Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Rochester, NY
presidential margin
2008D+10.82012D+10.92016D+5.22020D+11.12024D+8.5
full record · 18922024
D+8.5
2024
median income$76,325U.S. $80,734 · NY $85,974
median age40.7U.S. 39.1 · NY 39.9
poverty rate12.7%U.S. 12.5% · NY 14.0%
bachelor’s+ (25+)38.2%U.S. 35.6% · NY 40.0%
non-english10.8%U.S. 22.3% · NY 30.9%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German17.4%
Italian15.2%
Irish14.7%
African American8.6%
Jamaican0.5%
African0.4%
Puerto Rican5.4%
Mexican0.9%
Dominican0.5%
Chinese0.7%
Asian Indian0.6%
Vietnamese0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline6.0%
Muslim2.2%
Black Protestant1.2%
Hindu0.9%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Rochester, NY, New York

Akashic
Rochester, NYHarrisD+8.5
2024 presidential margin by county for Rochester, NY, NYA map of the constituent counties of Rochester, NY, NY, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Livingston County, NY · R+21.4Monroe County, NY · D+19.0Ontario County, NY · R+1.2Orleans County, NY · R+40.4Wayne County, NY · R+23.0
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala HarrisDemocratic54.0%278,847
Donald TrumpRepublican45.5%234,886
Jill SteinWrite-In0.5%2,518
D+60
R+60
5 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (5 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Rochester, NY, NY — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Livingston County, NYRepublicanR+21.4
Monroe County, NYDemocraticD+19.0
Ontario County, NYRepublicanR+1.2
Orleans County, NYRepublicanR+40.4
Wayne County, NYRepublicanR+23.0
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
D
54.0%Harris278,847
45.5%Trump234,886
0.5%Stein2,518
+8.5%
516,251
D
54.4%Biden290,015
43.3%Trump230,955
2.3%Jorgensen12,318
+11.1%
533,288
D
49.2%Clinton239,465
44.0%Trump214,217
6.7%Trump32,733
+5.2%
486,415
D
54.4%Obama250,715
43.5%Romney200,284
2.1%Romney9,690
+10.9%
460,689
D
54.7%Obama270,927
43.9%McCain217,410
1.4%McCain6,885
+10.8%
495,222
R
47.4%Kerry227,835
50.8%Bush244,299
1.8%Bush8,785
−3.4%
480,919
D
47.8%Gore212,948
47.5%Bush211,298
4.7%Nader20,924
+0.4%
445,170
D
50.5%Clinton216,260
38.9%Dole166,614
10.5%Perot44,962
+11.6%
427,836
R
39.1%Clinton183,007
40.7%Bush190,625
20.2%Perot94,500
−1.6%
468,132
R
47.1%Dukakis199,369
52.1%Bush220,696
0.8%Bush3,490
−5.0%
423,555
R
39.0%Mondale166,481
60.5%Reagan258,306
0.5%Reagan1,951
−21.5%
426,738
D
44.7%Carter184,287
43.9%Reagan180,878
11.3%Anderson46,651
+0.8%
411,816
R
43.1%Carter176,400
56.4%Ford230,783
0.5%Ford2,091
−13.3%
409,274
R
35.7%McGovern150,648
64.1%Nixon270,610
0.2%Schmitz919
−28.4%
422,177
R
44.8%Humphrey173,838
51.0%Nixon197,985
4.2%Wallace16,256
−6.2%
388,079
D
69.9%Johnson266,662
30.0%Goldwater114,219
0.1%Hass342
+40.0%
381,223
R
45.2%Kennedy176,385
54.7%Nixon213,392
0.1%Byrd197
−9.5%
389,974
R
30.6%Stevenson113,243
69.4%Eisenhower256,422
0.0%
−38.7%
369,665
R
37.2%Stevenson135,901
62.6%Eisenhower228,970
0.2%Hallinan619
−25.5%
365,490
R
44.3%Truman136,660
52.8%Dewey162,807
2.9%Thurmond8,931
−8.5%
308,398
R
46.5%Roosevelt146,465
53.2%Dewey167,488
0.3%Thomas1,040
−6.7%
314,993
R
45.5%Roosevelt148,003
54.1%Willkie176,098
0.4%Thomas1,375
−8.6%
325,476
R
47.2%Roosevelt140,276
51.0%Landon151,690
1.8%Lemke5,253
−3.8%
297,219
R
41.5%Roosevelt110,435
55.4%Hoover147,468
3.1%Thomas8,261
−13.9%
266,164
R
36.9%Smith96,925
59.8%Hoover157,219
3.3%Thomas8,766
−22.9%
262,910
R
21.4%Davis44,876
61.4%Coolidge128,963
17.2%La Follette36,232
−40.0%
210,071
R
24.7%Cox44,327
66.0%Harding118,296
9.3%Debs16,680
−41.3%
179,303
R
35.7%Wilson38,002
60.6%Hughes64,463
3.7%Benson3,944
−24.9%
106,409
R
34.3%Wilson32,182
35.4%Taft33,256
30.3%Roosevelt28,432
−1.1%
93,870
R
37.7%Bryan38,749
58.4%Taft60,088
3.9%Debs4,011
−20.7%
102,848
R
33.4%Parker31,721
61.0%Roosevelt57,948
5.6%Debs5,317
−27.6%
94,986
R
39.2%Bryan36,453
56.5%McKinley52,628
4.3%Woolley3,988
−17.4%
93,069
R
38.4%Bryan33,991
58.7%McKinley51,958
2.9%Palmer2,604
−20.3%
88,553
R
41.3%Cleveland34,437
52.0%Harrison43,393
6.7%Weaver5,546
−10.7%
83,376
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: +8.5% in 2024.flipped D · 2008+8.5%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−10.7%
1896−20.3%
1900−17.4%
1904−27.6%
1908−20.7%
1912−1.1%
1916−24.9%
1920−41.3%
1924−40.0%
1928−22.9%
1932−13.9%
1936−3.8%
1940−8.6%
1944−6.7%
1948−8.5%
1952−25.5%
1956−38.7%
1960−9.5%
1964+40.0%
1968−6.2%
1972−28.4%
1976−13.3%
1980+0.8%
1984−21.5%
1988−5.0%
1992−1.6%
1996+11.6%
2000+0.4%
2004−3.4%
2008+10.8%
2012+10.9%
2016+5.2%
2020+11.1%
2024+8.5%
DemocraticRepublican

Rochester's electorate reflects a post-industrial city anchored by major research universities and healthcare institutions, producing high Democratic margins in Monroe County even as surrounding exurban townships trend in the opposite direction.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 40.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 41.3 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.5 points.

A population of 1,058,413, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,325 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Syracuse, NY and Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY.

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Rochester, NY, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/40380/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Rochester, NY

Frequently asked questions

How did Rochester, NY, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Rochester, NY, New York voted Democratic by 8.5 points (D+8.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 516,251 votes cast, 278,847 went Democratic and 234,886 went Republican.
When did Rochester, NY, New York last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Rochester, NY, New York voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Rochester, NY, New York?
Rochester, NY, New York has a population of 1,058,413 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Rochester, NY, New York?
Median household income in Rochester, NY, New York is $76,325 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Rochester, NY, New York?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Rochester, NY, New York from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 25 went Republican.