Akashic

county

Mifflin County, PA

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German30.6%21.6%12.5%

Irish12.0%14.8%9.4%

American11.2%4.4%5.3%

English6.9%8.3%9.5%

Italian2.4%10.6%4.8%

Polish1.7%5.4%2.2%

French1.3%—1.6%

Scottish1.2%1.1%1.3%

Puerto Rican1.5%3.7%1.8%

Mexican0.4%1.4%11.3%

Spanish0.2%——

African American†0.6%8.7%9.9%

Liberian0.4%——

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Mifflin County	Pennsylvania	United States
Median age	43.4	41.2	39.1
Age 18–24	7.0%	8.9%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	22.1%	19.5%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Mifflin County	Pennsylvania	United States
Median household income	$63,953	$77,971	$84,427
Poverty rate	16.2%	11.7%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	14.9%	35.2%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Mifflin County	Pennsylvania	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	10.0%	12.4%	22.3%
German or other West Germanic	8.7%	0.9%	0.5%

Religious landscape

Measure	Mifflin County	Pennsylvania	United States
Catholic	2.5%	21.9%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	26.3%	9.3%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	52.3%	53.1%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	17.6%	10.3%	5.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 62.3% of 35,427 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic21.5%4,735TrumpRepublican77.9%17,184OliverLibertarian0.4%95

R+56.4

Lead: 12,449
Total: 22,071
vs nation: R+54.9
Turnout: 62.3%

BidenDemocratic21.4%4,603TrumpRepublican77.5%16,670JorgensenLibertarian1.1%229

R+56.1

Lead: 12,067
Total: 21,502
vs nation: R+60.6
Turnout: 60.5%

ClintonDemocratic20.7%3,877TrumpRepublican75.3%14,094JohnsonLibertarian2.5%476

R+54.6

Lead: 10,217
Total: 18,721
vs nation: R+56.7
Turnout: 52.2%

ObamaDemocratic26.0%4,273RomneyRepublican72.7%11,939JohnsonLibertarian0.7%107

R+46.7

Lead: 7,666
Total: 16,416
vs nation: R+50.6
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic32.6%5,375McCainRepublican66.2%10,929OtherAll other candidates1.2%198

R+33.7

Lead: 5,554
Total: 16,502
vs nation: R+40.9
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic29.1%4,889BushRepublican69.8%11,726OtherAll other candidates1.1%187

R+40.7

Lead: 6,837
Total: 16,802
vs nation: R+38.2
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic33.1%4,835BushRepublican64.3%9,400NaderGreen1.8%264

R+31.2

Lead: 4,565
Total: 14,614
vs nation: R+31.8
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic38.8%5,327DoleRepublican50.2%6,888PerotReform10.1%1,392

R+11.4

Lead: 1,561
Total: 13,718
vs nation: R+19.9
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+56.4MIT Election Lab
Population: 46,0412024 5-year
Median household income: $63,9532024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 93.3%2024 5-year
Black: 1.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 2.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+18.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+74.6 in 1928MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Juniata County, PA · twin score 91.7

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 62.3%22,071 participants ÷ 35,427 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +13.0 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: -3.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 49.3%–49.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	18,721	35,859	52.2%	C/A
2018 · Midterm	14,450	35,783	40.4%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	21,590	35,667	60.5%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	16,945	35,646	47.5%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	22,071	35,427	62.3%	C/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

