 0142_4204950	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
CORRY WD 0242_4204960	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
CORRY WD 0342_4204970	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
CORRY WD 0442_4204980	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
CRANESVILLE Voting District42_4204990	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
EDINBORO DIST 0142_42049100	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
EDINBORO DIST 0242_42049110	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ELGIN Voting District42_42049120	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ELK CREEK TWP Voting District42_42049130	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 01 DIST 0142_42049140	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 01 DIST 0242_42049150	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 01 DIST 0342_42049160	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 01 DIST 0442_42049170	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 01 DIST 0542_42049180	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 01 DIST 0642_42049190	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 01 DIST 0742_42049200	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 01 DIST 0842_42049210	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 02 DIST 0142_42049220	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 02 DIST 0342_42049230	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 02 DIST 0442_42049240	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 02 DIST 0542_42049250	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 02 DIST 0642_42049260	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 02 DIST 0742_42049270	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 02 DIST 0842_42049280	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 02 DIST 0942_42049290	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 03 DIST 0142_42049300	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 03 DIST 0242_42049310	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 03 DIST 0342_42049320	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 03 DIST 0442_42049330	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 03 DIST 0542_42049340	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 03 DIST 0642_42049350	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 03 DIST 0742_42049360	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 04 DIST 0142_42049370	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 04 DIST 0242_42049380	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 04 DIST 0342_42049390	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 04 DIST 0442_42049400	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 04 DIST 0642_42049410	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 04 DIST 0742_42049420	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 04 DIST 0842_42049430	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 04 DIST 0942_42049440	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 05 DIST 0142_42049450	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 05 DIST 0242_42049460	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 05 DIST 0342_42049470	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 05 DIST 0442_42049480	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 05 DIST 0542_42049490	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 05 DIST 0642_42049500	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 05 DIST 0742_42049510	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 05 DIST 0842_42049520	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 05 DIST 0942_42049530	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 05 DIST 1042_42049540	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 05 DIST 1142_42049550	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 05 DIST 1242_42049560	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 05 DIST 1342_42049570	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 05 DIST 1442_42049580	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 05 DIST 1542_42049590	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 05 DIST 1642_42049600	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 05 DIST 1742_42049610	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 05 DIST 1842_42049620	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 05 DIST 1942_42049630	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 05 DIST 2042_42049640	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 05 DIST 2142_42049650	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 06 DIST 0142_42049660	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 06 DIST 0242_42049670	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 06 DIST 0342_42049680	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 06 DIST 0442_42049690	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 06 DIST 0542_42049700	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 06 DIST 0642_42049710	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 06 DIST 0742_42049720	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 06 DIST 0842_42049730	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 06 DIST 0942_42049740	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 06 DIST 1042_42049750	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 06 DIST 1142_42049760	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 06 DIST 1242_42049770	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 06 DIST 1342_42049780	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 06 DIST 1442_42049790	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 06 DIST 1542_42049800	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 06 DIST 1642_42049810	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ERIE WD 06 DIST 1742_42049820	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
FAIRVIEW TWP DIST 0142_42049830	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
FAIRVIEW TWP DIST 0242_42049840	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
FAIRVIEW TWP DIST 0342_42049850	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
FAIRVIEW TWP DIST 0442_42049860	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
FAIRVIEW TWP DIST 0542_42049865	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
FRANKLIN TWP Voting District42_42049880	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
GIRARD TWP DIST NORTH42_42049890	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
GIRARD TWP DIST SOUTH42_42049900	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
GIRARD Voting District42_42049910	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
GREENE TWP DIST 0142_42049920	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
GREENE TWP DIST 0242_42049930	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
