akashic
1876–2024
Madison County, New York
Madison County·New York

Madison County delivered a near-tie in 2024.

A rural upstate county where Republicans now win by double digits

18762024·38 elections
Madison County, New York · Lvklock · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+13
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
67,328
2024 ACS
Most similar
Washington County
NY · similarity 0.99
52 precincts · 34,019 votes cast
Trump · R+13
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−12.9%
14,62919,02534,019
2020R
−10.6%
14,80518,40934,035
2016R
−14.2%
11,66715,93630,064
2012D
+0.9%
13,87113,62228,094
2008D
+0.9%
14,69214,43429,802
2004R
−11.3%
13,12116,53730,287
2000R
−10.1%
12,01714,87928,366
1996D
+1.9%
11,83211,32426,988
1992R
−4.1%
10,09911,29329,034
1988R
−16.5%
10,66514,90225,754
1984R
−35.7%
8,29117,56825,963
1980R
−23.1%
7,84313,36923,937
1976R
−27.9%
8,82215,67424,591
1972R
−49.2%
6,24118,39224,697
1968R
−30.7%
7,05613,81922,010
1964D
+23.5%
14,3138,85823,180
1960R
−31.6%
8,43316,24524,697
1956R
−58.2%
4,90318,55523,458
1952R
−53.5%
5,35317,71523,101
1948R
−38.0%
5,93713,41319,658
1944R
−37.2%
6,10913,36919,514
1940R
−41.4%
6,30115,26221,662
1936R
−41.2%
5,86714,35320,590
1932R
−26.1%
6,89611,93119,272
1928R
−45.9%
5,21714,33319,851
1924R
−50.0%
3,43011,58916,321
1920R
−47.5%
3,79711,09415,348
1916R
−19.0%
3,9375,88110,217
1912R
−3.3%
3,1643,4909,930
1908R
−28.1%
3,6376,72710,978
1904R
−32.3%
3,4106,94710,943
1900R
−30.9%
3,6737,17411,321
1896R
−34.6%
3,5807,58811,574
1892R
−21.7%
4,0546,53311,421
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
1.5%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
18.5%
Other Christian
10.5%
Methodist
3.8%
Mainline Protestant
2.8%
Baptist
1.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.6%
Non-Christian
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 62.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Madison County, anchored by small cities like Oneida and Morrisville, has shifted steadily rightward over the past two decades. In 2024 it delivered a 13-point Republican presidential margin, reflecting broader rural realignment across upstate New York.

The county's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached twenty-four points in 1964; the Republican margin reached fifty-eight points in 1956. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Madison County's demographics — a population of 67,328, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $75,499 — situate the county close to national averages on several dimensions. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Washington County and Yates County.