56 precincts · 22,071 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Mifflin County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -Granville Township WestGranville Township West	331	1,329	17	1,677	19.7%	79.2%	R+59.5
Precinct -Union TownshipUnion Township	262	1,114	16	1,392	18.8%	80.0%	R+61.2
Precinct -Wayne TownshipWayne Township	180	1,147	8	1,335	13.5%	85.9%	R+72.4
Precinct -Armagh Township WestArmagh Township West	259	1,049	6	1,314	19.7%	79.8%	R+60.1
Precinct -Derry Township EastDerry Township East	300	932	9	1,241	24.2%	75.1%	R+50.9
Precinct -Brown Township Reedsville/BVBrown Township Reedsville/BV	296	890	2	1,188	24.9%	74.9%	R+50.0
Precinct -Derry Township SouthDerry Township South	304	822	4	1,130	26.9%	72.7%	R+45.8
Precinct -Oliver TownshipOliver Township	137	948	3	1,088	12.6%	87.1%	R+74.5
Precinct -Burnham BoroughBurnham Borough	234	773	9	1,016	23.0%	76.1%	R+53.1
Precinct -Derry Township NorthDerry Township North	217	789	7	1,013	21.4%	77.9%	R+56.5
Precinct -Lewistown SouthLewistown South	301	689	11	1,001	30.1%	68.8%	R+38.8
Precinct -Brown Township Church HillBrown Township Church Hill	281	640	12	933	30.1%	68.6%	R+38.5
Precinct -Decatur Township WestDecatur Township West	132	791	4	927	14.2%	85.3%	R+71.1
Precinct -Lewistown NorthLewistown North	263	597	7	867	30.3%	68.9%	R+38.5
Precinct -Granville Township EastGranville Township East	179	677	5	861	20.8%	78.6%	R+57.8
Precinct -Lewistown WestLewistown West	220	530	6	756	29.1%	70.1%	R+41.0
Precinct -Derry Township WestDerry Township West	164	535	2	701	23.4%	76.3%	R+52.9
Precinct -Lewistown CentralLewistown Central	244	436	10	690	35.4%	63.2%	R+27.8
Precinct -Decatur Township EastDecatur Township East	111	574	2	687	16.2%	83.6%	R+67.4
Precinct -Bratton TownshipBratton Township	59	573	2	634	9.3%	90.4%	R+81.1
Precinct -Armagh Township EastArmagh Township East	106	512	4	622	17.0%	82.3%	R+65.3
Precinct -Menno TownshipMenno Township	28	334	1	363	7.7%	92.0%	R+84.3
Precinct -Juniata Terrace BoroughJuniata Terrace Borough	62	172	1	235	26.4%	73.2%	R+46.8
Precinct -McVeytown BoroughMcVeytown Borough	38	151	2	191	19.9%	79.1%	R+59.2
Precinct -Kistler BoroughKistler Borough	24	114	2	140	17.1%	81.4%	R+64.3
Precinct -Newton Hamilton BoroughNewton Hamilton Borough	3	66	0	69	4.3%	95.7%	R+91.3
ARMAGH TWP VTD NEW42_4208710	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ARMAGH TWP VTD OLD42_4208720	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
BRATTON TWP Voting District42_4208730	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
BROWN TWP Voting District42_4208740	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
BURNHAM Voting District42_4208750	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DECATUR TWP VTD EAST42_4208760	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DECATUR TWP VTD WEST42_4208770	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DERRY TWP VTD EAST42_4208780	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DERRY TWP VTD NORTH42_4208790	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DERRY TWP VTD SOUTH42_42087100	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DERRY TWP VTD WEST42_42087110	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
GRANVILLE TWP VTD EAST42_42087120	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
GRANVILLE TWP VTD WEST42_42087130	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
JUNIATA TERRACE Voting District42_42087140	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
KISTLER Voting District42_42087150	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LEWISTOWN WD 01 PCT 0142_42087160	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LEWISTOWN WD 01 PCT 0242_42087170	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LEWISTOWN WD 0242_42087180	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LEWISTOWN WD 0342_42087190	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LEWISTOWN WD 0442_42087200	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LEWISTOWN WD 05 PCT 0142_42087210	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LEWISTOWN WD 05 PCT 0242_42087220	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LEWISTOWN WD 0642_42087230	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LEWISTOWN WD 0742_42087240	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MC VEYTOWN Voting District42_42087250	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MENNO TWP Voting District42_42087260	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
NEWTON HAMILTON Voting District42_42087270	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
OLIVER TWP Voting District42_42087280	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
UNION TWP Voting District42_42087290	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WAYNE TWP Voting District42_42087300	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−3.3%
1896	−12.4%
1900	−16.4%
1904	−36.3%
1908	−22.6%
1912	+16.7%
1916	−3.2%
1920	−22.4%
1924	−38.9%
1928	−74.6%
1932	−20.0%
1936	+16.4%
1940	+4.8%
1944	−4.3%
1948	−8.6%
1952	−18.8%
1956	−25.9%
1960	−36.2%
1964	+18.9%
1968	−16.7%
1972	−45.6%
1976	−10.5%
1980	−17.1%
1984	−27.3%
1988	−25.9%
1992	−9.2%
1996	−11.4%
2000	−31.2%
2004	−40.7%
2008	−33.7%
2012	−46.7%
2016	−54.6%
2020	−56.1%
2024	−56.4%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	21.5%Harris4,735	77.9%Trump17,184	0.4%Oliver95 +1	R+56.4	R+0.3	R+54.9	22,071
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican77.9%17,184 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic21.5%4,735 Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%95 Jill SteinIndependent0.3%57
2020	R	21.4%Biden4,603	77.5%Trump16,670	1.1%Jorgensen229	R+56.1	R+1.5	R+60.6	21,502
2016	R	20.7%Clinton3,877	75.3%Trump14,094	2.5%Johnson476	R+54.6	R+7.9	R+56.7	18,721
2012	R	26.0%Obama4,273	72.7%Romney11,939	0.7%Johnson107	R+46.7	R+13.0	R+50.6	16,416
2008	R	32.6%Obama5,375	66.2%McCain10,929	1.2%	R+33.7	D+7.0	R+40.9	16,502
2004	R	29.1%Kerry4,889	69.8%Bush11,726	1.1%	R+40.7	R+9.5	R+38.2	16,802
2000	R	33.1%Gore4,835	64.3%Bush9,400	1.8%Nader264	R+31.2	R+19.9	R+31.8	14,614
1996	R	38.8%Clinton5,327	50.2%Dole6,888	10.1%Perot1,392	R+11.4	R+2.2	R+19.9	13,718
1992	R	33.7%Clinton4,946	42.9%Bush6,300	23.0%Perot3,382	R+9.2	D+16.6	R+14.8	14,688
1988	R	36.6%Dukakis4,790	62.5%Bush8,170	0.9%	R+25.9	D+1.5	R+18.1	13,075
1984	R	36.0%Mondale5,178	63.4%Reagan9,106	0.6%	R+27.3	R+10.2	R+9.1	14,373
1980	R	38.7%Carter5,226	55.8%Reagan7,541	5.6%	R+17.1	R+6.6	R+7.4	13,520
1976	R	44.0%Carter6,210	54.6%Ford7,698	1.4%	R+10.5	D+35.1	R+12.6	14,109
1972	R	26.5%McGovern3,667	72.1%Nixon9,989	1.4%	R+45.6	R+28.9	R+22.5	13,855
1968	R	38.7%Humphrey5,681	55.3%Nixon8,133	6.0%	R+16.7	R+35.6	R+16.0	14,698
1964	D	59.3%Johnson8,811	40.4%Goldwater6,006	0.3%	D+18.9	D+55.1	R+3.7	14,856
1960	R	31.7%Kennedy4,816	67.8%Nixon10,315	0.5%	R+36.2	R+10.2	R+36.3	15,203
1956	R	37.0%Stevenson5,078	62.9%Eisenhower8,638	0.1%	R+25.9	R+7.2	R+10.5	13,725
1952	R	40.5%Stevenson5,889	59.2%Eisenhower8,620	0.3%	R+18.8	R+10.2	R+8.0	14,556
1948	R	45.3%Truman4,762	53.8%Dewey5,666	0.9%	R+8.6	R+4.3	R+13.1	10,523
1944	R	47.6%Roosevelt5,693	51.9%Dewey6,205	0.5%	R+4.3	R+9.1	R+11.8	11,952
1940	D	52.3%Roosevelt6,993	47.5%Willkie6,352	0.3%	D+4.8	R+11.6	R+5.2	13,379
1936	D	58.0%Roosevelt9,581	41.6%Landon6,867	0.5%	D+16.4	D+36.4	R+7.8	16,525
1932	R	39.0%Roosevelt3,654	59.0%Hoover5,525	2.1%	R+20.0	D+54.6	R+37.8	9,372
1928	R	12.4%Smith1,270	87.0%Hoover8,932	0.7%	R+74.6	R+35.7	R+57.1	10,270
1924	R	28.0%Davis1,999	66.9%Coolidge4,780	4.5%La Follette322	R+38.9	R+16.5	R+13.8	7,143
1920	R	36.5%Cox2,400	58.9%Harding3,872	4.6%	R+22.4	R+19.3	D+3.8	6,571
1916	R	44.2%Wilson1,965	47.4%Hughes2,105	8.4%	R+3.2	R+19.8	R+6.3	4,444
1912	O	31.3%Wilson1,400	14.6%Taft654	54.2%	Roosevelt +22.9	D+39.2	R+2.9	4,480
1908	R	36.8%Bryan1,799	59.4%Taft2,902	3.8%	R+22.6	D+13.7	R+13.0	4,886
1904	R	29.8%Parker1,378	66.1%Roosevelt3,054	4.1%	R+36.3	R+19.9	R+16.6	4,620
1900	R	40.1%Bryan1,842	56.5%McKinley2,594	3.4%	R+16.4	R+3.9	R+8.8	4,593
1896	R	41.8%Bryan2,052	54.2%McKinley2,662	4.0%	R+12.4	R+9.1	R+6.3	4,910
1892	R	46.5%Cleveland2,029	49.8%Harrison2,175	3.7%	R+3.3	—	R+5.0	4,366
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	20.9%4,524	79.1%17,132	21,656
2020	R	20.4%4,313	79.6%16,826	21,139
2018	R	22.9%3,130	77.1%10,537	13,667

