HarrisDemocratic18.4%1,675TrumpRepublican80.7%7,334OliverLibertarian0.6%56
R+62.3- Lead
- 5,659
- Total
- 9,085
- vs nation
- R+60.8
- Turnout
- 71.2%
Akashiccounty
Potter County, PA
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 71.2% of 12,866 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic19.0%1,726TrumpRepublican79.9%7,239JorgensenLibertarian1.1%99
R+60.8- Lead
- 5,513
- Total
- 9,064
- vs nation
- R+65.3
- Turnout
- 68.7%
ClintonDemocratic16.6%1,302TrumpRepublican79.5%6,251JohnsonLibertarian2.1%165
R+62.9- Lead
- 4,949
- Total
- 7,864
- vs nation
- R+65.0
- Turnout
- 59.1%
ObamaDemocratic26.1%1,897RomneyRepublican71.9%5,231JohnsonLibertarian1.1%78
R+45.8- Lead
- 3,334
- Total
- 7,279
- vs nation
- R+49.7
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic30.6%2,300McCainRepublican68.1%5,109OtherAll other candidates1.3%98
R+37.4- Lead
- 2,809
- Total
- 7,507
- vs nation
- R+44.7
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic28.5%2,268BushRepublican70.8%5,640OtherAll other candidates0.7%54
R+42.4- Lead
- 3,372
- Total
- 7,962
- vs nation
- R+39.9
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic28.7%2,037BushRepublican68.5%4,858NaderGreen2.1%146
R+39.8- Lead
- 2,821
- Total
- 7,094
- vs nation
- R+40.3
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic31.5%2,146DoleRepublican54.5%3,714PerotReform13.6%925
R+23.0- Lead
- 1,568
- Total
- 6,817
- vs nation
- R+31.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+62.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 16,1882024 5-year
- Median household income
- $59,0202024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+12.7 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.9 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Bedford County, PA · twin score 90.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 71.2%9,159 participants ÷ 12,866 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 57.9%–58.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 7,970 | 13,497 | 59.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 6,314 | 13,329 | 47.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 9,075 | 13,208 | 68.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 7,184 | 12,974 | 55.4% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 9,159 | 12,866 | 71.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
66 precincts · 9,085 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0070421050070 | 195 | 446 | 11 | 652 | 29.9% | 68.4% | R+38.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0230421050230 | 106 | 488 | 3 | 597 | 17.8% | 81.7% | R+64.0 |
| Precinct 0260421050260 | 105 | 427 | 3 | 535 | 19.6% | 79.8% | R+60.2 |
| Precinct 0060421050060 | 157 | 370 | 7 | 534 | 29.4% | 69.3% | R+39.9 |
| Precinct 0090421050090 | 70 | 428 | 4 | 502 | 13.9% | 85.3% | R+71.3 |
| Precinct 0290421050290 | 86 | 404 | 3 | 493 | 17.4% | 81.9% | R+64.5 |
| Precinct 0130421050130 | 35 | 452 | 2 | 489 | 7.2% | 92.4% | R+85.3 |
| Precinct 0245421050245 | 65 | 384 | 3 | 452 | 14.4% | 85.0% | R+70.6 |
| Precinct 0140421050140 | 53 | 344 | 3 | 400 | 13.3% | 86.0% | R+72.8 |
| Precinct 0120421050120 | 59 | 324 | 8 | 391 | 15.1% | 82.9% | R+67.8 |
| Precinct 0310421050310 | 58 | 306 | 2 | 366 | 15.8% | 83.6% | R+67.8 |
| Precinct 0320421050320 | 52 | 254 | 1 | 307 | 16.9% | 82.7% | R+65.8 |
| Precinct 0160421050160 | 49 | 255 | 1 | 305 | 16.1% | 83.6% | R+67.5 |
| Precinct 0330421050330 | 58 | 208 | 3 | 269 | 21.6% | 77.3% | R+55.8 |
| Precinct 0030421050030 | 70 | 189 | 4 | 263 | 26.6% | 71.9% | R+45.2 |
| Precinct 0110421050110 | 64 | 190 | 2 | 256 | 25.0% | 74.2% | R+49.2 |
| Precinct 0040421050040 | 29 | 225 | 1 | 255 | 11.4% | 88.2% | R+76.9 |
| Precinct 0100421050100 | 68 | 176 | 4 | 248 | 27.4% | 71.0% | R+43.5 |
| Precinct 0020421050020 | 34 | 212 | 1 | 247 | 13.8% | 85.8% | R+72.1 |
| Precinct 0150421050150 | 22 | 203 | 1 | 226 | 9.7% | 89.8% | R+80.1 |
| Precinct 0170421050170 | 22 | 149 | 2 | 173 | 12.7% | 86.1% | R+73.4 |
| Precinct 0010421050010 | 31 | 135 | 0 | 166 | 18.7% | 81.3% | R+62.7 |
| Precinct 0200421050200 | 35 | 123 | 2 | 160 | 21.9% | 76.9% | R+55.0 |
| Precinct 0180421050180 | 27 | 103 | 3 | 133 | 20.3% | 77.4% | R+57.1 |
| Precinct 0050421050050 | 20 | 99 | 0 | 119 | 16.8% | 83.2% | R+66.4 |
| Precinct 0220421050220 | 28 | 76 | 2 | 106 | 26.4% | 71.7% | R+45.3 |
| Precinct 0280421050280 | 24 | 82 | 0 | 106 | 22.6% | 77.4% | R+54.7 |
| Precinct 0190421050190 | 11 | 78 | 0 | 89 | 12.4% | 87.6% | R+75.3 |
| Precinct 0340421050340 | 15 | 63 | 0 | 78 | 19.2% | 80.8% | R+61.5 |
| Precinct 0270421050270 | 13 | 47 | 0 | 60 | 21.7% | 78.3% | R+56.7 |
| Precinct 0210421050210 | 6 | 48 | 0 | 54 | 11.1% | 88.9% | R+77.8 |
| Precinct 0300421050300 | 8 | 46 | 0 | 54 | 14.8% | 85.2% | R+70.4 |
| ABBOTT TWP Voting District42_4210510 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ALLEGANY TWP Voting District42_4210520 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| AUSTIN Voting District42_4210530 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BINGHAM TWP Voting District42_4210540 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLARA TWP Voting District42_4210550 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| COUDERSPORT WD 0142_4210560 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| COUDERSPORT WD 0242_4210570 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EULALIA TWP VTD EAST FORK42_4210580 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EULALIA TWP VTD EULALIA42_4210590 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALETON WD 0142_42105100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALETON WD 0242_42105110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GENESEE