- Lead
- 1,116
- Total
- 2,219
- vs nation
- R+48.8
- Turnout
- 65.8%
Cameron County, PA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 65.8% of 3,675 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,137
- Total
- 2,434
- vs nation
- R+51.2
- Turnout
- 65.0%
- Lead
- 1,058
- Total
- 2,210
- vs nation
- R+50.0
- Turnout
- 56.7%
- Lead
- 635
- Total
- 2,125
- vs nation
- R+33.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 444
- Total
- 2,245
- vs nation
- R+27.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 805
- Total
- 2,406
- vs nation
- R+31.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 604
- Total
- 2,246
- vs nation
- R+27.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 291
- Total
- 2,231
- vs nation
- R+21.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+50.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,4272024 5-year
- Median household income
- $50,5732024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+16.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.5 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Sullivan County, PA · twin score 81.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 65.8%2,417 participants ÷ 3,675 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 51.7%–53.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 2,233 | 3,937 | 56.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 1,788 | 3,871 | 46.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 2,455 | 3,778 | 65.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 1,905 | 3,744 | 50.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 2,417 | 3,675 | 65.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
20 precincts · 2,219 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0100420230100 | 117 | 527 | 6 | 650 | 18.0% | 81.1% | R+63.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0040420230040 | 147 | 299 | 7 | 453 | 32.5% | 66.0% | R+33.6 |
| Precinct 0030420230030 | 69 | 194 | 4 | 267 | 25.8% | 72.7% | R+46.8 |
| Precinct 0090420230090 | 73 | 190 | 3 | 266 | 27.4% | 71.4% | R+44.0 |
| Precinct 0020420230020 | 46 | 140 | 4 | 190 | 24.2% | 73.7% | R+49.5 |
| Precinct 0070420230070 | 37 | 85 | 3 | 125 | 29.6% | 68.0% | R+38.4 |
| Precinct 0050420230050 | 16 | 87 | 0 | 103 | 15.5% | 84.5% | R+68.9 |
| Precinct 0080420230080 | 16 | 56 | 0 | 72 | 22.2% | 77.8% | R+55.6 |
| Precinct 0060420230060 | 15 | 55 | 0 | 70 | 21.4% | 78.6% | R+57.1 |
| Precinct 0010420230010 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 23 | 8.7% | 91.3% | R+82.6 |
| DRIFTWOOD Voting District42_4202310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EMPORIUM VTD EAST42_4202320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EMPORIUM VTD MIDDLE42_4202330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EMPORIUM VTD WEST42_4202340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GIBSON TWP Voting District42_4202350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GROVE TWP Voting District42_4202360 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LUMBER TWP Voting District42_4202370 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PORTAGE TWP Voting District42_4202380 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHIPPEN TWP VTD EAST42_4202390 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHIPPEN TWP VTD WEST42_42023100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −8.1% |
| 1896 | −22.6% |
| 1900 | −29.9% |
| 1904 | −49.5% |
| 1908 | −34.2% |
| 1912 | −7.5% |
| 1916 | −21.7% |
| 1920 | −43.3% |
| 1924 | −62.5% |
| 1928 | −51.3% |
| 1932 | −30.9% |
| 1936 | −7.8% |
| 1940 | −10.6% |
| 1944 | −21.5% |
| 1948 | −29.9% |
| 1952 | −38.5% |
| 1956 | −49.1% |
| 1960 | −22.3% |
| 1964 | +16.1% |
| 1968 | −23.2% |
| 1972 | −39.2% |
| 1976 | −10.0% |
| 1980 | −22.5% |
| 1984 | −34.4% |
| 1988 | −31.3% |
| 1992 | −13.0% |
| 1996 | −13.0% |
| 2000 | −26.9% |
| 2004 | −33.5% |
| 2008 | −19.8% |
| 2012 | −29.9% |
| 2016 | −47.9% |
| 2020 | −46.7% |
| 2024 | −50.3% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 9.6 points more Democratic.
2,881 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−71 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −577 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $52,724 in average income, against $52,432 for residents who stayed — 1% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Elk County, PA22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −40 |
| 2012 | −18 |
| 2013 | −28 |
| 2014 | −109 |
| 2015 | −57 |
| 2016 | −59 |
| 2017 | −72 |
| 2018 | −101 |
| 2019 | −28 |
| 2021 | −21 |
| 2022 | 0 |
| 2023 | +27 |
| 2024 | 0 |
| 2025 | −71 |
Cameron County's timber-and-rural economy anchors one of Pennsylvania's smallest electorates, and its 2024 presidential margin of R+50.3 ranks among the widest in the state, reflecting a broader realignment across Pennsylvania's north-central highlands.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 16.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 62.5 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 50.3 points.
A population of 4,427, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $50,573 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sullivan County and Wayne County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cameron County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42023/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.