akashic
1876–2024
Erie County, New York
Erie County·New York

Erie County has voted Democratic for as long as anyone can remember.

Buffalo's home county swung toward Republicans by double digits since 2012

18762024·38 elections
Erie County, New York · dIPENdAVE · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
D+10
in 2024
Archetype
Democratic loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
950,622
2024 ACS
Most similar
Providence County
RI · similarity 0.99
650 precincts · 459,926 votes cast
Harris · D+10
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
+9.5%
248,651204,774459,926
2020D
+14.7%
267,270197,552473,418
2016D
+6.4%
215,456188,303423,625
2012D
+16.3%
237,356169,675414,195
2008D
+17.5%
256,299178,815441,985
2004D
+15.0%
251,090184,423445,138
2000D
+18.8%
240,176160,176424,654
1996D
+22.5%
224,554132,343410,234
1992D
+14.8%
196,233129,444451,496
1988D
+11.6%
238,779188,796430,792
1984D
+3.2%
237,631222,882461,671
1980D
+11.0%
215,283169,209420,473
1976D
+2.0%
229,397220,310452,843
1972R
−8.1%
218,105256,462476,023
1968D
+18.1%
250,054167,853453,165
1964D
+46.4%
344,910125,962471,576
1960D
+13.3%
277,203211,957489,564
1956R
−27.4%
166,930292,657459,587
1952R
−12.8%
196,378253,927451,249
1948D
+5.9%
197,618175,118383,372
1944D
+2.6%
195,905185,975383,235
1940D
+1.6%
189,779183,664374,435
1936D
+9.1%
183,555152,312342,208
1932R
−3.6%
131,012141,059282,930
1928R
−6.5%
126,449144,726281,789
1924R
−37.2%
40,780112,070191,480
1920R
−37.6%
40,43699,762157,796
1916R
−7.8%
45,62253,638102,460
1912D
+16.8%
33,51819,18585,113
1908R
−7.0%
45,18552,18299,660
1904R
−14.7%
36,58249,66989,132
1900R
−5.7%
39,83344,76786,657
1896R
−19.8%
30,17245,61277,879
1892D
+0.1%
32,43132,34068,403
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
0.5%
African American
10.0%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
46.9%
Other Christian
5.4%
Non-Christian
4.2%
Mainline Protestant
3.8%
Baptist
3.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.4%
Methodist
1.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 32.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Erie County anchors western New York with nearly a million residents and has tracked a steady rightward shift in presidential margins over the past decade, even as Democrats retain a comfortable edge in the region's largest city.

The Democratic margin in Erie County reached its widest at forty-six points in 1964. The margin in 2024 was ten points — still decisive.

Erie County's loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $72,839, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 950,622 together describe a community whose political habits are deeply settled. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Providence County and Hampden County.