- Lead
- 14,364
- Total
- 45,344
- vs nation
- R+30.2
- Turnout
- 66.2%
Steuben County, NY
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 66.2% of 71,479 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 13,684
- Total
- 46,179
- vs nation
- R+34.1
- Turnout
- 63.3%
- Lead
- 14,305
- Total
- 42,002
- vs nation
- R+36.1
- Turnout
- 56.3%
- Lead
- 6,167
- Total
- 38,531
- vs nation
- R+19.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,055
- Total
- 41,911
- vs nation
- R+24.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 12,457
- Total
- 42,284
- vs nation
- R+27.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 9,600
- Total
- 40,563
- vs nation
- R+24.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,229
- Total
- 38,171
- vs nation
- R+17.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+31.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 92,5882024 5-year
- Median household income
- $65,8872024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+21.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.4 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Wayne County, NY · twin score 81.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 66.2%47,286 participants ÷ 71,479 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -6.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 51.1%–54.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 42,329 | 75,210 | 56.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 35,276 | 74,472 | 47.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 46,603 | 73,616 | 63.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 34,803 | 72,131 | 48.2% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 47,286 | 71,479 | 66.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
63 precincts · 45,586 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0300002361010300002 | 327 | 996 | 4 | 1,327 | 24.6% | 75.1% | R+50.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0300001361010300001 | 342 | 974 | 8 | 1,324 | 25.8% | 73.6% | R+47.7 |
| Precinct 1100001361011100001 | 523 | 701 | 16 | 1,240 | 42.2% | 56.5% | R+14.4 |
| Precinct 2900001361012900001 | 509 | 706 | 24 | 1,239 | 41.1% | 57.0% | R+15.9 |
| Precinct 0800001361010800001 | 374 | 819 | 7 | 1,200 | 31.2% | 68.3% | R+37.1 |
| Precinct 0300004361010300004 | 459 | 704 | 14 | 1,177 | 39.0% | 59.8% | R+20.8 |
| Precinct 0900001361010900001 | 267 | 903 | 5 | 1,175 | 22.7% | 76.9% | R+54.1 |
| Precinct 1300004361011300004 | 520 | 596 | 16 | 1,132 | 45.9% | 52.7% | R+6.7 |
| Precinct 0100001361010100001 | 298 | 827 | 5 | 1,130 | 26.4% | 73.2% | R+46.8 |
| Precinct 1300002361011300002 | 635 | 475 | 12 | 1,122 | 56.6% | 42.3% | D+14.3 |
| Precinct 0300003361010300003 | 380 | 731 | 9 | 1,120 | 33.9% | 65.3% | R+31.3 |
| Precinct 1100002361011100002 | 477 | 593 | 10 | 1,080 | 44.2% | 54.9% | R+10.7 |
| Precinct 1900002361011900002 | 335 | 715 | 9 | 1,059 | 31.6% | 67.5% | R+35.9 |
| Precinct 1900001361011900001 | 278 | 726 | 7 | 1,011 | 27.5% | 71.8% | R+44.3 |
| Precinct 2300001361012300001 | 327 | 669 | 5 | 1,001 | 32.7% | 66.8% | R+34.2 |
| Precinct 0200001361010200001 | 213 | 775 | 8 | 996 | 21.4% | 77.8% | R+56.4 |
