HarrisDemocratic31.1%4,680TrumpRepublican67.9%10,222OliverLibertarian0.6%90
R+36.8- Lead
- 5,542
- Total
- 15,052
- vs nation
- R+35.3
- Turnout
- 72.9%
Akashiccounty
Wyoming County, PA
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 72.9% of 20,773 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic31.7%4,704TrumpRepublican66.9%9,936JorgensenLibertarian1.5%218
R+35.2- Lead
- 5,232
- Total
- 14,858
- vs nation
- R+39.7
- Turnout
- 69.3%
ClintonDemocratic28.7%3,811TrumpRepublican66.6%8,837JohnsonLibertarian2.4%323
R+37.9- Lead
- 5,026
- Total
- 13,262
- vs nation
- R+40.0
- Turnout
- 60.3%
ObamaDemocratic42.5%5,061RomneyRepublican55.3%6,587JohnsonLibertarian1.3%152
R+12.8- Lead
- 1,526
- Total
- 11,921
- vs nation
- R+16.7
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic45.6%5,985McCainRepublican53.2%6,983OtherAll other candidates1.3%170
R+7.6- Lead
- 998
- Total
- 13,138
- vs nation
- R+14.9
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic38.8%4,982BushRepublican60.6%7,782OtherAll other candidates0.5%68
R+21.8- Lead
- 2,800
- Total
- 12,832
- vs nation
- R+19.4
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic37.3%4,363BushRepublican59.1%6,922NaderGreen2.9%344
R+21.9- Lead
- 2,559
- Total
- 11,709
- vs nation
- R+22.4
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic38.9%4,049DoleRepublican47.0%4,888PerotReform13.6%1,414
R+8.1- Lead
- 839
- Total
- 10,408
- vs nation
- R+16.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+36.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 25,9672024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,4602024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+29.0 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+70.5 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Orleans County, NY · twin score 89.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 72.9%15,137 participants ÷ 20,773 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 60.2%–60.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 13,360 | 22,163 | 60.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 10,649 | 22,001 | 48.4% | C/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 14,973 | 21,621 | 69.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 11,858 | 20,970 | 56.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 15,137 | 20,773 | 72.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 150/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
58 precincts · 15,052 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0230421310230 | 576 | 1,029 | 13 | 1,618 | 35.6% | 63.6% | R+28.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0075421310075 | 375 | 695 | 12 | 1,082 | 34.7% | 64.2% | R+29.6 |
| Precinct 0220421310220 | 382 | 575 | 8 | 965 | 39.6% | 59.6% | R+20.0 |
| Precinct 0150421310150 | 232 | 716 | 10 | 958 | 24.2% | 74.7% | R+50.5 |
| Precinct 0200421310200 | 259 | 629 | 8 | 896 | 28.9% | 70.2% | R+41.3 |
| Precinct 0030421310030 | 282 | 600 | 10 | 892 | 31.6% | 67.3% | R+35.7 |
| Precinct 0020421310020 | 323 | 487 | 6 | 816 | 39.6% | 59.7% | R+20.1 |
| Precinct 0290421310290 | 198 | 538 | 10 | 746 | 26.5% | 72.1% | R+45.6 |
| Precinct 0240421310240 | 233 | 487 | 7 | 727 | 32.0% | 67.0% | R+34.9 |
| Precinct 0160421310160 | 206 | 516 | 4 | 726 | 28.4% | 71.1% | R+42.7 |
| Precinct 0110421310110 | 203 | 518 | 3 | 724 | 28.0% | 71.5% | R+43.5 |
| Precinct 0120421310120 | 102 | 369 | 5 | 476 | 21.4% | 77.5% | R+56.1 |
| Precinct 0210421310210 | 99 | 363 | 2 | 464 | 21.3% | 78.2% | R+56.9 |
| Precinct 0130421310130 | 79 | 377 | 6 | 462 | 17.1% | 81.6% | R+64.5 |
| Precinct 0300421310300 | 89 | 312 | 6 | 407 | 21.9% | 76.7% | R+54.8 |
| Precinct 0040421310040 | 121 | 281 | 3 | 405 | 29.9% | 69.4% | R+39.5 |
| Precinct 0175421310175 | 139 | 233 | 10 | 382 | 36.4% | 61.0% | R+24.6 |
| Precinct 0260421310260 | 147 | 189 | 6 | 342 | 43.0% | 55.3% | R+12.3 |
| Precinct 0010421310010 | 55 | 190 | 0 | 245 | 22.4% | 77.6% | R+55.1 |
| Precinct 0280421310280 | 109 | 134 | 2 | 245 | 44.5% | 54.7% | R+10.2 |
| Precinct 0050421310050 | 122 | 118 | 4 | 244 | 50.0% | 48.4% | D+1.6 |
| Precinct 0060421310060 | 86 | 115 | 3 | 204 | 42.2% | 56.4% | R+14.2 |
| Precinct 0270421310270 | 75 | 121 | 2 | 198 | 37.9% | 61.1% | R+23.2 |
| Precinct 0090421310090 | 39 | 154 | 1 | 194 | 20.1% | 79.4% | R+59.3 |
| Precinct 0250421310250 | 50 | 126 | 4 | 180 | 27.8% | 70.0% | R+42.2 |
| Precinct 0100421310100 | 28 | 131 | 1 | 160 | 17.5% | 81.9% | R+64.4 |
| Precinct 0140421310140 | 38 | 111 | 1 | 150 | 25.3% | 74.0% | R+48.7 |
| Precinct 0190421310190 | 33 | 108 | 3 | 144 | 22.9% | 75.0% | R+52.1 |
| BRAINTRIM TWP Voting District42_4213110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLINTON TWP Voting District42_4213120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EATON TWP Voting District42_4213130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EXETER TWP Voting District42_4213140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FACTORYVILLE WD 0142_4213150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FACTORYVILLE WD 0242_4213160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FALLS TWP WD 0142_4213170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FALLS TWP WD 0242_4213180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FORKSTON TWP Voting District42_4213190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LACEYVILLE Voting District42_42131100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LEMON TWP Voting District42_42131110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MEHOOPANY