- Lead
- 18,100
- Total
- 62,175
- vs nation
- D+30.6
New York 138th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 20,160
- Total
- 64,957
- vs nation
- D+26.6
- Lead
- 13,993
- Total
- 58,849
- vs nation
- D+21.7
- Lead
- 15,349
- Total
- 56,239
- vs nation
- D+23.4
- Lead
- 16,253
- Total
- 59,792
- vs nation
- D+19.9
- Lead
- 7,264
- Total
- 56,801
- vs nation
- D+15.2
- Lead
- 8,506
- Total
- 53,016
- vs nation
- D+15.5
- Lead
- 12,818
- Total
- 52,844
- vs nation
- D+15.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+29.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 138,3262024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,153 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 120 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $75,9242024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 66.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 13.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+51.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+30.7 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 129, NY · twin score 93.3
presidential history
Party record book
New York 138th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2020 (partial returns from 1876) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
75.8%
37,161 votes · D+51.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 64.1%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
62.1%
27,132 votes · R+24.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 58.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
41,615votes
64.1% of the vote · D+31.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 37,550 votes
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
29,031votes
57.0% of the vote · R+14.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 27,132 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+29.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+51.7 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +26.6 pts
Republican
Charles E. Hughes1916
+20.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+17.8 · U.S. D+3.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1932 · +14.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
The district recorded a Democratic presidential margin of D+29.1 in 2024, compared with D+27.1 in 2008. The district had about 137,000 residents, 69.6% White alone in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 51.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 30.7 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 29.1 points.
A population of 138,326, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,924 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 129 and Assembly District 136.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New York 138th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36138/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.