HarrisDemocratic41.5%15,572TrumpRepublican58.2%21,861OtherAll other candidates0.3%127
R+16.7- Lead
- 6,289
- Total
- 37,560
- vs nation
- R+15.3
- Turnout
- 59.5%
Akashiccounty
Chemung County, NY
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 59.5% of 63,749 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic42.2%16,636TrumpRepublican55.6%21,922JorgensenLibertarian1.4%560
R+13.4- Lead
- 5,286
- Total
- 39,410
- vs nation
- R+17.9
- Turnout
- 62.0%
ClintonDemocratic38.1%13,757TrumpRepublican55.6%20,097JohnsonLibertarian4.0%1,447
R+17.6- Lead
- 6,340
- Total
- 36,119
- vs nation
- R+19.6
- Turnout
- 54.0%
ObamaDemocratic48.0%16,797RomneyRepublican50.3%17,612OtherAll other candidates1.7%601
R+2.3- Lead
- 815
- Total
- 35,010
- vs nation
- R+6.2
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic48.8%18,888McCainRepublican50.0%19,364OtherAll other candidates1.1%443
R+1.2- Lead
- 476
- Total
- 38,695
- vs nation
- R+8.5
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic43.7%17,080BushRepublican54.6%21,321OtherAll other candidates1.7%674
R+10.9- Lead
- 4,241
- Total
- 39,075
- vs nation
- R+8.4
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic46.2%17,424BushRepublican49.8%18,779NaderGreen3.2%1,195
R+3.6- Lead
- 1,355
- Total
- 37,710
- vs nation
- R+4.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic47.4%16,977DoleRepublican39.9%14,287PerotReform11.1%3,967
D+7.5- Lead
- 2,690
- Total
- 35,813
- vs nation
- R+1.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+16.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 82,1472024 5-year
- Median household income
- $63,7162024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.3 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cayuga County, NY · twin score 92.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 59.5%37,962 participants ÷ 63,749 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +18.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 41.0%–46.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 36,514 | 67,626 | 54.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 30,722 | 66,072 | 46.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 40,234 | 64,915 | 62.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 28,153 | 64,772 | 43.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 37,962 | 63,749 | 59.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
89 precincts · 37,560 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0905004360150905004 | 319 | 685 | 3 | 1,007 | 31.7% | 68.0% | R+36.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0905001360150905001 | 359 | 560 | 2 | 921 | 39.0% | 60.8% | R+21.8 |
| Precinct 0903001360150903001 | 406 | 504 | 1 | 911 | 44.6% | 55.3% | R+10.8 |
| Precinct 0304005360150304005 | 455 | 434 | 3 | 892 | 51.0% | 48.7% | D+2.4 |
| Precinct 0903003360150903003 | 404 | 456 | 4 | 864 | 46.8% | 52.8% | R+6.0 |
| Precinct 0707004360150707004 | 494 | 339 | 3 | 836 | 59.1% | 40.6% | D+18.5 |
| Precinct 1106005360151106005 | 265 | 501 | 0 | 766 | 34.6% | 65.4% | R+30.8 |
| Precinct 1201003360151201003 | 225 | 520 | 2 | 747 | 30.1% | 69.6% | R+39.5 |
| Precinct 0904004360150904004 | 375 | 363 | 8 | 746 | 50.3% | 48.7% | D+1.6 |
| Precinct 0707003360150707003 | 392 | 348 | 1 | 741 | 52.9% | 47.0% | D+5.9 |
| Precinct 1014004360151014004 | 255 | 479 | 1 | 735 | 34.7% | 65.2% | R+30.5 |
