HarrisDemocratic44.0%126,694TrumpRepublican55.2%158,927OliverLibertarian0.4%1,155
R+11.2- Lead
- 32,233
- Total
- 287,792
- vs nation
- R+9.7
Akashicmetro area
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
3 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic46.4%131,568TrumpRepublican52.6%149,199OtherAll other candidates1.0%2,822
R+6.2- Lead
- 17,631
- Total
- 283,589
- vs nation
- R+10.7
ClintonDemocratic42.7%108,245TrumpRepublican53.6%135,909OtherAll other candidates3.7%9,413
R+10.9- Lead
- 27,664
- Total
- 253,567
- vs nation
- R+13.0
ObamaDemocratic55.8%131,206RomneyRepublican42.5%99,997OtherAll other candidates1.7%3,914
D+13.3- Lead
- 31,209
- Total
- 235,117
- vs nation
- D+9.4
ObamaDemocratic57.0%145,997McCainRepublican42.0%107,598OtherAll other candidates1.0%2,594
D+15.0- Lead
- 38,399
- Total
- 256,189
- vs nation
- D+7.7
KerryDemocratic52.7%134,128BushRepublican46.1%117,501OtherAll other candidates1.2%3,050
D+6.5- Lead
- 16,627
- Total
- 254,679
- vs nation
- D+9.0
GoreDemocratic54.5%124,033BushRepublican41.4%94,346OtherAll other candidates4.1%9,297
D+13.0- Lead
- 29,687
- Total
- 227,676
- vs nation
- D+12.5
ClintonDemocratic52.7%110,600DoleRepublican35.9%75,395OtherAll other candidates11.4%23,911
D+16.8- Lead
- 35,205
- Total
- 209,906
- vs nation
- D+8.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+11.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 569,7882024 5-year
- Population density
- 326 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,746 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $65,0512024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 77.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 13.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+42.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+32.0 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Utica-Rome, NY · twin score 87.6
presidential history
Party record book
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
71.1%
198,796 votes · D+42.8
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 59.4%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
64.3%
50,040 votes · R+32.0
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 63.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
198,796votes
71.1% of the vote · D+42.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 188,862 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
162,750votes
56.7% of the vote · R+13.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 158,927 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Smith1928
+20.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+2.9 · U.S. R+17.5
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · +20.2 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+13.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+10.9 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · +12.3 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026D+3.0
Presidential vote · 2024R+11.2
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 14-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
375,017 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+1,235 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −3,408 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +268 |
| 2012 | +178 |
| 2013 | −1,874 |
| 2014 | −1,808 |
| 2015 | −2,649 |
| 2016 | −2,867 |
| 2017 | −421 |
| 2018 | −869 |
| 2019 | −1,170 |
| 2021 | +2,986 |
| 2022 | +1,475 |
| 2023 | +1,400 |
| 2024 | +708 |
| 2025 | +1,235 |
Once a Democratic stronghold anchored by union households and Catholic working-class voters, the Scranton–Wilkes-Barre metro has shifted toward single-digit or sub-single-digit presidential margins over the past three cycles, making it a closely watched bellwether for blue-collar realignment.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 32.0 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 5.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.2 points.
A population of 569,788, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,051 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Utica-Rome, NY and Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Utica-Rome, NY
87.6twin score
Italian ancestry% Catholic% Evangelical≠ French ancestry
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
87.5twin score
2000–2012 trajectory% Catholic≠ 12-yr trend
Erie, PA
86.2twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ % Catholic
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/42540/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 11.2 points (R+11.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 287,792 votes cast, 126,694 went Democratic and 158,927 went Republican.
When did Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania?
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania has a population of 569,788 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania is $65,051 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.