GREENFIELD TWP Voting District42_42049940	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARBORCREEK TWP DIST 0142_42049950	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARBORCREEK TWP DIST 0242_42049960	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARBORCREEK TWP DIST 0342_42049970	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARBORCREEK TWP DIST 0442_42049980	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARBORCREEK TWP DIST 0542_42049990	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARBORCREEK TWP DIST 0642_420491000	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARBORCREEK TWP DIST 0742_420491010	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LAKE CITY Voting District42_420491020	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LAWRENCE PARK TWP DIST 0142_420491030	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LAWRENCE PARK TWP DIST 0242_420491040	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LAWRENCE PARK TWP DIST 0342_420491050	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LE BOEUF TWP Voting District42_420491060	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MC KEAN TWP Voting District42_420491070	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MC KEAN Voting District42_420491080	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MILL VILLAGE Voting District42_420491090	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MILLCREEK TWP DIST 0142_420491100	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MILLCREEK TWP DIST 0242_420491110	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MILLCREEK TWP DIST 0342_420491120	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MILLCREEK TWP DIST 0442_420491130	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MILLCREEK TWP DIST 0542_420491140	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MILLCREEK TWP DIST 0642_420491150	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MILLCREEK TWP DIST 0742_420491160	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MILLCREEK TWP DIST 0842_420491170	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MILLCREEK TWP DIST 0942_420491180	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MILLCREEK TWP DIST 1042_420491190	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MILLCREEK TWP DIST 1142_420491200	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MILLCREEK TWP DIST 1242_420491210	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MILLCREEK TWP DIST 1342_420491220	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MILLCREEK TWP DIST 1442_420491230	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MILLCREEK TWP DIST 1542_420491240	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MILLCREEK TWP DIST 1642_420491250	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MILLCREEK TWP DIST 1742_420491260	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MILLCREEK TWP DIST 1842_420491270	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MILLCREEK TWP DIST 1942_420491280	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MILLCREEK TWP DIST 2042_420491290	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MILLCREEK TWP DIST 2142_420491300	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MILLCREEK TWP DIST 2242_420491305	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MILLCREEK TWP DIST 2342_420491315	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MILLCREEK TWP DIST 2442_42049PR155	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
NORTH EAST TWP DIST 0142_420491320	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
NORTH EAST TWP DIST 0242_420491330	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
NORTH EAST WD 0142_420491340	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
NORTH EAST WD 0242_420491350	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PLATEA Voting District42_420491360	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SPRINGFIELD TWP Voting District42_420491370	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SUMMIT TWP DIST 0142_420491380	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SUMMIT TWP DIST 0242_420491390	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
UNION CITY WD 0142_420491410	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
UNION CITY WD 0242_420491420	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
UNION TWP Voting District42_420491400	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
VENANGO TWP Voting District42_420491430	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Voting Districts not defined42_42049ZZZZZZ	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WASHINGTON TWP Voting District42_420491440	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WATERFORD TWP DIST EAST42_420491450	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WATERFORD TWP DIST WEST42_420491460	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WATERFORD Voting District42_420491470	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WATTSBURG Voting District42_420491480	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WAYNE TWP DIST EAST42_420491495	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WAYNE TWP WD WEST42_420491505	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WESLEYVILLE DIST EAST42_420491510	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WESLEYVILLE DIST WEST42_420491520	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−7.4%
1896	−12.1%
1900	−22.4%
1904	−35.9%
1908	−24.0%
1912	+3.7%
1916	+3.4%
1920	−43.0%
1924	−50.3%
1928	−22.5%
1932	+3.0%
1936	+11.4%
1940	−7.1%
1944	−3.4%
1948	−8.9%
1952	−14.2%
1956	−23.3%
1960	+2.1%
1964	+39.6%
1968	+8.5%
1972	−18.5%
1976	+5.3%
1980	−2.9%
1984	−3.1%
1988	+5.4%
1992	+14.5%
1996	+16.2%
2000	+9.2%
2004	+8.4%
2008	+19.9%
2012	+16.0%
2016	−1.6%
2020	+1.0%
2024	−1.0%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	49.0%Harris67,456	50.0%Trump68,866	0.5%Oliver686 +1	R+1.0	R+2.1	D+0.4	137,595
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican50.0%68,866 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic49.0%67,456 Chase OliverLibertarian0.5%686 Jill SteinIndependent0.4%587
2020	D	49.8%Biden68,286	48.8%Trump66,869	1.4%Jorgensen1,928	D+1.0	D+2.6	R+3.4	137,083
2016	R	46.4%Clinton58,112	48.0%Trump60,069	3.1%Johnson3,871	R+1.6	R+17.5	R+3.7	125,129
2012	D	57.1%Obama68,036	41.2%Romney49,025	0.9%Johnson1,087	D+16.0	R+4.0	D+12.1	119,114
2008	D	59.3%Obama75,775	39.4%McCain50,351	1.2%	D+19.9	D+11.5	D+12.6	127,691
2004	D	53.9%Kerry67,921	45.6%Bush57,372	0.5%	D+8.4	R+0.9	D+10.8	125,898
2000	D	52.9%Gore59,399	43.6%Bush49,027	2.7%Nader2,980	D+9.2	R+7.0	D+8.7	112,335
1996	D	52.9%Clinton57,508	36.7%Dole39,884	9.5%Perot10,386	D+16.2	D+1.7	D+7.7	108,791
1992	D	47.9%Clinton56,381	33.3%Bush39,283	18.3%Perot21,510	D+14.5	D+9.1	D+9.0	117,804
1988	D	52.2%Dukakis53,913	46.8%Bush48,306	1.0%	D+5.4	D+8.5	D+13.2	103,300
1984	R	48.0%Mondale52,471	51.1%Reagan55,860	0.9%	R+3.1	R+0.2	D+15.1	109,266
1980	R	44.5%Carter45,946	47.4%Reagan48,918	8.0%	R+2.9	R+8.2	D+6.9	103,162
1976	D	51.6%Carter55,385	46.2%Ford49,641	2.2%	D+5.3	D+23.8	D+3.3	107,439
1972	R	39.8%McGovern42,022	58.2%Nixon61,542	2.0%	R+18.5	R+26.9	D+4.7	105,713
1968	D	51.7%Humphrey51,604	43.2%Nixon43,134	5.1%	D+8.5	R+31.1	D+9.2	99,847
1964	D	69.5%Johnson72,944	29.9%Goldwater31,393	0.5%	D+39.6	D+37.5	D+17.0	104,886
1960	D	50.9%Kennedy53,723	48.8%Nixon51,525	0.3%	D+2.1	D+25.4	D+1.9	105,543
1956	R	38.2%Stevenson33,802	61.5%Eisenhower54,430	0.4%	R+23.3	R+9.1	R+7.9	88,555
1952	R	42.7%Stevenson36,619	56.9%Eisenhower48,836	0.5%	R+14.2	R+5.3	R+3.5	85,846
1948	R	44.5%Truman28,159	53.5%Dewey33,806	2.0%	R+8.9	R+5.5	R+13.4	63,245
1944	R	48.0%Roosevelt32,912	51.4%Dewey35,247	0.6%	R+3.4	D+3.7	R+10.9	68,578
1940	R	46.2%Roosevelt31,735	53.3%Willkie36,608	0.5%	R+7.1	R+18.5	R+17.0	68,714
1936	D	50.6%Roosevelt33,042	39.2%Landon25,607	10.3%	D+11.4	D+8.4	R+12.9	65,355
1932	D	48.4%Roosevelt19,592	45.4%Hoover18,371	6.1%	D+3.0	D+25.5	R+14.8	40,442
1928	R	38.5%Smith19,278	61.0%Hoover30,542	0.6%	R+22.5	D+27.8	R+5.0	50,097
1924	R	11.0%Davis3,502	61.3%Coolidge19,480	26.0%La Follette8,267	R+50.3	R+7.2	R+25.1	31,784
1920	R	20.6%Cox6,311	63.7%Harding19,465	15.7%	R+43.0	R+46.5	R+16.8	30,569
1916	D	46.7%Wilson9,641	43.3%Hughes8,933	10.0%	D+3.4	R+0.2	D+0.3	20,630
1912	O	30.6%Wilson5,633	26.9%Taft4,958	42.5%	Roosevelt +11.9	D+27.6	R+15.9	18,408
1908	R	31.8%Bryan6,173	55.8%Taft10,828	12.5%	R+24.0	D+12.0	R+14.4	19,419
1904	R	26.9%Parker5,119	62.8%Roosevelt11,951	10.2%	R+35.9	R+13.5	R+16.3	19,018
1900	R	36.0%Bryan7,281	58.5%McKinley11,816	5.5%	R+22.4	R+10.4	R+14.9	20,207
1896	R	42.7%Bryan9,210	54.7%McKinley11,819	2.6%	R+12.1	R+4.7	R+6.0	21,592
1892	R	42.3%Cleveland7,589	49.8%Harrison8,918	7.9%	R+7.4	—	R+9.1	17,923
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	47.5%62,766	52.5%69,490	132,256
2020	D	51.1%68,424	48.9%65,582	134,006
2018	D	59.9%60,392	40.1%40,470	100,862

