- Lead
- 5,937
- Total
- 8,177
- vs nation
- R+71.1
- Turnout
- 70.8%
Fulton County, PA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 70.8% of 11,630 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 5,739
- Total
- 7,977
- vs nation
- R+76.4
- Turnout
- 69.5%
- Lead
- 4,782
- Total
- 6,822
- vs nation
- R+72.2
- Turnout
- 59.9%
- Lead
- 3,504
- Total
- 6,221
- vs nation
- R+60.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,066
- Total
- 6,306
- vs nation
- R+55.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,297
- Total
- 6,271
- vs nation
- R+50.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,328
- Total
- 5,285
- vs nation
- R+44.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,045
- Total
- 4,868
- vs nation
- R+30.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+72.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 14,5312024 5-year
- Median household income
- $65,8362024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+36.9 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+72.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Bedford County, PA · twin score 95.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 70.8%8,231 participants ÷ 11,630 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 55.7%–56.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 6,877 | 11,479 | 59.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 5,354 | 11,512 | 46.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 8,036 | 11,570 | 69.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 6,310 | 11,612 | 54.3% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 8,231 | 11,630 | 70.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
26 precincts · 8,177 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0010420570010 | 165 | 1,013 | 4 | 1,182 | 14.0% | 85.7% | R+71.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0060420570060 | 99 | 780 | 5 | 884 | 11.2% | 88.2% | R+77.0 |
| Precinct 0100420570100 | 155 | 680 | 5 | 840 | 18.5% | 81.0% | R+62.5 |
| Precinct 0030420570030 | 108 | 710 | 6 | 824 | 13.1% | 86.2% | R+73.1 |
| Precinct 0020420570020 | 86 | 729 | 2 | 817 | 10.5% | 89.2% | R+78.7 |
| Precinct 0090420570090 | 76 | 597 | 1 | 674 | 11.3% | 88.6% | R+77.3 |
| Precinct 0050420570050 | 67 | 582 | 0 | 649 | 10.3% | 89.7% | R+79.4 |
| Precinct 0080420570080 | 71 | 564 | 2 | 637 | 11.1% | 88.5% | R+77.4 |
| Precinct 0070420570070 | 134 | 355 | 4 | 493 | 27.2% | 72.0% | R+44.8 |
| Precinct 0110420570110 | 42 | 423 | 2 | 467 | 9.0% | 90.6% | R+81.6 |
| Precinct 0040420570040 | 61 | 373 | 4 | 438 | 13.9% | 85.2% | R+71.2 |
| Precinct 0130420570130 | 32 | 229 | 1 | 262 | 12.2% | 87.4% | R+75.2 |
| Precinct 0120420570120 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 60.0% | 40.0% | D+20.0 |
| AYR TWP Voting District42_4205710 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BELFAST TWP Voting District42_4205720 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BETHEL TWP Voting District42_4205730 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRUSH CREEK TWP Voting District42_4205740 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DUBLIN TWP Voting District42_4205750 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LICKING CREEK TWP Voting District42_4205760 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MC CONNELLSBURG Voting District42_4205770 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TAYLOR TWP Voting District42_4205780 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| THOMPSON TWP Voting District42_4205790 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TODD TWP Voting District42_42057100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION TWP Voting District42_42057110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VALLEY-HI Voting District42_42057120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WELLS TWP Voting District42_42057130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +13.6% |
| 1896 | +6.9% |
| 1900 | +8.1% |
| 1904 | +1.6% |
| 1908 | +5.8% |
| 1912 | +36.9% |
| 1916 | +19.6% |
| 1920 | −2.4% |
| 1924 | +1.9% |
| 1928 | −34.5% |
| 1932 | +15.2% |
| 1936 | +7.6% |
| 1940 | −3.1% |
| 1944 | −8.5% |
| 1948 | −2.2% |
| 1952 | −10.6% |
| 1956 | −13.1% |
| 1960 | −23.4% |
| 1964 | +11.0% |
| 1968 | −25.8% |
| 1972 | −34.8% |
| 1976 | −11.9% |
| 1980 | −33.1% |
| 1984 | −42.5% |
| 1988 | −33.4% |
| 1992 | −19.3% |
| 1996 | −21.5% |
| 2000 | −44.0% |
| 2004 | −52.6% |
| 2008 | −48.6% |
| 2012 | −56.3% |
| 2016 | −70.1% |
| 2020 | −71.9% |
| 2024 | −72.6% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 13 points more Democratic.
10,113 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+26 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −33 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $52,167 in average income, against $66,338 for residents who stayed — 21% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+42.7 on average — 30 points more Democratic-leaning than Fulton County, PA itself (R+72.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Franklin County, PA76R+43.0
- Washington County, MD34R+22.9
- Bedford County, PA25R+68.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Franklin County, PA77
- Washington County, MD28
- Bedford County, PA26
- Huntingdon County, PA22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −104 |
| 2012 | −45 |
| 2013 | −56 |
| 2014 | −76 |
| 2015 | +23 |
| 2016 | +33 |
| 2017 | −18 |
| 2018 | +59 |
| 2019 | +15 |
| 2021 | +20 |
| 2022 | +98 |
| 2023 | +7 |
| 2024 | −15 |
| 2025 | +26 |
Fulton County, tucked in Pennsylvania's south-central ridge-and-valley terrain, recorded an R+72.6 presidential margin in 2024 — among the widest in the state — reflecting a rural, small-population electorate with deeply consolidated partisan preferences.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 36.9 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 72.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 72.6 points.
A population of 14,531, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,836 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bedford County and Ritchie County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Fulton County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42057/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.