Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania
Akashic| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 51.9% | 240,504 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 47.0% | 217,684 |
| Jill SteinGreen | 1.2% | 5,382 |
County-level results (4 counties) — table
| County | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Carbon County, PA | Republican | R+34.8 |
| Lehigh County, PA | Democratic | D+2.7 |
| Northampton County, PA | Republican | R+1.8 |
| Warren County, NJ | Republican | R+20.7 |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 47.0%Harris217,684 | 51.9%Trump240,504 | 1.2%Stein5,382 | 463,570 | ||
| R | 48.8%Biden219,488 | 50.0%Trump224,866 | 1.2%Jorgensen5,255 | 449,609 | ||
| R | 45.0%Clinton173,816 | 50.3%Trump194,027 | 4.7%Johnson18,135 | 385,978 | ||
| D | 50.4%Obama176,214 | 48.0%Romney167,568 | 1.6%Johnson5,595 | 349,377 | ||
| D | 54.0%Obama196,436 | 44.6%McCain162,390 | 1.4%Nader5,096 | 363,922 | ||
| R | 48.6%Kerry167,653 | 50.5%Bush174,323 | 0.9%Badnarik3,215 | 345,191 | ||
| D | 48.4%Gore136,975 | 47.6%Bush134,777 | 4.0%Nader11,323 | 283,075 | ||
| D | 45.9%Clinton116,789 | 41.3%Dole105,182 | 12.8%Perot32,671 | 254,642 | ||
| D | 40.3%Clinton110,988 | 37.3%Bush102,771 | 22.4%Perot61,763 | 275,522 | ||
| R | 43.5%Dukakis102,809 | 55.5%Bush131,058 | 1.0%McCarthy2,431 | 236,298 | ||
| R | 41.2%Mondale98,551 | 58.1%Reagan139,086 | 0.7%Johnson1,742 | 239,379 | ||
| R | 38.4%Carter85,266 | 51.1%Reagan113,546 | 10.5%Anderson23,336 | 222,148 | ||
| D | 51.3%Carter114,163 | 46.8%Ford103,958 | 1.9%McCarthy4,226 | 222,347 | ||
| R | 38.5%McGovern83,442 | 60.4%Nixon130,785 | 1.1%Schmitz2,311 | 216,538 | ||
| D | 49.1%Humphrey110,043 | 46.0%Nixon103,192 | 4.8%Wallace10,868 | 224,103 | ||
| D | 68.6%Johnson154,366 | 30.9%Goldwater69,424 | 0.5%Hass1,221 | 225,011 | ||
| R | 45.9%Kennedy106,123 | 53.9%Nixon124,440 | 0.2%Byrd395 | 230,958 | ||
| R | 39.2%Stevenson81,666 | 60.3%Eisenhower125,606 | 0.4%Andrews926 | 208,198 | ||
| R | 44.7%Stevenson91,671 | 54.8%Eisenhower112,294 | 0.5%Hallinan1,079 | 205,044 | ||
| R | 49.1%Truman79,445 | 49.1%Dewey79,534 | 1.8%Thurmond2,841 | 161,820 | ||
| D | 51.0%Roosevelt82,802 | 48.5%Dewey78,778 | 0.4%Thomas696 | 162,276 | ||
| D | 53.9%Roosevelt90,017 | 45.6%Willkie76,182 | 0.4%Thomas719 | 166,918 | ||
| D | 57.6%Roosevelt98,851 | 40.5%Landon69,403 | 1.9%Lemke3,271 | 171,525 | ||
| D | 50.3%Roosevelt66,458 | 46.3%Hoover61,143 | 3.3%Thomas4,421 | 132,022 | ||
| R | 27.7%Smith41,685 | 71.6%Hoover107,733 | 0.7%Thomas995 | 150,413 | ||
| R | 30.8%Davis32,210 | 58.5%Coolidge61,127 | 10.7%La Follette11,240 | 104,577 | ||
| R | 38.5%Cox32,197 | 57.7%Harding48,194 | 3.8%Debs3,152 | 83,543 | ||
| D | 51.3%Wilson32,393 | 44.0%Hughes27,775 | 4.6%Benson2,919 | 63,087 | ||
| D | 48.0%Wilson29,474 | 15.1%Taft9,272 | 36.9%Roosevelt22,692 | 61,438 | ||
| D | 48.8%Bryan32,202 | 46.8%Taft30,840 | 4.4%Debs2,886 | 65,928 | ||
| R | 44.8%Parker27,418 | 51.2%Roosevelt31,305 | 4.0%Debs2,474 | 61,197 | ||
| D | 51.8%Bryan31,218 | 45.5%McKinley27,435 | 2.7%Woolley1,619 | 60,272 | ||
| D | 48.4%Bryan28,023 | 48.2%McKinley27,866 | 3.4%Palmer1,969 | 57,858 | ||
| D | 57.0%Cleveland28,762 | 40.3%Harrison20,342 | 2.7%Weaver1,388 | 50,492 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +16.7% |
| 1896 | +0.3% |
| 1900 | +6.3% |
| 1904 | −6.4% |
| 1908 | +2.1% |
| 1912 | +32.9% |
| 1916 | +7.3% |
| 1920 | −19.1% |
| 1924 | −27.7% |
| 1928 | −43.9% |
| 1932 | +4.0% |
| 1936 | +17.2% |
| 1940 | +8.3% |
| 1944 | +2.5% |
| 1948 | −0.1% |
| 1952 | −10.1% |
| 1956 | −21.1% |
| 1960 | −7.9% |
| 1964 | +37.8% |
| 1968 | +3.1% |
| 1972 | −21.9% |
| 1976 | +4.6% |
| 1980 | −12.7% |
| 1984 | −16.9% |
| 1988 | −12.0% |
| 1992 | +3.0% |
| 1996 | +4.6% |
| 2000 | +0.8% |
| 2004 | −1.9% |
| 2008 | +9.4% |
| 2012 | +2.5% |
| 2016 | −5.2% |
| 2020 | −1.2% |
| 2024 | −4.9% |
Once reliably blue owing to its steel-and-manufacturing labor base, the Lehigh Valley has shifted markedly in recent cycles, with its large and growing Latino population now a closely watched variable in statewide Pennsylvania contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 43.9 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 3.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.9 points.
A population of 873,603, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $85,100 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kiryas Joel-Poughkeepsie-Newburgh, NY and Reading, PA.
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/10900/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.