HarrisDemocratic33.5%11,424TrumpRepublican66.2%22,586SteinIndependent0.2%53
R+32.7- Lead
- 11,162
- Total
- 34,107
- vs nation
- R+31.3
- Turnout
- 58.4%
Akashiccounty
Cattaraugus County, NY
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 58.4% of 59,121 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic34.2%11,879TrumpRepublican63.7%22,155JorgensenLibertarian1.3%450
R+29.6- Lead
- 10,276
- Total
- 34,760
- vs nation
- R+34.0
- Turnout
- 60.7%
ClintonDemocratic30.5%9,497TrumpRepublican63.2%19,692JohnsonLibertarian4.0%1,246
R+32.7- Lead
- 10,195
- Total
- 31,161
- vs nation
- R+34.8
- Turnout
- 52.6%
ObamaDemocratic42.5%12,649RomneyRepublican55.7%16,569JohnsonLibertarian0.9%274
R+13.2- Lead
- 3,920
- Total
- 29,767
- vs nation
- R+17.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic43.9%14,307McCainRepublican54.5%17,770OtherAll other candidates1.7%540
R+10.6- Lead
- 3,463
- Total
- 32,617
- vs nation
- R+17.9
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic39.4%13,514BushRepublican58.5%20,051OtherAll other candidates2.0%701
R+19.1- Lead
- 6,537
- Total
- 34,266
- vs nation
- R+16.6
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic41.0%13,816BushRepublican54.5%18,382NaderGreen3.2%1,094
R+13.5- Lead
- 4,566
- Total
- 33,733
- vs nation
- R+14.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic41.2%13,029DoleRepublican41.0%12,971PerotReform16.3%5,151
D+0.2- Lead
- 58
- Total
- 31,643
- vs nation
- R+8.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+32.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 76,1452024 5-year
- Median household income
- $59,5402024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+33.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44.9 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Wyoming County, PA · twin score 88.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 58.4%34,549 participants ÷ 59,121 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 41.9%–44.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 31,547 | 59,998 | 52.6% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 24,868 | 59,769 | 41.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 35,944 | 59,242 | 60.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 26,359 | 59,724 | 44.1% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 34,549 | 59,121 | 58.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
55 precincts · 34,337 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 1100001360091100001 | 206 | 887 | 0 | 1,093 | 18.8% | 81.2% | R+62.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 1900001360091900001 | 269 | 795 | 9 | 1,073 | 25.1% | 74.1% | R+49.0 |
| Precinct 2301001360092301001 | 477 | 544 | 36 | 1,057 | 45.1% | 51.5% | R+6.3 |
| Precinct 2302001360092302001 | 409 | 573 | 11 | 993 | 41.2% | 57.7% | R+16.5 |
| Precinct 2800002360092800002 | 260 | 717 | 14 | 991 | 26.2% | 72.4% | R+46.1 |
| Precinct 2700001360092700001 | 324 | 637 | 10 | 971 | 33.4% | 65.6% | R+32.2 |
| Precinct 1300001360091300001 | 240 | 715 | 10 | 965 | 24.9% | 74.1% | R+49.2 |
| Precinct 2200001360092200001 | 236 | 646 | 14 | 896 | 26.3% | 72.1% | R+45.8 |
| Precinct 2600001360092600001 | 292 | 565 | 12 | 869 | 33.6% | 65.0% | R+31.4 |
| Precinct 0100001360090100001 | 413 | 435 | 0 | 848 | 48.7% | 51.3% | R+2.6 |
| Precinct 2800001360092800001 | 277 | 552 | 16 | 845 | 32.8% | 65.3% | R+32.5 |
| Precinct 0800001360090800001 | 398 | 434 | 9 | 841 | 47.3% | 51.6% | R+4.3 |
| Precinct 3400002360093400002 | 237 | 600 | 3 | 840 | 28.2% | 71.4% | R+43.2 |
| Precinct 2306001360092306001 | 408 | 411 | 17 | 836 | 48.8% | 49.2% | R+0.4 |
