HarrisDemocratic31.1%9,150TrumpRepublican68.2%20,071OliverLibertarian0.4%125
R+37.1- Lead
- 10,921
- Total
- 29,444
- vs nation
- R+35.6
- Turnout
- 70.1%
Akashiccounty
Wayne County, PA
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 70.1% of 42,289 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic32.7%9,191TrumpRepublican66.3%18,637JorgensenLibertarian0.9%261
R+33.6- Lead
- 9,446
- Total
- 28,089
- vs nation
- R+38.1
- Turnout
- 67.1%
ClintonDemocratic29.2%7,008TrumpRepublican67.6%16,244JohnsonLibertarian1.9%466
R+38.5- Lead
- 9,236
- Total
- 24,018
- vs nation
- R+40.5
- Turnout
- 58.1%
ObamaDemocratic38.7%8,396RomneyRepublican59.5%12,896JohnsonLibertarian0.9%195
R+20.8- Lead
- 4,500
- Total
- 21,674
- vs nation
- R+24.6
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic43.3%9,892McCainRepublican55.6%12,702OtherAll other candidates1.1%241
R+12.3- Lead
- 2,810
- Total
- 22,835
- vs nation
- R+19.6
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic36.7%8,060BushRepublican62.4%13,713OtherAll other candidates0.9%194
R+25.7- Lead
- 5,653
- Total
- 21,967
- vs nation
- R+23.3
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic36.5%6,904BushRepublican59.2%11,201NaderGreen3.3%625
R+22.7- Lead
- 4,297
- Total
- 18,916
- vs nation
- R+23.2
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic36.3%5,928DoleRepublican49.4%8,077PerotReform13.0%2,126
R+13.2- Lead
- 2,149
- Total
- 16,334
- vs nation
- R+21.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+37.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 51,2622024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,3812024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+23.6 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58.2 in 1952MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Susquehanna County, PA · twin score 87.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 70.1%29,638 participants ÷ 42,289 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 57.3%–58.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 24,307 | 41,832 | 58.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 20,244 | 42,310 | 47.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 28,292 | 42,192 | 67.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 22,941 | 42,237 | 54.3% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 29,638 | 42,289 | 70.1% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
72 precincts · 28,506 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0190421270190 | 1,009 | 2,062 | 24 | 3,095 | 32.6% | 66.6% | R+34.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0260421270260 | 809 | 1,684 | 16 | 2,509 | 32.2% | 67.1% | R+34.9 |
| Precinct 0290421270290 | 777 | 1,709 | 20 | 2,506 | 31.0% | 68.2% | R+37.2 |
| Precinct 0100421270100 | 405 | 929 | 15 | 1,349 | 30.0% | 68.9% | R+38.8 |
| Precinct 0210421270210 | 433 | 713 | 11 | 1,157 | 37.4% | 61.6% | R+24.2 |
| Precinct 0060421270060 | 354 | 791 | 10 | 1,155 | 30.6% | 68.5% | R+37.8 |
| Precinct 0310421270310 | 273 | 789 | 3 | 1,065 | 25.6% | 74.1% | R+48.5 |
| Precinct 0090421270090 | 307 | 675 | 9 | 991 | 31.0% | 68.1% | R+37.1 |
| Precinct 0330421270330 | 256 | 678 | 2 | 936 | 27.4% | 72.4% | R+45.1 |
| Precinct 0120421270120 | 319 | 593 | 8 | 920 | 34.7% | 64.5% | R+29.8 |
| Precinct 0070421270070 | 234 | 578 | 1 | 813 | 28.8% | 71.1% | R+42.3 |
| Precinct 0155421270155 | 357 | 442 | 7 | 806 | 44.3% | 54.8% | R+10.5 |
| Precinct 0250421270250 | 216 | 574 | 4 | 794 | 27.2% | 72.3% | R+45.1 |
| Precinct 0020421270020 | 184 | 590 | 7 | 781 | 23.6% | 75.5% | R+52.0 |
| Precinct 0110421270110 | 244 | 527 | 7 | 778 | 31.4% | 67.7% | R+36.4 |
| Precinct 0165421270165 | 284 | 481 | 11 | 776 | 36.6% | 62.0% | R+25.4 |
| Precinct 0010421270010 | 182 | 591 | 2 | 775 | 23.5% | 76.3% | R+52.8 |
| Precinct 0370421270370 | 216 | 468 | 6 | 690 | 31.3% | 67.8% | R+36.5 |
| Precinct 0145421270145 | 265 | 390 | 6 | 661 | 40.1% | 59.0% | R+18.9 |
| Precinct 0130421270130 | 260 | 382 | 4 | 646 | 40.2% | 59.1% | R+18.9 |
| Precinct 0270421270270 | 175 | 436 | 5 | 616 | 28.4% | 70.8% | R+42.4 |
