HarrisDemocratic35.5%7,356TrumpRepublican64.1%13,286OtherAll other candidates0.3%70
R+28.6- Lead
- 5,930
- Total
- 20,712
- vs nation
- R+27.2
- Turnout
- 55.5%
Akashiccounty
Montgomery County, NY
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 55.5% of 37,758 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic37.7%7,977TrumpRepublican60.3%12,745JorgensenLibertarian1.1%242
R+22.6- Lead
- 4,768
- Total
- 21,134
- vs nation
- R+27.0
- Turnout
- 56.9%
ClintonDemocratic34.6%6,595TrumpRepublican59.3%11,301JohnsonLibertarian3.6%690
R+24.7- Lead
- 4,706
- Total
- 19,054
- vs nation
- R+26.8
- Turnout
- 51.0%
ObamaDemocratic46.7%8,493RomneyRepublican51.3%9,334OtherAll other candidates2.0%359
R+4.6- Lead
- 841
- Total
- 18,186
- vs nation
- R+8.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic45.0%9,080McCainRepublican53.1%10,711OtherAll other candidates1.9%384
R+8.1- Lead
- 1,631
- Total
- 20,175
- vs nation
- R+15.4
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic44.5%9,449BushRepublican53.4%11,338OtherAll other candidates2.0%434
R+8.9- Lead
- 1,889
- Total
- 21,221
- vs nation
- R+6.4
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic49.3%10,249BushRepublican46.9%9,765NaderGreen2.3%487
D+2.3- Lead
- 484
- Total
- 20,809
- vs nation
- D+1.8
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic49.5%10,485DoleRepublican33.9%7,172PerotReform15.4%3,253
D+15.7- Lead
- 3,313
- Total
- 21,166
- vs nation
- D+7.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+28.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 49,5282024 5-year
- Population density
- 123 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 403 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $64,9432024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 77.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+39.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+35.6 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Luzerne County, PA · twin score 91.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 55.5%20,971 participants ÷ 37,758 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -7.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 41.3%–44.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 19,274 | 37,766 | 51.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 16,021 | 37,646 | 42.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 21,298 | 37,445 | 56.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 16,068 | 37,702 | 42.6% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 20,971 | 37,758 | 55.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Montgomery County, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
69.5%
19,370 votes · D+39.1
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 51.8%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
67.4%
20,678 votes · R+34.8
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 66.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
19,370votes
69.5% of the vote · D+39.1
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 15,976 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
20,678votes
67.4% of the vote · R+34.8
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 19,554 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+16.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+39.1 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Michael Dukakis, 1988 · +8.8 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
+27.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+28.6 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +27.0 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 39.2%7,068 | 60.8%10,958 | 18,026 |
| 2020 | R | 44.5%9,129 | 55.5%11,374 | 20,503 |
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+9.3
Presidential vote · 2024R+28.6
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 19 points more Republican than the rolls.
31,720 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+512 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,534 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $49,127 in average income, against $65,999 for residents who stayed — 26% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+11.3 on average — 17 points more Democratic-leaning than Montgomery County, NY itself (R+28.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Fulton County, NY289R+35.8
- Schenectady County, NY162D+10.8
- Saratoga County, NY105D+1.8
- Albany County, NY95D+25.6
- Herkimer County, NY38R+36.4
- Schoharie County, NY38R+30.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Fulton County, NY303
- Schenectady County, NY134
- Saratoga County, NY102
- Albany County, NY74
- Herkimer County, NY51
- Schoharie County, NY45
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −445 |
| 2012 | −163 |
| 2013 | −165 |
| 2014 | −252 |
| 2015 | −250 |
| 2016 | −552 |
| 2017 | −205 |
| 2018 | −10 |
| 2019 | −267 |
| 2021 | +114 |
| 2022 | −10 |
| 2023 | +119 |
| 2024 | +40 |
| 2025 | +512 |
Montgomery County's small-city core around Amsterdam sits amid a largely rural landscape, and its electorate has shifted decisively rightward over the past decade, posting a 28.6-point Republican margin in 2024 despite a modest working-class Democratic history.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 39.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 35.6 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 28.6 points.
A population of 49,528, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,943 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Luzerne County and Oneida County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Luzerne County
Pennsylvania
91.2twin score
% CatholicItalian ancestry12-yr trend≠ population scale
Oneida County
New York
88.1twin score
% CatholicItalian ancestry2012 margin≠ % Asian
Niagara County
New York
86.4twin score
Italian ancestry% Catholic2000 margin≠ Scottish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Montgomery County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36057/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Montgomery County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Montgomery County, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Montgomery County, New York voted Republican by 28.6 points (R+28.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 20,712 votes cast, 7,356 went Democratic and 13,286 went Republican.
When did Montgomery County, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Montgomery County, New York voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Montgomery County, New York?
Montgomery County, New York has a population of 49,528 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Montgomery County, New York?
Median household income in Montgomery County, New York is $64,943 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Montgomery County, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Montgomery County, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.