HarrisDemocratic48.6%86,655TrumpRepublican50.4%89,817SteinIndependent0.5%930
R+1.8- Lead
- 3,162
- Total
- 178,215
- vs nation
- R+0.3
- Turnout
- 72.4%
Akashiccounty
Northampton County, PA
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 72.4% of 247,921 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic49.8%85,087TrumpRepublican49.1%83,854JorgensenLibertarian1.2%2,001
D+0.7- Lead
- 1,233
- Total
- 170,942
- vs nation
- R+3.7
- Turnout
- 73.5%
ClintonDemocratic45.8%66,275TrumpRepublican49.6%71,736JohnsonLibertarian2.6%3,690
R+3.8- Lead
- 5,461
- Total
- 144,569
- vs nation
- R+5.9
- Turnout
- 63.1%
ObamaDemocratic51.6%67,606RomneyRepublican46.9%61,446JohnsonLibertarian0.9%1,188
D+4.7- Lead
- 6,160
- Total
- 131,044
- vs nation
- D+0.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic55.5%75,255McCainRepublican43.2%58,551OtherAll other candidates1.3%1,781
D+12.3- Lead
- 16,704
- Total
- 135,587
- vs nation
- D+5.0
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic50.0%63,446BushRepublican49.0%62,102OtherAll other candidates1.0%1,301
D+1.1- Lead
- 1,344
- Total
- 126,849
- vs nation
- D+3.5
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic50.7%53,097BushRepublican45.3%47,396NaderGreen2.9%3,012
D+5.4- Lead
- 5,701
- Total
- 104,690
- vs nation
- D+4.9
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic48.3%43,959DoleRepublican39.3%35,726PerotReform10.8%9,848
D+9.0- Lead
- 8,233
- Total
- 91,002
- vs nation
- D+0.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+1.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 318,5802024 5-year
- Population density
- 861 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 370 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $89,1842024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 72.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+46.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43.1 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Ulster County, NY · twin score 94.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 72.4%179,570 participants ÷ 247,921 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +19.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- +2.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 52.9%–56.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 145,570 | 230,618 | 63.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 116,883 | 232,418 | 50.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 172,371 | 234,634 | 73.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 131,383 | 243,522 | 54.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 179,570 | 247,921 | 72.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Northampton County, PA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
73.1%
58,818 votes · D+46.9
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 60.3%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
71.1%
37,403 votes · R+43.1
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 58.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
86,655votes
48.6% of the vote · R+1.8
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 85,087 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
89,817votes
50.4% of the vote · R+1.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 83,854 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+24.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+46.9 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Grover Cleveland, 1892 · +17.8 pts
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
+25.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+43.1 · U.S. R+17.5
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1932 · +10.8 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026D+3.9
Presidential vote · 2024R+1.8
Northampton County, PA registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 5.6-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
231,973 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+1,089 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +13,382 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $69,127 in average income, against $94,217 for residents who stayed — 27% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+4.9 on average — 6.6 points more Democratic-leaning than Northampton County, PA itself (R+1.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lehigh County, PA2,664D+2.7
- Monroe County, PA496R+0.8
- Warren County, NJ416R+20.7
- Bucks County, PA224R+0.1
- Philadelphia County, PA188D+58.8
- Montgomery County, PA171D+22.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lehigh County, PA2,394
- Monroe County, PA385
- Carbon County, PA218
- Bucks County, PA216
- Warren County, NJ215
- Philadelphia County, PA211
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −274 |
| 2012 | +101 |
| 2013 | −575 |
| 2014 | +93 |
| 2015 | +148 |
| 2016 | +688 |
| 2017 | +1,079 |
| 2018 | +1,221 |
| 2019 | +689 |
| 2021 | +6,104 |
| 2022 | +64 |
| 2023 | +1,933 |
| 2024 | +1,022 |
| 2025 | +1,089 |
Northampton County has swung between parties in consecutive presidential cycles, making it one of Pennsylvania's closest-watched suburban-industrial bellwethers. Its mix of post-industrial Easton, growing exurbs, and rural townships keeps margins razor-thin.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 46.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 43.1 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.8 points.
A population of 318,580, a 72% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $89,184 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Ulster County and Burlington County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Ulster County
New York
94.1twin score
2000–2024 trajectory≠ Irish ancestry
Burlington County
New Jersey
93.9twin score
2004–2024 trajectorypopulation scale≠ median income
Lehigh County
Pennsylvania
93.4twin score
2004–2024 trajectory≠ Italian ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Northampton County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42095/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Northampton County, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Northampton County, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 1.8 points (R+1.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 178,215 votes cast, 86,655 went Democratic and 89,817 went Republican.
When did Northampton County, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Northampton County, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Northampton County, Pennsylvania?
Northampton County, Pennsylvania has a population of 318,580 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Northampton County, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Northampton County, Pennsylvania is $89,184 — above the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Northampton County, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Northampton County, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.