| Precinct 0050421270050 | 144 | 399 | 2 | 545 | 26.4% | 73.2% | R+46.8 |
| Precinct 0240421270240 | 111 | 377 | 6 | 494 | 22.5% | 76.3% | R+53.8 |
| Precinct 0080421270080 | 176 | 316 | 1 | 493 | 35.7% | 64.1% | R+28.4 |
| Precinct 0220421270220 | 115 | 368 | 3 | 486 | 23.7% | 75.7% | R+52.1 |
| Precinct 0350421270350 | 166 | 312 | 8 | 486 | 34.2% | 64.2% | R+30.0 |
| Precinct 0340421270340 | 143 | 300 | 3 | 446 | 32.1% | 67.3% | R+35.2 |
| Precinct 0200421270200 | 95 | 346 | 3 | 444 | 21.4% | 77.9% | R+56.5 |
| Precinct 0360421270360 | 103 | 213 | 4 | 320 | 32.2% | 66.6% | R+34.4 |
| Precinct 0040421270040 | 91 | 216 | 4 | 311 | 29.3% | 69.5% | R+40.2 |
| Precinct 0300421270300 | 45 | 191 | 0 | 236 | 19.1% | 80.9% | R+61.9 |
| Precinct 0030421270030 | 74 | 100 | 0 | 174 | 42.5% | 57.5% | R+14.9 |
| Precinct 0280421270280 | 35 | 116 | 1 | 152 | 23.0% | 76.3% | R+53.3 |
| Precinct 0320421270320 | 25 | 74 | 1 | 100 | 25.0% | 74.0% | R+49.0 |
| BERLIN TWP VTD 0142_4212710 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BERLIN TWP VTD 0242_4212720 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BETHANY Voting District42_4212730 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUCKINGHAM TWP Voting District42_4212740 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CANAAN TWP Voting District42_4212750 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHERRY RIDGE TWP Voting District42_4212760 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLINTON TWP VTD 0142_4212770 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLINTON TWP VTD 0242_4212780 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DAMASCUS TWP VTD 0142_4212790 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DAMASCUS TWP VTD 0242_42127100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DREHER TWP Voting District42_42127110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DYBERRY TWP Voting District42_42127120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HAWLEY Voting District42_42127130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HONESDALE VTD 0142_42127140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HONESDALE VTD 0242_42127150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HONESDALE VTD 0342_42127160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HONESDALE VTD 0442_42127170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HONESDALE VTD 0542_42127180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAKE TWP Voting District42_42127190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LEBANON TWP Voting District42_42127200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LEHIGH TWP Voting District42_42127210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MANCHESTER TWP Voting District42_42127220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT. PLEASANT TWP Voting District42_42127230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OREGON TWP Voting District42_42127240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PALMYRA TWP Voting District42_42127250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PAUPACK TWP Voting District42_42127260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0230421270230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRESTON TWP Voting District42_42127270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PROMPTON Voting District42_42127280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SALEM TWP Voting District42_42127290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SCOTT TWP Voting District42_42127300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SOUTH CANAAN TWP Voting District42_42127310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| STARRUCCA Voting District42_42127320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| STERLING TWP Voting District42_42127330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TEXAS TWP VTD 0142_42127340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TEXAS TWP VTD 0242_42127350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TEXAS TWP VTD 0342_42127360 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WAYMART Voting District42_42127370 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +3.7% |