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	49.6%67,868	47.9%65,603	136,842
2022	D	53.3%56,404	44.0%46,507	105,734
2018Class I	D	58.4%Bob Casey Jr.58,906	40.0%Lou Barletta40,348	100,889
2016Class III	R	46.3%Katie McGinty56,846	49.7%Pat Toomey60,948	122,724
2012Class I	D	55.9%Bob Casey Jr.65,406	41.6%Tom Smith48,708	116,951
2010Class III	D	55.1%Joe Sestak46,851	44.9%Pat Toomey38,146	84,997
2006Class I	D	59.3%Bob Casey Jr.50,857	40.5%Rick Santorum34,757	85,733
2004Class III	R	36.5%Joseph Hoeffel42,627	59.9%Arlen Specter69,937	116,715
2000Class I	R	43.7%Rob Klink46,726	54.5%Rick Santorum58,302	107,011
1998Class III	R	35.5%Bill Lloyd25,616	59.8%Arlen Specter43,175	72,149
1994Class I	R	46.2%Harris Wofford42,178	51.5%Rick Santorum46,940	91,197
1992Class III	D	48.1%Lynn Yeakel54,095	45.8%Arlen Specter51,555	112,474
1988Class I	R	25.1%Joseph C. Vignola24,563	73.5%John Heinz72,054	98,048
1986Class III	R	41.5%Bob Edgar30,701	57.1%Arlen Specter42,267	74,039
1982Class I	R	41.8%Cyril H. Wecht36,028	56.0%John Heinz48,263	86,131
1980Class III	D	58.5%Peter Flaherty57,822	39.5%Arlen Specter39,037	98,843
1976Class I	R	46.0%William J. Green III47,851	52.7%John Heinz54,770	103,913
1974Class III	R	42.3%Peter Flaherty30,766	56.2%Richard Schweiker40,873	72,769
1970Class I	D	51.8%William G. Sesler40,809	46.5%Hugh Scott36,635	78,821
1968Class III	R	48.8%Joseph S. Clark47,498	50.4%Richard Schweiker49,070	97,402
1964Class I	D	50.1%Genevieve Blatt51,914	49.7%Hugh Scott51,477	103,670
1962Class III	D	53.8%Joseph S. Clark48,820	46.0%James E. Van Zandt41,750	90,772
1958Class I	R	46.2%George M. Leader35,700	53.4%Hugh Scott41,266	77,341
1956Class III	R	46.0%Joseph S. Clark40,201	53.7%James H. Duff46,899	87,356
1952Class I	R	43.4%Guy Kurtz Bard36,432	56.2%Edward Martin47,190	83,957
1950Class III	R	46.7%Francis Myers29,326	52.2%James H. Duff32,798	62,776
1946Class I	R	36.1%Joseph F. Guffey16,332	62.7%Edward Martin28,414	45,303
1944Class III	R	46.9%Francis Myers31,512	52.4%James J. Davis35,160	67,140
1940Class I	R	45.0%Joseph F. Guffey30,077	54.2%Jay Cooke36,240	66,808
1938Class III	R	42.4%George H. Earle27,019	56.3%James J. Davis35,864	63,730
1934Class I	D	57.5%Joseph F. Guffey24,084	40.3%David A. Reed16,858	41,881
1932Class III	D	46.2%Lawrence H. Rupp18,030	44.7%James J. Davis17,429	38,996
1928Class I	R	37.5%William N. McNair17,456	60.5%David A. Reed28,171	46,534
1926Class III	R	43.5%William B. Wilson6,969	50.3%William S. Vare8,045	16,003
1922Class I	R	19.7%Samuel E. Shull3,846	60.6%David A. Reed11,854	19,550
1920Class III	R	18.2%John A. Farrell5,010	56.5%Boies Penrose15,538	27,483
1916Class I	R	42.4%Ellis Orvis7,543	42.8%Philander Knox7,621	17,792
1914Class III	R	29.4%A. Mitchell Palmer4,791	39.1%Boies Penrose6,377	16,311