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	22.7%4,991	74.8%16,413	21,946
2022	R	23.6%3,965	73.1%12,263	16,785
2018Class I	R	28.6%Bob Casey Jr.3,934	69.5%Lou Barletta9,564	13,752
2016Class III	R	22.1%Katie McGinty4,031	71.9%Pat Toomey13,089	18,213
2012Class I	R	30.3%Bob Casey Jr.4,937	68.1%Tom Smith11,099	16,304
2010Class III	R	24.5%Joe Sestak2,975	75.5%Pat Toomey9,182	12,157
2006Class I	R	42.5%Bob Casey Jr.5,247	57.5%Rick Santorum7,097	12,346
2004Class III	R	24.3%Joseph Hoeffel3,983	69.5%Arlen Specter11,380	16,365
2000Class I	R	28.5%Rob Klink4,021	69.3%Rick Santorum9,768	14,091
1998Class III	R	26.6%Bill Lloyd2,499	70.4%Arlen Specter6,611	9,386
1994Class I	R	40.1%Harris Wofford4,378	56.7%Rick Santorum6,188	10,906
1992Class III	R	43.0%Lynn Yeakel6,077	51.6%Arlen Specter7,280	14,122
1988Class I	R	23.1%Joseph C. Vignola2,920	76.0%John Heinz9,586	12,616
1986Class III	R	37.0%Bob Edgar3,846	62.1%Arlen Specter6,466	10,408
1982Class I	R	29.7%Cyril H. Wecht3,268	68.5%John Heinz7,538	11,009
1980Class III	R	42.5%Peter Flaherty5,570	56.0%Arlen Specter7,344	13,112
1976Class I	R	41.2%William J. Green III5,740	58.1%John Heinz8,093	13,935
1974Class III	R	29.9%Peter Flaherty3,100	68.9%Richard Schweiker7,143	10,360
1970Class I	R	35.5%William G. Sesler3,975	62.0%Hugh Scott6,937	11,187
1968Class III	R	40.3%Joseph S. Clark5,797	58.2%Richard Schweiker8,357	14,367
1964Class I	R	46.9%Genevieve Blatt6,889	52.9%Hugh Scott7,764	14,689
1962Class III	R	42.4%Joseph S. Clark5,622	57.5%James E. Van Zandt7,625	13,271
1958Class I	R	42.6%George M. Leader5,021	57.0%Hugh Scott6,710	11,774
1956Class III	R	44.6%Joseph S. Clark6,049	55.2%James H. Duff7,491	13,560
1952Class I	R	41.2%Guy Kurtz Bard5,940	57.4%Edward Martin8,270	14,415
1950Class III	R	46.4%Francis Myers5,128	52.9%James H. Duff5,849	11,052
1946Class I	R	37.7%Joseph F. Guffey3,123	61.5%Edward Martin5,099	8,294
1944Class III	R	45.9%Francis Myers5,377	53.5%James J. Davis6,271	11,714
1940Class I	D	51.0%Joseph F. Guffey6,743	48.4%Jay Cooke6,402	13,225
1938Class III	R	43.1%George H. Earle6,212	56.4%James J. Davis8,129	14,416
1934Class I	D	50.5%Joseph F. Guffey5,089	47.5%David A. Reed4,781	10,069
1932Class III	R	36.5%Lawrence H. Rupp3,237	55.9%James J. Davis4,957	8,863
1928Class I	R	16.6%William N. McNair1,639	82.1%David A. Reed8,120	9,891
1926Class III	D	64.5%William B. Wilson2,905	29.6%William S. Vare1,333	4,507
1922Class I	R	42.8%Samuel E. Shull1,821	49.9%David A. Reed2,125	4,256
1920Class III	R	38.1%John A. Farrell2,425	52.3%Boies Penrose3,330	6,372
1916Class I	R	40.0%Ellis Orvis1,595	49.2%Philander Knox1,961	3,984
1914Class III	R	27.6%A. Mitchell Palmer1,106	33.1%Boies Penrose1,327	4,013

