- Lead
- 19,322
- Total
- 28,160
- vs nation
- R+67.1
- Turnout
- 74.3%
Bedford County, PA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 74.3% of 38,028 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 18,658
- Total
- 27,574
- vs nation
- R+72.1
- Turnout
- 71.7%
- Lead
- 15,907
- Total
- 23,675
- vs nation
- R+69.3
- Turnout
- 61.7%
- Lead
- 11,914
- Total
- 21,750
- vs nation
- R+58.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 10,065
- Total
- 22,443
- vs nation
- R+52.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 10,590
- Total
- 22,679
- vs nation
- R+44.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 8,124
- Total
- 19,435
- vs nation
- R+42.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,110
- Total
- 18,127
- vs nation
- R+31.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+68.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 47,5132024 5-year
- Median household income
- $59,9922024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 95.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+21.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+68.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Fulton County, PA · twin score 95.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 74.3%28,252 participants ÷ 38,028 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 61.1%–61.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 23,863 | 38,649 | 61.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 19,069 | 38,706 | 49.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 27,670 | 38,594 | 71.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 22,368 | 38,224 | 58.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 28,252 | 38,028 | 74.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
82 precincts · 28,160 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0390420090390 | 256 | 1,560 | 5 | 1,821 | 14.1% | 85.7% | R+71.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0020420090020 | 326 | 1,389 | 10 | 1,725 | 18.9% | 80.5% | R+61.6 |
| Precinct 0120420090120 | 271 | 1,433 | 10 | 1,714 | 15.8% | 83.6% | R+67.8 |
| Precinct 0010420090010 | 223 | 1,242 | 10 | 1,475 | 15.1% | 84.2% | R+69.1 |
| Precinct 0270420090270 | 173 | 1,179 | 4 | 1,356 | 12.8% | 86.9% | R+74.2 |
| Precinct 0150420090150 | 159 | 1,002 | 2 | 1,163 | 13.7% | 86.2% | R+72.5 |
| Precinct 0330420090330 | 239 | 869 | 8 | 1,116 | 21.4% | 77.9% | R+56.5 |
| Precinct 0340420090340 | 98 | 1,005 | 3 | 1,106 | 8.9% | 90.9% | R+82.0 |
| Precinct 0400420090400 | 146 | 906 | 5 | 1,057 | 13.8% | 85.7% | R+71.9 |
| Precinct 0110420090110 | 106 | 907 | 5 | 1,018 | 10.4% | 89.1% | R+78.7 |
| Precinct 0230420090230 | 104 | 846 | 4 | 954 | 10.9% | 88.7% | R+77.8 |
| Precinct 0100420090100 | 145 | 786 | 8 | 939 | 15.4% | 83.7% | R+68.3 |
| Precinct 0190420090190 | 128 | 778 | 3 | 909 | 14.1% | 85.6% | R+71.5 |
| Precinct 0040420090040 | 268 | 605 | 14 | 887 | 30.2% | 68.2% | R+38.0 |
| Precinct 0030420090030 | 256 | 600 | 10 | 866 | 29.6% | 69.3% | R+39.7 |
| Precinct 0210420090210 | 156 | 690 | 1 | 847 | 18.4% | 81.5% | R+63.0 |
| Precinct 0260420090260 | 105 | 724 | 5 | 834 | 12.6% | 86.8% | R+74.2 |
| Precinct 0130420090130 | 139 | 631 | 5 | 775 | 17.9% | 81.4% | R+63.5 |
| Precinct 0065420090065 | 125 | 617 | 4 | 746 | 16.8% | 82.7% | R+66.0 |
| Precinct 0200420090200 | 65 | 670 | 3 | 738 | 8.8% | 90.8% | R+82.0 |
| Precinct 0090420090090 | 104 | 622 | 5 | 731 | 14.2% | 85.1% | R+70.9 |
| Precinct 0180420090180 | 93 | 503 | 8 | 604 | 15.4% | 83.3% | R+67.9 |
| Precinct 0410420090410 | 61 | 527 | 3 | 591 | 10.3% | 89.2% | R+78.8 |
| Precinct 0140420090140 | 93 | 479 | 5 | 577 | 16.1% | 83.0% | R+66.9 |
| Precinct 0050420090050 | 66 | 485 | 3 | 554 | 11.9% | 87.5% | R+75.6 |
| Precinct 0355420090355 | 68 | 452 | 2 | 522 | 13.0% | 86.6% | R+73.6 |
| Precinct 0170420090170 | 69 | 392 | 4 | 465 | 14.8% | 84.3% | R+69.5 |
| Precinct 0240420090240 | 31 | 314 | 1 | 346 | 9.0% | 90.8% | R+81.8 |
| Precinct 0310420090310 | 65 | 247 | 4 | 316 | 20.6% | 78.2% | R+57.6 |
| Precinct 0220420090220 | 24 | 242 | 0 | 266 | 9.0% | 91.0% | R+82.0 |
| Precinct 0320420090320 | 26 | 165 | 3 | 194 | 13.4% | 85.1% | R+71.6 |
| Precinct 0380420090380 | 22 | 166 | 2 | 190 | 11.6% | 87.4% | R+75.8 |
| Precinct 0420420090420 | 29 | 131 | 0 | 160 | 18.1% | 81.9% | R+63.7 |
| Precinct 0250420090250 | 27 | 123 | 3 | 153 | 17.6% | 80.4% | R+62.7 |
| Precinct 0290420090290 | 11 | 86 | 0 | 97 | 11.3% | 88.7% | R+77.3 |
| Precinct 0280420090280 | 22 | 72 | 1 | 95 | 23.2% | 75.8% | R+52.6 |
| Precinct 0160420090160 | 13 | 77 | 2 | 92 | 14.1% | 83.7% | R+69.6 |
| Precinct 0300420090300 | 6 | 59 | 1 | 66 | 9.1% | 89.4% | R+80.3 |
| Precinct 0080420090080 | 12 | 41 | 0 | 53 | 22.6% | 77.4% | R+54.7 |
| Precinct 0370420090370 | 6 | 36 | 0 | 42 | 14.3% | 85.7% | R+71.4 |