| Precinct 3000001361013000001 | 325 | 665 | 1 | 991 | 32.8% | 67.1% | R+34.3 |
| Precinct 1300001361011300001 | 503 | 420 | 13 | 936 | 53.7% | 44.9% | D+8.9 |
| Precinct 1300003361011300003 | 383 | 541 | 12 | 936 | 40.9% | 57.8% | R+16.9 |
| Precinct 1200001361011200001 | 195 | 716 | 7 | 918 | 21.2% | 78.0% | R+56.8 |
| Precinct 2200001361012200001 | 218 | 680 | 5 | 903 | 24.1% | 75.3% | R+51.2 |
| Precinct 1100003361011100003 | 420 | 455 | 9 | 884 | 47.5% | 51.5% | R+4.0 |
| Precinct 1700001361011700001 | 271 | 593 | 5 | 869 | 31.2% | 68.2% | R+37.1 |
| Precinct 3000002361013000002 | 194 | 649 | 9 | 852 | 22.8% | 76.2% | R+53.4 |
| Precinct 0600001361010600001 | 199 | 619 | 4 | 822 | 24.2% | 75.3% | R+51.1 |
| Precinct 0600002361010600002 | 243 | 539 | 1 | 783 | 31.0% | 68.8% | R+37.8 |
| Precinct 2400001361012400001 | 338 | 436 | 8 | 782 | 43.2% | 55.8% | R+12.5 |
| Precinct 1000003361011000003 | 528 | 237 | 10 | 775 | 68.1% | 30.6% | D+37.5 |
| Precinct 2000001361012000001 | 135 | 607 | 5 | 747 | 18.1% | 81.3% | R+63.2 |
| Precinct 3400001361013400001 | 119 | 592 | 2 | 713 | 16.7% | 83.0% | R+66.3 |
| Precinct 1000002361011000002 | 436 | 252 | 11 | 699 | 62.4% | 36.1% | D+26.3 |
| Precinct 1000005361011000005 | 372 | 306 | 8 | 686 | 54.2% | 44.6% | D+9.6 |
| Precinct 2600001361012600001 | 121 | 553 | 5 | 679 | 17.8% | 81.4% | R+63.6 |
| Precinct 3100001361013100001 | 255 | 419 | 1 | 675 | 37.8% | 62.1% | R+24.3 |
| Precinct 1000004361011000004 | 347 | 269 | 9 | 625 | 55.5% | 43.0% | D+12.5 |
| Precinct 2800001361012800001 | 105 | 515 | 4 | 624 | 16.8% | 82.5% | R+65.7 |
| Precinct 1000008361011000008 | 317 | 288 | 7 | 612 | 51.8% | 47.1% | D+4.7 |
| Precinct 1000007361011000007 | 321 | 275 | 10 | 606 | 53.0% | 45.4% | D+7.6 |
| Precinct 0700002361010700002 | 182 | 402 | 5 | 589 | 30.9% | 68.3% | R+37.4 |
| Precinct 3300001361013300001 | 129 | 448 | 3 | 580 | 22.2% | 77.2% | R+55.0 |
| Precinct 0700003361010700003 | 89 | 444 | 5 | 538 | 16.5% | 82.5% | R+66.0 |
| Precinct 1000001361011000001 | 301 | 232 | 5 | 538 | 55.9% | 43.1% | D+12.8 |
| Precinct 2100001361012100001 | 80 | 431 | 7 | 518 | 15.4% | 83.2% | R+67.8 |
| Precinct 1400001361011400001 | 94 | 416 | 7 | 517 | 18.2% | 80.5% | R+62.3 |
| Precinct 2500001361012500001 | 78 | 384 | 3 | 465 | 16.8% | 82.6% | R+65.8 |
| Precinct 1000006361011000006 | 222 | 229 | 12 | 463 | 47.9% | 49.5% | R+1.5 |
| Precinct 2700001361012700001 | 62 | 386 | 7 | 455 | 13.6% | 84.8% | R+71.2 |
| Precinct 0400001361010400001 | 89 | 333 | 3 | 425 | 20.9% | 78.4% | R+57.4 |
| Precinct 0500001361010500001 | 53 | 365 | 3 | 421 | 12.6% | 86.7% | R+74.1 |
| Precinct 1800009361011800009 | 145 | 269 | 2 | 416 | 34.9% | 64.7% | R+29.8 |
| Precinct 0700001361010700001 | 99 | 311 | 3 | 413 | 24.0% | 75.3% | R+51.3 |
| Precinct 1500001361011500001 | 74 | 338 | 0 | 412 | 18.0% | 82.0% | R+64.1 |
| Precinct 1800002361011800002 | 126 | 230 | 6 | 362 | 34.8% | 63.5% | R+28.7 |
| Precinct 1800010361011800010 | 137 | 208 | 2 | 347 | 39.5% | 59.9% | R+20.5 |
| Precinct 1800005361011800005 | 140 | 201 | 1 | 342 | 40.9% | 58.8% | R+17.8 |
| Precinct 1600001361011600001 | 61 | 275 | 1 | 337 | 18.1% | 81.6% | R+63.5 |