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1991Special · Class I	R	44.1%Harris Wofford4,616	55.9%Richard Thornburgh5,844	10,460
1930Special · Class III	R	21.4%Sedgwick Kistler1,670	76.2%James J. Davis5,942	7,795
1922Special · Class III	R	43.2%Fred B. Kerr1,849	51.5%George W. Pepper2,202	4,277

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	30.4%Joshua D Shapiro5,119	68.0%Douglas V Mastriano11,460	16,847
2018	R	30.0%Thomas W Wolf4,127	68.4%Scott R Wagner9,408	13,745
2014	R	32.3%Tom Wolf3,492	67.7%Tom Corbett7,318	10,810
2010	R	21.2%Dan Onorato2,587	78.8%Tom Corbett9,642	12,229
2006	R	38.2%Ed Rendell4,730	61.8%Lynn Swann7,642	12,372
2002	R	31.3%Ed Rendell3,362	66.3%Mike Fisher7,122	10,734
1998	R	20.6%Ivan Itkin2,010	71.0%Tom Ridge6,914	9,736
1994	R	35.4%Mark Singel4,068	53.5%Tom Ridge6,140	11,484
1990	D	69.9%Bob Casey6,472	30.1%Barbara Hafer2,781	9,253
1986	R	44.3%Bob Casey4,683	54.8%Bill Scranton III5,788	10,566
1982	R	43.0%Allen Ertel4,948	55.6%Dick Thornburgh6,391	11,494
1978	R	40.9%Pete Flaherty4,406	58.2%Dick Thornburgh6,266	10,764

voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Party registration · 2026R+48.9

Presidential vote · 2024R+56.4

Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 7.5 points more Democratic.

