HarrisDemocratic28.3%5,483TrumpRepublican71.4%13,826OtherAll other candidates0.3%67
R+43.1- Lead
- 8,343
- Total
- 19,376
- vs nation
- R+41.6
- Turnout
- 55.2%
Akashiccounty
Allegany County, NY
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 55.2% of 37,448 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic29.2%6,048TrumpRepublican68.2%14,135JorgensenLibertarian1.6%338
R+39.0- Lead
- 8,087
- Total
- 20,716
- vs nation
- R+43.5
- Turnout
- 57.2%
ClintonDemocratic26.1%4,882TrumpRepublican67.0%12,525JohnsonLibertarian3.9%735
R+40.9- Lead
- 7,643
- Total
- 18,692
- vs nation
- R+43.0
- Turnout
- 50.5%
ObamaDemocratic36.2%6,139RomneyRepublican61.3%10,390OtherAll other candidates2.5%424
R+25.1- Lead
- 4,251
- Total
- 16,953
- vs nation
- R+28.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic38.1%7,016McCainRepublican59.8%11,013OtherAll other candidates2.0%377
R+21.7- Lead
- 3,997
- Total
- 18,406
- vs nation
- R+29.0
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic34.1%6,566BushRepublican63.9%12,310OtherAll other candidates2.0%394
R+29.8- Lead
- 5,744
- Total
- 19,270
- vs nation
- R+27.4
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic33.9%6,336BushRepublican61.2%11,436NaderGreen3.5%657
R+27.3- Lead
- 5,100
- Total
- 18,690
- vs nation
- R+27.8
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic37.4%6,621DoleRepublican45.8%8,107PerotReform15.4%2,730
R+8.4- Lead
- 1,486
- Total
- 17,703
- vs nation
- R+16.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+43.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 47,1592024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,8692024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+14.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.8 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Bradford County, PA · twin score 86.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 55.2%20,658 participants ÷ 37,448 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +11.8 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -10.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 43.4%–45.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 18,871 | 37,362 | 50.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 15,436 | 36,862 | 41.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 20,937 | 36,622 | 57.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 17,078 | 37,614 | 45.4% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 20,658 | 37,448 | 55.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
38 precincts · 20,450 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 1500002360031500002 | 297 | 592 | 3 | 892 | 33.3% | 66.4% | R+33.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 1000001360031000001 | 221 | 666 | 3 | 890 | 24.8% | 74.8% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct 2000001360032000001 | 208 | 651 | 13 | 872 | 23.9% | 74.7% | R+50.8 |
| Precinct 0400001360030400001 | 237 | 579 | 10 | 826 | 28.7% | 70.1% | R+41.4 |
| Precinct 1600001360031600001 | 169 | 647 | 5 | 821 | 20.6% | 78.8% | R+58.2 |
| Precinct 2400001360032400001 | 193 | 615 | 5 | 813 | 23.7% | 75.6% | R+51.9 |
| Precinct 1200001360031200001 | 249 | 513 | 39 | 801 | 31.1% | 64.0% | R+33.0 |
| Precinct 1700001360031700001 | 168 | 569 | 6 | 743 | 22.6% | 76.6% | R+54.0 |
| Precinct 0800001360030800001 | 177 | 560 | 3 | 740 | 23.9% | 75.7% | R+51.8 |
| Precinct 2600003360032600003 | 277 | 420 | 5 | 702 | 39.5% | 59.8% | R+20.4 |
| Precinct 1500001360031500001 | 291 | 354 | 9 | 654 | 44.5% | 54.1% | R+9.6 |
| Precinct 2800001360032800001 | 178 | 452 | 6 | 636 | 28.0% | 71.1% | R+43.1 |
| Precinct 2600002360032600002 | 254 | 373 | 7 | 634 | 40.1% | 58.8% | R+18.8 |
| Precinct 2300001360032300001 | 151 | 474 | 6 | 631 | 23.9% | 75.1% | R+51.2 |
| Precinct 0500002360030500002 | 178 | 446 | 6 | 630 | 28.3% | 70.8% | R+42.5 |
| Precinct 2600001360032600001 | 234 | 388 | 5 | 627 | 37.3% | 61.9% | R+24.6 |
| Precinct 0100002360030100002 | 285 | 301 | 13 | 599 | 47.6% | 50.3% | R+2.7 |
| Precinct 2600005360032600005 | 160 | 434 | 1 | 595 | 26.9% | 72.9% | R+46.1 |
| Precinct 1100001360031100001 | 93 | 445 | 0 | 538 | 17.3% | 82.7% | R+65.4 |
| Precinct 0100001360030100001 | 399 | 111 | 12 | 522 | 76.4% | 21.3% | D+55.2 |
| Precinct 2600004360032600004 | 152 | 362 | 8 | 522 | 29.1% | 69.3% | R+40.2 |
| Precinct 2900001360032900001 | 70 | 421 | 1 | 492 | 14.2% | 85.6% | R+71.3 |
| Precinct 0600001360030600001 | 127 | 354 | 5 | 486 | 26.1% | 72.8% | R+46.7 |
| Precinct 2100001360032100001 | 85 | 395 | 3 | 483 | 17.6% | 81.8% | R+64.2 |
| Precinct 1400001360031400001 | 118 | 348 | 2 | 468 | 25.2% | 74.4% | R+49.1 |
| Precinct 0500001360030500001 | 123 | 289 | 7 | 419 | 29.4% | 69.0% | R+39.6 |
| Precinct 0300001360030300001 | 66 | 325 | 8 | 399 | 16.5% | 81.5% | R+64.9 |