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1991Special · Class I	D	54.5%Harris Wofford44,251	45.5%Richard Thornburgh36,939	81,190
1930Special · Class III	R	44.6%Sedgwick Kistler13,544	52.2%James J. Davis15,849	30,382
1922Special · Class III	R	22.2%Fred B. Kerr4,344	61.8%George W. Pepper12,081	19,539

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	D	59.7%Joshua D Shapiro63,081	38.3%Douglas V Mastriano40,433	105,599
2018	D	59.8%Thomas W Wolf60,790	38.7%Scott R Wagner39,387	101,711
2014	D	58.1%Tom Wolf42,115	41.9%Tom Corbett30,389	72,504
2010	R	49.9%Dan Onorato42,581	50.1%Tom Corbett42,752	85,333
2006	D	58.1%Ed Rendell50,042	41.8%Lynn Swann36,059	86,179
2002	R	41.7%Ed Rendell32,774	54.9%Mike Fisher43,095	78,563
1998	R	21.8%Ivan Itkin16,783	63.7%Tom Ridge49,027	76,984
1994	R	22.1%Mark Singel21,422	67.3%Tom Ridge65,181	96,792
1990	D	71.9%Bob Casey52,265	28.1%Barbara Hafer20,424	72,689
1986	R	47.8%Bob Casey35,727	50.3%Bill Scranton III37,583	74,695
1982	R	46.8%Allen Ertel41,439	51.7%Dick Thornburgh45,830	88,580
1978	R	45.6%Pete Flaherty35,899	52.9%Dick Thornburgh41,670	78,753

voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Party registration · 2026D+3.2

Presidential vote · 2024R+1.0

Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 4.2 points more Democratic.

174,927 registered voters · 2026

Democratic43.7%Republican40.6%Unaffiliated11.9%Other3.8%

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

−390 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −22,455 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $54,865 in average income, against $73,068 for residents who stayed — 25% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+16.9 on average — 16 points more Republican-leaning than Erie County, PA itself (R+1.0).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Crawford County, PA337R+39.2
Allegheny County, PA228D+20.3
Chautauqua County, NY144R+21.9
Warren County, PA109R+39.2
Venango County, PA69R+42.1
Ashtabula County, OH59R+28.4

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Crawford County, PA340
Allegheny County, PA305
Chautauqua County, NY140
Warren County, PA100
Cuyahoga County, OH86
Ashtabula County, OH76

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Erie County, PA in Erie County, PA: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−417
2012	−1,015
2013	−1,625
2014	−2,202
2015	−1,954
2016	−3,110
2017	−3,407
2018	−2,755
2019	−2,397
2021	−823
2022	+9
2023	−1,256
2024	−1,113
2025	−390

Erie County tracked the national mood almost exactly in 2024, landing within a point of even after swinging from Obama to Trump to Biden and back. Its blend of post-industrial Rust Belt workers and mid-sized city voters makes it one of Pennsylvania's closest-watched counties.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 39.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 50.3 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.0 points.

A population of 269,052, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,354 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lorain County and Kenosha County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Lorain County

Ohio

92.6twin score

2000–2012 trajectory≠ Polish ancestry

Kenosha County

Wisconsin

91.6twin score

2004–2016 trajectory≠ median income

Macomb County

Michigan

89.2twin score

Polish ancestry2000–2012 trajectory≠ French ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Erie County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42049/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Frequently asked questions

How did Erie County, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?

In 2024, Erie County, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 1.0 points (R+1.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 137,595 votes cast, 67,456 went Democratic and 68,866 went Republican.

When did Erie County, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Erie County, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 2020.

How many people live in Erie County, Pennsylvania?

Erie County, Pennsylvania has a population of 269,052 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Erie County, Pennsylvania?

Median household income in Erie County, Pennsylvania is $63,354 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.

What is the political history of Erie County, Pennsylvania?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Erie County, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.