| Precinct 0302003360150302003 | 312 | 393 | 3 | 708 | 44.1% | 55.5% | R+11.4 |
| Precinct 0707001360150707001 | 358 | 344 | 1 | 703 | 50.9% | 48.9% | D+2.0 |
| Precinct 0903004360150903004 | 327 | 362 | 5 | 694 | 47.1% | 52.2% | R+5.0 |
| Precinct 0401005360150401005 | 164 | 523 | 1 | 688 | 23.8% | 76.0% | R+52.2 |
| Precinct 0115001360150115001 | 168 | 516 | 1 | 685 | 24.5% | 75.3% | R+50.8 |
| Precinct 0707005360150707005 | 365 | 316 | 4 | 685 | 53.3% | 46.1% | D+7.2 |
| Precinct 0302006360150302006 | 310 | 345 | 6 | 661 | 46.9% | 52.2% | R+5.3 |
| Precinct 0905002360150905002 | 268 | 386 | 3 | 657 | 40.8% | 58.8% | R+18.0 |
| Precinct 0302005360150302005 | 287 | 367 | 2 | 656 | 43.8% | 55.9% | R+12.2 |
| Precinct 0506002360150506002 | 140 | 504 | 0 | 644 | 21.7% | 78.3% | R+56.5 |
| Precinct 0908002360150908002 | 230 | 403 | 0 | 633 | 36.3% | 63.7% | R+27.3 |
| Precinct 0805003360150805003 | 150 | 481 | 1 | 632 | 23.7% | 76.1% | R+52.4 |
| Precinct 0401001360150401001 | 186 | 423 | 4 | 613 | 30.3% | 69.0% | R+38.7 |
| Precinct 1201002360151201002 | 183 | 368 | 1 | 552 | 33.2% | 66.7% | R+33.5 |
| Precinct 0908003360150908003 | 220 | 329 | 2 | 551 | 39.9% | 59.7% | R+19.8 |
| Precinct 1014002360151014002 | 181 | 356 | 1 | 538 | 33.6% | 66.2% | R+32.5 |
| Precinct 1014003360151014003 | 193 | 334 | 1 | 528 | 36.6% | 63.3% | R+26.7 |
| Precinct 0908005360150908005 | 175 | 349 | 0 | 524 | 33.4% | 66.6% | R+33.2 |
| Precinct 0903002360150903002 | 206 | 286 | 1 | 493 | 41.8% | 58.0% | R+16.2 |
| Precinct 0612005360150612005 | 204 | 273 | 0 | 477 | 42.8% | 57.2% | R+14.5 |
| Precinct 0506006360150506006 | 132 | 340 | 0 | 472 | 28.0% | 72.0% | R+44.1 |
| Precinct 0302002360150302002 | 208 | 258 | 0 | 466 | 44.6% | 55.4% | R+10.7 |
| Precinct 0302001360150302001 | 210 | 247 | 4 | 461 | 45.6% | 53.6% | R+8.0 |
| Precinct 1201004360151201004 | 129 | 320 | 0 | 449 | 28.7% | 71.3% | R+42.5 |
| Precinct 0613004360150613004 | 191 | 251 | 4 | 446 | 42.8% | 56.3% | R+13.5 |
| Precinct 0708004360150708004 | 154 | 291 | 0 | 445 | 34.6% | 65.4% | R+30.8 |
| Precinct 0610006360150610006 | 211 | 223 | 1 | 435 | 48.5% | 51.3% | R+2.8 |
| Precinct 0206001360150206001 | 81 | 344 | 1 | 426 | 19.0% | 80.8% | R+61.7 |
| Precinct 0302004360150302004 | 155 | 267 | 4 | 426 | 36.4% | 62.7% | R+26.3 |
| Precinct 0611001360150611001 | 228 | 193 | 4 | 425 | 53.6% | 45.4% | D+8.2 |
| Precinct 1015005360151015005 | 153 | 272 | 0 | 425 | 36.0% | 64.0% | R+28.0 |
| Precinct 0613002360150613002 | 186 | 229 | 3 | 418 | 44.5% | 54.8% | R+10.3 |
| Precinct 0904008360150904008 | 222 | 191 | 4 | 417 | 53.2% | 45.8% | D+7.4 |
| Precinct 1014005360151014005 | 130 | 280 | 0 | 410 | 31.7% | 68.3% | R+36.6 |
| Precinct 0609001360150609001 | 207 | 200 | 1 | 408 | 50.7% | 49.0% | D+1.7 |
| Precinct 1014006360151014006 | 115 | 286 | 2 | 403 | 28.5% | 71.0% | R+42.4 |
| Precinct 1015003360151015003 | 173 | 228 | 0 | 401 | 43.1% | 56.9% | R+13.7 |
| Precinct 0610001360150610001 | 248 | 142 | 2 | 392 | 63.3% | 36.2% | D+27.0 |
| Precinct 0904003360150904003 | 153 | 236 | 0 | 389 | 39.3% | 60.7% | R+21.3 |
| Precinct 0609002360150609002 | 174 | 210 | 2 | 386 | 45.1% | 54.4% | R+9.3 |
| Precinct 0612001360150612001 | 192 | 180 | 3 | 375 | 51.2% | 48.0% | D+3.2 |
| Precinct 0610007360150610007 | 216 | 156 | 2 | 374 | 57.8% | 41.7% | D+16.0 |
