akashic
1876–2024
Lehigh County, Pennsylvania
Lehigh County·Pennsylvania

Lehigh County delivered a near-tie in 2024.

A once-reliably Republican suburb now decided by single digits

18762024·38 elections
Lehigh County, Pennsylvania · Smallbones · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
D+3
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
378,792
2024 ACS
Most similar
Clark County
NV · similarity 0.95
158 precincts · 190,368 votes cast
Harris · D+3
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
+2.7%
96,31791,207190,368
2020D
+7.6%
98,28884,259184,713
2016D
+4.7%
81,32473,690162,733
2012D
+7.7%
78,28366,874147,224
2008D
+15.5%
87,08963,382152,473
2004D
+2.6%
73,94070,160145,091
2000D
+1.0%
56,66755,492116,307
1996D
+3.3%
48,56845,103106,110
1992D
+3.6%
46,71142,631114,836
1988R
−13.5%
42,80156,363100,107
1984R
−20.0%
41,08961,799103,537
1980R
−16.6%
34,82750,78295,985
1976R
−0.3%
46,62046,89595,308
1972R
−26.6%
33,32558,02393,002
1968R
−3.4%
44,03347,25595,408
1964D
+30.2%
60,37732,24593,093
1960R
−15.5%
39,64054,27894,167
1956R
−26.9%
29,06750,56479,882
1952R
−15.4%
33,03345,14378,479
1948R
−9.0%
26,82632,20260,022
1944R
−4.0%
29,13431,58461,033
1940D
+5.4%
33,00729,58462,950
1936D
+15.1%
35,32525,84162,621
1932D
+1.7%
21,93921,16945,093
1928R
−49.5%
13,46340,29154,188
1924R
−29.5%
10,41520,82635,284
1920R
−23.7%
10,86318,03230,310
1916D
+5.6%
11,92010,58823,702
1912D
+36.4%
10,8342,72222,311
1908R
−1.3%
11,28511,59323,757
1904R
−7.5%
10,13811,82622,358
1900D
+3.2%
10,4389,77520,517
1896R
−0.7%
9,3699,50719,443
1892D
+15.3%
9,6997,08917,019
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Italian
2.2%
French
1.2%
African American
5.2%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
17.0%
Mainline Protestant
11.0%
Other Christian
7.0%
Non-Christian
2.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.3%
Methodist
0.9%
Baptist
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 59.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Lehigh County anchors Pennsylvania's Lehigh Valley and has shifted steadily toward competitive territory over the past decade, with its mix of mid-sized-city voters in Allentown and growing Latino population reshaping its presidential margins.

The county's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached thirty-six points in 1912; the Republican margin reached fifty points in 1928. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Lehigh County's demographics — a population of 378,792, a 62% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $80,079 — situate the county close to national averages on several dimensions. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Clark County and Caledonia County.