- Lead
- 10,021
- Total
- 22,404
- vs nation
- R+43.3
- Turnout
- 73.3%
Susquehanna County, PA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 73.3% of 30,729 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 8,971
- Total
- 21,752
- vs nation
- R+45.7
- Turnout
- 66.9%
- Lead
- 7,768
- Total
- 19,043
- vs nation
- R+42.9
- Turnout
- 58.6%
- Lead
- 3,865
- Total
- 18,116
- vs nation
- R+25.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,252
- Total
- 19,286
- vs nation
- R+18.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,222
- Total
- 19,040
- vs nation
- R+19.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,745
- Total
- 17,271
- vs nation
- R+22.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,442
- Total
- 15,636
- vs nation
- R+17.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+44.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 38,2192024 5-year
- Median household income
- $68,4872024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+8.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.3 in 1952MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Wayne County, PA · twin score 87.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 73.3%22,511 participants ÷ 30,729 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +10.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -6.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 62.4%–62.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 19,549 | 33,334 | 58.6% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 15,980 | 33,301 | 48.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 21,871 | 32,697 | 66.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 17,422 | 31,117 | 56.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 22,511 | 30,729 | 73.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
84 precincts · 22,404 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0040421150040 | 396 | 1,100 | 16 | 1,512 | 26.2% | 72.8% | R+46.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0070421150070 | 414 | 933 | 6 | 1,353 | 30.6% | 69.0% | R+38.4 |
| Precinct 0370421150370 | 349 | 770 | 10 | 1,129 | 30.9% | 68.2% | R+37.3 |
| Precinct 0320421150320 | 236 | 847 | 13 | 1,096 | 21.5% | 77.3% | R+55.7 |
| Precinct 0260421150260 | 282 | 759 | 7 | 1,048 | 26.9% | 72.4% | R+45.5 |
| Precinct 0030421150030 | 188 | 771 | 8 | 967 | 19.4% | 79.7% | R+60.3 |
| Precinct 0160421150160 | 255 | 671 | 8 | 934 | 27.3% | 71.8% | R+44.5 |
| Precinct 0380421150380 | 234 | 601 | 7 | 842 | 27.8% | 71.4% | R+43.6 |
| Precinct 0180421150180 | 178 | 597 | 4 | 779 | 22.8% | 76.6% | R+53.8 |
| Precinct 0092421150092 | 260 | 485 | 7 | 752 | 34.6% | 64.5% | R+29.9 |
| Precinct 0080421150080 | 152 | 550 | 7 | 709 | 21.4% | 77.6% | R+56.1 |
| Precinct 0110421150110 | 144 | 520 | 7 | 671 | 21.5% | 77.5% | R+56.0 |
| Precinct 0140421150140 | 141 | 478 | 9 | 628 | 22.5% | 76.1% | R+53.7 |
| Precinct 0270421150270 | 158 | 451 | 9 | 618 | 25.6% | 73.0% | R+47.4 |
| Precinct 0392421150392 | 210 | 398 | 6 | 614 | 34.2% | 64.8% | R+30.6 |
| Precinct 0360421150360 | 128 | 478 | 5 | 611 | 20.9% | 78.2% | R+57.3 |
| Precinct 0200421150200 | 211 | 320 | 4 | 535 | 39.4% | 59.8% | R+20.4 |
| Precinct 0220421150220 | 110 | 421 | 3 | 534 | 20.6% | 78.8% | R+58.2 |
| Precinct 0170421150170 | 178 | 342 | 11 | 531 | 33.5% | 64.4% | R+30.9 |
| Precinct 0120421150120 | 122 | 388 | 5 | 515 | 23.7% | 75.3% | R+51.7 |
| Precinct 0300421150300 | 206 | 287 | 4 | 497 | 41.4% | 57.7% | R+16.3 |
| Precinct 0050421150050 | 114 | 381 | 1 | 496 | 23.0% | 76.8% | R+53.8 |
| Precinct 0250421150250 | 118 | 334 | 5 | 457 | 25.8% | 73.1% | R+47.3 |
| Precinct 0060421150060 | 137 | 283 | 2 | 422 | 32.5% | 67.1% | R+34.6 |
| Precinct 0330421150330 | 116 | 282 | 2 | 400 | 29.0% | 70.5% | R+41.5 |
| Precinct 0310421150310 | 128 | 229 | 3 | 360 | 35.6% | 63.6% | R+28.1 |
| Precinct 0020421150020 | 95 | 234 | 2 | 331 | 28.7% | 70.7% | R+42.0 |
| Precinct 0230421150230 | 82 | 221 | 4 | 307 | 26.7% | 72.0% | R+45.3 |
| Precinct 0150421150150 | 119 | 183 | 3 | 305 | 39.0% | 60.0% | R+21.0 |
| Precinct 0010421150010 | 69 | 222 | 3 | 294 | 23.5% | 75.5% | R+52.0 |
| Precinct 0410421150410 | 99 | 187 | 3 | 289 | 34.3% | 64.7% | R+30.4 |
| Precinct 0190421150190 | 64 | 223 | 1 | 288 | 22.2% | 77.4% | R+55.2 |
| Precinct 0350421150350 | 72 | 193 | 1 | 266 | 27.1% | 72.6% | R+45.5 |
| Precinct 0340421150340 | 77 | 155 | 1 | 233 | 33.0% | 66.5% | R+33.5 |
| Precinct 0240421150240 | 55 | 166 | 1 | 222 | 24.8% | 74.8% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct 0290421150290 | 38 | 181 | 2 | 221 | 17.2% | 81.9% | R+64.7 |
| Precinct 0280421150280 | 31 | 126 | 1 | 158 | 19.6% | 79.7% | R+60.1 |
| Precinct 0210421150210 | 49 | 94 | 3 | 146 | 33.6% | 64.4% | R+30.8 |
| Precinct 0430421150430 | 30 | 107 | 1 | 138 | 21.7% | 77.5% | R+55.8 |
| Precinct 0420421150420 | 38 | 89 | 2 | 129 | 29.5% | 69.0% | R+39.5 |
| Precinct 0130421150130 | 10 | 57 | 0 | 67 | 14.9% | 85.1% | R+70.1 |