27,120 registered voters · 2026

Democratic19.8%Republican68.7%Unaffiliated9.2%Other2.3%

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+124 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −651 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $46,387 in average income, against $61,968 for residents who stayed — 25% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+35.0 on average — 21 points more Democratic-leaning than Mifflin County, PA itself (R+56.4).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Huntingdon County, PA98R+52.9
Juniata County, PA91R+61.4
Centre County, PA79D+2.8
Snyder County, PA33R+47.0
Dauphin County, PA28D+5.9
Lancaster County, PA23R+16.0

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Huntingdon County, PA97
Juniata County, PA62
Centre County, PA55
Snyder County, PA27

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Mifflin County, PA in Mifflin County, PA: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	+42
2012	−91
2013	−204
2014	−182
2015	−92
2016	−180
2017	−15
2018	−147
2019	−128
2021	+192
2022	−45
2023	+14
2024	+61
2025	+124

Mifflin County, anchored by Lewistown in the Juniata River valley, delivered a 56-point Republican margin in 2024—among the widest in a state notorious for its sharp rural-urban divide.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 18.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 74.6 points in 1928. The 2024 margin was 56.4 points.

A population of 46,041, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,953 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Juniata County and Bedford County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

2012 margin% Whitecollege share≠ 2000 margin

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

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Cities & towns in Mifflin County

Lewistown

R+37

8.5K residents

Pennsylvania at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2022 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Mifflin County, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?

In 2024, Mifflin County, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 56.4 points (R+56.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 22,071 votes cast, 4,735 went Democratic and 17,184 went Republican.

When did Mifflin County, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Mifflin County, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1964.

How many people live in Mifflin County, Pennsylvania?

Mifflin County, Pennsylvania has a population of 46,041 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Mifflin County, Pennsylvania?

Median household income in Mifflin County, Pennsylvania is $63,953 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.

What is the political history of Mifflin County, Pennsylvania?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Mifflin County, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 30 went Republican.

Measure

Mifflin County

Pennsylvania

United States

Median age

43.4

41.2

39.1

Age 18–24

7.0%

8.9%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

22.1%

19.5%

17.2%

Measure

Mifflin County

Pennsylvania

United States

Median household income

$63,953

$77,971

$84,427

Poverty rate

16.2%

11.7%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

14.9%

35.2%

35.6%

Measure

Mifflin County

Pennsylvania

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

10.0%

12.4%

22.3%

German or other West Germanic

8.7%

0.9%

0.5%

Measure

Mifflin County

Pennsylvania

United States

Catholic

2.5%

21.9%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

26.3%

9.3%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

52.3%

53.1%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

17.6%

10.3%

5.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+56.4MIT Election Lab

Population

46,0412024 5-year

Median household income

$63,9532024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

93.3%2024 5-year

Black

1.0%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

2.3%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+18.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+74.6 in 1928MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Juniata County, PA · twin score 91.7

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

18,721

35,859

52.2%

C/A

2018 · Midterm

14,450

35,783

40.4%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

21,590

35,667

60.5%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

16,945

35,646

47.5%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

22,071

35,427

62.3%

C/A

Mifflin County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -Granville Township WestGranville Township West