| Precinct 2307001360092307001 | 297 | 530 | 5 | 832 | 35.7% | 63.7% | R+28.0 |
| Precinct 0100005360090100005 | 293 | 509 | 8 | 810 | 36.2% | 62.8% | R+26.7 |
| Precinct 3400001360093400001 | 198 | 602 | 0 | 800 | 24.8% | 75.3% | R+50.5 |
| Precinct 2305001360092305001 | 394 | 390 | 6 | 790 | 49.9% | 49.4% | D+0.5 |
| Precinct 0200002360090200002 | 229 | 528 | 0 | 757 | 30.3% | 69.7% | R+39.5 |
| Precinct 1700001360091700001 | 216 | 525 | 5 | 746 | 29.0% | 70.4% | R+41.4 |
| Precinct 2303001360092303001 | 375 | 348 | 22 | 745 | 50.3% | 46.7% | D+3.6 |
| Precinct 0600001360090600001 | 141 | 581 | 0 | 722 | 19.5% | 80.5% | R+60.9 |
| Precinct 1200002360091200002 | 216 | 495 | 6 | 717 | 30.1% | 69.0% | R+38.9 |
| Precinct 2400002360092400002 | 251 | 444 | 9 | 704 | 35.7% | 63.1% | R+27.4 |
| Precinct 1000001360091000001 | 169 | 513 | 0 | 682 | 24.8% | 75.2% | R+50.4 |
| Precinct 0100004360090100004 | 217 | 454 | 8 | 679 | 32.0% | 66.9% | R+34.9 |
| Precinct 2900002360092900002 | 138 | 477 | 5 | 620 | 22.3% | 76.9% | R+54.7 |
| Precinct 0300001360090300001 | 165 | 440 | 4 | 609 | 27.1% | 72.2% | R+45.2 |
| Precinct 2304001360092304001 | 321 | 265 | 11 | 597 | 53.8% | 44.4% | D+9.4 |
| Precinct 0100003360090100003 | 217 | 363 | 14 | 594 | 36.5% | 61.1% | R+24.6 |
| Precinct 2900001360092900001 | 142 | 439 | 9 | 590 | 24.1% | 74.4% | R+50.3 |
| Precinct 3102001360093102001 | 282 | 287 | 5 | 574 | 49.1% | 50.0% | R+0.9 |
| Precinct 0700001360090700001 | 141 | 424 | 5 | 570 | 24.7% | 74.4% | R+49.6 |
| Precinct 0900001360090900001 | 114 | 444 | 8 | 566 | 20.1% | 78.4% | R+58.3 |
| Precinct 1000002360091000002 | 159 | 403 | 4 | 566 | 28.1% | 71.2% | R+43.1 |
| Precinct 2100001360092100001 | 106 | 387 | 2 | 495 | 21.4% | 78.2% | R+56.8 |
| Precinct 2000001360092000001 | 156 | 297 | 0 | 453 | 34.4% | 65.6% | R+31.1 |
| Precinct 0500001360090500001 | 131 | 302 | 8 | 441 | 29.7% | 68.5% | R+38.8 |
| Precinct 1500001360091500001 | 102 | 331 | 0 | 433 | 23.6% | 76.4% | R+52.9 |
| Precinct 3104001360093104001 | 236 | 184 | 3 | 423 | 55.8% | 43.5% | D+12.3 |
| Precinct 2500001360092500001 | 111 | 300 | 0 | 411 | 27.0% | 73.0% | R+46.0 |
| Precinct 0100002360090100002 | 207 | 197 | 4 | 408 | 50.7% | 48.3% | D+2.5 |
| Precinct 3105001360093105001 | 151 | 227 | 6 | 384 | 39.3% | 59.1% | R+19.8 |
| Precinct 1200001360091200001 | 133 | 250 | 0 | 383 | 34.7% | 65.3% | R+30.5 |
| Precinct 0400001360090400001 | 94 | 285 | 0 | 379 | 24.8% | 75.2% | R+50.4 |
| Precinct 0200001360090200001 | 116 | 251 | 0 | 367 | 31.6% | 68.4% | R+36.8 |
| Precinct 3200001360093200001 | 168 | 183 | 0 | 351 | 47.9% | 52.1% | R+4.3 |
| Precinct 2400001360092400001 | 103 | 242 | 3 | 348 | 29.6% | 69.5% | R+39.9 |
| Precinct 1400001360091400001 | 93 | 237 | 4 | 334 | 27.8% | 71.0% | R+43.1 |
| Precinct 1800001360091800001 | 88 | 242 | 0 | 330 | 26.7% | 73.3% | R+46.7 |
| Precinct 1600001360091600001 | 56 | 259 | 0 | 315 | 17.8% | 82.2% | R+64.4 |
| Precinct 3101001360093101001 | 100 | 181 | 0 | 281 | 35.6% | 64.4% | R+28.8 |
| Precinct 3103001360093103001 | 94 | 143 | 0 | 237 | 39.7% | 60.3% | R+20.7 |
| Precinct 3300001360093300001 | 48 | 98 | 0 | 146 | 32.9% | 67.1% | R+34.2 |
| Precinct 3000001360093000001 | 10 | 18 | 2 | 30 | 33.3% | 60.0% | R+26.7 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −14.7% |
| 1896 | −20.4% |
| 1900 | −22.3% |
| 1904 | −33.0% |
| 1908 | −19.7% |
| 1912 | +0.5% |
| 1916 | −14.0% |
| 1920 | −39.1% |
| 1924 | −44.1% |
| 1928 | −36.1% |
| 1932 | −21.5% |
| 1936 | −26.0% |
| 1940 | −31.6% |
| 1944 | −25.5% |
| 1948 | −22.9% |
| 1952 | −37.2% |
| 1956 | −44.9% |
| 1960 | −19.0% |
| 1964 | +33.7% |