| 1896 | −18.8% |
| 1900 | −9.2% |
| 1904 | −21.6% |
| 1908 | −18.8% |
| 1912 | +23.6% |
| 1916 | −16.5% |
| 1920 | −50.6% |
| 1924 | −53.6% |
| 1928 | −46.1% |
| 1932 | −25.2% |
| 1936 | −31.2% |
| 1940 | −45.2% |
| 1944 | −49.2% |
| 1948 | −54.3% |
| 1952 | −58.2% |
| 1956 | −51.4% |
| 1960 | −35.7% |
| 1964 | −5.9% |
| 1968 | −39.4% |
| 1972 | −51.8% |
| 1976 | −29.0% |
| 1980 | −40.6% |
| 1984 | −51.9% |
| 1988 | −44.4% |
| 1992 | −20.0% |
| 1996 | −13.2% |
| 2000 | −22.7% |
| 2004 | −25.7% |
| 2008 | −12.3% |
| 2012 | −20.8% |
| 2016 | −38.5% |
| 2020 | −33.6% |
| 2024 | −37.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 1 House · 38 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 33.8%9,841 | 66.2%19,261 | 29,102 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+35.6
Presidential vote · 2024R+37.1
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 1.5 points.
36,645 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+609 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +2,417 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $81,950 in average income, against $76,106 for residents who stayed — 8% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+0.9 on average — 36 points more Democratic-leaning than Wayne County, PA itself (R+37.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lackawanna County, PA239D+2.8
- Pike County, PA153R+24.0
- Monroe County, PA44R+0.8
- Kings County, NY40D+43.3
- Suffolk County, NY40R+9.9
- Nassau County, NY36R+4.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lackawanna County, PA297
- Pike County, PA138
- Susquehanna County, PA41
- Monroe County, PA38
- Luzerne County, PA35
- Philadelphia County, PA23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +70 |
| 2012 | −316 |
| 2013 | +186 |
| 2014 | +44 |
| 2015 | −56 |
| 2016 | −311 |
| 2017 | +99 |
| 2018 | +410 |
| 2019 | +206 |
| 2021 | +380 |
| 2022 | +326 |
| 2023 | +551 |
| 2024 | +219 |
| 2025 | +609 |
Wayne County, tucked in Pennsylvania's Pocono-to-Catskills corridor, has voted Republican in every presidential race in recent memory, posting margins that now exceed 37 points — making it an outlier in a battleground state defined by razor-thin statewide results.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.6 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 58.2 points in 1952. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 37.1 points.
A population of 51,262, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,381 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Susquehanna County and Pike County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Susquehanna County
Pennsylvania
87.8twin score
median age% EvangelicalIrish ancestry≠ Italian ancestry
Pike County
Pennsylvania
87.1twin score
elasticityItalian ancestrymedian age≠ median income
Wyoming County
Pennsylvania
86.6twin score
elasticity% unaffiliated% Evangelical≠ Italian ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Wayne County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42127/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Wayne County
Pennsylvania at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Wayne County, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Wayne County, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 37.1 points (R+37.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 29,444 votes cast, 9,150 went Democratic and 20,071 went Republican.
When did Wayne County, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Wayne County, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1892.
How many people live in Wayne County, Pennsylvania?
Wayne County, Pennsylvania has a population of 51,262 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Wayne County, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Wayne County, Pennsylvania is $62,381 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Wayne County, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Wayne County, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 32 went Republican.