Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Erie, PA
presidential margin
2008D+19.92012D+16.02016R+1.62020D+1.02024R+1.0
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+1.0
2024
median income$63,354U.S. $80,734 · PA $77,971
median age40.2U.S. 39.1 · PA 41.2
poverty rate15.0%U.S. 12.5% · PA 11.7%
bachelor’s+ (25+)30.3%U.S. 35.6% · PA 35.2%
non-english6.9%U.S. 22.3% · PA 12.4%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German22.4%
Irish13.2%
Italian10.6%
African American†5.8%
African0.9%
Puerto Rican2.8%
Mexican0.8%
Cuban0.2%
Asian Indian0.6%
Filipino0.3%
Vietnamese0.3%
religion
other traditions
Mainline9.1%
Black Protestant1.0%
Other Christian1.0%
Muslim0.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Erie, PA, Pennsylvania

Akashic
Erie, PATrumpR+1.0
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Erie, PA, PAA map of the single county of Erie, PA, PA, outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Erie County, PA · R+1.0
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican50.0%68,866
Kamala HarrisDemocratic49.0%67,456
Jill SteinGreen0.9%1,273
D+60
R+60
A single county, filled by its 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover it for the full result.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Erie, PA, PA — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Erie County, PARepublicanR+1.0
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
49.0%Harris67,456
50.0%Trump68,866
0.9%Stein1,273
−1.0%
137,595
D
49.8%Biden68,286
48.8%Trump66,869
1.4%Jorgensen1,928
+1.0%
137,083
R
46.4%Clinton58,112
48.0%Trump60,069
5.6%Johnson6,948
−1.6%
125,129
D
57.1%Obama68,036
41.2%Romney49,025
1.7%Johnson2,053
+16.0%
119,114
D
59.3%Obama75,775
39.4%McCain50,351
1.2%Nader1,565
+19.9%
127,691
D
53.9%Kerry67,921
45.6%Bush57,372
0.5%Badnarik605
+8.4%
125,898
D
52.9%Gore59,399
43.6%Bush49,027
3.5%Nader3,909
+9.2%
112,335
D
52.9%Clinton57,508
36.7%Dole39,884
10.5%Perot11,399
+16.2%
108,791
D
47.9%Clinton56,381
33.3%Bush39,283
18.8%Perot22,140
+14.5%
117,804
D
52.2%Dukakis53,913
46.8%Bush48,306
1.0%McCarthy1,081
+5.4%
103,300
R
48.0%Mondale52,471
51.1%Reagan55,860
0.9%Johnson935
−3.1%
109,266
R
44.5%Carter45,946
47.4%Reagan48,918
8.0%Anderson8,298
−2.9%
103,162
D
51.6%Carter55,385
46.2%Ford49,641
2.2%McCarthy2,413
+5.3%
107,439
R
39.8%McGovern42,022
58.2%Nixon61,542
2.0%Schmitz2,149
−18.5%
105,713
D
51.7%Humphrey51,604
43.2%Nixon43,134
5.1%Wallace5,109
+8.5%
99,847
D
69.5%Johnson72,944
29.9%Goldwater31,393
0.5%Hass549
+39.6%
104,886
D
50.9%Kennedy53,723
48.8%Nixon51,525
0.3%Byrd295
+2.1%
105,543
R
38.2%Stevenson33,802
61.5%Eisenhower54,430
0.4%Andrews323
−23.3%
88,555
R
42.7%Stevenson36,619
56.9%Eisenhower48,836
0.5%Hallinan391
−14.2%
85,846
R
44.5%Truman28,159
53.5%Dewey33,806
2.0%Thurmond1,280
−8.9%
63,245
R
48.0%Roosevelt32,912
51.4%Dewey35,247
0.6%Thomas419
−3.4%
68,578
R
46.2%Roosevelt31,735
53.3%Willkie36,608
0.5%Thomas371
−7.1%
68,714
D
50.6%Roosevelt33,042
39.2%Landon25,607
10.3%Lemke6,706
+11.4%
65,355
D
48.4%Roosevelt19,592
45.4%Hoover18,371
6.1%Thomas2,479
+3.0%
40,442
R
38.5%Smith19,278
61.0%Hoover30,542
0.6%Thomas277
−22.5%
50,097
R
11.0%Davis3,502
61.3%Coolidge19,480
27.7%La Follette8,802
−50.3%
31,784
R
20.6%Cox6,311
63.7%Harding19,465
15.7%Debs4,793
−43.0%
30,569
D
46.7%Wilson9,641
43.3%Hughes8,933
10.0%Benson2,056
+3.4%
20,630
O
30.6%Wilson5,633
26.9%Taft4,958
42.5%Roosevelt7,817
Roosevelt +11.9
18,408
R
31.8%Bryan6,173
55.8%Taft10,828
12.5%Debs2,418
−24.0%
19,419
R
26.9%Parker5,119
62.8%Roosevelt11,951
10.2%Debs1,948
−35.9%
19,018
R
36.0%Bryan7,281
58.5%McKinley11,816
5.5%Woolley1,110
−22.4%
20,207
R
42.7%Bryan9,210
54.7%McKinley11,819
2.6%Palmer563
−12.1%
21,592
R
42.3%Cleveland7,589
49.8%Harrison8,918
7.9%Weaver1,416
−7.4%
17,923
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −1.0% in 2024.flipped R · 2024−1.0%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−7.4%
1896−12.1%
1900−22.4%
1904−35.9%
1908−24.0%
1912+3.7%
1916+3.4%
1920−43.0%
1924−50.3%
1928−22.5%
1932+3.0%
1936+11.4%
1940−7.1%
1944−3.4%
1948−8.9%
1952−14.2%
1956−23.3%
1960+2.1%
1964+39.6%
1968+8.5%
1972−18.5%
1976+5.3%
1980−2.9%
1984−3.1%
1988+5.4%
1992+14.5%
1996+16.2%
2000+9.2%
2004+8.4%
2008+19.9%
2012+16.0%
2016−1.6%
2020+1.0%
2024−1.0%
DemocraticRepublican

Erie's metro anchors Pennsylvania's northwest corner with a blue-collar manufacturing base that has produced some of the state's sharpest vote swings, shifting between parties by double-digit margins across consecutive presidential elections.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 39.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 50.3 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.0 points.

A population of 269,052, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,354 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kenosha, WI and Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Kenosha, WI
89.1twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ median income
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
86.2twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ % Catholic
Syracuse, NY
85.4twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ % Catholic

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Erie, PA, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/21500/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Erie, PA

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Erie County

Frequently asked questions

How did Erie, PA, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Erie, PA, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 1.0 points (R+1.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 137,595 votes cast, 67,456 went Democratic and 68,866 went Republican.
When did Erie, PA, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Erie, PA, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Erie, PA, Pennsylvania?
Erie, PA, Pennsylvania has a population of 269,052 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Erie, PA, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Erie, PA, Pennsylvania is $63,354 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Erie, PA, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Erie, PA, Pennsylvania from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.