HarrisDemocratic43.4%15,772TrumpRepublican56.4%20,482OtherAll other candidates0.2%89
R+13.0- Lead
- 4,710
- Total
- 36,343
- vs nation
- R+11.5
- Turnout
- 61.6%
Akashiccounty
Cayuga County, NY
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 61.6% of 59,724 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic44.5%16,359TrumpRepublican53.4%19,632JorgensenLibertarian1.1%401
R+8.9- Lead
- 3,273
- Total
- 36,754
- vs nation
- R+13.4
- Turnout
- 60.7%
ClintonDemocratic40.8%13,522TrumpRepublican52.4%17,384JohnsonLibertarian4.1%1,358
R+11.6- Lead
- 3,862
- Total
- 33,172
- vs nation
- R+13.7
- Turnout
- 53.9%
ObamaDemocratic54.6%17,007RomneyRepublican43.2%13,454Johnson/GrayLibertarian0.9%285
D+11.4- Lead
- 3,553
- Total
- 31,161
- vs nation
- D+7.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic53.3%18,128McCainRepublican44.8%15,243OtherAll other candidates1.9%651
D+8.5- Lead
- 2,885
- Total
- 34,022
- vs nation
- D+1.2
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic48.6%17,534BushRepublican49.2%17,743OtherAll other candidates2.1%775
R+0.6- Lead
- 209
- Total
- 36,052
- vs nation
- D+1.9
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic50.1%17,031BushRepublican44.1%14,988NaderGreen4.3%1,448
D+6.0- Lead
- 2,043
- Total
- 33,978
- vs nation
- D+5.5
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic49.8%15,879DoleRepublican34.8%11,093PerotReform13.9%4,420
D+15.0- Lead
- 4,786
- Total
- 31,894
- vs nation
- D+6.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+13.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 75,1022024 5-year
- Median household income
- $67,9042024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+35.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44.2 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Oswego County, NY · twin score 93.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 61.6%36,808 participants ÷ 59,724 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -6.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 46.2%–50.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 33,341 | 61,876 | 53.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 28,486 | 61,423 | 46.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 37,091 | 61,096 | 60.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 27,395 | 60,548 | 45.2% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 36,808 | 59,724 | 61.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
41 precincts · 36,517 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0300002360110300002 | 601 | 856 | 6 | 1,463 | 41.1% | 58.5% | R+17.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0110003360110110003 | 675 | 646 | 14 | 1,335 | 50.6% | 48.4% | D+2.2 |
| Precinct 1300001360111300001 | 534 | 772 | 9 | 1,315 | 40.6% | 58.7% | R+18.1 |
| Precinct 0400001360110400001 | 394 | 893 | 8 | 1,295 | 30.4% | 69.0% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct 1500002360111500002 | 610 | 641 | 10 | 1,261 | 48.4% | 50.8% | R+2.5 |
| Precinct 1900001360111900001 | 517 | 719 | 8 | 1,244 | 41.6% | 57.8% | R+16.2 |
| Precinct 1500001360111500001 | 542 | 633 | 9 | 1,184 | 45.8% | 53.5% | R+7.7 |
| Precinct 2200001360112200001 | 456 | 693 | 8 | 1,157 | 39.4% | 59.9% | R+20.5 |
| Precinct 0109003360110109003 | 609 | 517 | 11 | 1,137 | 53.6% | 45.5% | D+8.1 |
| Precinct 1800002360111800002 | 554 | 563 | 10 | 1,127 | 49.2% | 50.0% | R+0.8 |
| Precinct 0110001360110110001 | 608 | 472 | 15 | 1,095 | 55.5% | 43.1% | D+12.4 |
| Precinct 2000001360112000001 | 430 | 649 | 6 | 1,085 | 39.6% | 59.8% | R+20.2 |
| Precinct 0800001360110800001 | 296 | 779 | 8 | 1,083 | 27.3% | 71.9% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct 1100001360111100001 | 316 | 718 | 6 | 1,040 | 30.4% | 69.0% | R+38.7 |
| Precinct 0700001360110700001 | 459 | 496 | 8 | 963 | 47.7% | 51.5% | R+3.8 |
| Precinct 1800001360111800001 | 382 | 548 | 8 | 938 | 40.7% | 58.4% | R+17.7 |
| Precinct 0111003360110111003 | 476 | 456 | 5 | 937 | 50.8% | 48.7% | D+2.1 |
| Precinct 0600001360110600001 | 411 | 496 | 11 | 918 | 44.8% | 54.0% | R+9.3 |
| Precinct 0109002360110109002 | 496 | 408 | 4 | 908 | 54.6% | 44.9% | D+9.7 |
| Precinct 0109001360110109001 | 482 | 416 | 6 | 904 | 53.3% | 46.0% | D+7.3 |
| Precinct 0108001360110108001 | 413 | 432 | 3 | 848 | 48.7% | 50.9% | R+2.2 |
| Precinct 0500001360110500001 | 243 | 578 | 2 | 823 | 29.5% | 70.2% | R+40.7 |
| Precinct 0110002360110110002 | 461 | 353 | 8 | 822 | 56.1% | 42.9% | D+13.1 |
| Precinct 1000001360111000001 | 314 | 504 | 3 | 821 | 38.2% | 61.4% | R+23.1 |
| Precinct 2400001360112400001 | 205 | 562 | 2 | 769 | 26.7% | 73.1% | R+46.4 |
| Precinct 0900001360110900001 | 418 | 338 | 9 | 765 | 54.6% | 44.2% | D+10.5 |
| Precinct 0200001360110200001 | 301 | 429 | 4 | 734 | 41.0% | 58.4% | R+17.4 |
| Precinct 1600001360111600001 | 314 | 410 | 8 | 732 | 42.9% | 56.0% | R+13.1 |