TWP Voting District42_42105120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARRISON TWP Voting District42_42105130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HEBRON TWP Voting District42_42105140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HECTOR TWP Voting District42_42105150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HOMER TWP Voting District42_42105160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KEATING TWP Voting District42_42105170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OSWAYO TWP Voting District42_42105180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OSWAYO Voting District42_42105190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PIKE TWP Voting District42_42105200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PLEASANT VALLEY TWP Voting District42_42105210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PORTAGE TWP Voting District42_42105220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROULETTE TWP Voting District42_42105230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHARON TWP VTD NORTH42_42105240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHARON TWP VTD SOUTH42_42105250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHINGLEHOUSE Voting District42_42105260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| STEWARDSON TWP Voting District42_42105270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SUMMIT TWP Voting District42_42105280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SWEDEN TWP Voting District42_42105290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SYLVANIA TWP Voting District42_42105300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ULYSSES TWP Voting District42_42105310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ULYSSES Voting District42_42105320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WEST BRANCH TWP Voting District42_42105330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WHARTON TWP Voting District42_42105340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −12.5% |
| 1896 | −14.2% |
| 1900 | −18.8% |
| 1904 | −51.2% |
| 1908 | −28.0% |
| 1912 | +12.7% |
| 1916 | −14.4% |
| 1920 | −51.0% |
| 1924 | −46.9% |
| 1928 | −59.6% |
| 1932 | −24.0% |
| 1936 | −18.1% |
| 1940 | −31.1% |
| 1944 | −40.3% |
| 1948 | −36.0% |
| 1952 | −44.1% |
| 1956 | −39.2% |
| 1960 | −30.4% |
| 1964 | +6.1% |
| 1968 | −34.1% |
| 1972 | −43.5% |
| 1976 | −12.3% |
| 1980 | −26.6% |
| 1984 | −48.3% |
| 1988 | −35.1% |
| 1992 | −22.1% |
| 1996 | −23.0% |
| 2000 | −39.8% |
| 2004 | −42.4% |
| 2008 | −37.4% |
| 2012 | −45.8% |
| 2016 | −62.9% |
| 2020 | −60.8% |
| 2024 | −62.3% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+56.9
Presidential vote · 2024R+62.3
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 5.4 points more Democratic.
11,022 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−38 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −811 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $50,258 in average income, against $65,182 for residents who stayed — 23% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+49.2 on average — 13 points more Democratic-leaning than Potter County, PA itself (R+62.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- McKean County, PA47R+47.2
- Tioga County, PA36R+51.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- McKean County, PA61
- Tioga County, PA49
- Allegany County, NY21
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −6 |
| 2012 | +109 |
| 2013 | −120 |
| 2014 | −252 |
| 2015 | −100 |
| 2016 | −82 |
| 2017 | −95 |
| 2018 | −159 |
| 2019 | −46 |
| 2021 | −5 |
| 2022 | +38 |
| 2023 | −85 |
| 2024 | +30 |
| 2025 | −38 |
Sparsely populated and heavily forested in the northern Appalachian Plateau, Potter gave Republicans a 62-point margin in 2024—among the widest in the state—reflecting a rural, working-class electorate with little urban counterweight.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 12.7 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 62.9 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 62.3 points.
A population of 16,188, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,020 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bedford County and Ritchie County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Bedford County
Pennsylvania
90.6twin score
2000–2024 trajectory≠ American ancestry
Ritchie County
West Virginia
90.0twin score
2000–2020 trajectory≠ Swedish ancestry
Bland County
Virginia
89.6twin score
2008–2020 trajectory≠ Polish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Potter County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42105/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Pennsylvania at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Potter County, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Potter County, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 62.3 points (R+62.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 9,085 votes cast, 1,675 went Democratic and 7,334 went Republican.
When did Potter County, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Potter County, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Potter County, Pennsylvania?
Potter County, Pennsylvania has a population of 16,188 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Potter County, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Potter County, Pennsylvania is $59,020 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Potter County, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Potter County, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 32 went Republican.