| Precinct 1800001361011800001 | 100 | 224 | 7 | 331 | 30.2% | 67.7% | R+37.5 |
| Precinct 1800004361011800004 | 131 | 187 | 2 | 320 | 40.9% | 58.4% | R+17.5 |
| Precinct 1800006361011800006 | 81 | 213 | 2 | 296 | 27.4% | 72.0% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct 1800008361011800008 | 102 | 192 | 1 | 295 | 34.6% | 65.1% | R+30.5 |
| Precinct 1800007361011800007 | 83 | 204 | 3 | 290 | 28.6% | 70.3% | R+41.7 |
| Precinct 1800003361011800003 | 112 | 162 | 1 | 275 | 40.7% | 58.9% | R+18.2 |
| Precinct 3200001361013200001 | 34 | 157 | 0 | 191 | 17.8% | 82.2% | R+64.4 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −10.9% |
| 1896 | −22.6% |
| 1900 | −15.8% |
| 1904 | −25.0% |
| 1908 | −18.1% |
| 1912 | +7.4% |
| 1916 | −12.4% |
| 1920 | −39.2% |
| 1924 | −44.4% |
| 1928 | −42.8% |
| 1932 | −26.4% |
| 1936 | −24.5% |
| 1940 | −30.5% |
| 1944 | −30.9% |
| 1948 | −27.3% |
| 1952 | −48.4% |
| 1956 | −56.4% |
| 1960 | −36.1% |
| 1964 | +21.3% |
| 1968 | −30.9% |
| 1972 | −50.3% |
| 1976 | −22.3% |
| 1980 | −25.1% |
| 1984 | −46.6% |
| 1988 | −32.6% |
| 1992 | −18.6% |
| 1996 | −8.5% |
| 2000 | −23.7% |
| 2004 | −29.5% |
| 2008 | −16.8% |
| 2012 | −16.0% |
| 2016 | −34.1% |
| 2020 | −29.6% |
| 2024 | −31.7% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 32.0%13,252 | 68.0%28,182 | 41,434 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 4.8 points more Democratic.
65,143 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−6 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −5,508 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $59,773 in average income, against $74,881 for residents who stayed — 20% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+17.2 on average — 14 points more Democratic-leaning than Steuben County, NY itself (R+31.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Chemung County, NY273R+16.7
- Livingston County, NY109R+21.4
- Allegany County, NY99R+43.1
- Monroe County, NY82D+19.0
- Tioga County, PA82R+51.8
- Schuyler County, NY71R+20.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Chemung County, NY284
- Livingston County, NY121
- Monroe County, NY113
- Allegany County, NY84
- Tioga County, PA68
- Schuyler County, NY64
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −52 |
| 2012 | −400 |
| 2013 | −282 |
| 2014 | −780 |
| 2015 | −800 |
| 2016 | −772 |
| 2017 | −668 |
| 2018 | −515 |
| 2019 | −489 |
| 2021 | −204 |
| 2022 | −279 |
| 2023 | −196 |
| 2024 | −65 |
| 2025 | −6 |
Steuben's rural and small-city mix — anchored by Corning and Bath — has shifted steadily rightward over the past decade, with the 2024 presidential margin reaching its widest point in recent memory at R+31.7.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 56.4 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 31.7 points.
A population of 92,588, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,887 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wayne County and Susquehanna County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Steuben County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36101/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.