Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
presidential margin
2008D+14.62012D+13.62016D+2.12020D+10.32024D+5.1
full record · 1892 → 2024
D+5.1
2024
median income$72,257U.S. $80,734 · NY $85,974
median age40.9U.S. 39.1 · NY 39.9
poverty rate13.8%U.S. 12.5% · NY 14.0%
bachelor’s+ (25+)36.2%U.S. 35.6% · NY 40.0%
non-english10.3%U.S. 22.3% · NY 30.9%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German21.2%
Irish15.5%
Italian14.7%
African American†9.8%
African0.5%
Jamaican0.3%
Puerto Rican3.3%
Mexican0.8%
Dominican0.4%
Asian Indian1.1%
Bangladeshi0.8%
Chinese0.6%
religion
other traditions
Mainline5.0%
Black Protestant3.7%
Muslim2.6%
Jewish0.7%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY, New York

Akashic
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NYHarrisD+5.1
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY, NYA map of the constituent counties of Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY, NY, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Erie County, NY · D+9.6Niagara County, NY · R+14.9
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala Harris ✓Democratic52.3%292,089
Donald TrumpRepublican47.1%263,452
Jill SteinWrite-In0.6%3,440
D+60
R+60
2 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (2 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY, NY — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Erie County, NYDemocraticD+9.6
Niagara County, NYRepublicanR+14.9
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
D
52.3%Harris292,089
47.1%Trump263,452
0.6%Stein3,440
+5.1%
558,981
D
54.2%Biden313,299
43.9%Trump253,620
1.8%Jorgensen10,622
+10.3%
577,541
D
48.6%Clinton251,015
46.6%Trump240,264
4.8%Trump24,748
+2.1%
516,027
D
55.9%Obama281,342
42.3%Romney212,915
1.8%Romney8,951
+13.6%
503,208
D
56.5%Obama303,602
41.9%McCain225,163
1.6%McCain8,492
+14.6%
537,257
D
55.1%Kerry298,692
42.7%Bush231,534
2.1%Bush11,492
+12.4%
541,718
D
55.6%Gore287,957
38.8%Bush201,128
5.6%Nader28,839
+16.8%
517,924
D
53.8%Clinton268,757
32.8%Dole163,781
13.4%Perot67,140
+21.0%
499,678
D
42.3%Clinton231,882
29.2%Bush159,845
28.5%Perot156,353
+13.1%
548,080
D
54.6%Dukakis282,580
44.7%Bush231,333
0.7%Bush3,747
+9.9%
517,660
D
50.3%Mondale278,999
49.4%Reagan274,171
0.2%Reagan1,359
+0.9%
554,529
D
50.4%Carter255,688
41.0%Reagan207,969
8.5%Anderson43,210
+9.4%
506,867
D
50.3%Carter273,064
49.1%Ford266,411
0.7%Ford3,607
+1.2%
543,082
R
45.1%McGovern257,096
54.6%Nixon311,239
0.3%Schmitz1,779
−9.5%
570,114
D
54.0%Humphrey292,053
38.2%Nixon206,649
7.8%Wallace42,388
+15.8%
541,090
D
72.6%Johnson412,170
27.2%Goldwater154,625
0.1%Hass766
+45.4%
567,561
D
55.6%Kennedy328,883
44.3%Nixon261,958
0.1%Byrd488
+11.3%
591,329
R
35.7%Stevenson197,091
64.3%Eisenhower355,090
0.0%
−28.6%
552,181
R
42.9%Stevenson232,882
56.9%Eisenhower308,770
0.2%Hallinan1,096
−14.0%
542,748
D
50.9%Truman231,737
46.3%Dewey210,976
2.8%Thurmond12,878
+4.6%
455,591
D
50.6%Roosevelt230,755
49.0%Dewey223,589
0.3%Thomas1,557
+1.6%
455,901
D
50.2%Roosevelt222,986
49.6%Willkie220,393
0.3%Thomas1,157
+0.6%
444,536
D
52.7%Roosevelt212,762
45.2%Landon182,456
2.1%Lemke8,405
+7.5%
403,623
R
45.2%Roosevelt151,777
51.2%Hoover171,911
3.6%Thomas12,133
−6.0%
335,821
R
42.9%Smith143,330
53.2%Hoover177,955
3.9%Thomas12,957
−10.4%
334,242
R
21.2%Davis48,773
60.1%Coolidge137,944
18.7%La Follette42,825
−38.8%
229,542
R
25.3%Cox47,852
64.1%Harding120,955
10.6%Debs20,021
−38.7%
188,828
R
43.7%Wilson53,989
53.2%Hughes65,850
3.1%Benson3,845
−9.6%
123,684
D
39.6%Wilson41,165
23.9%Taft24,839
36.5%Roosevelt37,917
+15.7%
103,921
R
44.8%Bryan53,759
52.8%Taft63,327
2.4%Debs2,930
−8.0%
120,016
R
40.8%Parker44,132
55.9%Roosevelt60,550
3.3%Debs3,605
−15.2%
108,287
R
45.6%Bryan47,559
51.9%McKinley54,119
2.5%Woolley2,580
−6.3%
104,258
R
39.2%Bryan36,613
58.1%McKinley54,238
2.7%Palmer2,518
−18.9%
93,369
D
47.4%Cleveland39,281
47.0%Harrison39,003
5.6%Weaver4,656
+0.3%
82,940
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: +5.1% in 2024.flipped D · 1976+5.1%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+0.3%
1896−18.9%
1900−6.3%
1904−15.2%
1908−8.0%
1912+15.7%
1916−9.6%
1920−38.7%
1924−38.8%
1928−10.4%
1932−6.0%
1936+7.5%
1940+0.6%
1944+1.6%
1948+4.6%
1952−14.0%
1956−28.6%
1960+11.3%
1964+45.4%
1968+15.8%
1972−9.5%
1976+1.2%
1980+9.4%
1984+0.9%
1988+9.9%
1992+13.1%
1996+21.0%
2000+16.8%
2004+12.4%
2008+14.6%
2012+13.6%
2016+2.1%
2020+10.3%
2024+5.1%
DemocraticRepublican

Buffalo anchors a mid-size metro that has voted Democratic in presidential races by double digits for decades, even as surrounding Erie County suburbs shift enough to keep county-level margins competitive in off-cycle contests.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 45.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 38.8 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 5.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.1 points.

A population of 1,161,343, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,257 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Syracuse, NY and Pittsburgh, PA.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Syracuse, NY
92.0twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ % unaffiliated
Pittsburgh, PA
89.2twin score
population scale2000–2004 trajectoryItalian ancestry≠ % Catholic
Cleveland, OH
88.3twin score
2000–2024 trajectory≠ % Catholic

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/15380/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY

counties2
Erie CountyNiagara County

Frequently asked questions

How did Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY, New York voted Democratic by 5.1 points (D+5.1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 558,981 votes cast, 292,089 went Democratic and 263,452 went Republican.
When did Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY, New York last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY, New York voted Republican was 1972.
How many people live in Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY, New York?
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY, New York has a population of 1,161,343 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY, New York?
Median household income in Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY, New York is $72,257 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY, New York?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY, New York from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.