Akashic

county

Juniata County, PA

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German36.8%21.6%12.5%

American12.8%4.4%5.3%

Irish9.1%14.8%9.4%

English5.5%8.3%9.5%

Italian1.9%10.6%4.8%

Scottish1.6%1.1%1.3%

Polish1.2%5.4%2.2%

Dutch1.1%——

Puerto Rican1.1%3.7%1.8%

Salvadoran0.9%—0.7%

Honduran0.5%—0.3%

Mexican0.2%1.4%11.3%

Guatemalan0.2%0.2%0.5%

Nicaraguan0.2%——

Chilean0.2%——

Spanish0.2%——

African American†1.0%8.7%9.9%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Juniata County	Pennsylvania	United States
Median age	43.3	41.2	39.1
Age 18–24	7.7%	8.9%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	21.2%	19.5%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Juniata County	Pennsylvania	United States
Median household income	$66,318	$77,971	$84,427
Poverty rate	9.7%	11.7%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	15.0%	35.2%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Juniata County	Pennsylvania	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	11.0%	12.4%	22.3%
Spanish	3.2%	5.6%	13.6%
German or other West Germanic	7.1%	0.9%	0.5%

Religious landscape

Measure	Juniata County	Pennsylvania	United States
Catholic	1.5%	21.9%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	15.1%	9.3%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	61.0%	53.1%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	21.9%	10.3%	5.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 68.1% of 17,865 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic18.9%2,290TrumpRepublican80.3%9,721OliverLibertarian0.5%64

R+61.4

Lead: 7,431
Total: 12,104
vs nation: R+59.9
Turnout: 68.1%

BidenDemocratic18.7%2,253TrumpRepublican80.1%9,649JorgensenLibertarian1.2%141

R+61.4

Lead: 7,396
Total: 12,043
vs nation: R+65.9
Turnout: 64.3%

ClintonDemocratic17.3%1,821TrumpRepublican78.5%8,273JohnsonLibertarian1.9%201

R+61.2

Lead: 6,452
Total: 10,545
vs nation: R+63.3
Turnout: 55.8%

ObamaDemocratic26.5%2,547RomneyRepublican71.5%6,862JohnsonLibertarian0.9%83

R+45.0

Lead: 4,315
Total: 9,595
vs nation: R+48.8
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic31.6%3,068McCainRepublican66.8%6,484OtherAll other candidates1.6%159

R+35.2

Lead: 3,416
Total: 9,711
vs nation: R+42.4
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic28.0%2,797BushRepublican71.4%7,144OtherAll other candidates0.6%65

R+43.4

Lead: 4,347
Total: 10,006
vs nation: R+41.0
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic30.6%2,656BushRepublican66.9%5,795NaderGreen1.8%158

R+36.2

Lead: 3,139
Total: 8,667
vs nation: R+36.7
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic36.3%2,896DoleRepublican51.7%4,128PerotReform11.4%911

R+15.4

Lead: 1,232
Total: 7,984
vs nation: R+24.0
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+61.4MIT Election Lab
Population: 23,3792024 5-year
Median household income: $66,3182024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 91.9%2024 5-year
Black: 1.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 4.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+27.6 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+64.9 in 1928MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Grant County, WV · twin score 94.0

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 68.1%12,170 participants ÷ 17,865 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +9.4 ptsHigh-turnout, durable
Drop-off versus state: -7.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 58.4%–58.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	10,565	18,940	55.8%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	8,555	18,710	45.7%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	12,108	18,822	64.3%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	9,849	17,916	55.0%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	12,170	17,865	68.1%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

