Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
presidential margin
2008D+15.02012D+13.32016R+10.92020R+6.22024R+11.2
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+11.2
2024
median income$65,051U.S. $80,734 · PA $77,971
median age42.1U.S. 39.1 · PA 41.2
poverty rate14.8%U.S. 12.5% · PA 11.7%
bachelor’s+ (25+)27.2%U.S. 35.6% · PA 35.2%
non-english13.2%U.S. 22.3% · PA 12.4%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
Irish18.2%
Italian16.0%
Polish14.5%
Dominican5.3%
Puerto Rican3.6%
Mexican2.0%
African American†2.6%
African0.3%
Jamaican0.2%
Asian Indian0.7%
Filipino0.2%
Chinese0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline6.9%
Jewish0.7%
Muslim0.6%
Other Christian0.6%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania

Akashic
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PATrumpR+11.2
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, PAA map of the constituent counties of Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, PA, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Lackawanna County, PA · D+2.8Luzerne County, PA · R+19.2Wyoming County, PA · R+36.8
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican55.2%158,927
Kamala HarrisDemocratic44.0%126,694
Jill SteinGreen0.8%2,171
D+60
R+60
3 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (3 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, PA — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Lackawanna County, PADemocraticD+2.8
Luzerne County, PARepublicanR+19.2
Wyoming County, PARepublicanR+36.8
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
44.0%Harris126,694
55.2%Trump158,927
0.8%Stein2,171
−11.2%
287,792
R
46.4%Biden131,568
52.6%Trump149,199
1.0%Jorgensen2,822
−6.2%
283,589
R
42.7%Clinton108,245
53.6%Trump135,909
3.7%Johnson9,413
−10.9%
253,567
D
55.8%Obama131,206
42.5%Romney99,997
1.7%Johnson3,914
+13.3%
235,117
D
57.0%Obama145,997
42.0%McCain107,598
1.0%Nader2,594
+15.0%
256,189
D
52.7%Kerry134,128
46.1%Bush117,501
1.2%Badnarik3,050
+6.5%
254,679
D
54.5%Gore124,033
41.4%Bush94,346
4.1%Nader9,297
+13.0%
227,676
D
52.7%Clinton110,600
35.9%Dole75,395
11.4%Perot23,911
+16.8%
209,906
D
45.0%Clinton104,835
37.7%Bush87,871
17.3%Perot40,258
+7.3%
232,964
R
49.4%Dukakis106,941
49.8%Bush107,749
0.7%McCarthy1,590
−0.4%
216,280
R
45.6%Mondale106,851
53.2%Reagan124,531
1.2%Johnson2,863
−7.5%
234,245
R
45.1%Carter107,999
49.2%Reagan117,983
5.7%Anderson13,712
−4.2%
239,694
D
54.8%Carter135,968
44.0%Ford109,117
1.3%McCarthy3,176
+10.8%
248,261
R
39.9%McGovern98,705
59.3%Nixon146,619
0.7%Schmitz1,782
−19.4%
247,106
D
55.5%Humphrey147,703
40.1%Nixon106,639
4.3%Wallace11,553
+15.4%
265,895
D
71.1%Johnson198,796
28.3%Goldwater79,031
0.7%Hass1,928
+42.8%
279,755
D
59.4%Kennedy185,822
40.4%Nixon126,535
0.2%Byrd618
+18.9%
312,975
R
42.9%Stevenson123,016
56.7%Eisenhower162,750
0.4%Andrews1,289
−13.8%
287,055
R
47.0%Stevenson139,320
52.7%Eisenhower156,383
0.3%Hallinan898
−5.8%
296,601
D
50.5%Truman128,038
48.2%Dewey122,289
1.2%Thurmond3,160
+2.3%
253,487
D
52.8%Roosevelt134,846
46.9%Dewey119,826
0.3%Thomas687
+5.9%
255,359
D
55.5%Roosevelt175,468
44.2%Willkie139,889
0.3%Thomas1,066
+11.2%
316,423
D
57.0%Roosevelt188,862
41.7%Landon138,079
1.2%Lemke4,124
+15.3%
331,065
D
52.4%Roosevelt104,496
45.8%Hoover91,272
1.8%Thomas3,561
+6.6%
199,329
D
51.4%Smith126,890
48.5%Hoover119,703
0.1%Thomas347
+2.9%
246,940
R
24.9%Davis38,525
56.6%Coolidge87,396
18.5%La Follette28,597
−31.6%
154,518
R
33.5%Cox49,301
63.3%Harding93,220
3.2%Debs4,782
−29.8%
147,303
R
43.6%Wilson37,170
52.5%Hughes44,704
3.9%Benson3,321
−8.8%
85,195
O
35.2%Wilson27,389
11.9%Taft9,249
52.9%Roosevelt41,116
Roosevelt +17.7
77,754
R
41.8%Bryan34,459
55.0%Taft45,418
3.2%Debs2,648
−13.3%
82,525
R
32.3%Parker25,161
64.3%Roosevelt50,040
3.4%Debs2,617
−32.0%
77,818
R
43.2%Bryan33,073
53.3%McKinley40,803
3.4%Woolley2,622
−10.1%
76,498
R
40.3%Bryan31,125
56.7%McKinley43,828
3.0%Palmer2,357
−16.4%
77,310
D
48.7%Cleveland27,990
46.8%Harrison26,876
4.5%Weaver2,614
+1.9%
57,480
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −11.2% in 2024.flipped R · 2016−11.2%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+1.9%
1896−16.4%
1900−10.1%
1904−32.0%
1908−13.3%
1912+23.3%
1916−8.8%
1920−29.8%
1924−31.6%
1928+2.9%
1932+6.6%
1936+15.3%
1940+11.2%
1944+5.9%
1948+2.3%
1952−5.8%
1956−13.8%
1960+18.9%
1964+42.8%
1968+15.4%
1972−19.4%
1976+10.8%
1980−4.2%
1984−7.5%
1988−0.4%
1992+7.3%
1996+16.8%
2000+13.0%
2004+6.5%
2008+15.0%
2012+13.3%
2016−10.9%
2020−6.2%
2024−11.2%
DemocraticRepublican

Once a Democratic stronghold anchored by union households and Catholic working-class voters, the Scranton–Wilkes-Barre metro has shifted toward single-digit or sub-single-digit presidential margins over the past three cycles, making it a closely watched bellwether for blue-collar realignment.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 32.0 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 5.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.2 points.

A population of 569,788, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,051 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Utica-Rome, NY and Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Utica-Rome, NY
87.6twin score
Italian ancestry% Catholic% Evangelical≠ French ancestry
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
87.5twin score
2000–2012 trajectory% Catholic≠ 12-yr trend
Erie, PA
86.2twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ % Catholic

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/42540/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA

counties3
Lackawanna CountyLuzerne CountyWyoming County

Frequently asked questions

How did Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 11.2 points (R+11.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 287,792 votes cast, 126,694 went Democratic and 158,927 went Republican.
When did Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania?
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania has a population of 569,788 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania is $65,051 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.