| Precinct 1400001360111400001 | 291 | 416 | 4 | 711 | 40.9% | 58.5% | R+17.6 |
| Precinct 0111002360110111002 | 385 | 283 | 3 | 671 | 57.4% | 42.2% | D+15.2 |
| Precinct 0200002360110200002 | 276 | 384 | 4 | 664 | 41.6% | 57.8% | R+16.3 |
| Precinct 0300001360110300001 | 263 | 384 | 8 | 655 | 40.2% | 58.6% | R+18.5 |
| Precinct 0108002360110108002 | 303 | 322 | 9 | 634 | 47.8% | 50.8% | R+3.0 |
| Precinct 0600002360110600002 | 256 | 361 | 5 | 622 | 41.2% | 58.0% | R+16.9 |
| Precinct 0111001360110111001 | 335 | 261 | 4 | 600 | 55.8% | 43.5% | D+12.3 |
| Precinct 2000002360112000002 | 179 | 412 | 5 | 596 | 30.0% | 69.1% | R+39.1 |
| Precinct 0108003360110108003 | 346 | 230 | 2 | 578 | 59.9% | 39.8% | D+20.1 |
| Precinct 2300001360112300001 | 187 | 385 | 5 | 577 | 32.4% | 66.7% | R+34.3 |
| Precinct 1200001360111200001 | 173 | 352 | 2 | 527 | 32.8% | 66.8% | R+34.0 |
| Precinct 2100001360112100001 | 152 | 364 | 2 | 518 | 29.3% | 70.3% | R+40.9 |
| Precinct 1700001360111700001 | 109 | 351 | 1 | 461 | 23.6% | 76.1% | R+52.5 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −15.1% |
| 1896 | −25.6% |
| 1900 | −23.2% |
| 1904 | −29.4% |
| 1908 | −23.5% |
| 1912 | −8.0% |
| 1916 | −9.8% |
| 1920 | −39.5% |
| 1924 | −36.5% |
| 1928 | −25.9% |
| 1932 | −13.8% |
| 1936 | −24.2% |
| 1940 | −20.0% |
| 1944 | −14.8% |
| 1948 | −13.9% |
| 1952 | −36.3% |
| 1956 | −44.2% |
| 1960 | −8.4% |
| 1964 | +35.5% |
| 1968 | −4.8% |
| 1972 | −34.4% |
| 1976 | −19.3% |
| 1980 | −19.0% |
| 1984 | −27.4% |
| 1988 | −5.9% |
| 1992 | +2.9% |
| 1996 | +15.0% |
| 2000 | +6.0% |
| 2004 | −0.6% |
| 2008 | +8.5% |
| 2012 | +11.4% |
| 2016 | −11.6% |
| 2020 | −8.9% |
| 2024 | −13.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 28 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+8.4
Presidential vote · 2024R+13.0
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 4.6 points more Democratic.
51,152 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−196 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −4,980 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $55,416 in average income, against $52,995 for residents who stayed — 5% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+8.7 on average — 22 points more Democratic-leaning than Cayuga County, NY itself (R+13.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Onondaga County, NY359D+17.2
- Oswego County, NY94R+24.1
- Tompkins County, NY86D+50.0
- Wayne County, NY64R+23.0
- Seneca County, NY47R+11.8
- Cortland County, NY43R+6.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Onondaga County, NY325
- Oswego County, NY92
- Tompkins County, NY68
- Wayne County, NY65
- Cortland County, NY57
- Monroe County, NY49
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −325 |
| 2012 | −295 |
| 2013 | −492 |
| 2014 | −396 |
| 2015 | −509 |
| 2016 | −622 |
| 2017 | −290 |
| 2018 | −402 |
| 2019 | −602 |
| 2021 | −435 |
| 2022 | −493 |
| 2023 | −25 |
| 2024 | +102 |
| 2025 | −196 |
Cayuga County anchors the northern Finger Lakes, where a shrinking manufacturing base and a predominantly rural, non-college white electorate have pushed presidential margins from competitive to reliably Republican over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 35.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 44.2 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 13.0 points.
A population of 75,102, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,904 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Oswego County and Seneca County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Oswego County
New York
93.5twin score
2004–2012 trajectory% EvangelicalItalian ancestry
Seneca County
New York
93.4twin score
2000–2024 trajectory≠ % Catholic
Chemung County
New York
92.5twin score
2012–2024 trajectory% Evangelical≠ Scottish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Cayuga County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36011/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Cayuga County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Cayuga County, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Cayuga County, New York voted Republican by 13.0 points (R+13.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 36,343 votes cast, 15,772 went Democratic and 20,482 went Republican.
When did Cayuga County, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Cayuga County, New York voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Cayuga County, New York?
Cayuga County, New York has a population of 75,102 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Cayuga County, New York?
Median household income in Cayuga County, New York is $67,904 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Cayuga County, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Cayuga County, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 28 went Republican.