38 precincts · 12,104 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Juniata County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct 0030420670030	285	1,529	10	1,824	15.6%	83.8%	R+68.2
Precinct 0040420670040	352	1,170	13	1,535	22.9%	76.2%	R+53.3
Precinct 0200420670200	227	993	10	1,230	18.5%	80.7%	R+62.3
Precinct 0110420670110	281	798	11	1,090	25.8%	73.2%	R+47.4
Precinct 0120420670120	141	918	10	1,069	13.2%	85.9%	R+72.7
Precinct 0020420670020	143	673	6	822	17.4%	81.9%	R+64.5
Precinct 0150420670150	87	590	5	682	12.8%	86.5%	R+73.8
Precinct 0170420670170	93	415	3	511	18.2%	81.2%	R+63.0
Precinct 0180420670180	68	396	2	466	14.6%	85.0%	R+70.4
Precinct 0140420670140	97	360	2	459	21.1%	78.4%	R+57.3
Precinct 0130420670130	111	316	1	428	25.9%	73.8%	R+47.9
Precinct 0010420670010	69	355	3	427	16.2%	83.1%	R+67.0
Precinct 0160420670160	68	269	3	340	20.0%	79.1%	R+59.1
Precinct 0100420670100	122	204	6	332	36.7%	61.4%	R+24.7
Precinct 0050420670050	43	261	2	306	14.1%	85.3%	R+71.2
Precinct 0071420670071	38	259	5	302	12.6%	85.8%	R+73.2
Precinct 0090420670090	44	126	1	171	25.7%	73.7%	R+48.0
Precinct 0190420670190	21	89	0	110	19.1%	80.9%	R+61.8
BEALE TWP Voting District42_4206710	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DELAWARE TWP Voting District42_4206720	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
FAYETTE TWP Voting District42_4206730	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
FERMANAGH TWP Voting District42_4206740	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
GREENWOOD TWP Voting District42_4206750	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LACK TWP Voting District42_4206760	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LACK TWP VTD BLACK LOG42_4206770	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LACK TWP VTD ROSS FARM42_4206780	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MIFFLIN Voting District42_4206790	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MIFFLINTOWN Voting District42_42067100	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MILFORD TWP Voting District42_42067110	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MONROE TWP Voting District42_42067120	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PORT ROYAL Voting District42_42067130	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SPRUCE HILL TWP Voting District42_42067140	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Susquehanna Twp Voting District42_42067150	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
THOMPSONTOWN Voting District42_42067160	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TURBETT TWP Voting District42_42067170	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TUSCARORA TWP Voting District42_42067180	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TUSCARORA TWP VTD EAST WATERFORD42_42067190	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WALKER TWP Voting District42_42067200	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+2.2%
1896	−6.1%
1900	−5.2%
1904	−23.8%
1908	−10.8%
1912	+27.6%
1916	+8.7%
1920	−18.4%
1924	−20.0%
1928	−64.9%
1932	+0.9%
1936	+2.8%
1940	+1.0%
1944	−13.7%
1948	−15.1%
1952	−17.6%
1956	−21.0%
1960	−29.5%
1964	+14.5%
1968	−25.0%
1972	−33.9%
1976	−12.3%
1980	−20.2%
1984	−31.6%
1988	−26.4%
1992	−16.4%
1996	−15.4%
2000	−36.2%
2004	−43.4%
2008	−35.2%
2012	−45.0%
2016	−61.2%
2020	−61.4%
2024	−61.4%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	18.9%Harris2,290	80.3%Trump9,721	0.5%Oliver64 +1	R+61.4	±0.0	R+59.9	12,104
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican80.3%9,721 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic18.9%2,290 Chase OliverLibertarian0.5%64 Jill SteinIndependent0.2%29
2020	R	18.7%Biden2,253	80.1%Trump9,649	1.2%Jorgensen141	R+61.4	R+0.2	R+65.9	12,043
2016	R	17.3%Clinton1,821	78.5%Trump8,273	1.9%Johnson201	R+61.2	R+16.2	R+63.3	10,545
2012	R	26.5%Obama2,547	71.5%Romney6,862	0.9%Johnson83	R+45.0	R+9.8	R+48.8	9,595
2008	R	31.6%Obama3,068	66.8%McCain6,484	1.6%	R+35.2	D+8.3	R+42.4	9,711
2004	R	28.0%Kerry2,797	71.4%Bush7,144	0.6%	R+43.4	R+7.2	R+41.0	10,006
2000	R	30.6%Gore2,656	66.9%Bush5,795	1.8%Nader158	R+36.2	R+20.8	R+36.7	8,667
1996	R	36.3%Clinton2,896	51.7%Dole4,128	11.4%Perot911	R+15.4	D+0.9	R+24.0	7,984
1992	R	30.9%Clinton2,601	47.3%Bush3,980	21.6%Perot1,819	R+16.4	D+10.0	R+21.9	8,420
1988	R	36.5%Dukakis2,834	62.9%Bush4,881	0.6%	R+26.4	D+5.2	R+18.6	7,764
1984	R	34.1%Mondale2,624	65.7%Reagan5,059	0.3%	R+31.6	R+11.5	R+13.4	7,705
1980	R	37.6%Carter2,696	57.8%Reagan4,139	4.6%	R+20.2	R+7.9	R+10.4	7,161
1976	R	43.1%Carter3,105	55.4%Ford3,991	1.5%	R+12.3	D+21.6	R+14.4	7,206
1972	R	32.4%McGovern2,156	66.3%Nixon4,412	1.3%	R+33.9	R+8.9	R+10.8	6,653
1968	R	33.8%Humphrey2,321	58.8%Nixon4,039	7.5%	R+25.0	R+39.5	R+24.3	6,874
1964	D	57.2%Johnson4,138	42.7%Goldwater3,087	0.1%	D+14.5	D+44.0	R+8.1	7,235
1960	R	35.2%Kennedy2,615	64.7%Nixon4,805	0.1%	R+29.5	R+8.5	R+29.6	7,431
1956	R	39.5%Stevenson2,779	60.4%Eisenhower4,258	0.1%	R+21.0	R+3.4	R+5.6	7,044
1952	R	41.1%Stevenson2,705	58.6%Eisenhower3,863	0.3%	R+17.6	R+2.5	R+6.8	6,589
1948	R	42.1%Truman2,299	57.2%Dewey3,121	0.7%	R+15.1	R+1.4	R+19.5	5,459
1944	R	43.0%Roosevelt2,666	56.7%Dewey3,512	0.2%	R+13.7	R+14.7	R+21.2	6,193
1940	D	50.4%Roosevelt3,579	49.4%Willkie3,507	0.2%	D+1.0	R+1.8	R+8.9	7,098
1936	D	51.1%Roosevelt3,782	48.3%Landon3,576	0.7%	D+2.8	D+1.8	R+21.5	7,407
1932	D	49.4%Roosevelt2,805	48.4%Hoover2,752	2.2%	D+0.9	D+65.8	R+16.9	5,681
1928	R	17.1%Smith919	82.0%Hoover4,396	0.9%	R+64.9	R+44.9	R+47.4	5,361
1924	R	37.4%Davis1,420	57.4%Coolidge2,177	4.7%La Follette177	R+20.0	R+1.5	D+5.2	3,792
1920	R	39.8%Cox1,443	58.2%Harding2,112	2.0%	R+18.4	R+27.1	D+7.7	3,628
1916	D	53.3%Wilson1,497	44.7%Hughes1,254	2.0%	D+8.7	R+18.9	D+5.5	2,808
1912	O	40.9%Wilson1,148	13.3%Taft374	45.8%	Roosevelt +4.8	D+38.3	D+8.0	2,806
1908	R	43.3%Bryan1,414	54.1%Taft1,765	2.6%	R+10.8	D+13.0	R+1.2	3,263
1904	R	36.5%Parker1,202	60.3%Roosevelt1,985	3.2%	R+23.8	R+18.5	R+4.1	3,293
1900	R	46.2%Bryan1,621	51.5%McKinley1,805	2.3%	R+5.2	D+0.8	D+2.3	3,505
1896	R	46.0%Bryan1,819	52.0%McKinley2,059	2.0%	R+6.1	R+8.2	±0.0	3,957
1892	D	49.8%Cleveland1,695	47.6%Harrison1,621	2.7%	D+2.2	—	D+0.5	3,407
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	18.9%2,242	81.1%9,644	11,886
2020	R	17.7%2,104	82.3%9,765	11,869
2018	R	21.5%1,814	78.5%6,623	8,437