| Precinct 0715006360150715006 | 97 | 271 | 1 | 369 | 26.3% | 73.4% | R+47.2 |
| Precinct 0610002360150610002 | 238 | 125 | 2 | 365 | 65.2% | 34.2% | D+31.0 |
| Precinct 0806004360150806004 | 81 | 276 | 1 | 358 | 22.6% | 77.1% | R+54.5 |
| Precinct 1014001360151014001 | 139 | 212 | 1 | 352 | 39.5% | 60.2% | R+20.7 |
| Precinct 1013006360151013006 | 135 | 214 | 0 | 349 | 38.7% | 61.3% | R+22.6 |
| Precinct 0611005360150611005 | 217 | 123 | 1 | 341 | 63.6% | 36.1% | D+27.6 |
| Precinct 0612004360150612004 | 177 | 157 | 1 | 335 | 52.8% | 46.9% | D+6.0 |
| Precinct 1015004360151015004 | 109 | 205 | 1 | 315 | 34.6% | 65.1% | R+30.5 |
| Precinct 0904006360150904006 | 119 | 193 | 0 | 312 | 38.1% | 61.9% | R+23.7 |
| Precinct 0611002360150611002 | 169 | 90 | 4 | 263 | 64.3% | 34.2% | D+30.0 |
| Precinct 0609007360150609007 | 121 | 118 | 0 | 239 | 50.6% | 49.4% | D+1.3 |
| Precinct 0611003360150611003 | 144 | 75 | 1 | 220 | 65.5% | 34.1% | D+31.4 |
| Precinct 0613003360150613003 | 103 | 115 | 0 | 218 | 47.2% | 52.8% | R+5.5 |
| Precinct 0904001360150904001 | 62 | 155 | 1 | 218 | 28.4% | 71.1% | R+42.7 |
| Precinct 0609003360150609003 | 121 | 85 | 2 | 208 | 58.2% | 40.9% | D+17.3 |
| Precinct 0612002360150612002 | 107 | 100 | 0 | 207 | 51.7% | 48.3% | D+3.4 |
| Precinct 0307006360150307006 | 83 | 122 | 0 | 205 | 40.5% | 59.5% | R+19.0 |
| Precinct 0612003360150612003 | 96 | 104 | 2 | 202 | 47.5% | 51.5% | R+4.0 |
| Precinct 0613005360150613005 | 78 | 118 | 2 | 198 | 39.4% | 59.6% | R+20.2 |
| Precinct 0707002360150707002 | 98 | 99 | 1 | 198 | 49.5% | 50.0% | R+0.5 |
| Precinct 0609004360150609004 | 118 | 72 | 0 | 190 | 62.1% | 37.9% | D+24.2 |
| Precinct 0908001360150908001 | 48 | 78 | 0 | 126 | 38.1% | 61.9% | R+23.8 |
| Precinct 0609006360150609006 | 66 | 58 | 0 | 124 | 53.2% | 46.8% | D+6.5 |
| Precinct 0610004360150610004 | 52 | 57 | 1 | 110 | 47.3% | 51.8% | R+4.5 |
| Precinct 1012007360151012007 | 27 | 74 | 0 | 101 | 26.7% | 73.3% | R+46.5 |
| Precinct 1015002360151015002 | 53 | 45 | 0 | 98 | 54.1% | 45.9% | D+8.2 |
| Precinct 0611004360150611004 | 53 | 43 | 1 | 97 | 54.6% | 44.3% | D+10.3 |
| Precinct 0904002360150904002 | 26 | 67 | 1 | 94 | 27.7% | 71.3% | R+43.6 |
| Precinct 0613001360150613001 | 55 | 34 | 0 | 89 | 61.8% | 38.2% | D+23.6 |
| Precinct 0904007360150904007 | 26 | 56 | 0 | 82 | 31.7% | 68.3% | R+36.6 |
| Precinct 0709008360150709008 | 22 | 41 | 0 | 63 | 34.9% | 65.1% | R+30.2 |
| Precinct 0609005360150609005 | 19 | 43 | 0 | 62 | 30.6% | 69.4% | R+38.7 |
| Precinct 0610003360150610003 | 35 | 15 | 1 | 51 | 68.6% | 29.4% | D+39.2 |
| Precinct 0612006360150612006 | 15 | 9 | 0 | 24 | 62.5% | 37.5% | D+25.0 |
| Precinct 0611006360150611006 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 23 | 69.6% | 30.4% | D+39.1 |
| Precinct 0610005360150610005 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 17 | 17.6% | 82.4% | R+64.7 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −6.7% |
| 1896 | −19.6% |
| 1900 | −2.8% |
| 1904 | −12.0% |
| 1908 | −10.3% |
| 1912 | +20.7% |
| 1916 | +7.2% |
| 1920 | −41.4% |
| 1924 | −39.8% |
| 1928 | −34.4% |
| 1932 | −18.2% |
| 1936 | −13.7% |
| 1940 | −18.5% |
| 1944 | −19.1% |
| 1948 | −25.5% |
| 1952 | −37.4% |
| 1956 | −48.3% |
| 1960 | −19.3% |
| 1964 | +28.3% |
| 1968 | −12.3% |
| 1972 | −34.8% |
| 1976 | −9.0% |
| 1980 | −13.7% |
| 1984 | −25.9% |
| 1988 | −13.4% |
| 1992 | −2.5% |
| 1996 | +7.5% |
