akashic
1876–2024
Carbon County, Pennsylvania
Carbon County·Pennsylvania

Carbon County has voted Republican for as long as anyone can remember.

Once a union stronghold, now among Pennsylvania's sharpest Republican pivots

18762024·38 elections
Carbon County, Pennsylvania · Ryan Kautz · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+35
in 2024
Archetype
Republican loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
65,382
2024 ACS
Most similar
Gladwin County
MI · similarity 0.99
51 precincts · 35,436 votes cast
Trump · R+35
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−34.7%
11,39423,70835,436
2020R
−32.0%
11,21221,98433,629
2016R
−33.8%
8,93618,74328,993
2012R
−7.5%
11,58013,50425,694
2008D
+1.9%
13,46412,95726,923
2004R
−1.2%
12,22312,51925,043
2000D
+4.5%
10,6689,71721,277
1996D
+11.4%
9,4577,19319,829
1992D
+8.4%
9,0727,24321,659
1988R
−5.8%
9,10410,23219,547
1984R
−9.5%
8,83610,70119,668
1980R
−10.5%
8,00910,04219,329
1976D
+9.6%
10,7918,88319,973
1972R
−19.6%
7,77411,63919,712
1968D
+3.2%
10,6349,95421,579
1964D
+35.5%
15,4167,30922,841
1960R
−0.8%
12,39112,58625,032
1956R
−14.9%
9,72213,15022,961
1952R
−7.4%
10,57112,28322,988
1948R
−1.6%
9,4389,74419,578
1944D
+5.8%
11,0609,83720,970
1940D
+9.2%
12,77710,61823,455
1936D
+11.2%
14,17911,29825,811
1932R
−0.2%
9,8749,91820,441
1928R
−30.4%
8,01015,04723,155
1924R
−27.6%
5,15010,23618,427
1920R
−21.5%
5,0307,90013,346
1916R
−2.0%
4,0994,2758,693
1912D
+26.9%
3,6521,2468,934
1908R
−6.5%
3,8904,4869,113
1904R
−18.0%
2,9984,5058,353
1900R
−0.8%
4,1494,2228,649
1896R
−11.0%
3,6094,5348,407
1892D
+5.2%
3,5413,1796,959
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Italian
3.7%
African American
1.8%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
16.2%
Mainline Protestant
14.7%
Other Christian
3.2%
Methodist
1.7%
Baptist
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 64.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Carbon County's coal-mining heritage shaped decades of Democratic loyalty, but the area has swung hard in recent cycles — its R+34.8 margin in 2024 reflects one of the steepest realignments among Pennsylvania's working-class rural counties.

The Republican margin in Carbon County reached its widest at thirty-five points in 2024. The margin in 2024 was thirty-five points, in line with the county's deep historical pattern.

Carbon County's loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $67,554, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 65,382 together describe a community whose political habits are deeply settled. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Gladwin County and Jefferson County.