Northampton County, Pennsylvania: Democratic loyalist county. In 2024, voted R+2%. Democratic peak: D+47 in 1964.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+2MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Democratic loyalistAkashic typology
- Population
- 318,5802024 5-year
- Median household income
- $89,1842024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 74.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+47 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Muskegon County, MI · similarity 0.93
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 86,655 | 89,817 | 178,695 | ||
| D | 85,087 | 83,854 | 170,942 | ||
| R | 66,275 | 71,736 | 144,569 | ||
| D | 67,606 | 61,446 | 131,044 | ||
| D | 75,255 | 58,551 | 135,587 | ||
| D | 63,446 | 62,102 | 126,849 | ||
| D | 53,097 | 47,396 | 104,690 | ||
| D | 43,959 | 35,726 | 91,002 | ||
| D | 42,203 | 34,429 | 97,525 | ||
| R | 39,264 | 42,748 | 82,978 | ||
| R | 37,979 | 44,648 | 83,467 | ||
| R | 31,920 | 35,787 | 76,037 | ||
| D | 42,514 | 32,926 | 76,961 | ||
| R | 32,335 | 41,822 | 74,281 | ||
| D | 42,554 | 32,033 | 78,130 | ||
| D | 58,818 | 21,048 | 80,485 | ||
| D | 41,552 | 40,683 | 82,306 | ||
| R | 33,749 | 43,375 | 77,697 | ||
| R | 36,993 | 39,131 | 76,738 | ||
| D | 33,209 | 27,030 | 61,504 | ||
| D | 32,584 | 26,643 | 59,519 | ||
| D | 33,304 | 25,385 | 58,958 | ||
| D | 36,871 | 22,827 | 61,136 | ||
| D | 24,009 | 20,779 | 46,133 | ||
| R | 14,768 | 37,403 | 52,575 | ||
| R | 11,459 | 20,459 | 35,022 | ||
| R | 9,086 | 14,227 | 24,204 | ||
| D | 11,000 | 9,610 | 21,660 | ||
| D | 10,325 | 3,893 | 21,736 | ||
| D | 11,365 | 10,857 | 23,145 | ||
| R | 9,914 | 11,039 | 21,557 | ||
| D | 11,412 | 9,849 | 21,817 | ||
| D | 10,032 | 9,762 | 20,511 | ||
| D | 10,320 | 6,892 | 17,579 | ||
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Demographics
Northampton County has swung between parties in consecutive presidential cycles, making it one of Pennsylvania's closest-watched suburban-industrial bellwethers. Its mix of post-industrial Easton, growing exurbs, and rural townships keeps margins razor-thin.
The Democratic margin in Northampton County reached its widest at forty-seven points in 1964. The margin in 2024 was two points — a notable narrowing.
Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $89,184, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 318,580 together describe a community whose political habits are deeply settled. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Muskegon County and Roosevelt County.
Northampton County, Pennsylvania — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://akashic.app/county/42095/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