| Precinct 0600002360030600002 | 72 | 306 | 5 | 383 | 18.8% | 79.9% | R+61.1 |
| Precinct 0700001360030700001 | 99 | 256 | 7 | 362 | 27.3% | 70.7% | R+43.4 |
| Precinct 2200001360032200001 | 69 | 255 | 2 | 326 | 21.2% | 78.2% | R+57.1 |
| Precinct 1300001360031300001 | 46 | 269 | 5 | 320 | 14.4% | 84.1% | R+69.7 |
| Precinct 0700002360030700002 | 80 | 233 | 2 | 315 | 25.4% | 74.0% | R+48.6 |
| Precinct 1900001360031900001 | 66 | 238 | 5 | 309 | 21.4% | 77.0% | R+55.7 |
| Precinct 0200001360030200001 | 51 | 213 | 3 | 267 | 19.1% | 79.8% | R+60.7 |
| Precinct 1800001360031800001 | 36 | 226 | 0 | 262 | 13.7% | 86.3% | R+72.5 |
| Precinct 2500001360032500001 | 53 | 144 | 2 | 199 | 26.6% | 72.4% | R+45.7 |
| Precinct 2700001360032700001 | 38 | 118 | 1 | 157 | 24.2% | 75.2% | R+51.0 |
| Precinct 0900001360030900001 | 32 | 83 | 0 | 115 | 27.8% | 72.2% | R+44.3 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −23.4% |
| 1896 | −27.7% |
| 1900 | −30.8% |
| 1904 | −45.0% |
| 1908 | −35.4% |
| 1912 | −9.0% |
| 1916 | −30.9% |
| 1920 | −55.1% |
| 1924 | −58.3% |
| 1928 | −60.9% |
| 1932 | −41.6% |
| 1936 | −43.8% |
| 1940 | −50.7% |
| 1944 | −47.4% |
| 1948 | −45.2% |
| 1952 | −61.1% |
| 1956 | −62.8% |
| 1960 | −46.3% |
| 1964 | +14.6% |
| 1968 | −36.4% |
| 1972 | −47.1% |
| 1976 | −31.3% |
| 1980 | −25.8% |
| 1984 | −50.8% |
| 1988 | −35.5% |
| 1992 | −22.1% |
| 1996 | −8.4% |
| 2000 | −27.3% |
| 2004 | −29.8% |
| 2008 | −21.7% |
| 2012 | −25.1% |
| 2016 | −40.9% |
| 2020 | −39.0% |
| 2024 | −43.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 1 House · 28 Senate · 2 Senate special · 11 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 26.1%4,788 | 73.9%13,529 | 18,317 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+32.7
Presidential vote · 2024R+43.1
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 10 points more Democratic.
27,963 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+46 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −2,624 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $50,461 in average income, against $61,226 for residents who stayed — 18% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+23.2 on average — 20 points more Democratic-leaning than Allegany County, NY itself (R+43.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Cattaraugus County, NY137R+32.7
- Steuben County, NY84R+31.7
- Erie County, NY72D+9.6
- Livingston County, NY37R+21.4
- Monroe County, NY36D+19.0
- Wyoming County, NY31R+48.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Cattaraugus County, NY153
- Steuben County, NY99
- Erie County, NY76
- Livingston County, NY44
- Monroe County, NY36
- Wyoming County, NY27
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −294 |
| 2012 | −658 |
| 2013 | −360 |
| 2014 | −348 |
| 2015 | −360 |
| 2016 | −363 |
| 2017 | −438 |
| 2018 | −351 |
| 2019 | −254 |
| 2021 | +451 |
| 2022 | +2 |
| 2023 | +121 |
| 2024 | +182 |
| 2025 | +46 |
Allegany's rural Southern Tier landscape and small-town demographics have produced Republican presidential margins above 40 points in recent cycles, making it a consistent outlier in a state that trends heavily Democratic statewide.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 14.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 62.8 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 43.1 points.
A population of 47,159, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,869 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bradford County and Clinton County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Bradford County
Pennsylvania
86.0twin score
% unaffiliated% White2000 margin
Clinton County
Ohio
80.3twin score
% unaffiliated% White% Latino≠ Italian ancestry
Steuben County
New York
79.6twin score
% White% unaffiliated% Latino
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Allegany County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36003/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Allegany County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Allegany County, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Allegany County, New York voted Republican by 43.1 points (R+43.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 19,376 votes cast, 5,483 went Democratic and 13,826 went Republican.
When did Allegany County, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Allegany County, New York voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Allegany County, New York?
Allegany County, New York has a population of 47,159 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Allegany County, New York?
Median household income in Allegany County, New York is $62,869 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Allegany County, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Allegany County, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 33 went Republican.