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	20.6%2,478	76.8%9,251	12,042
2022	R	21.7%2,111	74.7%7,265	9,728
2018Class I	R	28.5%Bob Casey Jr.2,412	69.1%Lou Barletta5,853	8,468
2016Class III	R	20.7%Katie McGinty2,153	73.5%Pat Toomey7,657	10,422
2012Class I	R	31.5%Bob Casey Jr.3,010	66.3%Tom Smith6,337	9,551
2010Class III	R	24.9%Joe Sestak1,829	75.1%Pat Toomey5,504	7,333
2006Class I	R	41.4%Bob Casey Jr.3,236	58.4%Rick Santorum4,557	7,808
2004Class III	R	22.7%Joseph Hoeffel2,260	69.7%Arlen Specter6,923	9,938
2000Class I	R	28.2%Rob Klink2,407	69.3%Rick Santorum5,912	8,532
1998Class III	R	29.1%Bill Lloyd1,720	68.3%Arlen Specter4,034	5,907
1994Class I	R	36.0%Harris Wofford2,430	57.8%Rick Santorum3,896	6,742
1992Class III	R	37.5%Lynn Yeakel3,120	56.1%Arlen Specter4,663	8,316
1988Class I	R	23.5%Joseph C. Vignola1,827	76.0%John Heinz5,899	7,761
1986Class III	R	38.0%Bob Edgar2,538	61.7%Arlen Specter4,114	6,673
1982Class I	R	36.0%Cyril H. Wecht2,299	63.6%John Heinz4,061	6,389
1980Class III	R	35.8%Peter Flaherty2,525	63.8%Arlen Specter4,502	7,058
1976Class I	R	43.0%William J. Green III3,097	56.3%John Heinz4,053	7,203
1974Class III	R	34.5%Peter Flaherty2,117	64.9%Richard Schweiker3,981	6,134
1970Class I	R	38.7%William G. Sesler2,426	59.4%Hugh Scott3,725	6,273
1968Class III	R	38.1%Joseph S. Clark2,614	59.3%Richard Schweiker4,066	6,861
1964Class I	R	43.6%Genevieve Blatt3,171	56.3%Hugh Scott4,097	7,274
1962Class III	R	44.3%Joseph S. Clark3,403	55.6%James E. Van Zandt4,273	7,685
1958Class I	R	47.3%George M. Leader3,272	52.5%Hugh Scott3,637	6,922
1956Class III	R	47.7%Joseph S. Clark3,327	52.2%James H. Duff3,641	6,978
1952Class I	R	42.4%Guy Kurtz Bard2,768	56.9%Edward Martin3,714	6,526
1950Class III	R	47.1%Francis Myers2,664	52.2%James H. Duff2,951	5,654
1946Class I	R	42.5%Joseph F. Guffey2,327	56.8%Edward Martin3,113	5,476
1944Class III	R	43.1%Francis Myers2,618	56.5%James J. Davis3,435	6,077
1940Class I	R	49.5%Joseph F. Guffey3,494	50.0%Jay Cooke3,529	7,063
1938Class III	R	46.1%George H. Earle3,510	53.6%James J. Davis4,079	7,616
1934Class I	D	50.5%Joseph F. Guffey3,176	48.6%David A. Reed3,057	6,290
1932Class III	D	47.4%Lawrence H. Rupp2,563	46.0%James J. Davis2,487	5,405
1928Class I	R	25.9%William N. McNair1,296	72.9%David A. Reed3,643	4,999
1926Class III	D	67.0%William B. Wilson2,290	27.8%William S. Vare952	3,419
1922Class I	D	49.5%Samuel E. Shull1,639	45.4%David A. Reed1,504	3,310
1920Class III	R	40.1%John A. Farrell1,403	52.7%Boies Penrose1,847	3,503
1916Class I	D	51.7%Ellis Orvis1,317	44.9%Philander Knox1,145	2,548
1914Class III	D	37.8%A. Mitchell Palmer962	32.5%Boies Penrose828	2,544

