HarrisDemocratic47.0%217,684TrumpRepublican51.9%240,504SteinIndependent0.6%2,770
R+4.9- Lead
- 22,820
- Total
- 463,570
- vs nation
- R+3.5
Akashicmetro area
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
4 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic48.8%219,488TrumpRepublican50.0%224,866OtherAll other candidates1.2%5,255
R+1.2- Lead
- 5,378
- Total
- 449,609
- vs nation
- R+5.7
ClintonDemocratic45.0%173,816TrumpRepublican50.3%194,027OtherAll other candidates4.7%18,135
R+5.2- Lead
- 20,211
- Total
- 385,978
- vs nation
- R+7.3
ObamaDemocratic50.4%176,214RomneyRepublican48.0%167,568OtherAll other candidates1.6%5,595
D+2.5- Lead
- 8,646
- Total
- 349,377
- vs nation
- R+1.4
ObamaDemocratic54.0%196,436McCainRepublican44.6%162,390OtherAll other candidates1.4%5,096
D+9.4- Lead
- 34,046
- Total
- 363,922
- vs nation
- D+2.1
KerryDemocratic48.6%167,653BushRepublican50.5%174,323OtherAll other candidates0.9%3,215
R+1.9- Lead
- 6,670
- Total
- 345,191
- vs nation
- D+0.5
GoreDemocratic48.4%136,975BushRepublican47.6%134,777OtherAll other candidates4.0%11,323
D+0.8- Lead
- 2,198
- Total
- 283,075
- vs nation
- D+0.3
ClintonDemocratic45.9%116,789DoleRepublican41.3%105,182OtherAll other candidates12.8%32,671
D+4.6- Lead
- 11,607
- Total
- 254,642
- vs nation
- R+4.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+4.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 873,6032024 5-year
- Population density
- 601 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,453 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $85,1002024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 67.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 20.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+37.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43.9 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Kiryas Joel-Poughkeepsie-Newburgh, NY · twin score 93.1
presidential history
Party record book
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
68.6%
154,366 votes · D+37.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 57.6%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
71.6%
107,733 votes · R+43.9
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 60.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
219,488votes
48.8% of the vote · R+1.2
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 217,684 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
240,504votes
51.9% of the vote · R+4.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 224,866 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+15.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+37.8 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Grover Cleveland, 1892 · +15.0 pts
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
+26.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+43.9 · U.S. R+17.5
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1932 · +13.8 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026D+1.2
Presidential vote · 2024R+4.9
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 6.1-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
623,013 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+1,275 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +6,934 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +76 |
| 2012 | −1,752 |
| 2013 | −3,263 |
| 2014 | −767 |
| 2015 | −840 |
| 2016 | −706 |
| 2017 | +1,522 |
| 2018 | +680 |
| 2019 | −192 |
| 2021 | +8,596 |
| 2022 | −365 |
| 2023 | +1,866 |
| 2024 | +804 |
| 2025 | +1,275 |
Once reliably blue owing to its steel-and-manufacturing labor base, the Lehigh Valley has shifted markedly in recent cycles, with its large and growing Latino population now a closely watched variable in statewide Pennsylvania contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 43.9 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 3.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.9 points.
A population of 873,603, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $85,100 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kiryas Joel-Poughkeepsie-Newburgh, NY and Reading, PA.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Kiryas Joel-Poughkeepsie-Newburgh, NY
93.1twin score
Puerto Rican ancestrypopulation scale2020–2024 trajectory≠ Italian ancestry
Reading, PA
92.5twin score
Puerto Rican ancestry2008–2012 trajectorypopulation scale
Rochester, NY
89.2twin score
population scale2000–2008 trajectory≠ Italian ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/10900/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 4.9 points (R+4.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 463,570 votes cast, 217,684 went Democratic and 240,504 went Republican.
When did Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania?
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania has a population of 873,603 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania is $85,100 — above the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $103,556.
What is the political history of Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.