HarrisDemocratic43.3%14,629TrumpRepublican56.3%19,025OtherAll other candidates0.5%160
R+13.0- Lead
- 4,396
- Total
- 33,814
- vs nation
- R+11.5
- Turnout
- 65.8%
Akashiccounty
Madison County, NY
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 65.8% of 54,250 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic43.5%14,805TrumpRepublican54.1%18,409JorgensenLibertarian1.4%474
R+10.6- Lead
- 3,604
- Total
- 34,035
- vs nation
- R+15.0
- Turnout
- 60.8%
ClintonDemocratic38.8%11,667TrumpRepublican53.0%15,936JohnsonLibertarian5.3%1,582
R+14.2- Lead
- 4,269
- Total
- 30,064
- vs nation
- R+16.3
- Turnout
- 53.5%
ObamaDemocratic49.4%13,871RomneyRepublican48.5%13,622JohnsonLibertarian1.1%297
D+0.9- Lead
- 249
- Total
- 28,094
- vs nation
- R+3.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic49.3%14,692McCainRepublican48.4%14,434OtherAll other candidates2.3%676
D+0.9- Lead
- 258
- Total
- 29,802
- vs nation
- R+6.4
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic43.3%13,121BushRepublican54.6%16,537OtherAll other candidates2.1%629
R+11.3- Lead
- 3,416
- Total
- 30,287
- vs nation
- R+8.8
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic42.4%12,017BushRepublican52.5%14,879NaderGreen3.8%1,092
R+10.1- Lead
- 2,862
- Total
- 28,366
- vs nation
- R+10.6
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic43.8%11,832DoleRepublican42.0%11,324PerotReform12.5%3,379
D+1.9- Lead
- 508
- Total
- 26,988
- vs nation
- R+6.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+13.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 67,3282024 5-year
- Median household income
- $75,4992024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+23.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58.2 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Seneca County, NY · twin score 92.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 65.8%35,694 participants ÷ 54,250 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +11.6 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -10.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 54.2%–56.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 30,353 | 56,737 | 53.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 26,663 | 56,681 | 47.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 34,360 | 56,539 | 60.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 26,797 | 54,477 | 49.2% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 35,694 | 54,250 | 65.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
52 precincts · 34,019 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 1600001360531600001 | 586 | 586 | 18 | 1,190 | 49.2% | 49.2% | Exact tie |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 1301001360531301001 | 411 | 572 | 15 | 998 | 41.2% | 57.3% | R+16.1 |
| Precinct 0200004360530200004 | 602 | 367 | 13 | 982 | 61.3% | 37.4% | D+23.9 |
| Precinct 0900001360530900001 | 293 | 649 | 6 | 948 | 30.9% | 68.5% | R+37.6 |
| Precinct 1600005360531600005 | 389 | 540 | 11 | 940 | 41.4% | 57.4% | R+16.1 |
| Precinct 1303001360531303001 | 449 | 466 | 10 | 925 | 48.5% | 50.4% | R+1.8 |
| Precinct 1600002360531600002 | 376 | 515 | 19 | 910 | 41.3% | 56.6% | R+15.3 |
| Precinct 0400001360530400001 | 370 | 513 | 12 | 895 | 41.3% | 57.3% | R+16.0 |
| Precinct 1302001360531302001 | 394 | 480 | 13 | 887 | 44.4% | 54.1% | R+9.7 |
| Precinct 0500001360530500001 | 355 | 521 | 7 | 883 | 40.2% | 59.0% | R+18.8 |
| Precinct 0900003360530900003 | 338 | 511 | 9 | 858 | 39.4% | 59.6% | R+20.2 |
| Precinct 1600007360531600007 | 297 | 538 | 8 | 843 | 35.2% | 63.8% | R+28.6 |