331

1,329

1,677

19.7%

79.2%

R+59.5

Precinct -Union TownshipUnion Township

262

1,114

1,392

18.8%

80.0%

R+61.2

Precinct -Wayne TownshipWayne Township

180

1,147

1,335

13.5%

85.9%

R+72.4

Precinct -Armagh Township WestArmagh Township West

259

1,049

1,314

19.7%

79.8%

R+60.1

Precinct -Derry Township EastDerry Township East

300

932

1,241

24.2%

75.1%

R+50.9

Precinct -Brown Township Reedsville/BVBrown Township Reedsville/BV

296

890

1,188

24.9%

74.9%

R+50.0

Precinct -Derry Township SouthDerry Township South

304

822

1,130

26.9%

72.7%

R+45.8

Precinct -Oliver TownshipOliver Township

137

948

1,088

12.6%

87.1%

R+74.5

Precinct -Burnham BoroughBurnham Borough

234

773

1,016

23.0%

76.1%

R+53.1

Precinct -Derry Township NorthDerry Township North

217

789

1,013

21.4%

77.9%

R+56.5

Precinct -Lewistown SouthLewistown South

301

689

1,001

30.1%

68.8%

R+38.8

Precinct -Brown Township Church HillBrown Township Church Hill

281

640

933

30.1%

68.6%

R+38.5

Precinct -Decatur Township WestDecatur Township West

132

791

927

14.2%

85.3%

R+71.1

Precinct -Lewistown NorthLewistown North

263

597

867

30.3%

68.9%

R+38.5

Precinct -Granville Township EastGranville Township East

179

677

861

20.8%

78.6%

R+57.8

Precinct -Lewistown WestLewistown West

220

530

756

29.1%

70.1%

R+41.0

Precinct -Derry Township WestDerry Township West

164

535

701

23.4%

76.3%

R+52.9

Precinct -Lewistown CentralLewistown Central

244

436

690

35.4%

63.2%

R+27.8

Precinct -Decatur Township EastDecatur Township East

111

574

687

16.2%

83.6%

R+67.4

Precinct -Bratton TownshipBratton Township

573

634

9.3%

90.4%

R+81.1

Precinct -Armagh Township EastArmagh Township East

106

512

622

17.0%

82.3%

R+65.3

Precinct -Menno TownshipMenno Township

334

363

7.7%

92.0%

R+84.3

Precinct -Juniata Terrace BoroughJuniata Terrace Borough

172

235

26.4%

73.2%

R+46.8

Precinct -McVeytown BoroughMcVeytown Borough

151

191

19.9%

79.1%

R+59.2

Precinct -Kistler BoroughKistler Borough

114

140

17.1%

81.4%

R+64.3

Precinct -Newton Hamilton BoroughNewton Hamilton Borough

4.3%

95.7%

R+91.3

ARMAGH TWP VTD NEW42_4208710

—

No votes

ARMAGH TWP VTD OLD42_4208720

—

No votes

BRATTON TWP Voting District42_4208730

—

No votes

BROWN TWP Voting District42_4208740

—

No votes

BURNHAM Voting District42_4208750

—

No votes

DECATUR TWP VTD EAST42_4208760

—

No votes

DECATUR TWP VTD WEST42_4208770

—

No votes

DERRY TWP VTD EAST42_4208780

—

No votes

DERRY TWP VTD NORTH42_4208790

—

No votes

DERRY TWP VTD SOUTH42_42087100

—

No votes

DERRY TWP VTD WEST42_42087110

—

No votes

GRANVILLE TWP VTD EAST42_42087120

—

No votes

GRANVILLE TWP VTD WEST42_42087130

—

No votes

JUNIATA TERRACE Voting District42_42087140

—

No votes

KISTLER Voting District42_42087150

—

No votes

LEWISTOWN WD 01 PCT 0142_42087160

—

No votes

LEWISTOWN WD 01 PCT 0242_42087170

—

No votes

LEWISTOWN WD 0242_42087180

—

No votes

LEWISTOWN WD 0342_42087190

—

No votes

LEWISTOWN WD 0442_42087200

—

No votes

LEWISTOWN WD 05 PCT 0142_42087210

—

No votes

LEWISTOWN WD 05 PCT 0242_42087220

—

No votes

LEWISTOWN WD 0642_42087230

—

No votes

LEWISTOWN WD 0742_42087240

—

No votes

MC VEYTOWN Voting District42_42087250

—

No votes

MENNO TWP Voting District42_42087260

—

No votes

NEWTON HAMILTON Voting District42_42087270

—

No votes

OLIVER TWP Voting District42_42087280

—

No votes

UNION TWP Voting District42_42087290

—

No votes

WAYNE TWP Voting District42_42087300

—

No votes

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−3.3%
1896	−12.4%
1900	−16.4%
1904	−36.3%
1908	−22.6%
1912	+16.7%
1916	−3.2%
1920	−22.4%
1924	−38.9%
1928	−74.6%
1932	−20.0%
1936	+16.4%
1940	+4.8%
1944	−4.3%
1948	−8.6%
1952	−18.8%
1956	−25.9%
1960	−36.2%
1964	+18.9%
1968	−16.7%
1972	−45.6%
1976	−10.5%
1980	−17.1%
1984	−27.3%
1988	−25.9%
1992	−9.2%
1996	−11.4%
2000	−31.2%
2004	−40.7%
2008	−33.7%
2012	−46.7%
2016	−54.6%
2020	−56.1%
2024	−56.4%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

21.5%Harris4,735

77.9%Trump17,184

0.4%Oliver95 +1

R+56.4

R+0.3

R+54.9

22,071

All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican77.9%17,184
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic21.5%4,735
Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%95
Jill SteinIndependent0.3%57

