HarrisDemocratic26.1%4,483TrumpRepublican73.1%12,543OliverLibertarian0.4%75
R+47.0- Lead
- 8,060
- Total
- 17,153
- vs nation
- R+45.5
- Turnout
- 70.0%
Akashiccounty
Elk County, PA
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 70.0% of 24,664 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic26.7%4,522TrumpRepublican71.8%12,140JorgensenLibertarian1.4%244
R+45.1- Lead
- 7,618
- Total
- 16,906
- vs nation
- R+49.5
- Turnout
- 70.3%
ClintonDemocratic26.5%3,853TrumpRepublican68.9%10,025JohnsonLibertarian2.8%401
R+42.4- Lead
- 6,172
- Total
- 14,547
- vs nation
- R+44.5
- Turnout
- 59.2%
ObamaDemocratic41.1%5,463RomneyRepublican57.1%7,579JohnsonLibertarian0.9%117
R+15.9- Lead
- 2,116
- Total
- 13,279
- vs nation
- R+19.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic51.1%7,290McCainRepublican46.8%6,676OtherAll other candidates2.1%305
D+4.3- Lead
- 614
- Total
- 14,271
- vs nation
- R+3.0
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic45.4%6,602BushRepublican54.1%7,872OtherAll other candidates0.5%76
R+8.7- Lead
- 1,270
- Total
- 14,550
- vs nation
- R+6.3
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic42.4%5,754BushRepublican54.1%7,347NaderGreen2.6%352
R+11.7- Lead
- 1,593
- Total
- 13,580
- vs nation
- R+12.2
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic44.2%5,749DoleRepublican37.6%4,889PerotReform17.6%2,293
D+6.6- Lead
- 860
- Total
- 13,013
- vs nation
- R+1.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+47.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 30,5062024 5-year
- Median household income
- $66,3802024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+41.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.2 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cambria County, PA · twin score 81.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 70.0%17,263 participants ÷ 24,664 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 54.9%–56.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 14,720 | 24,881 | 59.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 11,424 | 24,506 | 46.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 17,041 | 24,244 | 70.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 13,731 | 24,875 | 55.2% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 17,263 | 24,664 | 70.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
61 precincts · 16,433 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0230420470230 | 228 | 928 | 3 | 1,159 | 19.7% | 80.1% | R+60.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0385420470385 | 268 | 883 | 4 | 1,155 | 23.2% | 76.5% | R+53.2 |
| Precinct 0070420470070 | 296 | 817 | 12 | 1,125 | 26.3% | 72.6% | R+46.3 |
| Precinct 0242420470242 | 287 | 771 | 7 | 1,065 | 26.9% | 72.4% | R+45.4 |
| Precinct 0080420470080 | 277 | 767 | 6 | 1,050 | 26.4% | 73.0% | R+46.7 |
| Precinct 0335420470335 | 199 | 740 | 12 | 951 | 20.9% | 77.8% | R+56.9 |
| Precinct 0200420470200 | 182 | 678 | 3 | 863 | 21.1% | 78.6% | R+57.5 |
| Precinct 0365420470365 | 200 | 645 | 5 | 850 | 23.5% | 75.9% | R+52.4 |
| Precinct 0315420470315 | 205 | 600 | 6 | 811 | 25.3% | 74.0% | R+48.7 |
| Precinct 0355420470355 | 160 | 637 | 3 | 800 | 20.0% | 79.6% | R+59.6 |
| Precinct 0250420470250 | 269 | 493 | 7 | 769 | 35.0% | 64.1% | R+29.1 |
| Precinct 0110420470110 | 150 | 612 | 5 | 767 | 19.6% | 79.8% | R+60.2 |
| Precinct 0395420470395 | 212 | 509 | 9 | 730 | 29.0% | 69.7% | R+40.7 |
| Precinct 0375420470375 | 213 | 477 | 5 | 695 | 30.6% | 68.6% | R+38.0 |
| Precinct 0325420470325 | 181 | 430 | 3 | 614 | 29.5% | 70.0% | R+40.6 |
| Precinct 0262420470262 | 157 | 328 | 5 | 490 | 32.0% | 66.9% | R+34.9 |
| Precinct 0345420470345 | 154 | 288 | 4 | 446 | 34.5% | 64.6% | R+30.0 |
| Precinct 0140420470140 | 107 | 274 | 5 | 386 | 27.7% | 71.0% | R+43.3 |
| Precinct 0220420470220 | 81 | 208 | 4 | 293 | 27.6% | 71.0% | R+43.3 |
| Precinct 0160420470160 | 81 | 171 | 6 | 258 | 31.4% | 66.3% | R+34.9 |
| Precinct 0150420470150 | 68 | 178 | 1 | 247 | 27.5% | 72.1% | R+44.5 |
| Precinct 0170420470170 | 66 | 158 | 3 | 227 | 29.1% | 69.6% | R+40.5 |
| Precinct 0010420470010 | 35 | 130 | 0 | 165 | 21.2% | 78.8% | R+57.6 |
| Precinct 0100420470100 | 32 | 98 | 1 | 131 | 24.4% | 74.8% | R+50.4 |
| Precinct 0295420470295 | 35 | 94 | 1 | 130 | 26.9% | 72.3% | R+45.4 |
| Precinct 0090420470090 | 28 | 85 | 2 | 115 | 24.3% | 73.9% | R+49.6 |
| Precinct 0210420470210 | 25 | 47 | 0 | 72 | 34.7% | 65.3% | R+30.6 |
| Precinct 0190420470190 | 12 | 56 | 1 | 69 | 17.4% | 81.2% | R+63.8 |
| BENEZETT TWP Voting District42_4204710 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FOX TWP DIST 0142_4204770 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FOX TWP DIST 0242_4204780 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HIGHLAND TWP VTD HIGHLAND42_4204790 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HIGHLAND TWP VTD JAMES CITY42_42047100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HORTON TWP Voting District42_42047110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JAY TWP VTD CALEDONIA42_42047120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JAY TWP VTD WEEDVILLE42_42047130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JOHNSONBURG DIST 0142_42047140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JOHNSONBURG DIST 0242_42047150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JOHNSONBURG DIST 0342_42047160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JOHNSONBURG DIST 