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1991Special · Class I	R	41.0%Harris Wofford2,765	59.0%Richard Thornburgh3,973	6,738
1930Special · Class III	R	27.7%Sedgwick Kistler1,195	70.7%James J. Davis3,050	4,313
1922Special · Class III	D	51.0%Fred B. Kerr1,685	45.3%George W. Pepper1,497	3,307

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	28.3%Joshua D Shapiro2,761	70.1%Douglas V Mastriano6,851	9,768
2018	R	30.0%Thomas W Wolf2,550	68.1%Scott R Wagner5,780	8,493
2014	R	32.9%Tom Wolf2,172	67.1%Tom Corbett4,431	6,603
2010	R	20.8%Dan Onorato1,534	79.2%Tom Corbett5,834	7,368
2006	R	35.4%Ed Rendell2,748	64.3%Lynn Swann4,995	7,770
2002	R	29.8%Ed Rendell2,187	68.4%Mike Fisher5,027	7,349
1998	R	21.2%Ivan Itkin1,266	66.0%Tom Ridge3,947	5,982
1994	R	31.2%Mark Singel2,133	51.9%Tom Ridge3,548	6,836
1990	D	73.8%Bob Casey4,617	26.2%Barbara Hafer1,637	6,254
1986	R	44.2%Bob Casey2,952	55.2%Bill Scranton III3,683	6,675
1982	R	49.5%Allen Ertel3,172	50.2%Dick Thornburgh3,221	6,413
1978	R	38.4%Pete Flaherty2,389	61.2%Dick Thornburgh3,814	6,227

voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Party registration · 2026R+53.1

Presidential vote · 2024R+61.4

Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 8.3 points more Democratic.