Measure

Erie County

Pennsylvania

United States

Median age

40.2

41.2

39.1

Age 18–24

10.0%

8.9%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

19.8%

19.5%

17.2%

Measure

Erie County

Pennsylvania

United States

Median household income

$63,354

$77,971

$84,427

Poverty rate

15.0%

11.7%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

30.3%

35.2%

35.6%

Measure

Erie County

Pennsylvania

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

6.9%

12.4%

22.3%

Spanish

2.0%

5.6%

13.6%

Russian, Polish, or other Slavic

1.2%

0.8%

0.7%

Other Indo-European

1.2%

1.7%

2.0%

Measure

Erie County

Pennsylvania

United States

Catholic

18.5%

21.9%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

7.9%

9.3%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

61.2%

53.1%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

9.1%

10.3%

5.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+1.0MIT Election Lab

Population

269,0522024 5-year

Median household income

$63,3542024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

81.7%2024 5-year

Black

7.0%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

4.8%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+39.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+50.3 in 1924MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Lorain County, OH · twin score 92.6

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

126,181

212,468

59.4%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

102,489

210,234

48.7%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

138,605

209,151

66.3%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

106,455

209,782

50.7%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

138,238

208,692

66.2%

A/A

Erie County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct 1440420491440

1,208

1,667

2,897

41.7%

57.5%

R+15.8

Precinct 1380420491380

1,027

1,334

2,378

43.2%

56.1%

R+12.9

Precinct 1390420491390

1,008

1,176

2,204

45.7%

53.4%

R+7.6

Precinct 1330420491330

742

1,260

2,025

36.6%

62.2%

R+25.6

Precinct 1305420491305

1,019

973

2,011

50.7%

48.4%

D+2.3

Precinct 0990420490990

957

980

1,947

49.2%

50.3%

R+1.2

Precinct 1125420491125

960

911

1,894

50.7%

48.1%

D+2.6

Precinct 1317420491317

829

1,039

1,884

44.0%

55.1%

R+11.1

Precinct 1300420491300

976

846

1,843

53.0%

45.9%

D+7.1

Precinct 1150420491150

830

933

1,776

46.7%

52.5%

R+5.8

Precinct 0910420490910

773

947

1,733

44.6%

54.6%

R+10.0

Precinct 1320420491320

607

1,063

1,685

36.0%

63.1%

R+27.1

Precinct 0840420490840

799

850

1,665

48.0%

51.1%

R+3.1

Precinct 1370420491370

567

1,064

1,646

34.4%

64.6%

R+30.2

Precinct 1316420491316

877

711

1,604

54.7%

44.3%

D+10.3

Precinct 0850420490850

689

893

1,596

43.2%

56.0%

R+12.8

Precinct 0950420490950

777

702

1,499

51.8%

46.8%

D+5.0

Precinct 0930420490930

521

963

1,495

34.8%

64.4%

R+29.6

Precinct 1110420491110

801

679

1,494

53.6%

45.4%

D+8.2

Precinct 1072420491072

583

895

1,490

39.1%

60.1%

R+20.9

Precinct 1010420491010

653

825

1,488

43.9%

55.4%

R+11.6

Precinct 1100420491100

725

744

1,481

49.0%

50.2%

R+1.3

Precinct 0830420490830

716

752

1,478

48.4%

50.9%

R+2.4

Precinct 1020420491020

616

844

1,477

41.7%

57.1%

R+15.4

Precinct 0920420490920

582

875

1,464

39.8%

59.8%

R+20.0

Precinct 0630420490630

768

666

1,449

53.0%

46.0%

D+7.0

Precinct 1170420491170

756

679

1,442

52.4%

47.1%

D+5.3

Precinct 1210420491210

732

682

1,429

51.2%

47.7%

D+3.5

Precinct 1290420491290

760

637

1,412

53.8%

45.1%

D+8.7

Precinct 1260420491260

688

697

1,399

49.2%

49.8%

R+0.6

Precinct 0800420490800

770

609

1,388

55.5%

43.9%

D+11.6

Precinct 1280420491280

708

641

1,363

51.9%

47.0%

D+4.9

Precinct 0960420490960

712

628

1,349

52.8%

46.6%

D+6.2

Precinct 0610420490610

768

543

1,328

57.8%

40.9%

D+16.9

Precinct 0590420490590

734

577

1,326

55.4%

43.5%

D+11.8

Precinct 1430420491430

366

943

1,324

27.6%

71.2%

R+43.6

Precinct 1068420491068

501

814

1,322

37.9%

61.6%

R+23.7

Precinct 0110420490110

763

515

1,292

59.1%

39.9%

D+19.2

Precinct 0865420490865

655

607

1,275

51.4%

47.6%

D+3.8

Precinct 1250420491250

647

618

1,274

50.8%

48.5%

D+2.3

Precinct 0141420490141

339

847

1,201

28.2%

70.5%

R+42.3

Precinct 0620420490620

699

460

1,178

59.3%

39.0%

D+20.3

Precinct 0980420490980

590

578

1,178

50.1%

49.1%

D+1.0

Precinct 1450420491450

310

823

1,145

27.1%

71.9%

R+44.8

Precinct 0770420490770

680

442

1,132

60.1%

39.0%

D+21.0

Precinct 0440420490440

713

396

1,118

63.8%

35.4%

D+28.4

Precinct 1130420491130

587

511

1,114

52.7%

45.9%

D+6.8

Precinct 1340420491340

446

646

1,102

40.5%

58.6%

R+18.1

Precinct 0970420490970

470

622

1,101

42.7%

56.5%

R+13.8

Precinct 0940420490940

299

763

1,073

27.9%

71.1%

R+43.2

Precinct 1000420491000

478

575

1,067

44.8%

53.9%

R+9.1

Precinct 1160420491160

562

491

1,062

52.9%

46.2%

D+6.7

Precinct 1460420491460

344

698

1,048

32.8%

66.6%

R+33.8

Precinct 0902420490902

396

639

1,039

38.1%

61.5%

R+23.4

Precinct 0130420490130

336

680

1,029

32.7%

66.1%

R+33.4

Precinct 1325420491325

522

492

1,020

51.2%

48.2%

D+2.9

Precinct 0430420490430

598

395

1,004

59.6%

39.3%

D+20.2

Precinct 1060420491060

269

725

1,001

26.9%

72.4%

R+45.6

Precinct 1190420491190

511

469

996

51.3%

47.1%

D+4.2

Precinct 1240420491240

480

498

988

48.6%

50.4%

R+1.8

Precinct 0040420490040

297

678

982

30.2%

69.0%

R+38.8

Precinct 0880420490880

335

628

974

34.4%

64.5%

R+30.1

Precinct 1350420491350

382

568

961

39.8%

59.1%

R+19.4

Precinct 0860420490860

431

511

947

45.5%

54.0%

R+8.4

Precinct 1400420491400

320

617

943

33.9%

65.4%

R+31.5

Precinct 0100420490100

527

400

936

56.3%

42.7%

D+13.6

Precinct 1492420491492

229

695

933

24.5%

74.5%

R+49.9

Precinct 1220420491220

494

417

917

53.9%

45.5%

D+8.4

Precinct 0075420490075

351

538

900

39.0%

59.8%

R+20.8

Precinct 1200420491200

471

391

869

54.2%

45.0%

D+9.2

Precinct 0820420490820

478

349

839

57.0%

41.6%

D+15.4

Precinct 0530420490530

