HarrisDemocratic59.2%214,757TrumpRepublican40.2%145,940OtherAll other candidates0.6%2,018
D+19.0- Lead
- 68,817
- Total
- 362,715
- vs nation
- D+20.4
- Turnout
- 63.4%
Akashiccounty
Monroe County, NY
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 63.4% of 580,569 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic59.4%225,746TrumpRepublican38.3%145,661JorgensenLibertarian1.3%4,865
D+21.1- Lead
- 80,085
- Total
- 379,864
- vs nation
- D+16.6
- Turnout
- 68.2%
ClintonDemocratic54.2%188,592TrumpRepublican39.3%136,582JohnsonLibertarian3.8%13,205
D+15.0- Lead
- 52,010
- Total
- 347,790
- vs nation
- D+12.9
- Turnout
- 62.2%
ObamaDemocratic58.0%193,501RomneyRepublican40.0%133,362JohnsonLibertarian1.1%3,572
D+18.0- Lead
- 60,139
- Total
- 333,813
- vs nation
- D+14.2
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic58.2%207,371McCainRepublican40.5%144,262OtherAll other candidates1.3%4,791
D+17.7- Lead
- 63,109
- Total
- 356,424
- vs nation
- D+10.4
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic50.6%173,497BushRepublican47.7%163,545OtherAll other candidates1.8%6,022
D+2.9- Lead
- 9,952
- Total
- 343,064
- vs nation
- D+5.4
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic50.9%161,743BushRepublican44.4%141,266NaderGreen3.6%11,520
D+6.4- Lead
- 20,477
- Total
- 317,825
- vs nation
- D+5.9
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic53.2%164,858DoleRepublican37.3%115,694PerotReform7.7%23,936
D+15.9- Lead
- 49,164
- Total
- 309,994
- vs nation
- D+7.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+19.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 753,7532024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,147 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 657 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $76,3822024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 67.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 13.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+43.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+39.1 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Onondaga County, NY · twin score 97.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 63.4%368,343 participants ÷ 580,569 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +20.2 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 43.3%–48.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 350,968 | 563,894 | 62.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 290,468 | 562,000 | 51.7% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 386,722 | 566,793 | 68.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 278,844 | 580,196 | 48.1% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 368,343 | 580,569 | 63.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Monroe County, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
71.9%
205,226 votes · D+43.8
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 59.4%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
66.8%
183,747 votes · R+33.7
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 63.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
225,746votes
59.4% of the vote · D+21.1
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 214,757 votes
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
196,579votes
62.0% of the vote · R+24.1
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 183,747 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+21.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+43.8 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +20.4 pts
Republican
Charles E. Hughes1916
+30.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+27.6 · U.S. D+3.1
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1932 · +24.6 pts
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026D+16.0
Presidential vote · 2024D+19.0
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 3.0 points more Democratic than the rolls.
530,176 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−1,466 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −52,008 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $66,195 in average income, against $83,858 for residents who stayed — 21% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+3.0 on average — 16 points more Republican-leaning than Monroe County, NY itself (D+19.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Ontario County, NY818R+1.2
- Wayne County, NY693R+23.0
- Erie County, NY556D+9.6
- Livingston County, NY404R+21.4
- Onondaga County, NY293D+17.2
- Orleans County, NY273R+40.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Ontario County, NY911
- Wayne County, NY796
- Erie County, NY566
- Livingston County, NY416
- Orleans County, NY285
- Onondaga County, NY266
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −1,991 |
| 2012 | −3,305 |
| 2013 | −3,061 |
| 2014 | −4,995 |
| 2015 | −5,749 |
| 2016 | −5,779 |
| 2017 | −4,259 |
| 2018 | −3,181 |
| 2019 | −2,918 |
| 2021 | −4,430 |
| 2022 | −5,411 |
| 2023 | −4,107 |
| 2024 | −1,356 |
| 2025 | −1,466 |
Monroe County's presidential margins have trended Democratic by double digits for over two decades, driven by Rochester's dense urban core and a sizable higher-education and healthcare workforce that has reshaped the county's partisan composition.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 43.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 39.1 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.0 points.
A population of 753,753, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,382 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Onondaga County and Schenectady County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Onondaga County
New York
97.7twin score
2012–2024 trajectory
Schenectady County
New York
94.7twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ population scale
Delaware County
Pennsylvania
94.6twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ elasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Monroe County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36055/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Monroe County, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Monroe County, New York voted Democratic by 19.0 points (D+19.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 362,715 votes cast, 214,757 went Democratic and 145,940 went Republican.
When did Monroe County, New York last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Monroe County, New York voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Monroe County, New York?
Monroe County, New York has a population of 753,753 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Monroe County, New York?
Median household income in Monroe County, New York is $76,382 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Monroe County, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Monroe County, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.