- Lead
- 7,245
- Total
- 74,025
- vs nation
- D+11.3
New York 127th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 9,303
- Total
- 75,535
- vs nation
- D+7.9
- Lead
- 2,033
- Total
- 65,759
- vs nation
- D+1.0
- Lead
- 6,990
- Total
- 63,926
- vs nation
- D+7.1
- Lead
- 6,675
- Total
- 68,281
- vs nation
- D+2.5
- Lead
- 237
- Total
- 67,945
- vs nation
- D+2.1
- Lead
- 1,524
- Total
- 64,257
- vs nation
- D+1.9
- Lead
- 2,625
- Total
- 61,568
- vs nation
- R+4.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+9.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 132,4142024 5-year
- Population density
- 677 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 196 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $97,6212024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+24.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54.8 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 126, NY · twin score 94.3
presidential history
Party record book
New York 127th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2020 (partial returns from 1876) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
62.1%
36,587 votes · D+24.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 55.1%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
77.4%
48,294 votes · R+54.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 73.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
41,589votes
55.1% of the vote · D+12.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 36,821 votes
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
49,095votes
73.5% of the vote · R+47.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 48,294 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
+7.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+12.3 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +7.1 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+48.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+23.9 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · +39.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 60.0%34,267 | 40.0%22,873 | 57,140 |
| 2020 | R | 49.1%31,055 | 50.9%32,135 | 63,190 |
Its 2024 presidential margin of D+9.8 ranked among New York's closest, against D+9.8 in 2008. The district had about 91,400 residents, 75.7% White alone in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 24.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 54.8 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.8 points.
A population of 132,414, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $97,621 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 126 and State House District 161.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New York 127th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36127/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.