2020

21.4%Biden4,603

77.5%Trump16,670

1.1%Jorgensen229

R+56.1

R+1.5

R+60.6

21,502

2016

20.7%Clinton3,877

75.3%Trump14,094

2.5%Johnson476

R+54.6

R+7.9

R+56.7

18,721

2012

26.0%Obama4,273

72.7%Romney11,939

0.7%Johnson107

R+46.7

R+13.0

R+50.6

16,416

2008

32.6%Obama5,375

66.2%McCain10,929

1.2%

R+33.7

D+7.0

R+40.9

16,502

2004

29.1%Kerry4,889

69.8%Bush11,726

1.1%

R+40.7

R+9.5

R+38.2

16,802

2000

33.1%Gore4,835

64.3%Bush9,400

1.8%Nader264

R+31.2

R+19.9

R+31.8

14,614

1996

38.8%Clinton5,327

50.2%Dole6,888

10.1%Perot1,392

R+11.4

R+2.2

R+19.9

13,718

1992

33.7%Clinton4,946

42.9%Bush6,300

23.0%Perot3,382

R+9.2

D+16.6

R+14.8

14,688

1988

36.6%Dukakis4,790

62.5%Bush8,170

0.9%

R+25.9

D+1.5

R+18.1

13,075

1984

36.0%Mondale5,178

63.4%Reagan9,106

0.6%

R+27.3

R+10.2

R+9.1

14,373

1980

38.7%Carter5,226

55.8%Reagan7,541

5.6%

R+17.1

R+6.6

R+7.4

13,520

1976

44.0%Carter6,210

54.6%Ford7,698

1.4%

R+10.5

D+35.1

R+12.6

14,109

1972

26.5%McGovern3,667

72.1%Nixon9,989

1.4%

R+45.6

R+28.9

R+22.5

13,855

1968

38.7%Humphrey5,681

55.3%Nixon8,133

6.0%

R+16.7

R+35.6

R+16.0

14,698

1964

59.3%Johnson8,811

40.4%Goldwater6,006

0.3%

D+18.9

D+55.1

R+3.7

14,856

1960

31.7%Kennedy4,816

67.8%Nixon10,315

0.5%

R+36.2

R+10.2

R+36.3

15,203

1956

37.0%Stevenson5,078

62.9%Eisenhower8,638

0.1%

R+25.9

R+7.2

R+10.5

13,725

1952

40.5%Stevenson5,889

59.2%Eisenhower8,620

0.3%

R+18.8

R+10.2

R+8.0

14,556

1948

45.3%Truman4,762

53.8%Dewey5,666

0.9%

R+8.6

R+4.3

R+13.1

10,523

1944

47.6%Roosevelt5,693

51.9%Dewey6,205

0.5%

R+4.3

R+9.1

R+11.8

11,952

1940

52.3%Roosevelt6,993

47.5%Willkie6,352

0.3%

D+4.8

R+11.6

R+5.2

13,379

1936

58.0%Roosevelt9,581

41.6%Landon6,867

0.5%

D+16.4

D+36.4

R+7.8

16,525

1932

39.0%Roosevelt3,654

59.0%Hoover5,525

2.1%

R+20.0

D+54.6

R+37.8

9,372

1928

12.4%Smith1,270

87.0%Hoover8,932

0.7%

R+74.6

R+35.7

R+57.1

10,270

1924

28.0%Davis1,999

66.9%Coolidge4,780

4.5%La Follette322

R+38.9

R+16.5

R+13.8

7,143

1920

36.5%Cox2,400

58.9%Harding3,872

4.6%

R+22.4

R+19.3

D+3.8

6,571

1916

44.2%Wilson1,965

47.4%Hughes2,105

8.4%

R+3.2

R+19.8

R+6.3

4,444

1912

31.3%Wilson1,400

14.6%Taft654

54.2%

Roosevelt +22.9

D+39.2

R+2.9

4,480

1908

36.8%Bryan1,799

59.4%Taft2,902

3.8%

R+22.6

D+13.7

R+13.0

4,886

1904

29.8%Parker1,378

66.1%Roosevelt3,054

4.1%

R+36.3

R+19.9

R+16.6

4,620

1900

40.1%Bryan1,842

56.5%McKinley2,594

3.4%

R+16.4

R+3.9

R+8.8

4,593

1896

41.8%Bryan2,052

54.2%McKinley2,662

4.0%

R+12.4

R+9.1

R+6.3

4,910

1892

46.5%Cleveland2,029

49.8%Harrison2,175

3.7%

R+3.3

—

R+5.0

4,366

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

20.9%4,524

79.1%17,132

21,656

2020

20.4%4,313

79.6%16,826

21,139

2018

22.9%3,130

77.1%10,537

13,667

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

22.7%4,991

74.8%16,413

21,946

2022

23.6%3,965

73.1%12,263

16,785

2018Class I

28.6%Bob Casey Jr.3,934

69.5%Lou Barletta9,564

13,752

2016Class III

22.1%Katie McGinty4,031

71.9%Pat Toomey13,089

18,213

2012Class I

30.3%Bob Casey Jr.4,937

68.1%Tom Smith11,099

16,304

2010Class III

24.5%Joe Sestak2,975

75.5%Pat Toomey9,182

12,157

2006Class I

42.5%Bob Casey Jr.5,247

57.5%Rick Santorum7,097

12,346

2004Class III

24.3%Joseph Hoeffel3,983

69.5%Arlen Specter11,380

16,365

2000Class I

28.5%Rob Klink4,021

69.3%Rick Santorum9,768

14,091

1998Class III

26.6%Bill Lloyd2,499

70.4%Arlen Specter6,611

9,386

1994Class I

40.1%Harris Wofford4,378

56.7%Rick Santorum6,188

10,906

1992Class III

43.0%Lynn Yeakel6,077

51.6%Arlen Specter7,280

14,122

1988Class I

23.1%Joseph C. Vignola2,920

76.0%John Heinz9,586

12,616

1986Class III

37.0%Bob Edgar3,846

62.1%Arlen Specter6,466

10,408

1982Class I