| Precinct 0900005360530900005 | 346 | 476 | 6 | 828 | 41.8% | 57.5% | R+15.7 |
| Precinct 1100001360531100001 | 317 | 486 | 5 | 808 | 39.2% | 60.1% | R+20.9 |
| Precinct 0200005360530200005 | 416 | 349 | 23 | 788 | 52.8% | 44.3% | D+8.5 |
| Precinct 0300001360530300001 | 263 | 519 | 3 | 785 | 33.5% | 66.1% | R+32.6 |
| Precinct 1600003360531600003 | 320 | 457 | 8 | 785 | 40.8% | 58.2% | R+17.5 |
| Precinct 0400002360530400002 | 296 | 475 | 10 | 781 | 37.9% | 60.8% | R+22.9 |
| Precinct 1600010360531600010 | 370 | 381 | 8 | 759 | 48.7% | 50.2% | R+1.4 |
| Precinct 1600006360531600006 | 347 | 391 | 5 | 743 | 46.7% | 52.6% | R+5.9 |
| Precinct 0700004360530700004 | 309 | 398 | 10 | 717 | 43.1% | 55.5% | R+12.4 |
| Precinct 0200001360530200001 | 310 | 370 | 8 | 688 | 45.1% | 53.8% | R+8.7 |
| Precinct 1600009360531600009 | 228 | 447 | 7 | 682 | 33.4% | 65.5% | R+32.1 |
| Precinct 1200002360531200002 | 315 | 360 | 5 | 680 | 46.3% | 52.9% | R+6.6 |
| Precinct 0700002360530700002 | 516 | 148 | 10 | 674 | 76.6% | 22.0% | D+54.6 |
| Precinct 1600011360531600011 | 254 | 393 | 13 | 660 | 38.5% | 59.5% | R+21.1 |
| Precinct 1306001360531306001 | 246 | 405 | 4 | 655 | 37.6% | 61.8% | R+24.3 |
| Precinct 0900004360530900004 | 293 | 340 | 5 | 638 | 45.9% | 53.3% | R+7.4 |
| Precinct 1100002360531100002 | 273 | 344 | 6 | 623 | 43.8% | 55.2% | R+11.4 |
| Precinct 1305001360531305001 | 241 | 350 | 2 | 593 | 40.6% | 59.0% | R+18.4 |
| Precinct 0200002360530200002 | 360 | 222 | 6 | 588 | 61.2% | 37.8% | D+23.5 |
| Precinct 0200003360530200003 | 378 | 195 | 11 | 584 | 64.7% | 33.4% | D+31.3 |
| Precinct 0700001360530700001 | 447 | 106 | 12 | 565 | 79.1% | 18.8% | D+60.4 |
| Precinct 1000001360531000001 | 211 | 349 | 5 | 565 | 37.3% | 61.8% | R+24.4 |
| Precinct 0200006360530200006 | 342 | 215 | 2 | 559 | 61.2% | 38.5% | D+22.7 |
| Precinct 1500002360531500002 | 148 | 400 | 3 | 551 | 26.9% | 72.6% | R+45.7 |
| Precinct 1400001360531400001 | 145 | 388 | 10 | 543 | 26.7% | 71.5% | R+44.8 |
| Precinct 0900002360530900002 | 191 | 344 | 1 | 536 | 35.6% | 64.2% | R+28.5 |
| Precinct 1200001360531200001 | 239 | 289 | 2 | 530 | 45.1% | 54.5% | R+9.4 |
| Precinct 0100002360530100002 | 128 | 385 | 2 | 515 | 24.9% | 74.8% | R+49.9 |
| Precinct 1600008360531600008 | 221 | 239 | 7 | 467 | 47.3% | 51.2% | R+3.9 |
| Precinct 0800002360530800002 | 188 | 253 | 2 | 443 | 42.4% | 57.1% | R+14.7 |
| Precinct 1304001360531304001 | 170 | 255 | 3 | 428 | 39.7% | 59.6% | R+19.9 |
| Precinct 1000002360531000002 | 107 | 308 | 1 | 416 | 25.7% | 74.0% | R+48.3 |
| Precinct 1500001360531500001 | 118 | 283 | 2 | 403 | 29.3% | 70.2% | R+40.9 |
| Precinct 1600004360531600004 | 141 | 212 | 4 | 357 | 39.5% | 59.4% | R+19.9 |
| Precinct 0100003360530100003 | 101 | 251 | 2 | 354 | 28.5% | 70.9% | R+42.4 |
| Precinct 0600001360530600001 | 77 | 257 | 2 | 336 | 22.9% | 76.5% | R+53.6 |
| Precinct 0900006360530900006 | 116 | 184 | 0 | 300 | 38.7% | 61.3% | R+22.7 |
| Precinct 0700003360530700003 | 122 | 170 | 5 | 297 | 41.1% | 57.2% | R+16.2 |
| Precinct 0100001360530100001 | 73 | 211 | 4 | 288 | 25.3% | 73.3% | R+47.9 |
| Precinct 0800001360530800001 | 86 | 162 | 0 | 248 | 34.7% | 65.3% | R+30.6 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −21.7% |
| 1896 | −34.6% |
| 1900 | −30.9% |
| 1904 | −32.3% |
| 1908 | −28.1% |
| 1912 | −3.3% |
| 1916 | −19.0% |
| 1920 | −47.5% |
| 1924 | −50.0% |
| 1928 | −45.9% |
| 1932 | −26.1% |
| 1936 | −41.2% |
| 1940 | −41.4% |
| 1944 | −37.2% |
| 1948 | −38.0% |
| 1952 | −53.5% |
| 1956 | −58.2% |
| 1960 | −31.6% |
| 1964 | +23.5% |
| 1968 | −30.7% |
| 1972 | −49.2% |