| APOLACON TWP Voting District42_4211510 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ARARAT TWP Voting District42_4211520 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| AUBURN TWP Voting District42_4211530 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRIDGEWATER TWP Voting District42_4211540 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BROOKLYN TWP Voting District42_4211550 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHOCONUT TWP Voting District42_4211560 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLIFFORD TWP Voting District42_4211570 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DIMOCK TWP Voting District42_4211580 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FOREST CITY WD 0142_4211590 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FOREST CITY WD 0242_42115100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FOREST LAKE TWP Voting District42_42115110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FRANKLIN TWP Voting District42_42115120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FRIENDSVILLE Voting District42_42115130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GIBSON TWP Voting District42_42115140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREAT BEND TWP Voting District42_42115150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREAT BEND Voting District42_42115160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HALLSTEAD Voting District42_42115170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARFORD TWP Voting District42_42115180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARMONY TWP Voting District42_42115190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HERRICK TWP Voting District42_42115200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HOP BOTTOM Voting District42_42115210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSON TWP Voting District42_42115220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JESSUP TWP Voting District42_42115230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LANESBORO Voting District42_42115240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LATHROP TWP Voting District42_42115250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LENOX TWP Voting District42_42115260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LIBERTY TWP Voting District42_42115270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LITTLE MEADOWS Voting District42_42115280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MIDDLETOWN TWP Voting District42_42115290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MONTROSE WD 0142_42115300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MONTROSE WD 0242_42115310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEW MILFORD TWP Voting District42_42115320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEW MILFORD Voting District42_42115330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OAKLAND TWP Voting District42_42115340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OAKLAND Voting District42_42115350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RUSH TWP Voting District42_42115360 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SILVER LAKE TWP Voting District42_42115370 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SPRINGVILLE TWP Voting District42_42115380 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SUSQUEHANNA DEPOT WD 0142_42115390 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SUSQUEHANNA DEPOT WD 0242_42115400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| THOMPSON TWP Voting District42_42115410 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| THOMPSON Voting District42_42115420 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNIONDALE Voting District42_42115430 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −13.5% |
| 1896 | −18.1% |
| 1900 | −16.4% |
| 1904 | −29.6% |
| 1908 | −20.3% |
| 1912 | +8.1% |
| 1916 | −10.2% |
| 1920 | −37.1% |
| 1924 | −46.9% |
| 1928 | −36.7% |
| 1932 | −13.9% |
| 1936 | −19.5% |
| 1940 | −27.7% |
| 1944 | −35.2% |
| 1948 | −36.9% |
| 1952 | −48.3% |
| 1956 | −42.9% |
| 1960 | −27.8% |
| 1964 | +8.8% |
| 1968 | −30.9% |
| 1972 | −38.1% |
| 1976 | −15.4% |
| 1980 | −29.5% |
| 1984 | −40.4% |
| 1988 | −29.9% |
| 1992 | −11.9% |
| 1996 | −9.2% |
| 2000 | −21.7% |
| 2004 | −22.2% |
| 2008 | −11.7% |
| 2012 | −21.3% |
| 2016 | −40.8% |
| 2020 | −41.2% |
| 2024 | −44.7% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 4.2 points more Democratic.
27,847 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+206 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,527 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $62,127 in average income, against $99,341 for residents who stayed — 37% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+12.3 on average — 32 points more Democratic-leaning than Susquehanna County, PA itself (R+44.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lackawanna County, PA156D+2.8
- Broome County, NY103D+0.4
- Wyoming County, PA69R+36.8
- Wayne County, PA41R+37.1
- Luzerne County, PA33R+19.2
- Bradford County, PA20R+47.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lackawanna County, PA126
- Broome County, NY88
- Wyoming County, PA84
- Wayne County, PA33
- Bradford County, PA28
- Luzerne County, PA25
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +10 |
| 2012 | −253 |
| 2013 | −418 |
| 2014 | −265 |
| 2015 | −252 |
| 2016 | −434 |
| 2017 | −185 |
| 2018 | −260 |
| 2019 | −111 |
| 2021 | +250 |
| 2022 | −56 |
| 2023 | +139 |
| 2024 | +102 |
| 2025 | +206 |
Susquehanna County, anchored by dairy farms and natural-gas country along the New York border, has swung steadily rightward over two decades, posting a 44.7-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 that places it among Pennsylvania's most lopsided counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 8.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 48.3 points in 1952. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.7 points.
A population of 38,219, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,487 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wayne County and Wyoming County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Susquehanna County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42115/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.