akashic
1876–2024
Assembly District 126·New York

New York 126th State House District has voted Democratic in nine straight presidential cycles.

A true toss-up district where 2024 presidential votes split exactly even

1876 — 2024·38 elections
NY
Latest
D+15
in 2024
Archetype
Democratic loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
293,448
2024 ACS

New York 126th State House District, New York: Democratic loyalist district. In 2024, voted D+15%. Republican peak: R+47 in 1956.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+15MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Democratic loyalistAkashic typology
Population
293,4482024 5-year
Median household income
$76,3422024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
75.7%2024 5-year
Black
10.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
5.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+34 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+47 in 1956MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
2 counties · 1 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+15.1%
81,51659,933143,186
D
+18.1%
85,06158,432146,809
D
+12.1%
68,82853,157129,815
D
+20.6%
75,50149,332127,127
D
+19.5%
79,89953,368135,733
D
+9.7%
72,22459,271134,161
D
+12.4%
68,32352,549127,236
D
+13.7%
62,38045,775121,633
D
+5.8%
56,10448,279134,225
R
−4.7%
59,00164,917124,959
R
−20.2%
50,72076,428127,574
R
−13.1%
45,75161,580120,894
R
−20.4%
47,71572,281120,638
R
−38.3%
38,87387,342126,516
R
−6.3%
52,39059,907118,885
D
+34.2%
81,05339,727120,890
R
−8.3%
57,30267,626125,022
R
−46.6%
31,69487,043118,737
R
−30.6%
40,26575,857116,387
R
−11.7%
42,26954,00299,857
R
−5.4%
46,37251,66898,397
R
−15.3%
42,87258,413101,608
R
−13.1%
39,75952,06093,681
R
−4.1%
39,55943,08185,532
R
−17.1%
34,87349,60686,207
R
−39.9%
16,32142,51165,641
R
−39.2%
15,20237,11055,887
R
−15.1%
13,22918,21033,041
R
−1.7%
10,42310,92730,283
R
−22.9%
11,18318,34531,279
R
−28.9%
9,99418,55329,618
R
−23.4%
10,19416,82728,296
R
−27.8%
9,48517,16427,590
R
−12.0%
10,22513,22324,901
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
18.0%
Italian
15.1%
German
14.3%
English
11.7%
Polish
5.8%
American
3.2%
French
3.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.8%
85+
1.6%
2.3%
75–84
3.1%
5.3%
65–74
5.7%
6.8%
55–64
7.0%
5.5%
45–54
5.8%
6.1%
35–44
6.3%
6.4%
25–34
6.5%
4.8%
18–24
5.1%
7.9%
5–17
7.6%
2.7%
<5
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$76,342
Assembly District 126 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Assembly District 126$76,342
New York$85,974
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.8%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1820.4%
Working age (18–64)11.9%
Seniors (65+)12.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
89.2%
speak English only
Other Indo-European3.4%
Spanish3.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.4%
Other languages2.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
33.8%
Other Christian
5.9%
Non-Christian
3.4%
Methodist
2.9%
Baptist
2.4%
Mainline Protestant
2.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 47.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Assembly District 126 in New York recorded a dead-even 2024 presidential margin, making it one of the state's sharpest bellwethers for tracking suburban or exurban shifts in voter alignment.

The Democratic margin in New York 126th State House District reached its widest at thirty-four points in 1964. The margin in 2024 was fifteen points — still decisive.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $76,342, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 293,448 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Assembly District 126, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36126/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Assembly District 126, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Assembly District 126, New York voted Democratic by 15.1 points (D+15), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 143,186 votes cast, 81,516 went Democratic and 59,933 went Republican.
What is Assembly District 126, New York's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Assembly District 126, New York as a "Democratic loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 24 times, and other 0 times.
When did Assembly District 126, New York last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Assembly District 126, New York voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Assembly District 126, New York?
Assembly District 126, New York has a population of 293,448 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Assembly District 126, New York?
Median household income in Assembly District 126, New York is $76,342 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Assembly District 126, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Assembly District 126, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Democratic loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.