| 1968 | −12.4% |
| 1972 | −33.4% |
| 1976 | −17.1% |
| 1980 | −13.2% |
| 1984 | −40.5% |
| 1988 | −22.3% |
| 1992 | −10.8% |
| 1996 | +0.2% |
| 2000 | −13.5% |
| 2004 | −19.1% |
| 2008 | −10.6% |
| 2012 | −13.2% |
| 2016 | −32.7% |
| 2020 | −29.6% |
| 2024 | −32.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 1 House · 28 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 29.9%9,043 | 70.1%21,241 | 30,284 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+17.3
Presidential vote · 2024R+32.7
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 15 points more Democratic.
50,806 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+125 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −5,282 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,973 in average income, against $66,637 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+14.9 on average — 18 points more Democratic-leaning than Cattaraugus County, NY itself (R+32.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Erie County, NY366D+9.6
- Allegany County, NY153R+43.1
- Chautauqua County, NY136R+21.9
- McKean County, PA71R+47.2
- Wyoming County, NY66R+48.2
- Niagara County, NY36R+14.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Erie County, NY352
- Chautauqua County, NY163
- Allegany County, NY137
- McKean County, PA82
- Wyoming County, NY60
- Monroe County, NY31
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −545 |
| 2012 | −636 |
| 2013 | −501 |
| 2014 | −519 |
| 2015 | −831 |
| 2016 | −320 |
| 2017 | −502 |
| 2018 | −411 |
| 2019 | −565 |
| 2021 | −265 |
| 2022 | −103 |
| 2023 | −170 |
| 2024 | −39 |
| 2025 | +125 |
Cattaraugus sits in the Southern Tier's forested hill country, where a predominantly white, working-class population has shifted from a competitive swing county in the early 2000s to one of New York's most lopsided presidential margins by 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 44.9 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 32.7 points.
A population of 76,145, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,540 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wyoming County and Herkimer County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Wyoming County
Pennsylvania
88.2twin score
Polish ancestry% Evangelical% unaffiliated≠ Swedish ancestry
Herkimer County
New York
86.2twin score
Polish ancestry% unaffiliated% Evangelical≠ Italian ancestry
Orleans County
New York
85.4twin score
Polish ancestry% Evangelical12-yr trend≠ Swedish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Cattaraugus County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36009/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Cattaraugus County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Cattaraugus County, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Cattaraugus County, New York voted Republican by 32.7 points (R+32.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 34,107 votes cast, 11,424 went Democratic and 22,586 went Republican.
When did Cattaraugus County, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Cattaraugus County, New York voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Cattaraugus County, New York?
Cattaraugus County, New York has a population of 76,145 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Cattaraugus County, New York?
Median household income in Cattaraugus County, New York is $59,540 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Cattaraugus County, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Cattaraugus County, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 31 went Republican.