HarrisDemocratic49.8%37,581TrumpRepublican49.8%37,560OtherAll other candidates0.4%275
D+0.0- Lead
- 21
- Total
- 75,416
- vs nation
- D+1.5
modeled Census-place estimatereview required
Akashicstate house district
New York 126th State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic50.2%38,090TrumpRepublican47.6%36,076OtherAll other candidates2.2%1,639
D+2.7- Lead
- 2,014
- Total
- 75,805
- vs nation
- R+1.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic44.3%29,853TrumpRepublican49.1%33,051OtherAll other candidates6.6%4,435
R+4.7- Lead
- 3,198
- Total
- 67,339
- vs nation
- R+6.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic52.5%33,926RomneyRepublican45.6%29,488OtherAll other candidates2.0%1,265
D+6.9- Lead
- 4,438
- Total
- 64,679
- vs nation
- D+3.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic51.8%35,960McCainRepublican46.4%32,239OtherAll other candidates1.8%1,259
D+5.4- Lead
- 3,721
- Total
- 69,458
- vs nation
- R+1.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic46.8%33,088BushRepublican51.1%36,151OtherAll other candidates2.1%1,459
R+4.3- Lead
- 3,063
- Total
- 70,698
- vs nation
- R+1.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic47.4%31,717BushRepublican47.3%31,678OtherAll other candidates5.3%3,547
D+0.1- Lead
- 39
- Total
- 66,942
- vs nation
- R+0.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic45.6%29,128DoleRepublican41.9%26,748OtherAll other candidates12.5%8,002
D+3.7- Lead
- 2,380
- Total
- 63,878
- vs nation
- R+4.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+0.03MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 133,9192024 5-year
- Population density
- 211 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 633 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $83,7972024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+24.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54.0 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 127, NY · twin score 94.3
presidential history
Party record book
New York 126th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2020 (partial returns from 1876) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
62.2%
39,573 votes · D+24.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 52.5%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
77.0%
53,250 votes · R+54.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 73.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
39,573votes
62.2% of the vote · D+24.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 38,090 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
53,250votes
77.0% of the vote · R+54.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 51,796 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+3.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+6.9 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · +2.0 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+50.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+26.5 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Wendell Willkie, 1940 · +39.0 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RJohn LemondesState House · 126
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 55.0%31,618 | 45.0%25,826 | 57,444 |
| 2020 | R | 45.0%28,380 | 55.0%34,731 | 63,111 |
Assembly District 126 in New York recorded a dead-even 2024 presidential margin, making it one of the state's sharpest bellwethers for tracking suburban or exurban shifts in voter alignment.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 24.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 54.0 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.0 points.
A population of 133,919, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $83,797 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 127 and Assembly District 134.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Assembly District 127
New York
94.3twin score
% Catholicpopulation scaleItalian ancestry
Assembly District 134
New York
87.6twin score
population scaleItalian ancestry% Catholic≠ Puerto Rican ancestry
State House District 142
Pennsylvania
85.8twin score
% Catholicmedian age% Evangelical≠ Scottish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New York 126th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36126/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
New York at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within New York 126th State House District
counties it covers2
Frequently asked questions
How did New York 126th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, New York 126th State House District voted a near-tie (D+0.03), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 75,416 votes cast, 37,581 went Democratic and 37,560 went Republican.
When did New York 126th State House District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which New York 126th State House District voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in New York 126th State House District?
New York 126th State House District has a population of 133,919 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New York 126th State House District?
Median household income in New York 126th State House District is $83,797 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of New York 126th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in New York 126th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 31 went Republican.