29.7%Cyril H. Wecht3,268

68.5%John Heinz7,538

11,009

1980Class III

42.5%Peter Flaherty5,570

56.0%Arlen Specter7,344

13,112

1976Class I

41.2%William J. Green III5,740

58.1%John Heinz8,093

13,935

1974Class III

29.9%Peter Flaherty3,100

68.9%Richard Schweiker7,143

10,360

1970Class I

35.5%William G. Sesler3,975

62.0%Hugh Scott6,937

11,187

1968Class III

40.3%Joseph S. Clark5,797

58.2%Richard Schweiker8,357

14,367

1964Class I

46.9%Genevieve Blatt6,889

52.9%Hugh Scott7,764

14,689

1962Class III

42.4%Joseph S. Clark5,622

57.5%James E. Van Zandt7,625

13,271

1958Class I

42.6%George M. Leader5,021

57.0%Hugh Scott6,710

11,774

1956Class III

44.6%Joseph S. Clark6,049

55.2%James H. Duff7,491

13,560

1952Class I

41.2%Guy Kurtz Bard5,940

57.4%Edward Martin8,270

14,415

1950Class III

46.4%Francis Myers5,128

52.9%James H. Duff5,849

11,052

1946Class I

37.7%Joseph F. Guffey3,123

61.5%Edward Martin5,099

8,294

1944Class III

45.9%Francis Myers5,377

53.5%James J. Davis6,271

11,714

1940Class I

51.0%Joseph F. Guffey6,743

48.4%Jay Cooke6,402

13,225

1938Class III

43.1%George H. Earle6,212

56.4%James J. Davis8,129

14,416

1934Class I

50.5%Joseph F. Guffey5,089

47.5%David A. Reed4,781

10,069

1932Class III

36.5%Lawrence H. Rupp3,237

55.9%James J. Davis4,957

8,863

1928Class I

16.6%William N. McNair1,639

82.1%David A. Reed8,120

9,891

1926Class III

64.5%William B. Wilson2,905

29.6%William S. Vare1,333

4,507

1922Class I

42.8%Samuel E. Shull1,821

49.9%David A. Reed2,125

4,256

1920Class III

38.1%John A. Farrell2,425

52.3%Boies Penrose3,330

6,372

1916Class I

40.0%Ellis Orvis1,595

49.2%Philander Knox1,961

3,984

1914Class III

27.6%A. Mitchell Palmer1,106

33.1%Boies Penrose1,327

4,013

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1991Special · Class I

44.1%Harris Wofford4,616

55.9%Richard Thornburgh5,844

10,460

1930Special · Class III

21.4%Sedgwick Kistler1,670

76.2%James J. Davis5,942

7,795

1922Special · Class III

43.2%Fred B. Kerr1,849

51.5%George W. Pepper2,202

4,277

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

30.4%Joshua D Shapiro5,119

68.0%Douglas V Mastriano11,460

16,847

2018

30.0%Thomas W Wolf4,127

68.4%Scott R Wagner9,408

13,745

2014

32.3%Tom Wolf3,492

67.7%Tom Corbett7,318

10,810

2010

21.2%Dan Onorato2,587

78.8%Tom Corbett9,642

12,229

2006

38.2%Ed Rendell4,730

61.8%Lynn Swann7,642

12,372

2002

31.3%Ed Rendell3,362

66.3%Mike Fisher7,122

10,734

1998

20.6%Ivan Itkin2,010

71.0%Tom Ridge6,914

9,736

1994

35.4%Mark Singel4,068

53.5%Tom Ridge6,140

11,484

1990

69.9%Bob Casey6,472

30.1%Barbara Hafer2,781

9,253

1986

44.3%Bob Casey4,683

54.8%Bill Scranton III5,788

10,566

1982

43.0%Allen Ertel4,948

55.6%Dick Thornburgh6,391

11,494

1978

40.9%Pete Flaherty4,406

58.2%Dick Thornburgh6,266

10,764

Frequently asked questions

How did Mifflin County, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?

In 2024, Mifflin County, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 56.4 points (R+56.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 22,071 votes cast, 4,735 went Democratic and 17,184 went Republican.

When did Mifflin County, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Mifflin County, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1964.

How many people live in Mifflin County, Pennsylvania?

Mifflin County, Pennsylvania has a population of 46,041 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Mifflin County, Pennsylvania?

Median household income in Mifflin County, Pennsylvania is $63,953 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.

What is the political history of Mifflin County, Pennsylvania?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Mifflin County, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 30 went Republican.