14,078 registered voters · 2026

Democratic18.1%Republican71.2%Unaffiliated8.3%Other2.4%

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

−104 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −655 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $53,062 in average income, against $68,395 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+37.7 on average — 24 points more Democratic-leaning than Juniata County, PA itself (R+61.4).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Mifflin County, PA62R+56.4
Perry County, PA48R+49.3
Cumberland County, PA34R+9.4
Snyder County, PA32R+47.0
Dauphin County, PA24D+5.9

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Mifflin County, PA91
Snyder County, PA43
Perry County, PA39
Cumberland County, PA31
Dauphin County, PA21

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Juniata County, PA in Juniata County, PA: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	+2
2012	−157
2013	−192
2014	−27
2015	−109
2016	+79
2017	+11
2018	−2
2019	+9
2021	−112
2022	−15
2023	+10
2024	−48
2025	−104

Juniata County's small, predominantly rural population has delivered lopsided Republican presidential margins for decades, with its 2024 result ranking among the widest gaps of any county in the state.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.6 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 64.9 points in 1928. The 2024 margin was 61.4 points.

A population of 23,379, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,318 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Grant County and Fulton County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Grant County

West Virginia

94.0twin score

2004–2024 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry

Fulton County

Pennsylvania

92.2twin score

2004–2024 trajectory≠ French ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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Frequently asked questions

How did Juniata County, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?

In 2024, Juniata County, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 61.4 points (R+61.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 12,104 votes cast, 2,290 went Democratic and 9,721 went Republican.

When did Juniata County, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Juniata County, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1964.

How many people live in Juniata County, Pennsylvania?

Juniata County, Pennsylvania has a population of 23,379 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Juniata County, Pennsylvania?

Median household income in Juniata County, Pennsylvania is $66,318 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.

What is the political history of Juniata County, Pennsylvania?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Juniata County, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.

Measure

Juniata County

Pennsylvania

United States

Median age

43.3

41.2

39.1

Age 18–24

7.7%

8.9%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

21.2%

19.5%

17.2%

Measure

Juniata County

Pennsylvania

United States

Median household income

$66,318

$77,971

$84,427

Poverty rate

9.7%

11.7%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

15.0%

35.2%

35.6%

Measure

Juniata County

Pennsylvania

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

11.0%

12.4%

22.3%

Spanish

3.2%

5.6%

13.6%

German or other West Germanic

7.1%

0.9%

0.5%

Measure

Juniata County

Pennsylvania

United States

Catholic

1.5%

21.9%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

15.1%

9.3%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

61.0%

53.1%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

21.9%

10.3%

5.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+61.4MIT Election Lab

Population

23,3792024 5-year

Median household income

$66,3182024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

91.9%2024 5-year

Black

1.0%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

4.1%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+27.6 in 1912MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+64.9 in 1928MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Grant County, WV · twin score 94.0

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

10,565

18,940

55.8%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

8,555

18,710

45.7%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

12,108

18,822

64.3%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

9,849

17,916

55.0%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

12,170

17,865

68.1%

A/A

Juniata County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct 0030420670030