| 1976 | −27.9% |
| 1980 | −23.1% |
| 1984 | −35.7% |
| 1988 | −16.5% |
| 1992 | −4.1% |
| 1996 | +1.9% |
| 2000 | −10.1% |
| 2004 | −11.3% |
| 2008 | +0.9% |
| 2012 | +0.9% |
| 2016 | −14.2% |
| 2020 | −10.6% |
| 2024 | −13.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 28 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 44.4%13,230 | 55.6%16,578 | 29,808 |
| 2020 | R | 47.9%15,669 | 52.1%17,045 | 32,714 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+13.2
Presidential vote · 2024R+13.0
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 0.2 points.
46,659 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−5 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −3,657 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $63,225 in average income, against $86,900 for residents who stayed — 27% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+4.1 on average — 8.9 points more Democratic-leaning than Madison County, NY itself (R+13.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Onondaga County, NY440D+17.2
- Oneida County, NY351R+21.2
- Chenango County, NY81R+27.1
- Oswego County, NY48R+24.1
- Herkimer County, NY28R+36.4
- Monroe County, NY24D+19.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Onondaga County, NY409
- Oneida County, NY353
- Chenango County, NY75
- Oswego County, NY49
- New York County, NY27
- Monroe County, NY25
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −630 |
| 2012 | −618 |
| 2013 | −72 |
| 2014 | −303 |
| 2015 | −646 |
| 2016 | −299 |
| 2017 | −502 |
| 2018 | +43 |
| 2019 | −242 |
| 2021 | −397 |
| 2022 | −167 |
| 2023 | +227 |
| 2024 | −46 |
| 2025 | −5 |
Madison County, anchored by small cities like Oneida and Morrisville, has shifted steadily rightward over the past two decades. In 2024 it delivered a 13-point Republican presidential margin, reflecting broader rural realignment across upstate New York.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 58.2 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 13.0 points.
A population of 67,328, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,499 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Seneca County and Chemung County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Seneca County
New York
92.5twin score
2012–2024 trajectoryItalian ancestry
Chemung County
New York
91.2twin score
2012–2024 trajectoryItalian ancestry≠ Scottish ancestry
Cayuga County
New York
91.0twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ % Catholic
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Madison County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36053/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Madison County
New York at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Madison County, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Madison County, New York voted Republican by 13.0 points (R+13.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 33,814 votes cast, 14,629 went Democratic and 19,025 went Republican.
When did Madison County, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Madison County, New York voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Madison County, New York?
Madison County, New York has a population of 67,328 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Madison County, New York?
Median household income in Madison County, New York is $75,499 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Madison County, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Madison County, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 30 went Republican.