- Lead
- 21,570
- Total
- 56,912
- vs nation
- R+36.4
New York 148th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 20,335
- Total
- 59,096
- vs nation
- R+38.9
- Lead
- 19,701
- Total
- 53,049
- vs nation
- R+39.2
- Lead
- 9,449
- Total
- 49,468
- vs nation
- R+23.0
- Lead
- 8,910
- Total
- 54,005
- vs nation
- R+23.8
- Lead
- 14,069
- Total
- 56,654
- vs nation
- R+22.4
- Lead
- 11,217
- Total
- 55,450
- vs nation
- R+20.7
- Lead
- 2,392
- Total
- 51,982
- vs nation
- R+13.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+37.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 130,9062024 5-year
- Population density
- 50 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,624 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $61,0872024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+25.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52.8 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 106, IL · twin score 95.1
presidential history
Party record book
New York 148th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2020 (partial returns from 1876) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
62.5%
33,483 votes · D+25.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 40.9%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
76.4%
44,395 votes · R+52.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 73.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
33,483votes
62.5% of the vote · D+25.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 22,083 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
44,395votes
76.4% of the vote · R+52.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 44,087 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+2.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+25.0 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1980 · −9.7 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+58.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+34.1 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Wendell Willkie, 1940 · +53.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 28.7%14,820 | 71.3%36,823 | 51,643 |
AD-148 delivered a 37.9-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the deepest-red state house seats in New York. Its political profile reflects a predominantly rural, small-town constituency far outside the state's major metropolitan centers.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 52.8 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 37.9 points.
A population of 130,906, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,087 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 106 and State House District 110.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New York 148th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36148/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.