- Lead
- 11,025
- Total
- 56,343
- vs nation
- D+21.0
New York 149th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 14,464
- Total
- 58,494
- vs nation
- D+20.3
- Lead
- 9,338
- Total
- 51,513
- vs nation
- D+16.0
- Lead
- 14,297
- Total
- 50,863
- vs nation
- D+24.3
- Lead
- 15,802
- Total
- 54,367
- vs nation
- D+21.8
- Lead
- 14,507
- Total
- 54,782
- vs nation
- D+28.9
- Lead
- 15,646
- Total
- 52,552
- vs nation
- D+29.3
- Lead
- 16,461
- Total
- 51,245
- vs nation
- D+23.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+19.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 133,0952024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,506 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 53.1 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $69,3782024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 65.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 13.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+55.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+28.1 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 140, NY · twin score 93.8
presidential history
Party record book
New York 149th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2020 (partial returns from 1876) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
77.8%
46,614 votes · D+55.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 63.7%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
57.7%
30,774 votes · R+15.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 57.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
46,614votes
77.8% of the vote · D+55.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 37,481 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
30,774votes
57.7% of the vote · R+15.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 26,979 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Walter Mondale1984
+33.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+15.6 · U.S. R+18.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · +33.1 pts
Republican
Herbert Hoover1932
+9.4pts R vs U.S.
Place D+8.4 · U.S. D+17.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · +5.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Its Democratic presidential margin was D+19.6 in 2024 and D+29.1 in 2008. Catholic adherents were the largest religious group at 46.5% in the 2020 US Religion Census.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 55.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 28.1 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.6 points.
A population of 133,095, a 65% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,378 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 140 and Assembly District 143.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New York 149th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36149/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.