New York 23rd Congressional District, New York: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+3%. Republican peak: R+43 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+3MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,220,8032024 5-year
- Median household income
- $68,9192024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+41 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43 in 1924MIT Election Lab
Predecessors: REED, Thomas W., II (2021–2023), SEMPOLINSKI, Joseph (2021–2023), REED, Thomas W., II (2019–2021), REED, Thomas W., II (2017–2019)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 277,646 | 296,241 | 580,560 | ||
| D | 296,547 | 290,183 | 598,278 | ||
| R | 239,552 | 270,227 | 538,419 | ||
| D | 273,527 | 237,937 | 520,964 | ||
| D | 300,626 | 252,127 | 561,528 | ||
| D | 288,318 | 269,311 | 569,512 | ||
| D | 279,475 | 237,611 | 545,854 | ||
| D | 265,412 | 186,012 | 523,711 | ||
| D | 228,586 | 189,381 | 575,641 | ||
| D | 271,401 | 268,656 | 544,085 | ||
| R | 260,326 | 320,048 | 581,862 | ||
| D | 248,138 | 242,434 | 536,295 | ||
| R | 270,268 | 293,727 | 567,500 | ||
| R | 244,904 | 342,682 | 589,295 | ||
| D | 279,317 | 243,029 | 563,405 | ||
| D | 413,419 | 174,601 | 588,777 | ||
| D | 309,682 | 309,138 | 619,290 | ||
| R | 193,104 | 398,490 | 591,594 | ||
| R | 226,431 | 359,390 | 587,006 | ||
| R | 226,876 | 254,672 | 494,687 | ||
| R | 229,624 | 270,955 | 502,270 | ||
| R | 226,239 | 279,446 | 507,268 | ||
| R | 224,087 | 239,988 | 472,543 | ||
| R | 170,091 | 224,217 | 409,474 | ||
| R | 155,270 | 252,164 | 420,501 | ||
| R | 64,213 | 197,859 | 312,968 | ||
| R | 65,129 | 176,445 | 266,034 | ||
| R | 71,448 | 92,695 | 171,827 | ||
| D | 54,927 | 43,074 | 151,613 | ||
| R | 68,730 | 97,500 | 173,782 | ||
| R | 57,565 | 97,176 | 162,450 | ||
| R | 66,466 | 91,112 | 163,081 | ||
| R | 56,159 | 91,626 | 152,479 | ||
| R | 56,330 | 70,167 | 138,388 | ||
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U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 56.2% | 38.7% | 8,381,397 |
| 2022 | D | 51.7% | 37.7% | 5,848,556 |
| 2018 | D | 62.0% | 28.6% | 6,055,151 |
| 2016 | D | 61.3% | 22.1% | 7,800,725 |
| 2012 | D | 62.1% | 21.3% | 7,116,628 |
| 2010 | D | 64.0% | 26.0% | 4,763,899 |
| 2006 | D | 57.4% | 25.8% | 4,700,632 |
| 2004 | D | 58.9% | 21.8% | 7,447,818 |
| 2000 | D | 51.2% | 39.1% | 6,959,662 |
| 1998 | D | 47.8% | 33.7% | 4,989,877 |
| 1994 | D | 47.5% | 32.1% | 5,328,486 |
| 1992 | D | 41.6% | 37.5% | 7,078,805 |
| 1988 | D | 64.7% | 27.9% | 6,040,980 |
| 1986 | R | 38.4% | 45.3% | 4,484,859 |
| 1982 | D | 62.2% | 28.5% | 4,967,729 |
| 1980 | D | 43.5% | 37.8% | 6,014,914 |
| 1976 | D | 48.6% | 37.9% | 6,666,875 |
Demographics
Stretching across dairy farms and small industrial towns from the Pennsylvania border toward the Finger Lakes, NY-23 has shifted from competitive to reliably Republican, posting a 12.8-point margin in 2024 after years of single-digit contests.
The Democratic margin in New York 23rd Congressional District has rarely exceeded forty-one points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-three points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by three points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 79% non-Hispanic-white share, a 15% poverty rate, and a median household income of $68,919 — all within the broad national range.
Compare two places, side by side
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Congressional District 23, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3623/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.