TWP Voting District42_42131120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MESHOPPEN TWP Voting District42_42131130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MESHOPPEN Voting District42_42131140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MONROE TWP Voting District42_42131150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NICHOLSON TWP Voting District42_42131160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NICHOLSON WD 0142_42131170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NICHOLSON WD 0242_42131180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NORTH BRANCH TWP Voting District42_42131190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NORTHMORELAND TWP Voting District42_42131200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NOXEN TWP Voting District42_42131210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OVERFIELD TWP Voting District42_42131220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TUNKHANNOCK TWP DIST 0142_42131230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TUNKHANNOCK TWP DIST 0242_42131240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TUNKHANNOCK WD 0142_42131250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TUNKHANNOCK WD 0242_42131260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TUNKHANNOCK WD 0342_42131270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TUNKHANNOCK WD 0442_42131280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON TWP Voting District42_42131290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WINDHAM TWP Voting District42_42131300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −3.0% |
| 1896 | −9.5% |
| 1900 | −8.7% |
| 1904 | −18.1% |
| 1908 | −15.1% |
| 1912 | +29.0% |
| 1916 | −7.8% |
| 1920 | −41.8% |
| 1924 | −42.8% |
| 1928 | −70.5% |
| 1932 | −18.1% |
| 1936 | −23.6% |
| 1940 | −34.7% |
| 1944 | −39.5% |
| 1948 | −43.4% |
| 1952 | −51.9% |
| 1956 | −47.2% |
| 1960 | −38.8% |
| 1964 | +5.0% |
| 1968 | −35.0% |
| 1972 | −49.9% |
| 1976 | −22.0% |
| 1980 | −34.4% |
| 1984 | −48.2% |
| 1988 | −40.3% |
| 1992 | −18.3% |
| 1996 | −8.1% |
| 2000 | −21.9% |
| 2004 | −21.8% |
| 2008 | −7.6% |
| 2012 | −12.8% |
| 2016 | −37.9% |
| 2020 | −35.2% |
| 2024 | −36.8% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 1 House · 38 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 29.6%4,379 | 70.4%10,409 | 14,788 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+36.0
Presidential vote · 2024R+36.8
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 0.8 points.
18,487 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+11 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −991 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $61,090 in average income, against $85,799 for residents who stayed — 29% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+18.8 on average — 18 points more Democratic-leaning than Wyoming County, PA itself (R+36.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lackawanna County, PA158D+2.8
- Luzerne County, PA144R+19.2
- Susquehanna County, PA84R+44.7
- Bradford County, PA41R+47.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lackawanna County, PA128
- Luzerne County, PA96
- Susquehanna County, PA69
- Bradford County, PA43
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +24 |
| 2012 | +53 |
| 2013 | −241 |
| 2014 | +10 |
| 2015 | −338 |
| 2016 | −214 |
| 2017 | −97 |
| 2018 | −257 |
| 2019 | −234 |
| 2021 | +219 |
| 2022 | +90 |
| 2023 | −27 |
| 2024 | +10 |
| 2025 | +11 |
Wyoming County sits in Pennsylvania's Endless Mountains region, where a sparse, overwhelmingly white rural population has shifted the presidential margin from competitive to reliably Republican over the past three election cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 29.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 70.5 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 36.8 points.
A population of 25,967, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,460 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Orleans County and Cattaraugus County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Orleans County
New York
89.6twin score
Polish ancestry% Evangelical12-yr trend
Cattaraugus County
New York
88.2twin score
Polish ancestry% Evangelical% unaffiliated≠ Swedish ancestry
Susquehanna County
Pennsylvania
87.4twin score
12-yr trend% Whiteelasticity≠ Scottish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Wyoming County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42131/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Pennsylvania at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Wyoming County, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Wyoming County, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 36.8 points (R+36.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 15,052 votes cast, 4,680 went Democratic and 10,222 went Republican.
When did Wyoming County, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Wyoming County, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Wyoming County, Pennsylvania?
Wyoming County, Pennsylvania has a population of 25,967 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Wyoming County, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Wyoming County, Pennsylvania is $72,460 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Wyoming County, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Wyoming County, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 32 went Republican.