| 2000 | −3.6% |
| 2004 | −10.9% |
| 2008 | −1.2% |
| 2012 | −2.3% |
| 2016 | −17.6% |
| 2020 | −13.4% |
| 2024 | −16.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 1 House · 27 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 39.4%13,435 | 60.6%20,674 | 34,109 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+12.9
Presidential vote · 2024R+16.7
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 3.9 points more Democratic.
55,536 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−177 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −7,791 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $53,763 in average income, against $73,726 for residents who stayed — 27% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+17.3 on average — about the same lean as Chemung County, NY (R+16.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Steuben County, NY284R+31.7
- Tioga County, NY114R+22.8
- Bradford County, PA87R+47.9
- Schuyler County, NY82R+20.9
- Tompkins County, NY71D+50.0
- Tioga County, PA45R+51.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Steuben County, NY273
- Tioga County, NY101
- Bradford County, PA92
- Schuyler County, NY76
- Monroe County, NY57
- Tompkins County, NY46
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −93 |
| 2012 | +70 |
| 2013 | −1,100 |
| 2014 | −1,129 |
| 2015 | −537 |
| 2016 | −1,133 |
| 2017 | −784 |
| 2018 | −726 |
| 2019 | −411 |
| 2021 | −337 |
| 2022 | −1,267 |
| 2023 | −150 |
| 2024 | −17 |
| 2025 | −177 |
Anchored by Elmira, Chemung county once leaned Democratic on the strength of its industrial workforce but has moved toward Republican margins that now exceed 16 points, tracking a broader rural and post-industrial realignment across upstate New York.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 48.3 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.7 points.
A population of 82,147, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,716 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cayuga County and Madison County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Cayuga County
New York
92.5twin score
2012–2024 trajectory% Evangelical≠ Scottish ancestry
Madison County
New York
91.2twin score
2012–2024 trajectoryItalian ancestry≠ Scottish ancestry
Cortland County
New York
89.9twin score
2000–2024 trajectoryItalian ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Chemung County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Chemung County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Chemung County, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Chemung County, New York voted Republican by 16.7 points (R+16.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 37,560 votes cast, 15,572 went Democratic and 21,861 went Republican.
When did Chemung County, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Chemung County, New York voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Chemung County, New York?
Chemung County, New York has a population of 82,147 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Chemung County, New York?
Median household income in Chemung County, New York is $63,716 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Chemung County, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Chemung County, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 30 went Republican.