| BEDFORD TWP VTD 0142_4200910 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BEDFORD TWP VTD 0242_4200920 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BEDFORD WD EAST Voting District42_4200930 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BEDFORD WD WEST Voting District42_4200940 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BLOOMFIELD TWP Voting District42_4200950 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BROAD TOP TWP VTD 0142_4200960 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BROAD TOP TWP VTD 0242_4200970 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| COALDALE Voting District42_4200980 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| COLERAIN TWP Voting District42_4200990 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CUMBERLAND VALLEY TWP Voting District42_42009100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EAST PROVIDENCE TWP Voting District42_42009110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EAST ST. CLAIR TWP Voting District42_42009120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EVERETT Voting District42_42009130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARRISON TWP Voting District42_42009140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HOPEWELL TWP Voting District42_42009150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HOPEWELL Voting District42_42009160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HYNDMAN Voting District42_42009170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JUNIATA TWP Voting District42_42009180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KIMMEL TWP Voting District42_42009190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KING TWP Voting District42_42009200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LIBERTY TWP Voting District42_42009210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LINCOLN TWP Voting District42_42009220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LONDONDERRY TWP Voting District42_42009230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MANN TWP Voting District42_42009240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MANNS CHOICE Voting District42_42009250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MONROE TWP Voting District42_42009260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NAPIER TWP Voting District42_42009270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEW PARIS Voting District42_42009280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PAVIA TWP Voting District42_42009380 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PLEASANTVILLE Voting District42_42009290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RAINSBURG Voting District42_42009300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SAXTON Voting District42_42009310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SCHELLSBURG Voting District42_42009320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SNAKE SPRING TWP Voting District42_42009330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SOUTH HAMPTON TWP VTD 0142_42009350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SOUTH WOODBURY TWP Voting District42_42009340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SOUTHAMPTON TWP VTD 0342_42009360 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ST. CLAIRSVILLE Voting District42_42009370 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WEST PROVIDENCE TWP Voting District42_42009390 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WEST ST. CLAIR TWP Voting District42_42009400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WOODBURY TWP Voting District42_42009410 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WOODBURY Voting District42_42009420 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −7.6% |
| 1896 | −15.8% |
| 1900 | −16.1% |
| 1904 | −26.5% |
| 1908 | −18.9% |
| 1912 | +21.2% |
| 1916 | −6.3% |
| 1920 | −34.1% |
| 1924 | −38.5% |
| 1928 | −64.9% |
| 1932 | −12.5% |
| 1936 | −0.4% |
| 1940 | −9.1% |
| 1944 | −25.3% |
| 1948 | −22.0% |
| 1952 | −28.3% |
| 1956 | −30.8% |
| 1960 | −35.0% |
| 1964 | +7.0% |
| 1968 | −34.9% |
| 1972 | −48.3% |
| 1976 | −16.7% |
| 1980 | −36.4% |
| 1984 | −41.3% |
| 1988 | −31.6% |
| 1992 | −17.9% |
| 1996 | −22.7% |
| 2000 | −41.8% |
| 2004 | −46.7% |
| 2008 | −44.8% |
| 2012 | −54.8% |
| 2016 | −67.2% |
| 2020 | −67.7% |
| 2024 | −68.6% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 10 points more Democratic.
33,042 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−23 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −399 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $56,915 in average income, against $65,881 for residents who stayed — 14% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+42.2 on average — 26 points more Democratic-leaning than Bedford County, PA itself (R+68.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Blair County, PA154R+43.5
- Allegany County, MD36R+40.2
- Huntingdon County, PA33R+52.9
- Cambria County, PA32R+39.7
- Franklin County, PA29R+43.0
- Somerset County, PA27R+57.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Blair County, PA183
- Huntingdon County, PA51
- Cambria County, PA37
- Allegany County, MD36
- Somerset County, PA33
- Allegheny County, PA29
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −2 |
| 2012 | −8 |
| 2013 | −222 |
| 2014 | −85 |
| 2015 | −291 |
| 2016 | −31 |
| 2017 | −95 |
| 2018 | −191 |
| 2019 | −103 |
| 2021 | +170 |
| 2022 | +189 |
| 2023 | +121 |
| 2024 | +172 |
| 2025 | −23 |
Bedford County's R+68.6 margin in 2024 placed it among the most Republican-leaning counties in the state, reflecting a rural Appalachian electorate where Democrats have shed support steadily over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 68.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 68.6 points.
A population of 47,513, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,992 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Fulton County and Ritchie County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Bedford County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42009/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.