- Lead
- 49,557
- Total
- 508,722
- vs nation
- D+11.2
Rochester, NY
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
- Lead
- 63,610
- Total
- 525,835
- vs nation
- D+7.6
- Lead
- 29,713
- Total
- 480,101
- vs nation
- D+4.1
- Lead
- 52,928
- Total
- 455,425
- vs nation
- D+7.8
- Lead
- 56,232
- Total
- 488,918
- vs nation
- D+4.2
- Lead
- 14,210
- Total
- 475,053
- vs nation
- R+0.5
- Lead
- 3,258
- Total
- 439,385
- vs nation
- D+0.2
- Lead
- 50,419
- Total
- 421,895
- vs nation
- D+3.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+9.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 1,043,3312024 5-year
- Population density
- 363 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,875 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $76,5632024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 73.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 10.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+40.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+41.1 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Syracuse, NY · twin score 89.3
presidential history
Party record book
Rochester, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
70.0%
262,341 votes · D+40.0
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 55.1%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
69.4%
252,437 votes · R+38.8
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 66.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
288,647votes
54.9% of the vote · D+12.1
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 277,882 votes
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
266,311votes
64.1% of the vote · R+28.4
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 254,130 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+17.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+40.0 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +11.2 pts
Republican
Herbert Hoover1932
+31.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+13.5 · U.S. D+17.8
Runner-up · Charles E. Hughes, 1916 · +27.6 pts
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 2.2 points.
733,899 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−540 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −58,869 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −2,860 |
| 2012 | −4,212 |
| 2013 | −3,977 |
| 2014 | −5,840 |
| 2015 | −6,903 |
| 2016 | −7,125 |
| 2017 | −5,168 |
| 2018 | −3,702 |
| 2019 | −3,556 |
| 2021 | −4,193 |
| 2022 | −5,808 |
| 2023 | −4,412 |
| 2024 | −573 |
| 2025 | −540 |
Rochester's media market anchors Monroe County, a bellwether that has tracked closely with statewide margins while its urban core and outer-ring suburbs increasingly diverge in turnout patterns and party preference.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 40.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 41.1 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 2.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.7 points.
A population of 1,043,331, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,563 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Syracuse and Albany-Schenectady-Troy.
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Rochester, NY, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/538/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.