548

255

807

67.9%

31.6%

D+36.3

Precinct 0790420490790

413

386

807

51.2%

47.8%

D+3.3

Precinct 0780420490780

432

360

803

53.8%

44.8%

D+9.0

Precinct 1180420491180

422

378

803

52.6%

47.1%

D+5.5

Precinct 1270420491270

433

352

796

54.4%

44.2%

D+10.2

Precinct 1040420491040

418

360

785

53.2%

45.9%

D+7.4

Precinct 0060420490060

274

485

764

35.9%

63.5%

R+27.6

Precinct 1520420491520

352

393

753

46.7%

52.2%

R+5.4

Precinct 1050420491050

369

375

752

49.1%

49.9%

R+0.8

Precinct 0010420490010

287

449

744

38.6%

60.3%

R+21.8

Precinct 0650420490650

480

247

732

65.6%

33.7%

D+31.8

Precinct 1470420491470

277

444

728

38.0%

61.0%

R+22.9

Precinct 0210420490210

406

313

725

56.0%

43.2%

D+12.8

Precinct 0420420490420

446

276

725

61.5%

38.1%

D+23.4

Precinct 0640420490640

423

301

725

58.3%

41.5%

D+16.8

Precinct 1510420491510

336

372

714

47.1%

52.1%

R+5.0

Precinct 1140420491140

405

294

703

57.6%

41.8%

D+15.8

Precinct 0030420490030

144

544

694

20.7%

78.4%

R+57.6

Precinct 0810420490810

377

310

692

54.5%

44.8%

D+9.7

Precinct 0890420490890

286

399

690

41.4%

57.8%

R+16.4

Precinct 0560420490560

449

234

687

65.4%

34.1%

D+31.3

Precinct 0710420490710

395

280

681

58.0%

41.1%

D+16.9

Precinct 0520420490520

483

189

680

71.0%

27.8%

D+43.2

Precinct 1230420491230

324

339

672

48.2%

50.4%

R+2.2

Precinct 0580420490580

384

282

671

57.2%

42.0%

D+15.2

Precinct 0550420490550

402

257

663

60.6%

38.8%

D+21.9

Precinct 1410420491410

198

458

661

30.0%

69.3%

R+39.3

Precinct 0540420490540

394

249

652

60.4%

38.2%

D+22.2

Precinct 0181420490181

415

208

631

65.8%

33.0%

D+32.8

Precinct 0700420490700

375

243

622

60.3%

39.1%

D+21.2

Precinct 0750420490750

372

239

616

60.4%

38.8%

D+21.6

Precinct 0460420490460

409

191

606

67.5%

31.5%

D+36.0

Precinct 0050420490050

183

413

602

30.4%

68.6%

R+38.2

Precinct 0020420490020

158

437

599

26.4%

73.0%

R+46.6

Precinct 1420420491420

166

411

588

28.2%

69.9%

R+41.7

Precinct 1030420491030

323

256

587

55.0%

43.6%

D+11.4

Precinct 0760420490760

310

272

585

53.0%

46.5%

D+6.5

Precinct 0510420490510

385

196

584

65.9%

33.6%

D+32.4

Precinct 0690420490690

384

191

581

66.1%

32.9%

D+33.2

Precinct 0671420490671

377

193

578

65.2%

33.4%

D+31.8

Precinct 0340420490340

336

221

560

60.0%

39.5%

D+20.5

Precinct 0400420490400

410

131

543

75.5%

24.1%

D+51.4

Precinct 0600420490600

305

226

536

56.9%

42.2%

D+14.7

Precinct 0200420490200

326

201

534

61.0%

37.6%

D+23.4

Precinct 0225420490225

335

166

506

66.2%

32.8%

D+33.4

Precinct 0320420490320

322

164

499

64.5%

32.9%

D+31.7

Precinct 0740420490740

306

182

496

61.7%

36.7%

D+25.0

Precinct 0245420490245

336

138

483

69.6%

28.6%

D+41.0

Precinct 0898420490898

334

145

483

69.2%

30.0%

D+39.1

Precinct 0330420490330

343

130

481

71.3%

27.0%

D+44.3

Precinct 0570420490570

266

198

472

56.4%

41.9%

D+14.4

Precinct 0270420490270

346

114

467

74.1%

24.4%

D+49.7

Precinct 0720420490720

287

158

452

63.5%

35.0%

D+28.5

Precinct 0490420490490

331

107

440

75.2%

24.3%

D+50.9

Precinct 0730420490730

241

169

411

58.6%

41.1%

D+17.5

Precinct 0161420490161

306

101

410

74.6%

24.6%

D+50.0

Precinct 0370420490370

311

404

77.0%

22.5%

D+54.5

Precinct 0310420490310

276

116

402

68.7%

28.9%

D+39.8

Precinct 0300420490300

213

115

334

63.8%

34.4%

D+29.3

Precinct 0500420490500

262

328

79.9%

20.1%

D+59.8

Precinct 0480420490480

239

321

74.5%

24.3%

D+50.2

Precinct 0360420490360

192

122

317

60.6%

38.5%

D+22.1

Precinct 0260420490260

208

309

67.3%

31.7%

D+35.6

Precinct 0390420490390

229

307

74.6%

25.4%

D+49.2

Precinct 0470420490470

211

303

69.6%

29.7%

D+39.9

Precinct 0450420490450

249

294

84.7%

15.0%

D+69.7

Precinct 0410420490410

175

115

293

59.7%

39.2%

D+20.5

Precinct 0380420490380

212

291

72.9%

27.1%

D+45.7

Precinct 0090420490090

102

183

285

35.8%

64.2%

R+28.4

Precinct 1080420491080

107

173

281

38.1%

61.6%

R+23.5

Precinct 0280420490280

197

257

76.7%

23.3%

D+53.3

Precinct 0660420490660

152

233

65.2%

32.2%

D+33.0

Precinct 1360420491360

150

225

32.0%

66.7%

R+34.7

Precinct 1090420491090

134

214

37.4%

62.6%

R+25.2

Precinct 0350420490350

142

208

68.3%

28.8%

D+39.4

Precinct 1480420491480

116

168

29.8%

69.0%

R+39.3

Precinct 0250420490250

132

71.2%

28.0%

D+43.2

Precinct 0120420490120

105

23.8%

76.2%

R+52.4

ALBION Voting District42_4204910

—

No votes

AMITY TWP Voting District42_4204920

—

No votes

CONCORD TWP Voting District42_4204930

—

No votes

CONNEAUT TWP Voting District42_4204940

—

No votes

CORRY WD 0142_4204950

—

No votes

CORRY WD 0242_4204960

—

No votes

CORRY WD 0342_4204970

—

No votes

CORRY WD 0442_4204980

—

No votes

CRANESVILLE Voting District42_4204990

—

No votes

EDINBORO DIST 0142_42049100

—

No votes

EDINBORO DIST 0242_42049110

—

No votes

ELGIN Voting District42_42049120

—

No votes

ELK CREEK TWP Voting District42_42049130

—

No votes

ERIE WD 01 DIST 0142_42049140

—

No votes

ERIE WD 01 DIST 0242_42049150

—

No votes

ERIE WD 01 DIST 0342_42049160

—

No votes

ERIE WD 01 DIST 0442_42049170

—

No votes

ERIE WD 01 DIST 0542_42049180

—

No votes

ERIE WD 01 DIST 0642_42049190

—

No votes

ERIE WD 01 DIST 0742_42049200

—

No votes

ERIE WD 01 DIST 0842_42049210

—

No votes

ERIE WD 02 DIST 0142_42049220

—

No votes

ERIE WD 02 DIST 0342_42049230

—

No votes

ERIE WD 02 DIST 0442_42049240

—

No votes

ERIE WD 02 DIST 0542_42049250

—

No votes

ERIE WD 02 DIST 0642_42049260

—

No votes

ERIE WD 02 DIST 0742_42049270

—

No votes

ERIE WD 02 DIST 0842_42049280

—

No votes

ERIE WD 02 DIST 0942_42049290

—

No votes

ERIE WD 03 DIST 0142_42049300

—

No votes

ERIE WD 03 DIST 0242_42049310

—

No votes

ERIE WD 03 DIST 0342_42049320

—

No votes

ERIE WD 03 DIST 0442_42049330

—

No votes

ERIE WD 03 DIST 0542_42049340

—

No votes

ERIE WD 03 DIST 0642_42049350

—

No votes

ERIE WD 03 DIST 0742_42049360

—

No votes

ERIE WD 04 DIST 0142_42049370

—

No votes

ERIE WD 04 DIST 0242_42049380