0442_42047170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JONES TWP VTD LAMONT42_42047190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JONES TWP VTD WILCOX42_42047200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILLSTONE TWP Voting District42_42047210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0122420470122 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RIDGWAY TWP VTD NORTH42_42047220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RIDGWAY TWP VTD SOUTH42_42047230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RIDGWAY WD 0142_42047240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RIDGWAY WD 0242_42047250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RIDGWAY WD 0342_42047260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RIDGWAY WD 0442_42047270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RIDGWAY WD 0542_42047280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SPRING CREEK TWP Voting District42_42047290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ST. MARYS WD 0142_42047315 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ST. MARYS WD 0242_42047325 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ST. MARYS WD 0342_42047335 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ST. MARYS WD 0442_42047345 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ST. MARYS WD 0542_42047355 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ST. MARYS WD 0642_42047365 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ST. MARYS WD 0742_42047375 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ST. MARYS WD 0842_42047385 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ST. MARYS WD 0942_42047395 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +18.6% |
| 1896 | −1.6% |
| 1900 | −2.3% |
| 1904 | −13.9% |
| 1908 | −7.9% |
| 1912 | +25.3% |
| 1916 | −11.9% |
| 1920 | −39.9% |
| 1924 | −56.2% |
| 1928 | +19.0% |
| 1932 | +5.3% |
| 1936 | +22.7% |
| 1940 | −0.2% |
| 1944 | +3.8% |
| 1948 | +2.0% |
| 1952 | −8.8% |
| 1956 | −23.8% |
| 1960 | +8.0% |
| 1964 | +41.1% |
| 1968 | +4.9% |
| 1972 | −24.7% |
| 1976 | +4.2% |
| 1980 | −9.3% |
| 1984 | −21.3% |
| 1988 | −6.7% |
| 1992 | +0.8% |
| 1996 | +6.6% |
| 2000 | −11.7% |
| 2004 | −8.7% |
| 2008 | +4.3% |
| 2012 | −15.9% |
| 2016 | −42.4% |
| 2020 | −45.1% |
| 2024 | −47.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 38 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+31.0
Presidential vote · 2024R+47.0
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 16 points more Democratic.
20,462 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−1 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,345 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $52,890 in average income, against $70,663 for residents who stayed — 25% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+52.8 on average — 5.8 points more Republican-leaning than Elk County, PA itself (R+47.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Jefferson County, PA41R+58.5
- Clearfield County, PA28R+51.5
- McKean County, PA26R+47.2
- Cameron County, PA22R+50.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Clearfield County, PA53
- Jefferson County, PA40
- McKean County, PA35
- Allegheny County, PA29
- Erie County, PA22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +25 |
| 2012 | −98 |
| 2013 | −101 |
| 2014 | −223 |
| 2015 | −177 |
| 2016 | −287 |
| 2017 | −147 |
| 2018 | −50 |
| 2019 | −109 |
| 2021 | +6 |
| 2022 | −108 |
| 2023 | −84 |
| 2024 | +9 |
| 2025 | −1 |
Elk County's heavily forested terrain and legacy timber and manufacturing economy underpin a voter profile that broke roughly 73–26 for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024, among the widest margins in the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 41.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 56.2 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 47.0 points.
A population of 30,506, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,380 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cambria County and Putnam County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Cambria County
Pennsylvania
81.4twin score
% Catholic2004–2008 trajectory% White≠ Swedish ancestry
Putnam County
Illinois
81.3twin score
elasticityItalian ancestry% Evangelical≠ % Catholic
Iron County
Wisconsin
77.8twin score
Italian ancestry12-yr trend% Catholic≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Elk County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42047/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Elk County
Pennsylvania at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Elk County, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Elk County, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 47.0 points (R+47.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 17,153 votes cast, 4,483 went Democratic and 12,543 went Republican.
When did Elk County, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Elk County, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Elk County, Pennsylvania?
Elk County, Pennsylvania has a population of 30,506 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Elk County, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Elk County, Pennsylvania is $66,380 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Elk County, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Elk County, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 20 went Republican.