285

1,529

1,824

15.6%

83.8%

R+68.2

Precinct 0040420670040

352

1,170

1,535

22.9%

76.2%

R+53.3

Precinct 0200420670200

227

993

1,230

18.5%

80.7%

R+62.3

Precinct 0110420670110

281

798

1,090

25.8%

73.2%

R+47.4

Precinct 0120420670120

141

918

1,069

13.2%

85.9%

R+72.7

Precinct 0020420670020

143

673

822

17.4%

81.9%

R+64.5

Precinct 0150420670150

590

682

12.8%

86.5%

R+73.8

Precinct 0170420670170

415

511

18.2%

81.2%

R+63.0

Precinct 0180420670180

396

466

14.6%

85.0%

R+70.4

Precinct 0140420670140

360

459

21.1%

78.4%

R+57.3

Precinct 0130420670130

111

316

428

25.9%

73.8%

R+47.9

Precinct 0010420670010

355

427

16.2%

83.1%

R+67.0

Precinct 0160420670160

269

340

20.0%

79.1%

R+59.1

Precinct 0100420670100

122

204

332

36.7%

61.4%

R+24.7

Precinct 0050420670050

261

306

14.1%

85.3%

R+71.2

Precinct 0071420670071

259

302

12.6%

85.8%

R+73.2

Precinct 0090420670090

126

171

25.7%

73.7%

R+48.0

Precinct 0190420670190

110

19.1%

80.9%

R+61.8

BEALE TWP Voting District42_4206710

—

No votes

DELAWARE TWP Voting District42_4206720

—

No votes

FAYETTE TWP Voting District42_4206730

—

No votes

FERMANAGH TWP Voting District42_4206740

—

No votes

GREENWOOD TWP Voting District42_4206750

—

No votes

LACK TWP Voting District42_4206760

—

No votes

LACK TWP VTD BLACK LOG42_4206770

—

No votes

LACK TWP VTD ROSS FARM42_4206780

—

No votes

MIFFLIN Voting District42_4206790

—

No votes

MIFFLINTOWN Voting District42_42067100

—

No votes

MILFORD TWP Voting District42_42067110

—

No votes

MONROE TWP Voting District42_42067120

—

No votes

PORT ROYAL Voting District42_42067130

—

No votes

SPRUCE HILL TWP Voting District42_42067140

—

No votes

Susquehanna Twp Voting District42_42067150

—

No votes

THOMPSONTOWN Voting District42_42067160

—

No votes

TURBETT TWP Voting District42_42067170

—

No votes

TUSCARORA TWP Voting District42_42067180

—

No votes

TUSCARORA TWP VTD EAST WATERFORD42_42067190

—

No votes

WALKER TWP Voting District42_42067200

—

No votes

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+2.2%
1896	−6.1%
1900	−5.2%
1904	−23.8%
1908	−10.8%
1912	+27.6%
1916	+8.7%
1920	−18.4%
1924	−20.0%
1928	−64.9%
1932	+0.9%
1936	+2.8%
1940	+1.0%
1944	−13.7%
1948	−15.1%
1952	−17.6%
1956	−21.0%
1960	−29.5%
1964	+14.5%
1968	−25.0%
1972	−33.9%
1976	−12.3%
1980	−20.2%
1984	−31.6%
1988	−26.4%
1992	−16.4%
1996	−15.4%
2000	−36.2%
2004	−43.4%
2008	−35.2%
2012	−45.0%
2016	−61.2%
2020	−61.4%
2024	−61.4%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

18.9%Harris2,290

80.3%Trump9,721

0.5%Oliver64 +1

R+61.4

±0.0

R+59.9

12,104

All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican80.3%9,721
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic18.9%2,290
Chase OliverLibertarian0.5%64
Jill SteinIndependent0.2%29