—

No votes

ERIE WD 04 DIST 0342_42049390

—

No votes

ERIE WD 04 DIST 0442_42049400

—

No votes

ERIE WD 04 DIST 0642_42049410

—

No votes

ERIE WD 04 DIST 0742_42049420

—

No votes

ERIE WD 04 DIST 0842_42049430

—

No votes

ERIE WD 04 DIST 0942_42049440

—

No votes

ERIE WD 05 DIST 0142_42049450

—

No votes

ERIE WD 05 DIST 0242_42049460

—

No votes

ERIE WD 05 DIST 0342_42049470

—

No votes

ERIE WD 05 DIST 0442_42049480

—

No votes

ERIE WD 05 DIST 0542_42049490

—

No votes

ERIE WD 05 DIST 0642_42049500

—

No votes

ERIE WD 05 DIST 0742_42049510

—

No votes

ERIE WD 05 DIST 0842_42049520

—

No votes

ERIE WD 05 DIST 0942_42049530

—

No votes

ERIE WD 05 DIST 1042_42049540

—

No votes

ERIE WD 05 DIST 1142_42049550

—

No votes

ERIE WD 05 DIST 1242_42049560

—

No votes

ERIE WD 05 DIST 1342_42049570

—

No votes

ERIE WD 05 DIST 1442_42049580

—

No votes

ERIE WD 05 DIST 1542_42049590

—

No votes

ERIE WD 05 DIST 1642_42049600

—

No votes

ERIE WD 05 DIST 1742_42049610

—

No votes

ERIE WD 05 DIST 1842_42049620

—

No votes

ERIE WD 05 DIST 1942_42049630

—

No votes

ERIE WD 05 DIST 2042_42049640

—

No votes

ERIE WD 05 DIST 2142_42049650

—

No votes

ERIE WD 06 DIST 0142_42049660

—

No votes

ERIE WD 06 DIST 0242_42049670

—

No votes

ERIE WD 06 DIST 0342_42049680

—

No votes

ERIE WD 06 DIST 0442_42049690

—

No votes

ERIE WD 06 DIST 0542_42049700

—

No votes

ERIE WD 06 DIST 0642_42049710

—

No votes

ERIE WD 06 DIST 0742_42049720

—

No votes

ERIE WD 06 DIST 0842_42049730

—

No votes

ERIE WD 06 DIST 0942_42049740

—

No votes

ERIE WD 06 DIST 1042_42049750

—

No votes

ERIE WD 06 DIST 1142_42049760

—

No votes

ERIE WD 06 DIST 1242_42049770

—

No votes

ERIE WD 06 DIST 1342_42049780

—

No votes

ERIE WD 06 DIST 1442_42049790

—

No votes

ERIE WD 06 DIST 1542_42049800

—

No votes

ERIE WD 06 DIST 1642_42049810

—

No votes

ERIE WD 06 DIST 1742_42049820

—

No votes

FAIRVIEW TWP DIST 0142_42049830

—

No votes

FAIRVIEW TWP DIST 0242_42049840

—

No votes

FAIRVIEW TWP DIST 0342_42049850

—

No votes

FAIRVIEW TWP DIST 0442_42049860

—

No votes

FAIRVIEW TWP DIST 0542_42049865

—

No votes

FRANKLIN TWP Voting District42_42049880

—

No votes

GIRARD TWP DIST NORTH42_42049890

—

No votes

GIRARD TWP DIST SOUTH42_42049900

—

No votes

GIRARD Voting District42_42049910

—

No votes

GREENE TWP DIST 0142_42049920

—

No votes

GREENE TWP DIST 0242_42049930

—

No votes

GREENFIELD TWP Voting District42_42049940

—

No votes

HARBORCREEK TWP DIST 0142_42049950

—

No votes

HARBORCREEK TWP DIST 0242_42049960

—

No votes

HARBORCREEK TWP DIST 0342_42049970

—

No votes

HARBORCREEK TWP DIST 0442_42049980

—

No votes

HARBORCREEK TWP DIST 0542_42049990

—

No votes

HARBORCREEK TWP DIST 0642_420491000

—

No votes

HARBORCREEK TWP DIST 0742_420491010

—

No votes

LAKE CITY Voting District42_420491020

—

No votes

LAWRENCE PARK TWP DIST 0142_420491030

—

No votes

LAWRENCE PARK TWP DIST 0242_420491040

—

No votes

LAWRENCE PARK TWP DIST 0342_420491050

—

No votes

LE BOEUF TWP Voting District42_420491060

—

No votes

MC KEAN TWP Voting District42_420491070

—

No votes

MC KEAN Voting District42_420491080

—

No votes

MILL VILLAGE Voting District42_420491090

—

No votes

MILLCREEK TWP DIST 0142_420491100

—

No votes

MILLCREEK TWP DIST 0242_420491110

—

No votes

MILLCREEK TWP DIST 0342_420491120

—

No votes

MILLCREEK TWP DIST 0442_420491130

—

No votes

MILLCREEK TWP DIST 0542_420491140

—

No votes

MILLCREEK TWP DIST 0642_420491150

—

No votes

MILLCREEK TWP DIST 0742_420491160

—

No votes

MILLCREEK TWP DIST 0842_420491170

—

No votes

MILLCREEK TWP DIST 0942_420491180

—

No votes

MILLCREEK TWP DIST 1042_420491190

—

No votes

MILLCREEK TWP DIST 1142_420491200

—

No votes

MILLCREEK TWP DIST 1242_420491210

—

No votes

MILLCREEK TWP DIST 1342_420491220

—

No votes

MILLCREEK TWP DIST 1442_420491230

—

No votes

MILLCREEK TWP DIST 1542_420491240

—

No votes

MILLCREEK TWP DIST 1642_420491250

—

No votes

MILLCREEK TWP DIST 1742_420491260

—

No votes

MILLCREEK TWP DIST 1842_420491270

—

No votes

MILLCREEK TWP DIST 1942_420491280

—

No votes

MILLCREEK TWP DIST 2042_420491290

—

No votes

MILLCREEK TWP DIST 2142_420491300

—

No votes

MILLCREEK TWP DIST 2242_420491305

—

No votes

MILLCREEK TWP DIST 2342_420491315

—

No votes

MILLCREEK TWP DIST 2442_42049PR155

—

No votes

NORTH EAST TWP DIST 0142_420491320

—

No votes

NORTH EAST TWP DIST 0242_420491330

—

No votes

NORTH EAST WD 0142_420491340

—

No votes

NORTH EAST WD 0242_420491350

—

No votes

PLATEA Voting District42_420491360

—

No votes

SPRINGFIELD TWP Voting District42_420491370

—

No votes

SUMMIT TWP DIST 0142_420491380

—

No votes

SUMMIT TWP DIST 0242_420491390

—

No votes

UNION CITY WD 0142_420491410

—

No votes

UNION CITY WD 0242_420491420

—

No votes

UNION TWP Voting District42_420491400

—

No votes

VENANGO TWP Voting District42_420491430

—

No votes

Voting Districts not defined42_42049ZZZZZZ

—

No votes

WASHINGTON TWP Voting District42_420491440

—

No votes

WATERFORD TWP DIST EAST42_420491450

—

No votes

WATERFORD TWP DIST WEST42_420491460

—

No votes

WATERFORD Voting District42_420491470

—

No votes

WATTSBURG Voting District42_420491480

—

No votes

WAYNE TWP DIST EAST42_420491495

—

No votes

WAYNE TWP WD WEST42_420491505

—

No votes

WESLEYVILLE DIST EAST42_420491510

—

No votes

WESLEYVILLE DIST WEST42_420491520

—

No votes

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−7.4%
1896	−12.1%
1900	−22.4%
1904	−35.9%
1908	−24.0%
1912	+3.7%
1916	+3.4%
1920	−43.0%
1924	−50.3%
1928	−22.5%
1932	+3.0%
1936	+11.4%
1940	−7.1%
1944	−3.4%
1948	−8.9%
1952	−14.2%
1956	−23.3%
1960	+2.1%
1964	+39.6%
1968	+8.5%
1972	−18.5%
1976	+5.3%
1980	−2.9%
1984	−3.1%
1988	+5.4%
1992	+14.5%
1996	+16.2%
2000	+9.2%
2004	+8.4%
2008	+19.9%
2012	+16.0%
2016	−1.6%
2020	+1.0%
2024	−1.0%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

49.0%Harris67,456

50.0%Trump68,866

0.5%Oliver686 +1

R+1.0

R+2.1

D+0.4

137,595

All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican50.0%68,866
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic49.0%67,456
Chase OliverLibertarian0.5%686
Jill SteinIndependent0.4%587

