- Lead
- 16,787
- Total
- 56,678
- vs nation
- D+31.1
New York 128th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 20,627
- Total
- 59,712
- vs nation
- D+30.1
- Lead
- 16,174
- Total
- 54,327
- vs nation
- D+27.7
- Lead
- 20,170
- Total
- 54,229
- vs nation
- D+33.3
- Lead
- 21,067
- Total
- 57,609
- vs nation
- D+29.3
- Lead
- 15,253
- Total
- 55,681
- vs nation
- D+29.9
- Lead
- 15,416
- Total
- 52,997
- vs nation
- D+28.6
- Lead
- 14,576
- Total
- 50,638
- vs nation
- D+20.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+29.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 130,7542024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,073 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 122 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $66,9432024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 61.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 19.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+48.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+31.8 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 129, NY · twin score 95.4
presidential history
Party record book
New York 128th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2020 (partial returns from 1876) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
74.4%
38,733 votes · D+48.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 67.9%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
65.9%
29,084 votes · R+31.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 61.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
39,522votes
66.2% of the vote · D+34.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 38,936 votes
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
29,515votes
61.2% of the vote · R+22.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 29,084 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+33.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+37.2 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +30.1 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+20.5pts R vs U.S.
Place D+3.7 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · +16.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 60.8%34,274 | 39.2%22,071 | 56,345 |
| 2020 | R | 49.2%30,679 | 50.8%31,659 | 62,338 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+29.6, Assembly District 128 ranks among New York's most one-sided legislative seats, reflecting the heavily urbanized, high-density demography typical of its New York City footprint.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 48.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 31.8 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 29.6 points.
A population of 130,754, a 62% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,943 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 129 and Assembly District 109.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New York 128th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36128/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.