2020

18.7%Biden2,253

80.1%Trump9,649

1.2%Jorgensen141

R+61.4

R+0.2

R+65.9

12,043

2016

17.3%Clinton1,821

78.5%Trump8,273

1.9%Johnson201

R+61.2

R+16.2

R+63.3

10,545

2012

26.5%Obama2,547

71.5%Romney6,862

0.9%Johnson83

R+45.0

R+9.8

R+48.8

9,595

2008

31.6%Obama3,068

66.8%McCain6,484

1.6%

R+35.2

D+8.3

R+42.4

9,711

2004

28.0%Kerry2,797

71.4%Bush7,144

0.6%

R+43.4

R+7.2

R+41.0

10,006

2000

30.6%Gore2,656

66.9%Bush5,795

1.8%Nader158

R+36.2

R+20.8

R+36.7

8,667

1996

36.3%Clinton2,896

51.7%Dole4,128

11.4%Perot911

R+15.4

D+0.9

R+24.0

7,984

1992

30.9%Clinton2,601

47.3%Bush3,980

21.6%Perot1,819

R+16.4

D+10.0

R+21.9

8,420

1988

36.5%Dukakis2,834

62.9%Bush4,881

0.6%

R+26.4

D+5.2

R+18.6

7,764

1984

34.1%Mondale2,624

65.7%Reagan5,059

0.3%

R+31.6

R+11.5

R+13.4

7,705

1980

37.6%Carter2,696

57.8%Reagan4,139

4.6%

R+20.2

R+7.9

R+10.4

7,161

1976

43.1%Carter3,105

55.4%Ford3,991

1.5%

R+12.3

D+21.6

R+14.4

7,206

1972

32.4%McGovern2,156

66.3%Nixon4,412

1.3%

R+33.9

R+8.9

R+10.8

6,653

1968

33.8%Humphrey2,321

58.8%Nixon4,039

7.5%

R+25.0

R+39.5

R+24.3

6,874

1964

57.2%Johnson4,138

42.7%Goldwater3,087

0.1%

D+14.5

D+44.0

R+8.1

7,235

1960

35.2%Kennedy2,615

64.7%Nixon4,805

0.1%

R+29.5

R+8.5

R+29.6

7,431

1956

39.5%Stevenson2,779

60.4%Eisenhower4,258

0.1%

R+21.0

R+3.4

R+5.6

7,044

1952

41.1%Stevenson2,705

58.6%Eisenhower3,863

0.3%

R+17.6

R+2.5

R+6.8

6,589

1948

42.1%Truman2,299

57.2%Dewey3,121

0.7%

R+15.1

R+1.4

R+19.5

5,459

1944

43.0%Roosevelt2,666

56.7%Dewey3,512

0.2%

R+13.7

R+14.7

R+21.2

6,193

1940

50.4%Roosevelt3,579

49.4%Willkie3,507

0.2%

D+1.0

R+1.8

R+8.9

7,098

1936

51.1%Roosevelt3,782

48.3%Landon3,576

0.7%

D+2.8

D+1.8

R+21.5

7,407

1932

49.4%Roosevelt2,805

48.4%Hoover2,752

2.2%

D+0.9

D+65.8

R+16.9

5,681

1928

17.1%Smith919

82.0%Hoover4,396

0.9%

R+64.9

R+44.9

R+47.4

5,361

1924

37.4%Davis1,420

57.4%Coolidge2,177

4.7%La Follette177

R+20.0

R+1.5

D+5.2

3,792

1920

39.8%Cox1,443

58.2%Harding2,112

2.0%

R+18.4

R+27.1

D+7.7

3,628

1916

53.3%Wilson1,497

44.7%Hughes1,254

2.0%

D+8.7

R+18.9

D+5.5

2,808

1912

40.9%Wilson1,148

13.3%Taft374

45.8%

Roosevelt +4.8

D+38.3

D+8.0

2,806

1908

43.3%Bryan1,414

54.1%Taft1,765

2.6%

R+10.8

D+13.0

R+1.2

3,263

1904

36.5%Parker1,202

60.3%Roosevelt1,985

3.2%

R+23.8

R+18.5

R+4.1

3,293

1900

46.2%Bryan1,621

51.5%McKinley1,805

2.3%

R+5.2

D+0.8

D+2.3

3,505

1896

46.0%Bryan1,819

52.0%McKinley2,059

2.0%

R+6.1

R+8.2

±0.0

3,957

1892

49.8%Cleveland1,695

47.6%Harrison1,621

2.7%

D+2.2

—

D+0.5

3,407

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

18.9%2,242

81.1%9,644

11,886

2020

17.7%2,104

82.3%9,765

11,869

2018

21.5%1,814

78.5%6,623

8,437

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

20.6%2,478

76.8%9,251

12,042

2022

21.7%2,111

74.7%7,265

9,728

2018Class I

28.5%Bob Casey Jr.2,412

69.1%Lou Barletta5,853

8,468

2016Class III

20.7%Katie McGinty2,153

73.5%Pat Toomey7,657

10,422

2012Class I

31.5%Bob Casey Jr.3,010

66.3%Tom Smith6,337

9,551

2010Class III

24.9%Joe Sestak1,829

75.1%Pat Toomey5,504

7,333

2006Class I

41.4%Bob Casey Jr.3,236

58.4%Rick Santorum4,557

7,808

2004Class III

22.7%Joseph Hoeffel2,260

69.7%Arlen Specter6,923

9,938

2000Class I

28.2%Rob Klink2,407

69.3%Rick Santorum5,912

8,532

1998Class III

29.1%Bill Lloyd1,720

68.3%Arlen Specter4,034

5,907

1994Class I

36.0%Harris Wofford2,430

57.8%Rick Santorum3,896

6,742

1992Class III

37.5%Lynn Yeakel3,120

56.1%Arlen Specter4,663

8,316

1988Class I

23.5%Joseph C. Vignola1,827

76.0%John Heinz5,899

7,761

1986Class III

38.0%Bob Edgar2,538

61.7%Arlen Specter4,114

6,673

1982Class I