2020

49.8%Biden68,286

48.8%Trump66,869

1.4%Jorgensen1,928

D+1.0

D+2.6

R+3.4

137,083

2016

46.4%Clinton58,112

48.0%Trump60,069

3.1%Johnson3,871

R+1.6

R+17.5

R+3.7

125,129

2012

57.1%Obama68,036

41.2%Romney49,025

0.9%Johnson1,087

D+16.0

R+4.0

D+12.1

119,114

2008

59.3%Obama75,775

39.4%McCain50,351

1.2%

D+19.9

D+11.5

D+12.6

127,691

2004

53.9%Kerry67,921

45.6%Bush57,372

0.5%

D+8.4

R+0.9

D+10.8

125,898

2000

52.9%Gore59,399

43.6%Bush49,027

2.7%Nader2,980

D+9.2

R+7.0

D+8.7

112,335

1996

52.9%Clinton57,508

36.7%Dole39,884

9.5%Perot10,386

D+16.2

D+1.7

D+7.7

108,791

1992

47.9%Clinton56,381

33.3%Bush39,283

18.3%Perot21,510

D+14.5

D+9.1

D+9.0

117,804

1988

52.2%Dukakis53,913

46.8%Bush48,306

1.0%

D+5.4

D+8.5

D+13.2

103,300

1984

48.0%Mondale52,471

51.1%Reagan55,860

0.9%

R+3.1

R+0.2

D+15.1

109,266

1980

44.5%Carter45,946

47.4%Reagan48,918

8.0%

R+2.9

R+8.2

D+6.9

103,162

1976

51.6%Carter55,385

46.2%Ford49,641

2.2%

D+5.3

D+23.8

D+3.3

107,439

1972

39.8%McGovern42,022

58.2%Nixon61,542

2.0%

R+18.5

R+26.9

D+4.7

105,713

1968

51.7%Humphrey51,604

43.2%Nixon43,134

5.1%

D+8.5

R+31.1

D+9.2

99,847

1964

69.5%Johnson72,944

29.9%Goldwater31,393

0.5%

D+39.6

D+37.5

D+17.0

104,886

1960

50.9%Kennedy53,723

48.8%Nixon51,525

0.3%

D+2.1

D+25.4

D+1.9

105,543

1956

38.2%Stevenson33,802

61.5%Eisenhower54,430

0.4%

R+23.3

R+9.1

R+7.9

88,555

1952

42.7%Stevenson36,619

56.9%Eisenhower48,836

0.5%

R+14.2

R+5.3

R+3.5

85,846

1948

44.5%Truman28,159

53.5%Dewey33,806

2.0%

R+8.9

R+5.5

R+13.4

63,245

1944

48.0%Roosevelt32,912

51.4%Dewey35,247

0.6%

R+3.4

D+3.7

R+10.9

68,578

1940

46.2%Roosevelt31,735

53.3%Willkie36,608

0.5%

R+7.1

R+18.5

R+17.0

68,714

1936

50.6%Roosevelt33,042

39.2%Landon25,607

10.3%

D+11.4

D+8.4

R+12.9

65,355

1932

48.4%Roosevelt19,592

45.4%Hoover18,371

6.1%

D+3.0

D+25.5

R+14.8

40,442

1928

38.5%Smith19,278

61.0%Hoover30,542

0.6%

R+22.5

D+27.8

R+5.0

50,097

1924

11.0%Davis3,502

61.3%Coolidge19,480

26.0%La Follette8,267

R+50.3

R+7.2

R+25.1

31,784

1920

20.6%Cox6,311

63.7%Harding19,465

15.7%

R+43.0

R+46.5

R+16.8

30,569

1916

46.7%Wilson9,641

43.3%Hughes8,933

10.0%

D+3.4

R+0.2

D+0.3

20,630

1912

30.6%Wilson5,633

26.9%Taft4,958

42.5%

Roosevelt +11.9

D+27.6

R+15.9

18,408

1908

31.8%Bryan6,173

55.8%Taft10,828

12.5%

R+24.0

D+12.0

R+14.4

19,419

1904

26.9%Parker5,119

62.8%Roosevelt11,951

10.2%

R+35.9

R+13.5

R+16.3

19,018

1900

36.0%Bryan7,281

58.5%McKinley11,816

5.5%

R+22.4

R+10.4

R+14.9

20,207

1896

42.7%Bryan9,210

54.7%McKinley11,819

2.6%

R+12.1

R+4.7

R+6.0

21,592

1892

42.3%Cleveland7,589

49.8%Harrison8,918

7.9%

R+7.4

—

R+9.1

17,923

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

47.5%62,766

52.5%69,490

132,256

2020

51.1%68,424

48.9%65,582

134,006

2018

59.9%60,392

40.1%40,470

100,862

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

49.6%67,868

47.9%65,603

136,842

2022

53.3%56,404

44.0%46,507

105,734

2018Class I

58.4%Bob Casey Jr.58,906

40.0%Lou Barletta40,348

100,889

2016Class III

46.3%Katie McGinty56,846

49.7%Pat Toomey60,948

122,724

2012Class I

55.9%Bob Casey Jr.65,406

41.6%Tom Smith48,708

116,951

2010Class III

55.1%Joe Sestak46,851

44.9%Pat Toomey38,146

84,997

2006Class I

59.3%Bob Casey Jr.50,857

40.5%Rick Santorum34,757

85,733

2004Class III

36.5%Joseph Hoeffel42,627

59.9%Arlen Specter69,937

116,715

2000Class I

43.7%Rob Klink46,726

54.5%Rick Santorum58,302

107,011

1998Class III

35.5%Bill Lloyd25,616

59.8%Arlen Specter43,175

72,149

1994Class I

46.2%Harris Wofford42,178

51.5%Rick Santorum46,940

91,197

1992Class III

48.1%Lynn Yeakel54,095

45.8%Arlen Specter51,555

112,474

1988Class I

25.1%Joseph C. Vignola24,563

73.5%John Heinz72,054

98,048

1986Class III

41.5%Bob Edgar30,701

57.1%Arlen Specter42,267

74,039

1982Class I

41.8%Cyril H. Wecht36,028

56.0%John Heinz48,263

86,131

1980Class III

58.5%Peter Flaherty57,822

39.5%Arlen Specter39,037

98,843

1976Class I

46.0%William J. Green III47,851

52.7%John Heinz54,770

103,913

1974Class III

42.3%Peter Flaherty30,766

56.2%Richard Schweiker40,873

72,769

1970Class I

51.8%William G. Sesler40,809

46.5%Hugh Scott36,635

78,821

1968Class III

48.8%Joseph S. Clark47,498

50.4%Richard Schweiker49,070

97,402

1964Class I

50.1%Genevieve Blatt51,914

49.7%Hugh Scott51,477

103,670

1962Class III

53.8%Joseph S. Clark48,820

46.0%James E. Van Zandt41,750

90,772

1958Class I

46.2%George M. Leader35,700

53.4%Hugh Scott41,266

77,341

1956Class III

46.0%Joseph S. Clark40,201

53.7%James H. Duff46,899

87,356

1952Class I

43.4%Guy Kurtz Bard36,432

56.2%Edward Martin47,190

83,957

1950Class III

46.7%Francis Myers29,326

52.2%James H. Duff32,798

62,776

1946Class I

36.1%Joseph F. Guffey16,332

62.7%Edward Martin28,414

45,303

1944Class III

46.9%Francis Myers31,512

52.4%James J. Davis35,160

67,140

1940Class I

45.0%Joseph F. Guffey30,077

54.2%Jay Cooke36,240

66,808

1938Class III

42.4%George H. Earle27,019

56.3%James J. Davis35,864

63,730

1934Class I

57.5%Joseph F. Guffey24,084

40.3%David A. Reed16,858

41,881

1932Class III

46.2%Lawrence H. Rupp18,030

44.7%James J. Davis17,429

38,996

1928Class I

37.5%William N. McNair17,456

60.5%David A. Reed28,171

46,534

1926Class III

43.5%William B. Wilson6,969

50.3%William S. Vare8,045

16,003

1922Class I

19.7%Samuel E. Shull3,846

60.6%David A. Reed11,854

19,550

1920Class III

18.2%John A. Farrell5,010

56.5%Boies Penrose15,538

27,483

1916Class I

42.4%Ellis Orvis7,543

42.8%Philander Knox7,621

17,792

1914Class III

29.4%A. Mitchell Palmer4,791

39.1%Boies Penrose6,377

16,311

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1991Special · Class I

54.5%Harris Wofford44,251

45.5%Richard Thornburgh36,939

81,190

1930Special · Class III

44.6%Sedgwick Kistler13,544

52.2%James J. Davis15,849

30,382

1922Special · Class III

22.2%Fred B. Kerr4,344

61.8%George W. Pepper12,081

19,539

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

59.7%Joshua D Shapiro63,081

38.3%Douglas V Mastriano40,433

105,599

2018

59.8%Thomas W Wolf60,790

38.7%Scott R Wagner39,387

101,711

2014

58.1%Tom Wolf42,115

41.9%Tom Corbett30,389

72,504

2010

49.9%Dan Onorato42,581

50.1%Tom Corbett42,752

85,333

2006

58.1%Ed Rendell50,042

41.8%Lynn Swann36,059

86,179

2002

41.7%Ed Rendell32,774

54.9%Mike Fisher43,095

78,563

1998

21.8%Ivan Itkin16,783

63.7%Tom Ridge49,027

76,984

1994

22.1%Mark Singel21,422

67.3%Tom Ridge65,181

96,792

1990

71.9%Bob Casey52,265

28.1%Barbara Hafer20,424

72,689

1986

47.8%Bob Casey35,727

50.3%Bill Scranton III37,583

74,695

1982

46.8%Allen Ertel41,439

51.7%Dick Thornburgh45,830

88,580

1978

45.6%Pete Flaherty35,899

52.9%Dick Thornburgh41,670

78,753

Frequently asked questions

How did Erie County, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?

In 2024, Erie County, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 1.0 points (R+1.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 137,595 votes cast, 67,456 went Democratic and 68,866 went Republican.

When did Erie County, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Erie County, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 2020.

How many people live in Erie County, Pennsylvania?

Erie County, Pennsylvania has a population of 269,052 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Erie County, Pennsylvania?

Median household income in Erie County, Pennsylvania is $63,354 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.

What is the political history of Erie County, Pennsylvania?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Erie County, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.