akashic
1876–2024
Tioga County, Pennsylvania
Tioga County·Pennsylvania

Tioga County was solidly one party for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

One of Pennsylvania's most lopsided rural counties in recent cycles

18762024·38 elections
Tioga County, Pennsylvania · Nicholas · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+52
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
40,945
2024 ACS
Most similar
Grayson County
KY · similarity 1.00
41 precincts · 21,646 votes cast
Trump · R+52
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−51.6%
5,10016,27221,646
2020R
−51.2%
4,95515,74221,075
2016R
−52.5%
3,90113,61418,507
2012R
−35.0%
5,35711,34217,094
2008R
−27.4%
6,39011,32617,984
2004R
−37.5%
5,43712,01917,571
2000R
−34.0%
4,6179,63514,772
1996R
−16.8%
4,9617,38214,425
1992R
−17.9%
4,8687,82316,543
1988R
−32.5%
4,8079,47114,350
1984R
−44.2%
4,06010,53214,644
1980R
−32.5%
4,2738,77013,849
1976R
−18.2%
5,7958,41714,405
1972R
−45.2%
3,73310,02813,918
1968R
−41.9%
3,4889,29813,863
1964D
+2.4%
7,4157,06414,495
1960R
−46.2%
4,07611,08215,173
1956R
−53.5%
3,28010,82714,113
1952R
−57.5%
3,00611,20314,244
1948R
−54.1%
2,98610,01613,002
1944R
−52.0%
3,24810,38113,708
1940R
−44.7%
4,43411,64516,122
1936R
−39.3%
5,44212,56718,108
1932R
−51.5%
3,0049,58312,778
1928R
−74.7%
1,68811,77413,498
1924R
−69.0%
1,2718,45210,406
1920R
−72.5%
1,2589,71811,669
1916R
−37.9%
2,2945,3478,052
1912D
+0.1%
1,9011,8958,458
1908R
−47.5%
2,3216,9479,746
1904R
−62.8%
1,5417,4109,342
1900R
−45.9%
2,6387,45810,502
1896R
−45.9%
2,8287,92211,092
1892R
−36.6%
2,9216,70610,353
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Italian
0.5%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
10.3%
Catholic & Orthodox
6.9%
Methodist
6.6%
Mainline Protestant
3.3%
Baptist
2.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 69.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Tioga's heavily rural, timber-and-agriculture economy anchors one of north-central Pennsylvania's most consistent Republican strongholds, where the 2024 presidential margin exceeded 50 points and population has trended downward for decades.

The Democratic margin in Tioga County peaked at two points in 1964. By 1968 the county had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was fifty-two points, the most Republican-leaning result in the county's modern history.

The economic context is the key. Tioga County's median household income of $64,899 sits well below state and national norms, and 12% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Grayson County and Blair County.