- Lead
- 28,231
- Total
- 71,136
- vs nation
- R+38.2
- Turnout
- 67.8%
Cambria County, PA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 67.8% of 105,773 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 26,355
- Total
- 70,574
- vs nation
- R+41.8
- Turnout
- 67.1%
- Lead
- 23,391
- Total
- 63,589
- vs nation
- R+38.9
- Turnout
- 58.2%
- Lead
- 10,914
- Total
- 60,526
- vs nation
- R+21.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 456
- Total
- 65,670
- vs nation
- R+6.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,457
- Total
- 66,983
- vs nation
- D+0.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,307
- Total
- 60,286
- vs nation
- D+3.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 10,050
- Total
- 59,275
- vs nation
- D+8.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+39.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 131,5382024 5-year
- Population density
- 191 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 688 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $58,4182024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+35.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+41.2 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Schuylkill County, PA · twin score 89.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 67.8%71,736 participants ÷ 105,773 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 53.6%–54.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 64,243 | 110,411 | 58.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 50,174 | 107,779 | 46.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 71,002 | 105,847 | 67.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 56,811 | 107,409 | 52.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 71,736 | 105,773 | 67.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Cambria County, PA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
67.6%
55,183 votes · D+35.4
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 64.6%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
69.5%
49,408 votes · R+39.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 68.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
55,183votes
67.6% of the vote · D+35.4
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 52,409 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
49,408votes
69.5% of the vote · R+39.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 48,085 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Walter Mondale1984
+28.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+10.6 · U.S. R+18.2
Runner-up · Michael Dukakis, 1988 · +27.7 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+41.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+37.3 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +38.9 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 20 points more Republican than the rolls.
85,876 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−231 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −9,232 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $48,978 in average income, against $65,277 for residents who stayed — 25% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+30.2 on average — 9.5 points more Democratic-leaning than Cambria County, PA itself (R+39.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Somerset County, PA276R+57.2
- Blair County, PA187R+43.5
- Allegheny County, PA114D+20.3
- Indiana County, PA110R+39.1
- Philadelphia County, PA76D+58.8
- Westmoreland County, PA68R+28.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Somerset County, PA272
- Blair County, PA228
- Allegheny County, PA209
- Indiana County, PA138
- Westmoreland County, PA106
- Philadelphia County, PA51
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −394 |
| 2012 | −686 |
| 2013 | −2,344 |
| 2014 | −933 |
| 2015 | −959 |
| 2016 | −1,138 |
| 2017 | −903 |
| 2018 | −984 |
| 2019 | −774 |
| 2021 | −11 |
| 2022 | +150 |
| 2023 | −48 |
| 2024 | +23 |
| 2025 | −231 |
Cambria's coal and steel legacy built one of Pennsylvania's strongest union-Democratic traditions, but the county has swung sharply rightward over two decades — its R+39.7 margin in 2024 reflects one of the sharpest partisan realignments in the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 35.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 41.2 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.7 points.
A population of 131,538, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,418 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Schuylkill County and Lawrence County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cambria County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42021/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.