Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Elmira, NY
presidential margin
2008R+1.22012R+2.32016R+17.62020R+13.42024R+16.7
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+16.7
2024
median income$63,716U.S. $80,734 · NY $85,974
median age42.0U.S. 39.1 · NY 39.9
poverty rate16.3%U.S. 12.5% · NY 14.0%
bachelor’s+ (25+)27.2%U.S. 35.6% · NY 40.0%
non-english4.7%U.S. 22.3% · NY 30.9%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
Irish16.2%
German16.0%
English14.0%
African American†5.5%
African0.7%
Puerto Rican1.4%
Mexican1.0%
Dominican0.2%
Asian Indian0.4%
Chinese0.4%
Korean0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline7.1%
Black Protestant4.4%
Latter-day Saints0.7%
Other Christian0.6%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Elmira, NY, New York

Akashic
Elmira, NYTrumpR+16.7
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Elmira, NY, NYA map of the single county of Elmira, NY, NY, outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Chemung County, NY · R+16.7
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican58.2%21,861
Kamala HarrisDemocratic41.5%15,572
Jill SteinWrite-In0.3%127
D+60
R+60
A single county, filled by its 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover it for the full result.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Elmira, NY, NY — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Chemung County, NYRepublicanR+16.7
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
41.5%Harris15,572
58.2%Trump21,861
0.3%Stein127
−16.7%
37,560
R
42.2%Biden16,636
55.6%Trump21,922
2.2%Jorgensen852
−13.4%
39,410
R
38.1%Clinton13,757
55.6%Trump20,097
6.3%Trump2,265
−17.6%
36,119
R
48.0%Obama16,797
50.3%Romney17,612
1.7%Romney601
−2.3%
35,010
R
48.8%Obama18,888
50.0%McCain19,364
1.1%McCain443
−1.2%
38,695
R
43.7%Kerry17,080
54.6%Bush21,321
1.7%Bush674
−10.9%
39,075
R
46.2%Gore17,424
49.8%Bush18,779
4.0%Nader1,507
−3.6%
37,710
D
47.4%Clinton16,977
39.9%Dole14,287
12.7%Perot4,549
+7.5%
35,813
R
38.6%Clinton15,099
41.1%Bush16,088
20.3%Perot7,948
−2.5%
39,135
R
43.0%Dukakis15,966
56.4%Bush20,951
0.6%Bush222
−13.4%
37,139
R
36.9%Mondale14,638
62.8%Reagan24,909
0.3%Reagan100
−25.9%
39,647
R
39.1%Carter14,565
52.9%Reagan19,674
8.0%Anderson2,970
−13.7%
37,209
R
45.3%Carter17,207
54.3%Ford20,640
0.5%Ford179
−9.0%
38,026
R
32.5%McGovern12,650
67.3%Nixon26,200
0.2%Schmitz94
−34.8%
38,944
R
40.0%Humphrey15,820
52.3%Nixon20,693
7.7%Wallace3,040
−12.3%
39,553
D
64.1%Johnson26,332
35.8%Goldwater14,716
0.1%Hass34
+28.3%
41,082
R
40.3%Kennedy17,899
59.6%Nixon26,469
0.1%Byrd28
−19.3%
44,396
R
25.8%Stevenson11,592
74.2%Eisenhower33,270
0.0%
−48.3%
44,862
R
31.2%Stevenson13,729
68.6%Eisenhower30,188
0.2%Hallinan105
−37.4%
44,022
R
36.2%Truman13,352
61.6%Dewey22,754
2.2%Thurmond813
−25.5%
36,919
R
40.3%Roosevelt15,064
59.4%Dewey22,198
0.3%Thomas97
−19.1%
37,359
R
40.5%Roosevelt15,203
59.1%Willkie22,156
0.4%Thomas140
−18.5%
37,499
R
42.9%Roosevelt15,542
56.7%Landon20,515
0.4%Lemke138
−13.7%
36,195
R
39.8%Roosevelt13,825
58.0%Hoover20,152
2.2%Thomas773
−18.2%
34,750
R
32.6%Smith12,189
67.0%Hoover25,029
0.4%Thomas136
−34.4%
37,354
R
24.9%Davis7,162
64.7%Coolidge18,599
10.4%La Follette3,004
−39.8%
28,765
R
27.1%Cox7,060
68.5%Harding17,864
4.4%Debs1,144
−41.4%
26,068
D
50.7%Wilson7,461
43.6%Hughes6,409
5.7%Benson834
+7.2%
14,704
D
46.3%Wilson6,008
25.5%Taft3,317
28.2%Roosevelt3,660
+20.7%
12,985
R
42.8%Bryan5,966
53.1%Taft7,410
4.1%Debs576
−10.3%
13,952
R
41.3%Parker5,641
53.3%Roosevelt7,282
5.4%Debs741
−12.0%
13,664
R
46.7%Bryan6,531
49.4%McKinley6,921
3.9%Woolley545
−2.8%
13,997
R
38.7%Bryan5,259
58.3%McKinley7,926
3.0%Palmer401
−19.6%
13,586
R
41.7%Cleveland4,661
48.4%Harrison5,410
9.9%Weaver1,104
−6.7%
11,175
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −16.7% in 2024.flipped R · 2000−16.7%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−6.7%
1896−19.6%
1900−2.8%
1904−12.0%
1908−10.3%
1912+20.7%
1916+7.2%
1920−41.4%
1924−39.8%
1928−34.4%
1932−18.2%
1936−13.7%
1940−18.5%
1944−19.1%
1948−25.5%
1952−37.4%
1956−48.3%
1960−19.3%
1964+28.3%
1968−12.3%
1972−34.8%
1976−9.0%
1980−13.7%
1984−25.9%
1988−13.4%
1992−2.5%
1996+7.5%
2000−3.6%
2004−10.9%
2008−1.2%
2012−2.3%
2016−17.6%
2020−13.4%
2024−16.7%
DemocraticRepublican

The Elmira metro, centered on Chemung County, has drifted Republican in presidential cycles even as New York tilts blue—reflecting a deindustrialized workforce and rural collar communities that consistently outperform statewide GOP baselines.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 48.3 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 3.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.7 points.

A population of 82,147, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,716 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Auburn, NY and Seneca Falls, NY.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Auburn, NY
91.7twin score
% Evangelical% White% Latino≠ % Catholic
Seneca Falls, NY
86.3twin score
Italian ancestry2000 margin% Evangelical≠ Scottish ancestry
Cortland, NY
84.0twin score
Italian ancestry2000 margin% Evangelical≠ median age

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Elmira, NY, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/21300/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Embed & data: CC BY 4.0 · Akashic Intelligence
U.S. electionsAll elections →
Presidentevery cycleUS Senateevery cycleUS Houseevery cycleGovernorevery cycle

Places within Elmira, NY

counties1
Chemung County

Frequently asked questions

How did Elmira, NY, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Elmira, NY, New York voted Republican by 16.7 points (R+16.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 37,560 votes cast, 15,572 went Democratic and 21,861 went Republican.
When did Elmira, NY, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Elmira, NY, New York voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Elmira, NY, New York?
Elmira, NY, New York has a population of 82,147 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Elmira, NY, New York?
Median household income in Elmira, NY, New York is $63,716 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Elmira, NY, New York?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Elmira, NY, New York from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 30 went Republican.