36.0%Cyril H. Wecht2,299

63.6%John Heinz4,061

6,389

1980Class III

35.8%Peter Flaherty2,525

63.8%Arlen Specter4,502

7,058

1976Class I

43.0%William J. Green III3,097

56.3%John Heinz4,053

7,203

1974Class III

34.5%Peter Flaherty2,117

64.9%Richard Schweiker3,981

6,134

1970Class I

38.7%William G. Sesler2,426

59.4%Hugh Scott3,725

6,273

1968Class III

38.1%Joseph S. Clark2,614

59.3%Richard Schweiker4,066

6,861

1964Class I

43.6%Genevieve Blatt3,171

56.3%Hugh Scott4,097

7,274

1962Class III

44.3%Joseph S. Clark3,403

55.6%James E. Van Zandt4,273

7,685

1958Class I

47.3%George M. Leader3,272

52.5%Hugh Scott3,637

6,922

1956Class III

47.7%Joseph S. Clark3,327

52.2%James H. Duff3,641

6,978

1952Class I

42.4%Guy Kurtz Bard2,768

56.9%Edward Martin3,714

6,526

1950Class III

47.1%Francis Myers2,664

52.2%James H. Duff2,951

5,654

1946Class I

42.5%Joseph F. Guffey2,327

56.8%Edward Martin3,113

5,476

1944Class III

43.1%Francis Myers2,618

56.5%James J. Davis3,435

6,077

1940Class I

49.5%Joseph F. Guffey3,494

50.0%Jay Cooke3,529

7,063

1938Class III

46.1%George H. Earle3,510

53.6%James J. Davis4,079

7,616

1934Class I

50.5%Joseph F. Guffey3,176

48.6%David A. Reed3,057

6,290

1932Class III

47.4%Lawrence H. Rupp2,563

46.0%James J. Davis2,487

5,405

1928Class I

25.9%William N. McNair1,296

72.9%David A. Reed3,643

4,999

1926Class III

67.0%William B. Wilson2,290

27.8%William S. Vare952

3,419

1922Class I

49.5%Samuel E. Shull1,639

45.4%David A. Reed1,504

3,310

1920Class III

40.1%John A. Farrell1,403

52.7%Boies Penrose1,847

3,503

1916Class I

51.7%Ellis Orvis1,317

44.9%Philander Knox1,145

2,548

1914Class III

37.8%A. Mitchell Palmer962

32.5%Boies Penrose828

2,544

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1991Special · Class I

41.0%Harris Wofford2,765

59.0%Richard Thornburgh3,973

6,738

1930Special · Class III

27.7%Sedgwick Kistler1,195

70.7%James J. Davis3,050

4,313

1922Special · Class III

51.0%Fred B. Kerr1,685

45.3%George W. Pepper1,497

3,307

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

28.3%Joshua D Shapiro2,761

70.1%Douglas V Mastriano6,851

9,768

2018

30.0%Thomas W Wolf2,550

68.1%Scott R Wagner5,780

8,493

2014

32.9%Tom Wolf2,172

67.1%Tom Corbett4,431

6,603

2010

20.8%Dan Onorato1,534

79.2%Tom Corbett5,834

7,368

2006

35.4%Ed Rendell2,748

64.3%Lynn Swann4,995

7,770

2002

29.8%Ed Rendell2,187

68.4%Mike Fisher5,027

7,349

1998

21.2%Ivan Itkin1,266

66.0%Tom Ridge3,947

5,982

1994

31.2%Mark Singel2,133

51.9%Tom Ridge3,548

6,836

1990

73.8%Bob Casey4,617

26.2%Barbara Hafer1,637

6,254

1986

44.2%Bob Casey2,952

55.2%Bill Scranton III3,683

6,675

1982

49.5%Allen Ertel3,172

50.2%Dick Thornburgh3,221

6,413

1978

38.4%Pete Flaherty2,389

61.2%Dick Thornburgh3,814

6,227

Frequently asked questions

How did Juniata County, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?

In 2024, Juniata County, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 61.4 points (R+61.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 12,104 votes cast, 2,290 went Democratic and 9,721 went Republican.

When did Juniata County, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Juniata County, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1964.

How many people live in Juniata County, Pennsylvania?

Juniata County, Pennsylvania has a population of 23,379 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Juniata County, Pennsylvania?

Median household income in Juniata County, Pennsylvania is $66,318 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.

What is the political history of Juniata County, Pennsylvania?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Juniata County, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.