akashic
1876–2024
Cayuga County, New York
Cayuga County·New York

Cayuga County votes the way the country votes.

A mid-size Finger Lakes county that has swung steadily rightward since 2008

18762024·38 elections
Cayuga County, New York · Beyond My Ken · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+13
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
75,102
2024 ACS
Most similar
Sullivan County
NY · similarity 0.96
41 precincts · 36,517 votes cast
Trump · R+13
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−12.9%
15,77220,48236,517
2020R
−8.9%
16,35919,63236,754
2016R
−11.6%
13,52217,38433,172
2012D
+11.4%
17,00713,45431,161
2008D
+8.5%
18,12815,24334,022
2004R
−0.6%
17,53417,74336,052
2000D
+6.0%
17,03114,98833,978
1996D
+15.0%
15,87911,09331,894
1992D
+2.9%
13,08812,06535,671
1988R
−5.9%
15,04416,93432,285
1984R
−27.4%
12,20721,45133,779
1980R
−19.0%
11,70817,94532,756
1976R
−19.3%
13,34819,77533,343
1972R
−34.4%
11,09722,77433,952
1968R
−4.8%
14,60416,16732,666
1964D
+35.5%
24,09011,45335,566
1960R
−8.4%
17,25720,43737,722
1956R
−44.2%
10,26826,50336,771
1952R
−36.3%
11,69525,03736,804
1948R
−13.9%
14,31719,01733,747
1944R
−14.8%
13,84918,68032,629
1940R
−20.0%
13,98521,03235,173
1936R
−24.2%
12,15820,20333,200
1932R
−13.8%
12,98917,28031,043
1928R
−25.9%
11,78720,20232,525
1924R
−36.5%
7,36917,25227,100
1920R
−39.5%
6,34315,23422,510
1916R
−9.8%
6,3917,83114,689
1912R
−8.0%
4,6915,78813,777
1908R
−23.5%
5,7899,69916,624
1904R
−29.4%
5,70710,70817,028
1900R
−23.2%
6,33010,32817,217
1896R
−25.6%
5,84610,02416,330
1892R
−15.1%
5,9998,34115,461
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
2.7%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
31.8%
Other Christian
3.5%
Methodist
2.6%
Mainline Protestant
2.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.8%
Baptist
1.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Cayuga County anchors the northern Finger Lakes, where a shrinking manufacturing base and a predominantly rural, non-college white electorate have pushed presidential margins from competitive to reliably Republican over the past decade.

The Democratic margin in Cayuga County has rarely exceeded thirty-six points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-four points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by thirteen points.

Cayuga County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 88% non-Hispanic-white share, a 14% poverty rate, and a median household income of $67,904 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sullivan County and Erie County.